暗涌Waves

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东南亚“Nubank”:在没有征信的国家,做成千万人的信用卡生意
暗涌Waves· 2025-05-07 01:00
「 在传统银行的技术盲区,挖到泼天流量。 」 Part 01 新规则定义者 在印尼发行一张信用卡意味着什么? 七年前,YUP创始团队在雅加达调研时,看到本土一些优秀的VC同业者有着很好的教育背景和工作收入,居然申请不到BCA银行(印尼最大的商业银行)一张 基础的信用卡。于是,他们嗅到了机会。 2021年成立YUP后,团队花了三年时间跑通支付底座中最关键的一步——做出用户"愿意用、免费用、还能享受优惠"的信用卡产品。 这个模型如今被验证的结果是: 必须同时解决多重挑战:宗教和文化的根本差异、陌生的监管环境、个人征信的巨大缺失以及贪婪的高利诱惑。 印尼整体接近2.8亿人,收入稳定的工薪阶层超过8000万,其中5500万拥有社保。但除了传统银行服务的那一小撮精英,信用卡渗透率不超过3%,高达97%的人 群连被"设计进系统"的资格都没有。 印尼本土金融机构不论从技术水平、经验know how还停留在"原始社会"。中国出海团队懂技术,但大多无法克制高利贷、Payday loan(发薪日贷款)等产品带来 的诱惑。来自新加坡和印度的淘金者则会选择做BNPL(Buy Now Pay Late即先买后付)比如Kredivo。 ...
大胆国资在哪里?
暗涌Waves· 2025-05-06 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant rise of state-owned capital (国资) in China's primary market, highlighting its role as a major investor and the evolving dynamics of investment strategies in the context of government policies and economic development [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Guidance - The core guidance for the development of state-owned capital in equity investment stems from top-level policies, which have evolved since the establishment of national investment companies in 1988 [12]. - The establishment of local investment companies surged after the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) was formed in 2003, leading to a proliferation of state-owned investment entities [12][14]. - Recent policies emphasize the need for "patient capital" and the prohibition of preferential treatment for specific operators, aiming to enhance the quality of government investment funds [5][6]. Group 2: Investment Dynamics - From 2014 to 2023, the proportion of government capital in newly raised RMB funds increased from 20% to 41%, indicating a shift towards state-owned capital as a primary funding source [2]. - State-owned capital is characterized by its dual focus on investment returns and local economic development, often requiring a balance between investment, risk, and local job creation [4][7]. - The investment strategies of state-owned entities are increasingly aligned with national economic goals, focusing on sectors like technology and innovation [6][7]. Group 3: Case Studies - Beijing E-Town International Investment Development Co., known as "亦庄国投," has invested significantly in the digital television and integrated circuit industries, demonstrating a model of leveraging state capital for local industrial development [16][17]. - The Xiong'an Group, established to support the development of the Xiong'an New Area, has focused on introducing key industries and managing multiple funds to drive local economic growth [20][21]. - Hefei Construction Investment Group has successfully transformed Hefei's industrial landscape by investing in leading companies like BOE Technology Group, resulting in a significant increase in local production capacity [43][44]. Group 4: Market Integration - The integration of state-owned capital into the market has led to the establishment of various funds aimed at fostering innovation and supporting emerging industries [50][51]. - The restructuring of state-owned investment entities in cities like Shanghai aims to eliminate redundancy and enhance the efficiency of capital allocation [56][58]. - The article highlights the importance of top-level coordination in optimizing the roles of different state-owned investment bodies to avoid overlapping functions and improve overall investment effectiveness [51][52].
消费投资人何愚,像等待戈多一样等来了两条大鱼
暗涌Waves· 2025-04-29 03:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of consumer investment, particularly focusing on the experiences of Black Ant Capital and its investment in Lao Pu Gold, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in the consumer sector over recent years [2][3]. Group 1: Investment Journey of Black Ant Capital - Black Ant Capital had a significant fundraising success in 2020, raising approximately 4 billion RMB and USD combined, marking it as the largest fundraising in the consumer sector that year [2]. - The four years between the IPOs of Pop Mart and Lao Pu Gold were filled with challenges, but Black Ant Capital remained committed to the consumer investment space [3]. - The firm’s investment in Lao Pu Gold was driven by a long-standing interest in the brand, which was recognized for its cultural integration and unique market positioning [9][10]. Group 2: Insights on Lao Pu Gold - Lao Pu Gold targets high-net-worth individuals, positioning itself as a luxury brand that incorporates traditional Chinese culture into its products and services [10][11]. - The brand's strategy emphasizes quality over quantity, with a focus on premium locations and a commitment to cultural authenticity, which has contributed to its strong market presence [11][12]. - Despite concerns about high price-to-earnings ratios, the long-term fundamentals of Lao Pu Gold are viewed positively, with the belief that its cultural and artisanal value will sustain its appeal [14][15]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The article notes a shift in consumer preferences, with Lao Pu Gold seen as a more practical alternative to traditional luxury jewelry, especially during economic downturns [18][19]. - The changing landscape of luxury branding in China suggests that traditional marketing strategies may no longer be effective, as consumers increasingly seek brands that resonate with their cultural identity [19][20]. - Black Ant Capital's investment philosophy emphasizes the importance of understanding consumer needs and market dynamics, particularly in a rapidly evolving economic environment [51][52]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Strategic Focus - Black Ant Capital remains committed to consumer investments, believing that opportunities will continue to arise even during market downturns [51][52]. - The firm aims to refine its investment strategy, focusing on long-term value creation and the importance of cultural relevance in consumer brands [65]. - The article concludes with a reflection on the importance of patience and strategic thinking in achieving investment goals, suggesting a shift from short-term gains to more sustainable growth [66].
现在最流行的开发者画像,可能是小红书native
暗涌Waves· 2025-04-25 04:08
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of independent developers in the AI era, highlighting how technological democratization and community platforms like Xiaohongshu (Little Red Book) have created new entrepreneurial opportunities and a shift in the startup landscape [2][15]. Part 01: Why Everyone Envy Independent Developers - Independent developers are moving away from traditional startup models, opting for subscription-based business models that allow them to maintain independence and focus on specific market needs [4][6]. - The success of products like Podwise, an AI-driven podcast management tool, illustrates how independent developers can leverage community-driven marketing and user feedback to achieve rapid growth [5][6]. - The current environment allows independent developers to operate with minimal overhead, utilizing AI tools to enhance productivity while maintaining a small team [5][6]. Part 02: New and Old Developer Transition - The article notes a shift in how new developers identify market needs, with examples like Shawn, a former product manager, who created an app based on a common health concern discovered through community engagement [10][12]. - The rise of community platforms has lowered barriers for new developers, enabling them to reach potential users without needing a prestigious background [12][13]. - The community-driven ecosystem fosters a more agile feedback loop, allowing developers to iterate on their products quickly based on direct user interactions [13][14]. Part 03: "Xiaohongshu Native" Developers - The concept of "Xiaohongshu Native" developers has emerged, characterized by their ability to identify and address user needs directly from community interactions [13][14]. - These developers benefit from the platform's distribution mechanisms, which provide equal exposure opportunities regardless of their prior achievements [14]. - The article emphasizes that while many independent projects may be too early for traditional investment, they still offer valuable insights into user demands and market trends for investors [14][15].