编 者 按 中国共产党第二十届中央委员会第四次全体会议20日上午在北京开始举行。中央委员会总书记习近平代表中央政治局向全会作工作报告，并就《中 共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议（讨论稿）》向全会作了说明。 2025年是"十四五"规划收官之年，也是"十五五"规划谋篇布局之年。习近平总书记在党的二十届三中全会第二次全体会议上强调，要总结评估"十四 五"规划落实情况，切实搞好"十五五"规划前期谋划工 作。2024年12月召开的中央经济工作会议提出，要扎实推动高质量发展，高质量完成"十四五"规划 目标 任务，为实现"十五五"良好开局打牢基础。 "十四五"期间，中国GDP规模持续突破110万亿元、120万亿元、130万亿元，2025年预计达到140万亿元左右。内需对经济增长的贡献率提高，2021 年至2024年，内需对经济增长的平均贡献率为86.4%，最终消费对经济增长的平均贡献率达到56.2%，比"十三五"期间提高8.6个百分点。居民消费持续恢 复增长，投资、贸易、金融领域发展动力和活力增强， 新质生产力加快形成，数字经济和实体经济深度融合，经济金融领域风险有效化解，经济社会高 质量新发展 格局 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that despite facing complex external and internal challenges, China's economy has shown resilience and achieved a GDP growth of 5.2% in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a stable and progressive economic performance [4][6][8]. Economic Performance - China's GDP for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, which is an acceleration of 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year and the same period last year, respectively [5]. - The average urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.2%, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) slightly decreased by 0.1%, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 0.6% [5][10]. - The total import and export volume reached a historical high, with a year-on-year growth of 6.0% in the third quarter, and foreign exchange reserves remained above 3.3 trillion USD [5][10]. High-Quality Development - The article highlights the ongoing efforts towards high-quality development, with significant advancements in new production capacities and economic structure optimization [6][18]. - The proportion of added value from equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing reached 35.9% and 16.7%, respectively, indicating a shift towards more advanced industries [6]. - The share of non-fossil energy consumption in total energy consumption increased by approximately 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting progress in green and low-carbon transformation [6][18]. Economic Resilience - China's economy demonstrated strong resilience, achieving a 5.2% growth rate despite global economic uncertainties and trade protectionism [7][10]. - The article notes that this growth rate is among the highest compared to other major economies, showcasing China's role as a stable and reliable driver of global economic growth [7][10]. Policy Implementation - The implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies has played a crucial role in stabilizing the economy, with measures aimed at expanding domestic demand and enhancing market vitality [13][14]. - The contribution of final consumption expenditure to economic growth reached 53.5%, an increase of 9.0 percentage points compared to the previous year, highlighting the effectiveness of consumption-boosting policies [13][14]. New Quality Productivity - The development of new quality productivity has been emphasized as a key driver for high-quality growth, with significant investments in R&D and innovation leading to advancements in various sectors [16][17]. - The added value of high-tech manufacturing increased by 9.6%, with notable growth in industries such as integrated circuits and industrial robots [16][17]. Green Transformation - The article discusses the steady progress in green transformation, with significant increases in renewable energy production and the adoption of green technologies [18][23]. - The production of new energy products, such as electric vehicles and solar batteries, has seen substantial growth, contributing to a more sustainable economic model [18][23].

确保基本实现社会主义现代化取得决定性进展——写在党的二十届四中全会召开之际 历史，正在书写新的篇章。 10月20日至23日，党的二十届四中全会在北京召开。会议将审议《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》，为未 来五年中国发展擘画蓝图。 2021年—2025年，"十四五"时期是我国全面建成小康社会、实现第一个百年奋斗目标之后，乘势而上开启全面建设社会主义现代化国家新征 程、向第二个百年奋斗目标进军的第一个五年。全国上下勠力同心、攻坚克难，我国经济社会发展取得新的开创性进展、突破性变革、历史 性成就。 2026年—2030年，围绕以中国式现代化全面推进强国建设、民族复兴伟业，"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的 关键时期。 "十四五"规划收官之际，"两张网"的建设格外引人关注： 一张是国家综合立体交通网，"6轴7廊8通道"主骨架建成率超过90%； 一张是国家水网，2025年底覆盖率预计达到80.3%。 大国之治，江山为基。水网、路网，越千里山川，通四方之利，济万民之需，都是事关现代化建设的大事。 2025年8月19日拍摄的湖南炉慈高速慈利西互通枢纽（无人机照片）。炉慈高 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that China's export growth is entering a new phase in 2024-2025, with an overall high growth rate expected, driven by various factors including fiscal expansion in developed economies and increased global demand for new industrial products [2][5][6]. Export Growth Analysis - In September, China's exports increased by 8.3% year-on-year, maintaining a high level, with a month-on-month growth of 2.1%, consistent with seasonal averages [3][5]. - The third quarter saw a year-on-year export growth of 6.6%, aligning with expectations, despite a seasonal low of 1.0% month-on-month [5]. - For the fourth quarter, a simple calculation suggests a year-on-year growth of 3.6% if the month-on-month growth aligns with the seasonal average [5]. Historical Context - From 2000 to 2011, China's export growth averaged 21.8%, significantly outpacing global export growth of 11.0% [6]. - The period from 2012 to 2019 saw a decline in China's export growth, averaging only 3.7%, while global export growth was around 0.7% [7]. - The years 2020 to 2023 experienced high volatility in exports, with China’s growth fluctuating in response to global supply chain disruptions [7]. Future Projections - In 2024, global exports are projected to grow by 2.3%, while China's exports are expected to grow by 5.8% [8]. - The article predicts that in 2024-2025, China's export growth will exceed global growth by more than double, driven by factors such as fiscal policies in developed countries and increased demand for high-tech products [6]. Regional Export Dynamics - Exports to ASEAN and Africa have shown significant growth, with cumulative year-on-year increases of 14.7% and 28.3% respectively in the first nine months of the year [10]. - Exports to Africa have been particularly strong, with a year-on-year growth of 56.4% in September [10]. Product Export Performance - High-end product exports are experiencing substantial growth, with exports of integrated circuits increasing by 32.7% and general machinery by 24.9% [11]. - In contrast, labor-intensive products like textiles and clothing have seen a decline in exports, with a combined year-on-year decrease of 5.8% [11]. Import Trends - In September, imports grew by 7.4% year-on-year, with significant increases in iron ore, copper, and integrated circuits [12]. - The acceleration in imports may be linked to policy-driven financial tools and project initiations, indicating potential improvements in investment for the fourth quarter [12].

Monetary Policy Overview - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) held its 2025 Q3 monetary policy committee meeting on September 23, emphasizing the need for appropriate monetary policy to support high-quality economic development and create a favorable financial environment for economic recovery [4][5] - The meeting highlighted the effectiveness of the loan market quotation rate reform and the market-oriented adjustment mechanism for deposit rates, which have improved the efficiency of monetary policy transmission and kept social financing costs at historically low levels [4][5] Economic Analysis - The committee analyzed both domestic and international economic conditions, noting a more complex external environment with weakening global economic growth and increasing trade barriers [4][6] - Despite challenges such as insufficient domestic demand and low price levels, China's economy is showing steady progress, with rising social confidence and new achievements in high-quality development [4][6] Banking Sector Focus - The meeting called for large banks to enhance their role in serving the real economy while encouraging small and medium-sized banks to focus on their core responsibilities and strengthen capital [5][6] - It emphasized the importance of implementing structural monetary policy tools effectively and supporting key areas such as technological innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and stabilizing foreign trade [5][6] Real Estate Development - The article discusses the importance of constructing a new model for real estate development, which is crucial for addressing the significant changes in supply and demand dynamics in the real estate market [8][10] - The central government has prioritized stabilizing the real estate market and promoting a new development model, as indicated in recent political meetings [8][14] Challenges and Recommendations - The real estate sector faces challenges such as high debt levels among developers and insufficient supply of affordable housing, necessitating a shift towards a new development model that balances market forces with guarantees [9][10] - Experts suggest that reforms should focus on housing, land, fiscal, and financial systems to achieve a stable and sustainable real estate market [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - The improvement of the equity trust registration system is essential for the healthy operation of the trust system and serves as a key institutional guarantee for the transformation of China's trust industry from a "scale-driven" model to a "function-driven" model [2][4]. Group 1: Importance of Equity Trust Registration - The equity trust registration system is crucial for activating existing trust assets and ensuring the independent nature of trust property, which is vital for functions such as bankruptcy isolation and wealth management [4][6]. - The current legislative framework lacks specific provisions regarding equity trust registration, leading to challenges in practical implementation and the effective realization of trust property independence [6][9]. Group 2: Challenges Faced by the Current System - The term "equity trust" lacks a clear legal definition within existing laws, which complicates its application and understanding in practice [8]. - The existing equity registration system is characterized by institutional fragmentation, leading to incomplete information and delays in updates, which hampers the accurate reflection of actual ownership and changes in equity [9][10]. - The absence of a robust trust registration mechanism has resulted in increased operational risks for trust companies, as they often bear responsibilities that should be limited to trust property [10][13]. Group 3: Proposed Solutions and Innovations - A dual registration model, similar to that used in Taiwan, is suggested, which involves both property transfer registration and trust registration to clarify the nature of trust property and the legal relationships involved [14]. - Recent pilot projects in Beijing and Hangzhou aim to establish a more coordinated and transparent registration process for equity trust property, enhancing the independence and stability of trust assets [14][15]. - The pilot programs have specific eligibility criteria, focusing on limited liability company equity in Beijing and a broader range of assets in Hangzhou, including charitable trusts [15][16].

Global Trade Current Characteristics - Global trade has reached a historical high, with total goods and services trade expected to reach $33 trillion in 2024, driven primarily by service trade. China's total import and export volume is projected to reach 43.85 trillion RMB in 2024, marking a 5% year-on-year increase and setting a new record [3]. Trade Protectionism and Supply Chain Restructuring - Trade protectionism is on the rise, particularly among Western countries led by the United States, which are implementing policies to reverse trade deficits and protect domestic industries. These actions are increasing global production costs and threatening the stability of global supply chains [5]. - The global supply chain is showing clear signs of "regionalization" and "politicization," with major economies accelerating the restructuring of industrial chains through policy interventions. The U.S. is promoting "nearshoring" and "friend-shoring," while Europe is focusing on green transformation and digital development [5]. Multilateral Mechanism Reconstruction and Regional Cooperation - The traditional multilateral governance framework, dominated by institutions like the WTO and IMF, is increasingly failing due to destructive actions from the U.S. Regional trade agreements are becoming key tools for reshaping the global economic landscape, with frameworks like CPTPP, RCEP, and USMCA enhancing regional cooperation [5]. Emerging Market Role Transformation - Emerging economies, particularly large economies within the G20 such as China, India, Brazil, Russia, and Mexico, have transitioned from being "passive participants" to "active influencers" in global trade. Their deep integration into the global economy has significantly enhanced their economic spillover effects, making them core drivers of global trade growth [6]. Future Development Trends in Global Trade - Trade protectionism will persist but face more counterbalances, as emerging economies gain more influence and international organizations push for trade liberalization. The U.S. may continue to implement tariffs under various pretexts, but the collective opposition from emerging markets will increase [9]. - The trend of regionalization in global trade will strengthen, with regional trade agreements playing a crucial role in optimizing supply chain layouts. This shift will prioritize security and resilience over mere efficiency, potentially leading to fragmented global supply chains and increased operational costs for multinational companies [9]. - There will be a deep adjustment in trade structures, with an increasing share of service trade and high-value goods. Digital services and green technology products are expected to become new engines of trade growth, while the U.S. maintains its trade advantages in high-tech sectors, albeit facing challenges from other countries' rising innovation capabilities [10].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of sustainable information disclosure for listed companies in China, highlighting the progress made in the regulatory framework and the increasing rate of disclosure among companies [4][5][6]. Summary by Sections Sustainable Disclosure System - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has established a sustainable disclosure system for listed companies, which includes mandatory guidelines from stock exchanges and reference guidelines for best practices [4][6]. - The new "National Nine Articles" aims to enhance the sustainable information disclosure system for listed companies, marking the first systematic regulation in this area [4][6]. Disclosure Rate and Market Impact - In 2023, 1,869 listed companies disclosed their 2024 sustainable reports, achieving an overall disclosure rate of 34.7%, an increase of approximately 10 percentage points compared to the previous two years [5][6][7]. - The market capitalization of the disclosing companies accounts for about 70% of the total market [5][6]. Quality of Disclosure - The content of the disclosures has become more detailed and objective, with 99.3% of companies reporting quantitative indicators, and over 80% disclosing more than 25 indicators [7]. - There has been a significant increase in the disclosure of climate-related risks and greenhouse gas emissions, with 62.1% and 65.9% of companies respectively reporting these metrics [7]. Governance and Focused Topics - Companies are increasingly establishing governance structures for sustainability, with 67.3% having a governance framework and 63.9% disclosing strategic information [7]. - The introduction of guidelines has led to a more focused approach to sustainability topics, with increased attention on issues such as climate change and fair treatment of small and medium enterprises [7]. ESG Ratings Improvement - By the end of last year, one-third of companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets saw improvements in their MSCI ESG ratings, with the proportion of companies rated AAA or AA rising from 0% five years ago to 7.2% [7]. Future Directions - The CSRC plans to continue refining the sustainable disclosure system by learning from international practices while adapting to local conditions [9][10]. - The focus will be on gradually implementing mandatory disclosures for key companies, with approximately 400 companies required to disclose by 2026, while encouraging voluntary disclosures from others [10][11]. - The emphasis will remain on high-quality development as the foundation for effective sustainable disclosures, with ongoing training and support for companies [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the critical role of innovative pharmaceuticals as a new productive force for human health, driven by the increasing global population and healthcare demands, particularly in the context of China's evolving pharmaceutical landscape [4][5]. Group 1: Financial Support for Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The innovative pharmaceutical industry is characterized by advanced multidisciplinary knowledge, high-end talent aggregation, and significant capital intensity with long cycles, making it a clear growth sector [8]. - By 2050, the global market share of Chinese innovative pharmaceuticals is expected to increase from less than 5% to 30-35%, potentially generating an industry output value of 30-40 trillion RMB [6]. - The financial system in China needs to upgrade to better understand the intrinsic rules of innovative pharmaceuticals, focusing on a systematic, layered, and tool-based financial support approach throughout the drug lifecycle [6][7]. Group 2: Key Aspects of Innovative Drug Development - Precise and scientific project initiation is crucial for ensuring resource allocation to the most promising projects, thereby enhancing R&D success rates and reducing failure risks [9]. - Intellectual property protection serves as a sustainable competitive advantage for innovative pharmaceutical companies, helping them establish a "moat" against competitors [10]. - The Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls (CMC) process is essential for efficiently transitioning innovative drugs from the laboratory to commercialization, encompassing all critical steps from raw material selection to final product quality control [11]. Group 3: Clinical Trials and Market Strategies - Innovative clinical trial centers should enhance trial quality and efficiency while safeguarding participant rights, and improve communication with international regulatory bodies [13][14]. - A new product launch strategy based on value creation and delivery is necessary to navigate the challenges faced by pharmaceutical companies amid a wave of upcoming product launches [15]. - Out-licensing has become a vital bridge connecting local innovations with global markets, highlighting the strategic pathways for Chinese pharmaceutical companies [15]. Group 4: Investment and Financing Mechanisms - Angel investment plays a significant role in supporting early-stage biotech companies, while venture capital needs to refine its evaluation mechanisms for intellectual property and CMC transitions [16][17]. - The IPO journey for innovative pharmaceutical companies is fraught with challenges, including high R&D costs and market competition, necessitating robust financial strategies [18]. - Mergers and acquisitions are key for enriching technology and product pipelines, expanding markets, and integrating resources within the innovative pharmaceutical sector [19]. Group 5: Payment Systems and Global Perspectives - The core goal of the innovative drug payment system is to balance patient accessibility, corporate returns, and stable fund operations, marking the completion of the value transformation loop in pharmaceuticals [21]. - Learning from the U.S. financial support system for innovative pharmaceuticals can provide insights for developing a tailored financial support framework in China [22].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Digital Renminbi International Operation Center in Shanghai marks a significant step towards enhancing the internationalization of the digital renminbi, aiming to improve its global circulation and acceptance in international markets [3][12]. Group 1: Digital Renminbi International Operation Center - The Digital Renminbi International Operation Center has officially commenced operations, following the plan announced by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) during the Lujiazui Forum in June [3][4]. - The center features three main platforms: cross-border payment, blockchain infrastructure, and digital asset services, which are designed to enhance the operational capabilities of the digital renminbi in international markets [4][12]. Group 2: Cross-Border Payment Platform - The cross-border payment platform aims to address pain points in traditional cross-border payment models, focusing on technological integration, ecosystem reconstruction, and regulatory innovation [6]. - The goal is to create a secure, efficient, and inclusive global payment network, providing a "China solution" for a new ecosystem of cross-border payments that is "lossless, interoperable, and compliant" [6]. Group 3: Blockchain Service Platform - The blockchain service platform serves as a key hub for on-chain digital renminbi payment services and standardized blockchain transaction information transfer [8]. - It aims to enhance interoperability and transaction efficiency across various industry blockchain networks, reducing integration costs for participants [8]. Group 4: Digital Asset Platform - The digital asset platform focuses on the compliant operation of assets on the blockchain, supporting various asset types such as bonds, bills, electronic vouchers, and carbon credits [9]. - It aims to digitize the entire process of issuance, registration, custody, and trading while ensuring compliance and preventing financial risks like fictitious transactions and double pledges [9]. Group 5: Global Payment System Improvement - The PBOC is actively promoting improvements in the global cross-border payment system, adhering to the principles of "lossless, compliant, and interoperable" as foundational guidelines for the construction of cross-border infrastructure for legal digital currencies [11]. - The center is expected to play a crucial role in forming global central bank digital currency standards, addressing potential fragmentation in digital currency development [11]. Group 6: Internationalization Strategy - The core value of the Digital Renminbi International Operation Center lies in significantly expanding the network effect of the digital renminbi, enhancing its global liquidity and acceptance [13]. - The strategic focus has shifted from domestic retail testing to exploring applications in cross-border trade and international financial services, aiming to increase the global market share and competitiveness of the digital renminbi [13].