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59%的AI,都死在了路上
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-19 11:55
Core Viewpoint - The generative AI industry is at a critical juncture, facing the risk of a bubble burst or the potential to transform the world. Current data indicates that only 41% of generative AI pilot projects are expected to successfully transition to production by 2024, with 59% failing to materialize [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The gap between technological capability and practical application remains a significant hurdle, with the potential for a long-term decline if current trends continue [1]. - Historical AI bubbles have shown that while technology matures, many projects still fail due to misalignment with business needs and lack of clear value [7][10]. Group 2: Amazon's Strategic Initiatives - Amazon Web Services (AWS) established a secret organization, the Generative AI Innovation Center, to assist clients in developing generative AI strategies and solutions, resulting in over 1,500 project requests and an 82% success rate in moving from proof of concept to production [3][4]. - AWS has successfully navigated the "Gartner Valley of Death" by leveraging its innovation center's expertise and client collaboration [3][4]. Group 3: Lessons Learned from Failed Projects - Common pitfalls leading to project failures include: - Incorrect scenario selection, where companies pursue AI for the sake of AI without quantifying the value [7]. - Model mismatch, where businesses opt for the largest or most expensive models without considering specific use case requirements [8][9]. - Unclear ROI, leading to hesitance in project initiation due to lack of visible value [10]. - Absence of a feedback loop for project outcomes, resulting in silent project failures [11]. Group 4: Recommendations for Success - Companies should adopt a dual approach: top-down management support and bottom-up technical readiness, ensuring alignment between business goals and AI capabilities [14]. - AWS emphasizes the importance of evaluating projects against seven dimensions and leveraging eleven mature scenarios to enhance success rates [15]. - A systematic approach to technology selection across model, data, and technical solution layers is crucial for project viability [15]. Group 5: AWS's Competitive Advantage - AWS stands out as a leading cloud service provider with extensive global reach, offering a comprehensive suite of AI capabilities and infrastructure [20][21]. - The company has committed approximately $100 billion to AI project development, enhancing its service offerings and maintaining its market leadership [21][22].
Sam Altman:AI正在接管想象力
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-19 11:55
以下文章来源于王智远 ,作者王智远 王智远 . 商业记录者,主持人、《复利思维》《自醒》图书作者;专注于市场营销、消费心理、AI新科技、精 神生活与商业探索。 本文来自微信公众号: 王智远 ,作者:王智远,题图来自:视觉中国 用户访谈越来越抽象了。 以前创始人约个大V坐下来聊一聊,像某种"权威对话",现在人人都是自媒体,随便拉个人都能开 播。 这不,OpenAI的创始人Sam Altman10个小时前,和他弟弟坐在桌前聊了聊。 话题从AI的未来,到工作方式的变化,再到创业和人生的思考,没有提纲,没有滤镜,像朋友聊天 一样自然。我听完后觉得,这像一个人类如何迎接下一个时代的思想实验。 一 首先,他回答了一个关键问题:未来5到10年,AI会有什么变化? 他认为,编程和聊天工具会更聪明。AI不仅能帮你写代码,还能提高效率。你告诉AI你想做什么, 它就能自动完成大部分工作。这样既快又准。 接下来,AI可能会带来新的社交体验。通过理解需求和喜好,AI能提供个性化服务,无论是教育还 是医疗,AI都能让这些领域变得更智能、更高效。 但最让人兴奋的是,AI可能帮助发现新科学知识。 现在AI模型,已经在某些领域表现出顶尖博士的 ...
早报|美政府恢复办理外国学生签证;官方通报救护车跨省转运收费2.8万;卢伟冰剧透YU7价格;微软准备退出OpenAI谈判
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 23:59
Group 1 - The U.S. government has resumed processing foreign student visas, requiring applicants to provide their social media accounts [2] - The construction of the major scientific facility "Kua Fu" has made significant progress, with one of its key systems passing expert evaluation and achieving international leading performance [3] - Customs authorities have seized over 20,000 counterfeit LABUBU products, confirming infringement of the POP MART brand [4] Group 2 - The Chinese Foreign Ministry expressed strong dissatisfaction and opposition to the European Commission President's comments regarding China's trade practices, emphasizing compliance with WTO rules [6][7] - The European Union is projected to provide over €1.44 trillion in various subsidies from 2021 to 2030, with over €300 billion already disbursed by 2024 [7] Group 3 - Ford China responded to rumors about the integration of Jiangling Ford into Changan Ford, emphasizing its focus on maintaining a competitive and sustainable sales network [12] - Roma Technology announced a recall of mobile power banks due to potential overheating risks, offering replacements or refunds to affected consumers [13] Group 4 - Microsoft is prepared to exit high-risk negotiations with OpenAI if key issues regarding future shareholding are not resolved [14] - Audi has reversed its previous plan to stop developing internal combustion engine vehicles by 2033, opting for a more flexible approach to vehicle development [15][16] Group 5 - The U.S. Federal Reserve officials expect to lower interest rates twice by the end of 2025, with inflation projected to rise to 3% and unemployment to 4.5% by that time [20] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission is accelerating the development of science and technology innovation bonds, with ten companies having submitted materials for the first batch of science and technology innovation bond ETFs [22][23]
国产抗癌神药,转手卖了800亿
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 23:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant investment by Bristol-Myers Squibb in the development of the cancer treatment drug BNT327, highlighting the rapid increase in its valuation and the potential for substantial returns in the innovative drug sector, particularly from Chinese companies [2][10]. Group 1: Drug Development and Valuation - Bristol-Myers Squibb has entered a partnership with BioNTech to develop and sell the dual-specific antibody BNT327, with an initial payment of $1.5 billion and potential total payments reaching $11.1 billion (approximately 800 billion RMB) [2]. - BNT327, originally developed by Chinese company Biotheus, was acquired by BioNTech for $1.055 billion, indicating a tenfold increase in its value within a year and a half [2]. - The dual-specific antibody targets both PD-1 and VEGF, enhancing immune response against tumors while inhibiting their blood supply, representing a significant advancement over traditional single-target therapies [6][8]. Group 2: Market Trends and Investment Opportunities - The innovative drug sector in China is experiencing a boom, with substantial investments and partnerships being formed, as evidenced by multiple large-scale deals in late 2024 [12][14]. - Notable transactions include GSK's $300 million upfront payment for a targeted therapy and other significant licensing agreements, indicating a strong market for innovative drugs [12]. - The Chinese biopharmaceutical industry is becoming increasingly attractive to global pharmaceutical companies, with a reported $45.5 billion in business development transactions in 2024, highlighting the competitive edge of Chinese drug developers [14][15].
长安汽车“因祸得福”
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 23:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential merger between Dongfeng Motor Group and Changan Automobile, highlighting the challenges and implications of such a move, particularly in terms of operational efficiency and market positioning. It concludes that Changan's recent elevation to a first-tier state-owned enterprise provides it with a significant opportunity for independent growth, especially in the context of its performance in the electric vehicle sector [3][5][43]. Sales Performance - In 2024, Changan and Dongfeng's sales were 2.684 million and 1.896 million vehicles respectively, with Changan leading by 41.6% [3]. - Changan's revenue in 2024 was 159.7 billion, while Dongfeng's was 106.2 billion, marking a 50.4% lead for Changan [3]. - Changan's net profit was 2.59 billion, whereas Dongfeng reported a net loss of 690 million [3]. New Energy Vehicle Business - In 2024, Changan sold 735,000 new energy vehicles, accounting for 27.4% of its total sales, while Dongfeng sold 395,000, representing 20.8% [4]. - Changan's balanced development across high, mid, and low-end electric vehicles positions it favorably compared to competitors like SAIC, which relies heavily on its Wuling brand [25]. Historical Sales Trends - Changan's sales peaked at 3.06 million in 2016 but faced a decline, dropping to 1.76 million in 2019 [7]. - Sales began to recover slowly, reaching 2.55 million in 2023, with a modest growth of 8.8% year-on-year [8]. - In the first five months of 2025, Changan's total sales were 1.12 million, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 1% [9]. Brand Performance - Changan's self-owned brand sales have consistently increased, reaching 93% of total sales in 2024, compared to 75% in 2020 [15][16]. - The decline in sales from joint venture brands has been offset by the growth of self-owned brands, with a total increase of 723,000 units from 2020 to 2024 [18]. Investment and Profitability - Changan's profitability has been significantly impacted by its joint ventures, particularly with Changan Ford, which saw a drastic decline in revenue and profitability starting in 2018 [29]. - In 2024, Changan received only 134 million in cash dividends from its joint ventures, a mere 11.4% of what it received in 2016 [30]. - The company has shifted its focus to self-owned brands and new energy vehicles, which has allowed it to avoid the pitfalls faced by its competitors reliant on joint ventures [43]. Market Dynamics - The article emphasizes the ongoing price war in the electric vehicle market, which primarily affects traditional fuel vehicles and joint venture brands [45]. - The government has indicated a preference for market-driven solutions rather than direct intervention in price wars, suggesting a competitive landscape ahead for all players [46].
百度AI让数字主播接管618
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 13:48
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful debut of AI-driven digital human "Lao Luo" in a live streaming event, showcasing the potential of AI technology in transforming the e-commerce landscape and addressing key industry pain points [2][3][5]. Group 1: Digital Human Success - The digital human "Lao Luo" attracted over 13 million viewers and generated a GMV of over 55 million yuan during its first live stream, demonstrating the effectiveness of AI in engaging audiences and driving sales [2][3]. - The performance of the digital human was powered by a comprehensive AI technology system, which allowed for seamless interaction and execution of over 8,300 actions in a nearly seven-hour live stream [2][5][8]. Group 2: Addressing Industry Pain Points - The digital human model addresses three major pain points in the live streaming industry: high costs associated with top-tier human hosts, the physical exhaustion of live hosts, and subpar interaction quality [5][7]. - By replicating the charisma and speech patterns of top hosts, digital humans lower the barriers for small businesses to access high-quality content and audience engagement [6][8]. Group 3: Technological Framework - The success of the digital human relies on a multi-modal AI model that integrates script generation, voice synthesis, and visual representation, ensuring a coherent and engaging live streaming experience [10][11][12]. - The AI-driven script generation allows for the creation of diverse and engaging content, significantly reducing the time and effort required from human hosts [10][11]. Group 4: Strategic Implications - Baidu's AI strategy emphasizes practical applications that generate real commercial value, with a focus on solving industry-specific challenges and enhancing operational efficiency [16][17]. - The company aims to create a robust ecosystem that supports the rapid deployment and commercialization of AI technologies across various sectors, including e-commerce, education, and autonomous driving [19][20].
当歌手失去自己的歌
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 13:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by artists in the music industry regarding copyright ownership, highlighting the struggles of several musicians, including G.E.M., Wu Qingfeng, and Taylor Swift, who have fought to regain control over their music rights after signing contracts that relinquished their ownership to record labels [3][4][5]. Group 1: Artist Experiences - G.E.M. signed a contract at age 15 that transferred her music copyright and recording rights to her former label, resulting in her not receiving royalties for six years due to ongoing legal disputes [4][6]. - Wu Qingfeng faced a similar situation, where he lost the rights to his music after signing a contract with a music company, leading to a lengthy legal battle to reclaim his rights [8][9]. - Taylor Swift's experience involved her original label selling her first six albums' master recordings to a controversial figure, prompting her to re-record her albums to regain control and encourage fans to support her new versions [12][13]. Group 2: Industry Practices - The article highlights the problematic nature of contracts in the music industry, particularly for young artists who may not fully understand the implications of relinquishing their rights [18][20]. - It emphasizes the shift in the music industry's revenue model, where artists now have more avenues for exposure and income, making it crucial for them to negotiate better terms regarding their rights [20][21]. - The article suggests that the current copyright structure often disadvantages artists, as many are unaware of the long-term consequences of their contracts, leading to a need for greater awareness and negotiation power among musicians [19][21].
京东CEO许冉:下半年即时零售、本地生活战略方向不变
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 13:48
Core Viewpoint - JD.com is actively expanding its local life strategy, including entering the food delivery market, which has led to significant growth in daily orders and rider numbers, challenging the existing duopoly of Meituan and Ele.me [1][2]. Group 1: Business Strategy and Market Position - JD.com has launched its first Seven Fresh Food Mall, indicating a commitment to diversifying its local life offerings [1]. - The company has reported over 25 million daily orders in its food delivery service, with full-time riders expected to exceed 150,000 soon [1][12]. - JD.com aims to maintain its focus on instant retail and local life as strategic priorities, despite exploring various business directions within this framework [2][11]. Group 2: Investment and Resource Allocation - In the past six months, JD.com has invested more in its food delivery service than in any other new business over the previous years, indicating a strong commitment to this sector [2]. - The company acknowledges that to gain further market share, it will need to extend its investment and subsidy periods, which will increase cost pressures [2]. Group 3: User Experience and Operational Efficiency - JD.com emphasizes the importance of product quality and user experience over mere subsidies to ensure long-term growth and user retention [4]. - The company is focused on optimizing rider efficiency through better scheduling and order management, which is crucial for balancing rider earnings and platform profitability [5][6]. Group 4: Rider Welfare and Satisfaction - JD.com is committed to providing full-time riders with benefits such as social insurance, which is seen as a baseline for responsible business practices [16]. - The average monthly income for full-time riders in major cities has reached approximately 13,000 yuan, representing a 60% increase compared to their previous earnings [12]. Group 5: Cross-Platform Synergies - The food delivery service is expected to enhance user engagement with JD.com's other offerings, driving higher frequency of app usage and cross-category purchases [14][15]. - The integration of food delivery with JD.com's logistics capabilities allows for cost efficiencies and improved service delivery [14]. Group 6: Future Outlook and Growth Potential - JD.com has exceeded its initial expectations for food delivery growth, indicating a strong market opportunity and the potential for sustainable business development [10][11]. - The company is focused on building a long-term, sustainable business model rather than seeking short-term profits, which is essential for healthy industry competition [11][16].
稳定币,其实是一种落后的制度安排
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 13:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent regulatory developments regarding stablecoins in the US, EU, and Hong Kong, highlighting that stablecoins represent a relatively outdated monetary system characterized by rigid reserves, fixed prices, and strict regulatory constraints [2][15]. Group 1: Definition and Purpose of Stablecoins - Stablecoins are not a new concept, with existing examples like USDT and USDC, and they serve as a stable medium for trading digital assets due to the volatility of cryptocurrencies [4][6]. - Governments are motivated to regulate stablecoins to incorporate them into the financial system, embrace technological advancements, and increase the reserve of US dollars and US Treasury bonds, which currently amount to approximately $1.8 trillion in stablecoin holdings [5][6]. Group 2: Characteristics of Stablecoins - Stablecoins are defined by several common characteristics: they are pegged to fiat currencies, require 1:1 reserves of fiat or short-term government bonds, are subject to strict regulatory oversight, and cannot pay interest to holders [6][7]. - They are seen as a form of currency with asset properties, primarily used for payment and settlement [7]. Group 3: Historical Context and Evolution - The evolution of currency has seen a shift from physical commodities like gold to more efficient forms of money, such as banknotes, which were initially backed by gold reserves [8][9]. - The introduction of central banks and the end of the gold standard led to the current fiat currency system, where the stability of currency value is maintained through government intervention [10][12]. Group 4: Critique of Stablecoin Regulations - The article argues that the current regulatory framework for stablecoins is flawed, as it imposes strict asset reserve requirements that may not be sustainable in the long term, potentially leading to liquidity issues [20][21]. - Fixed pricing mechanisms in stablecoins are criticized for being unable to adapt to market demands, which could lead to systemic risks similar to those seen during the collapse of the Bretton Woods system [22][23]. Group 5: Future Prospects for Stablecoins - The introduction of stablecoin regulations marks a significant acknowledgment of the legitimacy of private currency issuance, which could lead to increased market participation and liquidity [29][30]. - However, the long-term viability of stablecoins will be constrained by current regulatory frameworks, which may hinder their ability to compete with traditional fiat currencies [31][34].
一觉醒来,专业没了
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-18 10:31
以下文章来源于惊蛰研究所 ,作者惊蛰研究所科技组 惊蛰研究所 . 探索发现新经济。 本文作者:娅沁,题图来源:AI生成 ChatGPT,特别是DeepSeek国产AI大模型的问世后,"哪些工作会被AI取代"持续刺痛和冲击着打工 人。而在这场AI革命重塑就业市场的同时,高等教育领域也正在经历一场专业变革—— 人工智能、 大数据等新兴专业成为增设热门,部分传统专业陆续在高校消失。 今年4月,教育部发布的《2024年度普通高等学校本科专业备案和审批结果》显示,全国高校共撤销 专业点1428个,停招专业2220个,调整规模远超新增专业数量。 这样的变化不仅关乎千万高考考生 的专业选择,也直接影响着在校大学生的职业规划。 而在这样的变革之下,有几个问题值得深入思考:推动这场专业调整的深层因素是什么?被撤销的专 业是否意味着相关领域人才需求的消失?还是说,这仅仅是人才培养模式的一次转型升级? 淘汰的专业和尴尬的在校生 高绩数据发布的《中国高校本科专业新增与撤销分析报告》显示,2024年度撤销的学科门类中,工 学占比32.84%,管理学占比18.73%,理学、艺术学、文学分别占比13.99%、12.67和9.26%。 *《 ...