集思录
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说个不开心的事,让你们开心一下
集思录· 2025-07-23 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The article reflects on the emotional and financial challenges faced by investors when making decisions, particularly in the context of stock trading and market fluctuations. It highlights the regret and frustration of missing out on potential gains after selling stocks prematurely. Group 1: Investment Decisions and Regrets - The author expresses deep frustration over a decision made on April 7 to liquidate holdings in innovative pharmaceuticals, which constituted over 5% of the total portfolio, only to see those stocks rise by 50% shortly after [3]. - The emotional toll of investing is emphasized, with the author feeling a significant impact on net worth due to the decision, despite the loss being only about 1% [3]. - The narrative includes a comparison of two stocks, where one stock (圣诺) appreciated by 128% while the other (诺泰) faced a decline, leading to a projected loss of 20% due to regulatory issues [5]. Group 2: Market Trends and Stock Performance - The article discusses the volatility of certain stocks, with one investor mentioning a significant drop in a stock's price after selling, illustrating the unpredictable nature of the market [10]. - Another investor reflects on the missed opportunities in the market, particularly regarding a bank stock that surged after they sold, indicating a common theme of regret among investors [11]. - The importance of maintaining a disciplined investment strategy is highlighted, with suggestions to control individual product exposure and avoid emotional decision-making [11].
这次牛真的来了?你们都多少仓位了?
集思录· 2025-07-22 14:10
Core Viewpoint - The current sentiment in the A-share market reflects a struggle between the fear of missing out on a potential bull market and the risk of significant drawdowns due to high valuations in convertible bonds and stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Market Sentiment - Many investors express concern about missing out on a bull market while also fearing the risks associated with high valuations, leading to a cautious approach to adjusting their positions [1][7]. - The A-share market is characterized by a lack of sustainable performance in key sectors, resulting in a tendency to trade lower-tier stocks for quick profits, which complicates long-term investment strategies [2][19]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Some investors maintain high leverage positions, such as using convertible bonds as collateral to maximize exposure to ETFs, indicating a bullish outlook despite market volatility [4][10]. - A significant number of investors are adopting a wait-and-see approach, with many holding cash positions or reducing their equity exposure, reflecting skepticism about the sustainability of the current market rally [13][18]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - Reports of varying portfolio performances highlight the disparity in investor experiences, with some achieving substantial gains while others express frustration over missed opportunities or underperformance [8][15]. - The sentiment around the market's current phase suggests that while some investors are enjoying record gains, others are feeling the pressure of potential losses or missed chances [8][19].
23日投资提示:广联航空实控人被留置
集思录· 2025-07-22 14:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights significant shareholder actions and corporate governance issues within various companies, indicating potential market movements and investor sentiment [1]. Group 2 - Yunjigroup's shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [1]. - Lushan New Materials' controlling shareholder's concerted action party intends to reduce its stake by no more than 1% of the company's shares [1]. - Jing'ao Convertible Bonds have undergone a downward adjustment [1]. - Chuanjiang Convertible Bonds are subject to forced redemption [1]. - Guanglian Aviation's actual controller has been placed under investigation and detention by the supervisory committee [1]. - Guanglian Aviation Industrial Co., Ltd. received a notice regarding the detention and investigation of its actual controller, Wang Zengduo [1]. - Guanghe Convertible Bonds are set to be listed on July 25 [1].
这次1.2万亿会引爆牛市吗?
集思录· 2025-07-21 14:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and considerations surrounding the development of hydropower in Tibet, emphasizing the high costs of long-distance electricity transmission and the current oversupply of electricity in China [1][2][4]. Group 1: Hydropower Development Challenges - Tibet has a significant hydropower generation capacity, sufficient to supply electricity for 100 million people, but the region cannot consume this energy [1]. - The cost of transmitting electricity over thousands of kilometers is prohibitively high, making it less economical than transporting coal [1][4]. - Current electricity prices have been significantly reduced, indicating that there is no immediate shortage of electricity in the country [2]. Group 2: Geopolitical and Strategic Considerations - Transmitting electricity to neighboring countries like India and Myanmar involves high costs and geopolitical risks [3]. - From a military perspective, the government may overlook costs for strategic infrastructure projects, such as roads and railways, to strengthen control over sensitive regions [5][7]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities and Market Dynamics - The article suggests that the current phase of investment could be a catalyst for a bull market, with companies like China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering being primary beneficiaries [6]. - The second phase of investment will likely expand to include supporting infrastructure and environmental restoration, given the ecological sensitivity of Tibet [6]. - The third phase will focus on companies that will benefit from local economic development and urban construction [6]. Group 4: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Historical projects like the Three Gorges Dam illustrate the challenges of meeting increasing electricity demand, as the original supply goals have become insufficient due to rapid urban growth [8]. - The article posits that while China currently does not face an electricity shortage, future demands, particularly from electric vehicles, could change this situation [7][13].
22日投资提示:百洋医药控股股东拟减持不超3%股份
集思录· 2025-07-21 14:19
Group 1 - The controlling shareholder of Baiyang Pharmaceutical plans to reduce its stake by no more than 3% [1] - The shareholder of Tianchuang Fashion intends to reduce its stake by no more than 1% [1] - The following convertible bonds: Mars Convertible Bond, Wanqing Convertible Bond, Jidong Convertible Bond, Xingrui Convertible Bond, and Jingke Convertible Bond will not undergo adjustments [1] Group 2 - The emergency convertible bond will be forcibly redeemed [1] - The Libo Convertible Bond has been listed [1] - Dingjia Precision is a new stock available for subscription on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]
投资是一件孤独的事情
集思录· 2025-07-20 14:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the inherent loneliness associated with investing, suggesting that individuals who are independent thinkers and less socially inclined often gravitate towards the securities market to find personal fulfillment [2][11]. Group 1 - Individuals who are independent thinkers and struggle with social interactions may find themselves increasingly isolated, especially if their professional choices do not align with their personal inclinations [2][7]. - The feeling of loneliness is exacerbated by the disconnect between investors and non-investors, as well as among investors of different experiences and ages, leading to a growing cognitive gap [7][21]. - The article highlights that successful investors often experience a unique form of loneliness, as their achievements can set them apart from others, making it difficult to find relatable peers [23][24]. Group 2 - The notion of solitude is framed positively in some perspectives, where being alone can lead to personal freedom and a deeper appreciation for life without the distractions of social obligations [8][9][10]. - The community aspect of investing is touched upon, with references to online forums where individuals can share their experiences and feelings of isolation, suggesting that these platforms provide a sense of belonging despite physical loneliness [12][18][17]. - The article also notes that the perception of loneliness can vary depending on financial success, with those who are losing money feeling more isolated compared to those who are profiting [15][22].
21日投资提示:四会富仕控股股东等拟合计减持不超3%股份
集思录· 2025-07-20 14:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent issuance of new stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange, highlighting the significant subscription funds amounting to over 600 billion [1]. Group 1 - Fourhui Fushi's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [2]. - Huiyun Titanium's controlling shareholder intends to reduce holdings by no more than 2.98% of the company's shares [2]. - Yong'an Convertible Bond is subject to strong redemption [2]. Group 2 - Baichuan Co., Ltd.'s actual controller has been performing duties normally [2]. - Haining Convertible Bond and Honglu Convertible Bond will not undergo adjustments [2]. - Yinxin Convertible Bond and Jingyuan Convertible Bond will not face strong redemption [2]. Group 3 - Dingjia Precision's new stock on the Beijing Stock Exchange is available for subscription on July 22 [2]. - Hanghai Group is involved in new stock subscriptions on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges [2].
本周热点:单位老板得知你炒股赚了很多钱怎么办?
集思录· 2025-07-18 13:14
Group 1 - The article discusses the significant increase in the market value of Pop Mart, which has risen 30 times in less than two years, drawing a parallel to the company's own potential for growth [1] - There is a concern about the perception of personal investment success in Pop Mart stock and its implications in a professional setting [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of maintaining a focus on data-driven investment strategies, emphasizing the community's commitment to ensuring capital safety while achieving steady asset growth [2]
可转债资产的性价比开始明显下降?
集思录· 2025-07-18 13:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of convertible bonds, indicating that their price-performance ratio has reached a high level not seen since 2022, suggesting a potential shift in investment strategy for holders of convertible bonds [1][3]. Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - The pricing of convertible bonds has entered a high range, with the option pricing relative to stocks also at a medium to high level [1]. - During the period from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2021, convertible bonds were in a favorable pricing environment, yielding a cumulative return of 99.7% with a maximum drawdown of 12% [3]. - In contrast, from January 1, 2022, to October 31, 2024, convertible bonds faced a disadvantageous pricing environment, resulting in a cumulative return of -7.5% and a maximum drawdown of 38% [4]. - From November 2024 to the present, convertible bonds have shown a cumulative return of 17.3% with a maximum drawdown of 9.2%, indicating a recovery phase [4]. Recommendations - For investors holding convertible bonds or ETFs, it is suggested to gradually shift a significant portion of their holdings to investment management (IM) or high-quality public funds, as public funds have outperformed broader indices this year [5]. - Investors who can achieve noticeable alpha from convertible bonds are encouraged to dynamically adjust their asset allocation between equity and convertible bonds based on the current price-performance ratio to optimize returns [5].
18日投资提示:ST声迅股东拟合计减持不超5.08%股份
集思录· 2025-07-17 14:00
Group 1 - The chairman of Diou Home has announced plans to increase his stake in the company after the stock price rose from around 3 to over 6 [1] - Shareholders of Fumiao Technology plan to transfer 5% of their shares to Shanghai Gengrui and have signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Xinhu Maofang [2] - Red Wall Co.'s controlling shareholder intends to reduce their stake by no more than 3% [2] - ST Shengxun's shareholders plan to collectively reduce their stake by no more than 5.08% [2] - Li Bo Convertible Bond will be listed on July 22, and there will be no adjustment to the Lian Ang Convertible Bond [2]