经济观察报
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东风华为双强背书,境系列旗舰“奕境”招商会火爆出圈
经济观察报· 2025-11-26 15:16
Core Viewpoint - Dongfeng and Huawei have collaborated to create the "Yijing" brand, targeting the high-end home new energy vehicle market, with significant investment and a strong market entry strategy [3][4]. Industry Trends - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China reached 51.6% from January to October 2025, with October marking the first month exceeding 50%, indicating a shift towards market dominance [3]. - The collaboration between traditional automakers and tech companies, exemplified by Yijing, reflects a deep integration trend in the industry, addressing both manufacturing and intelligent technology demands [4]. Business Model Innovation - Yijing's "1+N" model aligns with the industry's channel restructuring, focusing on user-centric approaches and lightweight retail touchpoints, addressing traditional channel inefficiencies [6]. - The market entry strategy targets the 250,000 to 350,000 price range, avoiding low-end market price wars while catering to consumer demands for quality and performance [6]. Long-term Challenges - Post-2025, the new energy vehicle market will face intensified competition as policies taper off, with rising consumer expectations for product quality and service [8]. - Yijing's competitive edge lies in its resource integration capabilities from the partnership, but it must continue to enhance technical implementation and user service experiences [8]. Strategic Significance - The collaboration serves as a model for integrating manufacturing and technology, showcasing the synergistic effects of traditional industry foundations and emerging technological innovations [8].
怕失业的你,在AI狂飙的时代该这么想
经济观察报· 2025-11-26 15:16
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of optimism and long-term thinking in the age of AI, using the construction of the Sagrada Familia as a metaphor for enduring creativity and collaboration across generations [2][3][4][5]. Group 1: Historical Context and Long-term Vision - The Sagrada Familia, designed by Antoni Gaudí, represents a long-term vision that transcends individual lifetimes, showcasing the spirit of optimism and creativity [2][3]. - Gaudí's modular design approach allowed for independent progress on different parts of the church, ensuring that the project could adapt to future technologies and funding sources [3]. - The completion of the Sagrada Familia is projected for 2026, marking a significant milestone in a project that has spanned over 144 years [3]. Group 2: Optimism in Uncertain Times - The article argues that maintaining optimism is crucial in uncertain times, as most significant human achievements have been made by optimists [4][6]. - It highlights the need for a flexible mindset to envision multiple possibilities for the future, especially in the context of AI and global challenges [8][9]. Group 3: AI and Creativity - AI is positioned as a partner that enhances human creativity rather than replacing it, enabling individuals to focus on imaginative and meaningful tasks [12][16]. - The evolution of AI is expected to lead to a surge in creativity, as it frees up time for individuals to explore interests and engage in non-utilitarian pursuits [16][17]. Group 4: Challenges and Collaboration with AI - The article discusses the limitations of AI, emphasizing the need for human guidance in training AI models to ensure they align with real-world complexities [17][18]. - It points out the gap between theoretical knowledge and practical application in AI, suggesting that human experience is essential for effective collaboration [18][19]. Group 5: Future Implications - The potential for AI to reshape work dynamics is explored, with the possibility of reduced working hours as AI takes over routine tasks [16]. - The article concludes by stressing the importance of understanding change and embracing unexpected possibilities brought about by AI advancements [23].
这家超级保险代理商终于拿到自己的牌照了!
经济观察报· 2025-11-26 09:53
Core Viewpoint - China Post has applied to the Financial Regulatory Administration to restore its insurance agency qualifications, addressing compliance issues while maintaining its existing business logic and operational model [1][3]. Group 1: Business Operations - China Post operates a vast network of service points across urban and rural areas, providing services such as parcel delivery, money transfers, savings, and various financial products [2]. - The range of insurance products that China Post can now offer includes vehicle insurance, property insurance, agricultural insurance, life insurance, and health insurance, among others [2]. - China Post is the largest insurance agency in China, with total assets exceeding 680 billion yuan, ranking among the top ten insurance companies in the country [2]. Group 2: Historical Context - Prior to obtaining its own insurance agency license, China Post utilized the qualifications of Postal Savings Bank for its insurance agency operations [3][5]. - The establishment of Postal Savings Bank in 2007 marked a significant reform in the postal savings management system, leading to its eventual public listings in 2016 and 2019 [4]. - To avoid internal competition, China Post had previously committed to not engaging in insurance agency business after the establishment of Postal Savings Bank, leading to the cancellation of several agency licenses [4]. Group 3: Regulatory Changes - The implementation of new regulations in 2021 restricted the practice of sub-agency, prompting China Post to seek its own insurance agency license [5]. - As of now, China Post operates approximately 54,000 service points, with over 32,000 of these offering financial services, significantly contributing to Postal Savings Bank's revenue [6].
Burberry不愿意继续打折了
经济观察报· 2025-11-26 09:07
大中华区同店销售额在第二季度增长了3%,扭转上一季度5% 的下滑态势,为中国市场一年来首次恢复增长。 作者:罗文利 封图:东方IC 英国奢侈品牌博柏利(Burberry)凭借去年提出的"Burberry Forward"战略,实现扭亏为盈。该 战略的一项措施是"降低售价、优化奥莱渠道"。但今年11月,在战略实施一年后,博柏利决定不 走"打折"路线了。 博柏利首席执行官约书亚·舒尔曼在11月中旬举行的财报电话会上表示,去年该品牌在线上、线下 渠道均开展公开清仓折扣,虽拉高了同店销售额,但今年将不再延续,转而回归常规季末促销—— 规模收缩、形式低调、折扣幅度降低、频次减少,"这些调整均有助于提升盈利质量"。 博柏利中国11月24日进一步告诉经济观察报,"Burberry Forward"战略是重塑品牌吸引力与价 值创造的正确路径,目前仍处初期阶段。下一阶段,博柏利将继续聚焦外套、围巾等核心品类,依 托优势与多元产品线,拓展消费客群。 博柏利的上述调整源于"Burberry Forward"战略的阶段性反馈。 "Burberry Forward"战略由是舒尔曼在上任四个月时提出的,核心目标是恢复品牌活力、提升业 绩 ...
在浅流动性里寻找真趋势——迈向2026年的多资产思维
经济观察报· 2025-11-25 13:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of "shallow liquidity," indicating a shift in global dollar liquidity from being extremely ample to merely sufficient, which can lead to significant volatility across various asset classes [4][6]. Group 1: Market Trends - In 2025, there is a notable disparity in asset performance, with silver and gold prices rising significantly, while major stock indices like the S&P 500 are experiencing declines [6]. - The market is currently witnessing a "shallow liquidity market," characterized by a rebound in U.S. and Hong Kong stocks, while funds are shifting from high-growth sectors to defensive sectors [7]. - Analysts suggest that this reflects a cross-asset deleveraging process, where funds are realigning based on price, interest rates, and leverage [8]. Group 2: Federal Reserve Dynamics - The Federal Reserve is experiencing internal divisions regarding potential interest rate cuts, with some officials advocating for a reduction while others prefer to maintain current rates [10]. - The uncertainty surrounding short-term interest rate paths is increasing, with market expectations fluctuating rapidly [11]. Group 3: Goldman Sachs Insights - Goldman Sachs' 2026 outlook emphasizes a multi-layered framework for investment, suggesting a shift from a U.S.-centric equity market to a more diversified global approach [13]. - The report highlights the importance of fixed income strategies, advocating for a return to duration management and credit differentiation in response to global inflation and growth disparities [14]. - Private equity and real estate are seen as areas where value creation will be prioritized over mere valuation stories, with a focus on operational improvements and technological enhancements [15]. Group 4: Investment Strategies for China - For Chinese investors, the focus should be on structural resilience amidst complexity, with an emphasis on value stocks and technology-driven consumption [17]. - Gold and precious metals are recommended as long-term assets for risk management, while fixed income investments are viewed as tools for stabilizing returns and hedging against volatility [18]. - The investment narrative is shifting towards building a resilient structure to navigate uncertainties rather than chasing fleeting opportunities [19].
企业如何控制AI大模型的应用风险
经济观察报· 2025-11-25 13:11
Core Viewpoint - The invention of AI large models presents unprecedented opportunities and risks for enterprises, necessitating a collaborative approach between humans and AI to leverage strengths and mitigate weaknesses [3][17][18]. Group 1: AI Development and Adoption Challenges - The rapid development of AI large models has led to capabilities that match or exceed human intelligence, yet over 95% of enterprises fail in pilot applications of AI [3][4]. - The difficulty in utilizing AI large models stems from the need to balance the benefits of efficiency with the costs and risks associated with their application [4]. Group 2: Types of Risks - AI risks can be categorized into macro risks, which involve broader societal implications, and micro risks, which are specific to enterprise deployment [4]. - Micro risks include: - Hallucination issues, where models generate plausible but incorrect or fabricated content due to inherent characteristics of their statistical mechanisms [5]. - Output safety and value alignment challenges, where models may produce inappropriate or harmful content that could damage brand reputation [6]. - Privacy and data compliance risks, where sensitive information may be inadvertently shared or leaked during interactions with third-party models [6]. - Explainability challenges, as the decision-making processes of large models are often opaque, complicating accountability in high-stakes environments [6]. Group 3: Mitigation Strategies - Enterprises can address these risks through two main approaches: - Developers should enhance model performance to reduce hallucinations, ensure value alignment, protect privacy, and improve explainability [8]. - Enterprises should implement governance at the application level, utilizing tools like prompt engineering, retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), content filters, and explainable AI (XAI) [8]. Group 4: Practical Applications and Management - Enterprises can treat AI models as new digital employees, applying management strategies similar to those used for human staff to mitigate risks [11]. - For hallucination issues, enterprises should ensure that AI has access to reliable data and establish clear task boundaries [12]. - To manage output safety, enterprises can create guidelines and training for AI, similar to employee handbooks, and implement content filters [12]. - For privacy risks, enterprises should enforce strict data access protocols and consider private deployment options for sensitive data [13]. - To enhance explainability, enterprises can require models to outline their reasoning processes, aiding in understanding decision-making [14]. Group 5: Accountability and Responsibility - Unlike human employees, AI models cannot be held accountable for errors, placing responsibility on human operators and decision-makers [16]. - Clear accountability frameworks should be established to ensure that the deployment and outcomes of AI applications are linked to specific individuals or teams [16].
银行系公募发力权益赛道,中加基金“二次创业”路径观察
经济观察报· 2025-11-25 13:11
中加基金持续完善产品体系被市场视为"二次创业"。事实上, 中加基金的第一次创业成功抓住了固收业务的周期红利,实现 了管理规模从零到千亿的突破;而第二次创业的核心任务,是 要在新的行业发展阶段中,构建起"全天候、多策略、矩阵 式"的产品能力体系。 作者:默川 封图:图片资料室 2025年5月7日,证监会正式发布《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》(以下简称《行动方 案》),标志着我国公募基金行业进入深化改革、提质增效的新发展阶段。《行动方案》明确提 出"大力提升公募基金权益投资规模与占比,促进行业功能发挥"。 面对政策引导与市场转型的新常态,以固收见长的银行系公募基金,其破局关键在于主动优化业务 布局,着力构建平台化、体系化的权益投研能力,从而完成从传统"资金管理"向新时代"资本赋 能"的功能升级。 11月中旬,原中航基金副总经理兼首席投资官邓海清已正式离职,其从业资格在中航基金显示已 注销。据了解,邓海清拟出任中加基金首席经济学家、首席投资官。这位在宏观、固收与权益领域 均有深厚积淀的金融老将的加盟,也是中加基金落实《行动方案》推动业务转型升级的新行动。 公开资料显示,邓海清拥有复旦大学金融学博士学位,曾在宏源 ...
科研圈潜规则让骗子郭伟成为科学家
经济观察报· 2025-11-25 13:11
Core Viewpoint - The Guo Wei case reflects the deep-rooted issues in China's research field and serves as a crucial opportunity for reform, emphasizing the essence of research as the pursuit of truth and exploration of the unknown, which cannot tolerate any falsehood or speculation [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Issues - The Guo Wei case reveals the long-standing underlying problems in the research sector, where an individual managed to deceive institutions for years by fabricating credentials and research achievements, ultimately leading to significant financial gains [2]. - The case highlights the "quantitative worship" in research evaluation and resource allocation, where the focus on metrics such as publications, projects, titles, degrees, and awards has simplified the evaluation process to mere comparisons of indicators, allowing fraudsters to exploit these weaknesses [3]. - The prevalence of "circle culture" and "information barriers" in the research community has facilitated the perpetration of fraud, as trust is often based on personal connections rather than actual capabilities, leading to a lack of thorough verification of credentials [4]. Group 2: Resource Allocation and Regulation - The "heavy application, light regulation" approach in resource distribution has created an environment conducive to fraud, where the initial competition for project approval is intense, but subsequent monitoring and verification of results are often superficial [5]. - The lack of effective oversight mechanisms allows individuals like Guo Wei to fabricate data and papers to meet project requirements, as the regulatory bodies often adopt a lenient stance towards compliance [5]. Group 3: Recommendations for Reform - To prevent similar fraud cases, it is essential to break the "quantitative indicator" evaluation paradigm and shift towards a system that values quality, innovation, and social contribution, establishing a diversified evaluation framework [6]. - Building a transparent research integrity system is crucial, which includes a unified platform for verifying researchers' credentials and achievements, and introducing cross-disciplinary review processes to eliminate the "circle culture" [6][7]. - Strengthening the regulatory framework throughout the research process is necessary, including rigorous verification of application materials, dynamic monitoring of project progress, and third-party evaluations of research outcomes to ensure accountability [7].
小红书搅动投资圈
经济观察报· 2025-11-25 12:27
Core Insights - The article discusses the emergence of Xiaohongshu Venture Capital in Shenzhen's investment scene, highlighting its rapid investment capabilities and unique approach to deal-making [1][3][5]. Investment Strategy - Xiaohongshu Venture Capital has invested in nearly 10 startups within six months, showcasing a preference for quick decision-making and minimal due diligence [5][9]. - The team can complete investments within 24 hours, often bypassing traditional due diligence processes, which has led to a competitive environment among seasoned investors [3][5]. - Xiaohongshu is willing to increase valuations by 20%-30% to secure exclusive investment opportunities, with investments typically ranging from several million to over 10 million USD [5][10]. Market Position - The valuation of Xiaohongshu surged by 19% in just three months, reaching 31 billion USD, indicating a shift in investor perception from a mere traffic platform to a platform giant with a complete business ecosystem [9][10]. - The company aims to build an ecosystem rather than focusing solely on short-term financial returns, as evidenced by its active investment strategy [8][10]. User Engagement - As of August 2025, Xiaohongshu's monthly active users exceeded 350 million, with an average daily usage time of over 74 minutes, reflecting strong user engagement [11]. Strategic Acquisitions - Xiaohongshu's acquisition of Guangdong Oriental Electronic Payment Co., Ltd. for 100% ownership is seen as a strategic move to complete its commercial ecosystem by obtaining a payment license, reducing reliance on third-party payment platforms [10].
“南北双雄”崛起,中国AI的下一站在哪里?
经济观察报· 2025-11-25 11:40
Core Viewpoint - Alibaba and Ant Group's AI products have successfully penetrated the consumer market, challenging ByteDance's long-standing dominance in this area [2][5]. User Growth Data - Alibaba's "Qianwen" app achieved over 10 million downloads within a week of its public testing starting on November 17 [2]. - Ant Group's AI assistant "Lingguang" reached 2 million downloads in just 6 days, with the first million achieved in 4 days, topping the App Store's free tools category in China [2][3]. Market Dynamics - The competition in the AI to C market is shifting from a focus on model capabilities and traffic to a deeper value creation based on real user needs [5]. - The emergence of a "North ByteDance, South Alibaba" competitive landscape reflects a transformation in user demand and corporate ecosystem advantages [5][9]. User Demand Evolution - The core competitive advantage of AI to C products has shifted from conversational fluency and entertainment to practical utility [6]. - Lingguang's ability to generate interactive applications in 30 seconds has sparked a trend towards AI as a productivity tool rather than just a source of information [6][8]. Functional Features - Lingguang's initial features include "Lingguang Dialogue," "Lingguang Flash Applications," and "Lingguang Open Eye," addressing the need for practical tools rather than just information delivery [8]. - The surge in demand for "Flash Applications" led to temporary outages, indicating a strong market need for low-barrier productivity tools [8]. Ecosystem Differences - ByteDance's strategy is rooted in algorithm-driven traffic aggregation, focusing on emotional interaction and content creation [9][11]. - In contrast, Alibaba's AI capabilities are built on a foundation of public service infrastructure, emphasizing practical and inclusive solutions [11][13]. Future Outlook - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal moment for AI applications, with the ability to address real-life challenges determining success in the AI market [9][14]. - Lingguang's growth potential lies in ecosystem collaboration and technological iteration, with plans to integrate various services to create a closed-loop system [15][16].