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年化10%这个投资目标很难吗?
集思录· 2025-06-22 15:05
Group 1 - The core investment goal is to achieve long-term compound growth while avoiding significant losses, as a single large loss can negate previous high returns [3][11] - The investment industry is characterized by slow changes and relies heavily on experience, which compounds over time, making it a lifelong career option [1][3] - Setting specific return targets may lead to distorted actions and imbalanced mindsets; instead, a desirable wish for returns, such as a 15% annualized return, is more appropriate [2][11] Group 2 - Achieving a stable annualized return of 10% is considered a significant accomplishment, especially in a market where many struggle to outperform the index [11][12] - The importance of risk management is emphasized, with a focus on maintaining profits and avoiding substantial capital losses during market downturns [3][11] - The discussion highlights that while high returns can be achieved in the short term, maintaining consistent long-term performance is much more challenging [14][15]
如何渡过人生中的低谷
集思录· 2025-06-20 13:57
Core Viewpoint - The article reflects on personal struggles and the importance of resilience and support from family during difficult times, emphasizing the need for a positive attitude and proactive approach to life and investments [1][2][3]. Group 1: Personal Reflections - The author expresses feelings of confusion and disappointment regarding career progression, highlighting the emotional toll of workplace dynamics and the importance of self-acceptance [1][2]. - There is a recognition that life is fragile, and maintaining a strong risk awareness is crucial, leading to a commitment to improve investment strategies and personal habits [3]. Group 2: Family Support - The author appreciates the support from family, particularly the encouragement from a spouse and the joy brought by children, which helps in coping with life's challenges [2]. - Family activities, such as hiking and camping, are mentioned as moments that bring happiness and perspective, despite underlying worries [2]. Group 3: Life Philosophy - The article discusses the idea that life should be cherished, with a focus on gratitude for everyday experiences that many take for granted [4][6]. - It challenges the notion of a "calm mindset," advocating instead for striving and hard work, suggesting that changing career paths can lead to better outcomes [5]. Group 4: Broader Perspective - The author encourages readers to consider the struggles of others, emphasizing that many people live in significantly more challenging circumstances, which can provide perspective on personal difficulties [7][10]. - The importance of appreciating the present and recognizing the value of what one has is highlighted, suggesting that a shift in perspective can lead to greater contentment [9][11].
本周热点:转债整体是不是要调整一下了?
集思录· 2025-06-20 13:57
集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 转债整体是不是要调整一下了? https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510465 关注集思录微信 特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 我为什么总是习惯看空这个市场,这是个心理问题吗 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510562 中国汽车新局面 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510507 白酒还值不值得投资,会不会像地产一样? https://www.jisilu.cn/question/510493 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 ...
20日投资提示:蓝帆转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-06-19 13:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in convertible bonds of various companies, highlighting issues such as credit rating downgrades, liquidity pressures, and operational challenges faced by the companies involved [1]. Group 1: Company-Specific Developments - Blue Fan Convertible Bond: The board proposed a down adjustment of the bond [1]. - Ruifeng Convertible Bond: The credit rating has been downgraded to A, indicating a decline in the company's profitability and increased liquidity pressure due to reduced cash reserves and higher restricted cash ratios [1]. - Dongshi Convertible Bond: The company failed to rectify fund occupation issues within the mandated period, leading to a suspension of trading from June 20, with an expected duration of no more than two months [1]. - San Nuo, Hongtu, and Qifan Convertible Bonds: No down adjustment proposed for these bonds [1]. - Huachen Convertible Bond: Open for subscription [1]. - Xintong Electronics: New shares in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets are open for subscription [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance Indicators - The company is experiencing a significant decline in profitability for 2024, with a decrease in cash flow and slower turnover rates for accounts receivable and inventory [1]. - Operating net cash flow has turned into a net outflow, indicating increased liquidity pressure [1]. - Due to factors such as technological upgrades and underperformance in the biodegradable materials market, the company's investment projects are not operating as expected, which may lead to further asset impairment provisions affecting future operational performance [1].
我为什么总是习惯看空这个市场,心理问题?
集思录· 2025-06-19 13:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and psychological aspects of investing in a volatile market, emphasizing the importance of risk management and the impact of individual investor psychology on decision-making. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior - The market has been experiencing strong fluctuations, and there is a prevailing sense of blind optimism among some investors, lacking awareness of risk management [1][2] - The author reflects on their own cautious approach, often remaining in cash during market downturns, which has helped avoid significant losses [1] - There is a recognition that individual investor psychology, such as "catastrophic thinking," can hinder effective decision-making in the market [1][2] Group 2: Investment Strategies and Performance - The author expresses confidence in low-buy operations in the current volatile market, despite concerns about the ability to cut losses and the fear of failure [2] - A conservative investment strategy yielding an annual return of 7% is considered successful, surpassing the performance of the majority of retail investors [4] - The article highlights the importance of adapting strategies based on market conditions, with some investors successfully engaging in T+0 operations in government bonds to manage risk [5] Group 3: Market Trends and Historical Context - Historical examples are provided to illustrate the cyclical nature of the market, questioning whether optimism or pessimism is warranted during periods of significant price movement [6] - The article notes that the A-share market is characterized by distinct bull and bear cycles, contrasting it with the long-term bullish trends seen in other markets [13] - The discussion includes the notion that many investors struggle with greed and fear, often failing to exit the market during downturns, which leads to losses [13][16]
中国汽车新局面
集思录· 2025-06-18 14:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Chinese automotive brands are increasingly competitive, with improved aesthetics, lower prices, and better quality, challenging foreign car manufacturers [1][10] - The market is underestimating the potential of new Chinese car manufacturers, with the transition to electric vehicles and smart driving technology being inevitable trends [1][3] - The author expresses a stronger preference for domestic tire stocks over automotive stocks, citing the easier global expansion potential for tire manufacturers compared to car manufacturers [1][2] Group 2 - Tire stocks have recently experienced significant declines, while automotive stocks have seen notable increases [2] - Tire stocks are characterized by low valuations and high dividends, whereas automotive stocks have high valuations and low dividends [2] - The competitive landscape for tire stocks is clearer compared to the still-evolving competition in the automotive sector [2]
19日投资提示:佳力转债,旗滨转债提议下修
集思录· 2025-06-18 14:11
Group 1 - The board of directors of Jiali Convertible Bond and Qibin Convertible Bond proposed a down adjustment [1] - Tianyang Convertible Bond is subject to strong redemption [1] - Baichang Convertible Bond's rating has been downgraded to A due to expected losses in 2024 and Q1 2025, with risks in biogas power generation and liquidity issues [1] Group 2 - Blue Sky Gas's controlling shareholder plans to increase holdings of company shares by 100 million to 150 million [2] - The actual controller of Rongsheng Environmental Protection has been changed to bail pending trial by public security [2] - Guanglian Aviation is transferring 10% equity of Chengdu Hangxin Aviation Equipment to four strategic investors [2]
牛市已经来了,很多人却浑然不知
集思录· 2025-06-17 15:05
Group 1 - The current market is experiencing a bull market, which is evident from the increased participation and sentiment among investors [1][2][4] - A significant number of stocks are showing positive performance, with an average increase of approximately 12% and a median increase of 6.17% in A-shares [3] - The majority of investors are reportedly making profits, with an average return of 13.81% among 118 reported cases [3] Group 2 - There is skepticism regarding the sustainability of the bull market, with some investors expressing concerns about potential corrections [7][10] - The market dynamics suggest a shift towards a "slow bull" rather than a rapid increase, as regulatory bodies aim to stabilize the market [10] - Investors are advised to focus on their own strategies and risk management rather than trying to predict market movements [2][9]
18日投资提示:杭氧转债下修不到底
集思录· 2025-06-17 15:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the adjustments in the conversion prices of various convertible bonds, highlighting specific changes and upcoming subscription dates for certain bonds [1]. Group 1: Convertible Bond Adjustments - The conversion price for "Hangyang Convertible Bond" has been adjusted from 26.59 CNY/share to 25.98 CNY/share, reflecting a decrease of 2% [1]. - Other convertible bonds such as Jianlong Convertible Bond, Tian23 Convertible Bond, Jiayuan Convertible Bond, and Jinggong Convertible Bond have not undergone any adjustments [1]. - The subscription dates for the "Xizhen Convertible Bond" and "Huachen Convertible Bond" are set for June 18 and June 20, respectively [1]. Group 2: Shareholder Actions - Guizhou Gas has reported that 147 million shares held by shareholder Beijing Dongjia have been frozen [1]. - Liyang Chip's shareholder plans to transfer 3.25% of its shares through an inquiry [1].
“泡泡玛特“还能搞多大?
集思录· 2025-06-16 14:24
前些年就听说了其盲盒经济搞得蛮好,但想着也是一阵风,不会持久。 想不到啊!想不到!现在搞得满世界皆知啦! 这两天各大电台电视台都在报道关注啊! 再看其港股价格,更是一路直上云霄! 不知道这家公司还会搞得多大呢? zoetina52 每一代人都有每一代人的邮票。 huxj2015 想起当年的集邮,花了近万元..........不如儿子花1000元买的1.25312枚比特币..........目前价 值差数百倍...........世事难料啊。 成智雷 小时候,小店门前的1元转卡机,投1元硬币进去会出一张圣斗士闪卡,小时候没钱,喜欢的 卡没钱买,只能站在旁边看别小朋友抽,后来长大了,工作了,就开始了童年报复性补偿。 拼命的收集30年前的圣斗士老卡,150一张,也会买,再后来一买买了5位数,才停手,现在 这些卡放在角落里积灰,也就这样了,卖都卖不掉。 泡泡玛特其实也一样,价格就是买家觉得是这个价,卖家也觉得是这个价,大家都觉得是这 个价还会涨,那么就会炒上去。大家都觉得不是这个价了,没人要了,那价格就会降下来。 童年的情怀补了,钱花了,也就那样了,商家的饥饿营销,让人们得不到的永远在骚动。 知足即是幸福 烈火烹油, ...