Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the mechanical industry, emphasizing the importance of focusing on companies with long-term competitive advantages and the implementation of robotics in various scenarios [2][7]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to enter a new recovery cycle due to increased monetary and fiscal policies, with a focus on domestic demand stimulation [7]. - The report highlights the shift of humanoid robots from product development to customer acquisition and the critical phase of commercial implementation, particularly in sectors like automotive manufacturing and intelligent logistics [7]. - Investment suggestions include focusing on companies in the industrial control sector, robotics, machine tools, cutting tools, testing, engineering machinery, and logistics equipment [7]. Summary by Sections Key Company Earnings Forecasts, Valuation, and Investment Ratings - Companies such as 汇川技术 (Inovance Technology), 法兰泰克 (Flantech), and 信捷电气 (Xinjie Electric) are rated as "Strong Buy" with projected EPS growth from 2.12 to 3.01, 0.60 to 0.94, and 1.83 to 2.78 respectively from 2025E to 2027E [3][8]. - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast and valuation metrics for various companies, indicating strong growth potential in the mechanical sector [3]. Industry and Company Investment Views - The report discusses the precision reducer market, which is expected to reach a scale of 9.1 billion yuan in 2024, with domestic companies increasing their market share [21][22]. - The report identifies three major downstream application scenarios for precision reducers: industrial robots, high-end machine tools, and humanoid robots, highlighting the growth potential in these areas [23]. - Companies like 博众精工 (Bozhong Precision) are noted for their multi-track business layout and significant revenue growth, with a projected CAGR of 11.94% from 2018 to 2024 [27][29]. Key Data Tracking - The report includes macroeconomic data, such as the manufacturing PMI index and fixed asset investment growth rates, which are crucial for understanding the industry's performance [34][35]. - It also tracks the monthly sales of excavators and forklifts, providing insights into the demand trends within the mechanical sector [41][42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the banking sector, expecting the sector index to outperform the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [24]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent revisions to the CIPS (Cross-border Interbank Payment System) rules, which aim to enhance the management of participants and adapt to the growing cross-border e-commerce trade, projected to reach approximately 2.71 trillion yuan in 2024, a 14% year-on-year increase [3][4]. - The CIPS system processed 8.2169 million transactions amounting to 175.49 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 42.60% [3]. - The report emphasizes the flexibility introduced in the new CIPS rules, allowing financial market infrastructure participants to open CIPS accounts based on business needs rather than strict management requirements [4]. Summary by Sections CIPS Overview - CIPS is a clearing system for cross-border payments in RMB, distinct from SWIFT's messaging system, and has seen a substantial increase in participation, with 174 direct participants and 1,509 indirect participants across 120 countries [2][3]. Recent Developments - The new rules include relaxed entry conditions for system participants, allowing for a more flexible approach to participant management [4]. - The rules specify that foreign direct participants must select domestic direct participants as fund custodians, as foreign banks lack CNAPS accounts [4]. Risk Management Enhancements - The updated regulations detail business processing and risk management requirements, mandating that participants establish robust risk management frameworks and adhere to international anti-money laundering standards [4]. Market Performance - The banking sector index rose by 3.77% during the reporting period, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.23 percentage points [8]. - The report suggests a focus on banks with high dividend yields and strong asset quality, recommending major state-owned banks and select regional banks for investment [9]. Company Forecasts - Key banks such as Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and China Merchants Bank are highlighted with positive earnings forecasts and investment ratings, indicating strong potential for returns [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the automotive sector, highlighting optimistic expectations for the second half of the year [4][7]. Core Insights - June sales performance exceeded expectations, and the market is anticipated to remain strong in the second half of the year, with reduced risks from price wars due to a combination of "anti-involution" and strong sales [2][4]. - Concerns about potential fluctuations in sales due to subsidy policy changes next year may suppress investment sentiment, but there are opportunities for positioning after sentiment stabilizes [2][4]. Data Tracking - In June, new energy vehicle deliveries showed significant growth, with BYD delivering 382,585 units (up 12% year-on-year), while Li Auto and Leap Motor saw declines of 24.1% and 28.8% respectively [5][20]. - Traditional automakers also performed well, with Geely's sales increasing by 42.1% year-on-year to 236,000 units, and SAIC Motor leading the market with 365,000 units sold [5][23]. Investment Recommendations - For complete vehicles, the report recommends Jianghuai Automobile, with a positive outlook for the second half of the year. It also suggests monitoring Li Auto, BAIC Blue Valley, SAIC Motor, Seres, and Xiaomi Group [7]. - In the auto parts sector, it advises low-positioning strategies due to significant industry beta impacts, recommending companies like Xinquan, Xingyu, Aikodi, Haoneng, and Horizon [7]. - The heavy truck segment is expected to maintain strong growth, with recommendations for Heavy Truck A and Weichai H/A [7]. Industry News - In June, the retail market for passenger vehicles reached 2.032 million units, a 15% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for 107,100 units sold, reflecting a 25% growth [32]. - The report notes the launch of the new XPeng G7, which features advanced AI capabilities and is priced between 195,800 and 225,800 yuan [32]. Market Performance - The automotive sector index increased by 0.21%, ranking 23rd out of 29 sectors, while the overall market indices showed positive growth [10][34].

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 金融资金面跟踪：量化周报（2025/06/30~2025/07/04） 推荐（维持） 超额整体平稳，市场成交量有所回落 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 证券分析师：刘潇伟 邮箱：liuxiaowei@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525020001 各量化超额整体为正。上周样本量化私募收益及超额如下：1）300 增强策略周/月/ 年初以来平均收益分别为+2.2%/+2.4%/+4.7%，周/月/年初以来平均超额分别为 -0.1%/+0.7%/+4.9% ； 2 ） 500 增 强 策 略 周 / 月 / 年 初 以 来 平 均 收 益 分 别 为 +3.6%/+5.1%/+10.4%，周/月/年初以来平均超额分别为-0.4%/+0.6%/+9.9%；3）A500 增 强策略周/月/年初以来平均收益分别为+2.1%/+2.6%/+8.7%，周/月/年初以来平均超额分别 为 -0.6%/+0.7%/+9.2% ； 4 ） 1000 增 强 策 略 周 / 月 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 20.9 CNY, indicating a potential upside of approximately 39% from the current price of 15.00 CNY [2][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the deep cooling technology sector, leveraging a dual-engine model of "equipment manufacturing + gas operation" to drive growth. The company has successfully diversified its operations and is expanding into international markets [6][13]. - The demand for deep cooling technology is expected to grow due to rising oil prices and the economic viability of technological innovations in the energy and chemical sectors. The company has seen a significant increase in new orders, particularly from overseas markets [7][8]. - The gas operation segment is also expanding, with the company investing in industrial and rare gases, which are anticipated to become new revenue sources as projects reach production capacity [6][8]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 27.17 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 10.9%. However, revenue is expected to rebound with growth rates of 18.8%, 19.7%, and 22.2% in the following years [2][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -78 million CNY in 2024, but is expected to recover significantly to 403 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 616.3% [2][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve from -0.20 CNY in 2024 to 1.04 CNY in 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 times for 2025 [2][9]. Business Model and Market Position - The company has established a strong market position in the deep cooling technology sector, with its core products including natural gas liquefaction devices and large air separation units. The company has also successfully exported its products to 53 countries [6][13]. - The gas operation segment has been enhanced through strategic investments, including a joint venture with Posco Holdings to operate projects abroad, marking a significant step in the company's international expansion [6][8]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with new orders in 2024 expected to reach approximately 1.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of over 25% [6][8]. Industry Outlook - The deep cooling technology industry is poised for growth, driven by increasing domestic investments in energy security and the economic viability of coal chemical and natural gas sectors. The company is well-positioned to benefit from these trends [7][8]. - The report highlights the importance of deep cooling technology in enhancing energy efficiency and meeting environmental standards in the coal chemical industry, which is expected to see sustained demand [6][45].

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|低空经济周报（第 44 期） 中国民航局成立通用航空和低空经济工作领 推荐（维持） 导小组，顶层设计持续推进 万丰奥威：A 股低空经济龙头标的，我们持续看好公司通航+eVTOL 双轮驱 动，收购 Volocopter 资产效应被明显低估。 西锐：全球通航制造龙头，我们预计 2025 年业绩保持 30%+增速，对应当前 PE 仅 12 倍出头，明显低于可比公司。 宗申动力：主业业绩高增长，传统主业与新兴产业高景气共振，看好宗申航发 无人机系统核心环节具备领先的量产能力。 应流股份：公司布局"航空发动机+燃气轮机+核能新材料+低空经济"四大未 来战略级方向。 英搏尔：与亿航成立合资公司深度介入 eVTOL 生产领域、与亿维特、广汽高 域等均有战略合作。 莱斯信息：持续看好公司成为低空数字化领域的"一超"， 公司陆续中标低空 项目，全国化布局不断推进。 四川九洲：切入低空飞行检测领域形成商业闭环，围绕低空新基建在物流领域 打造软硬结合样板工程。 深城交：深圳低空数字化领军企业，立足改革前沿。 国睿科技：军贸东风起，低空万象新。持续强调军贸方向，重视雷达，公司是 雷达军贸核 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 7.6 CNY, representing a potential upside of approximately 25% from the current price of 6.07 CNY [2][10]. Core Views - The company focuses on biomass comprehensive applications and power and heat production, with a total installed capacity of 705,000 kW as of the end of 2024, including 491,000 kW for biomass power generation, 160,000 kW for coal power projects, and 54,000 kW for waste-to-energy projects [6][14]. - The report highlights the strong profitability of the Hebei coal power projects, which have shown a significant negative correlation with coal prices over the past decade, indicating that lower coal prices could enhance profitability [7][44]. - There is an expectation for the biomass projects to potentially turn profitable due to the industry's expansion phase and the company's leading position, despite facing operational pressures and subsidy delays [8][10]. - Collaboration with the Zhongke system is anticipated to open new growth opportunities, enhancing the company's shareholder structure and facilitating strategic partnerships [9][10]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 3,786 million CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 4.6%, followed by a slight increase in 2025 [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 217 million CNY in 2024, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 36.3% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.29 CNY in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 21 times [2]. - The company’s asset-liability ratio stands at 73.41%, indicating a relatively high level of debt [3]. Business Analysis - The company operates in three main segments: biomass power generation, coal-fired centralized heating, and waste-to-energy projects, with biomass power generation being the largest segment [6][31]. - The profitability of the coal power projects is supported by strong energy demand from industrial parks in Hebei, where the company’s projects are located [51][65]. - The report notes that the biomass power generation segment has faced challenges due to high raw material costs and delayed subsidy payments, but there is potential for recovery as coal prices decline [8][10][43].

Group 1: Employment Data Overview - In June, non-farm employment increased by 147,000, exceeding expectations of 106,000, marking the fourth consecutive month of surpassing market forecasts[2] - The unemployment rate fell from 4.2% to 4.1%, below the expected 4.3%, while the labor participation rate decreased from 62.4% to 62.3%[2] - Hourly wage growth was lower than expected at 0.2% month-on-month, compared to the forecast of 0.3% and a previous value of 0.4%[2] Group 2: Market Reactions and Trends - Market expectations for interest rate cuts have significantly cooled, with the probability of a July rate cut dropping from 25.3% to 4.7% and September from 91% to 70.7%[2] - Following the non-farm report, U.S. stock markets and the dollar index rose, while long-term U.S. Treasury yields increased[2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.77%, the Nasdaq by 1.02%, and the S&P 500 by 0.83%[2] Group 3: Employment Market Analysis - The employment market conditions index, based on 15 employment-related indicators, recorded 0.389, slightly better than the previous months but weaker than the end of last year[4] - Employment growth breadth remains at a cycle low since 2015, with the monthly employment diffusion index dropping from 51.8% to 49.6%[4] - Government sectors contributed 50% of the new jobs, with significant growth in education and healthcare services, while private sector job growth was below expectations[4]

债券研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券日报】 转债市场日度跟踪 20250704 市场概况：今日转债增量下跌，估值环比压缩 指数表现：中证转债指数环比上涨 0.15%、上证综指环比上涨0.32%、深证成 指环比下降 0.25%、创业板指环比下降 0.36%、上证 50指数环比上涨0.58%、 中证 1000 指数环比下降 0.48%。 行业表现：今日正股行业指数下降占比过半，共计 18个行业下跌。A股市场 中，跌幅前三位行业为美容护理（-1.87%）、有色金属（-1.60%）、基础化工（- 1.22%）；涨幅前三位行业为银行（+1.84%）、传媒（+0.91%）、公用事业（+0.67%）。 转债市场共计 17个行业下跌，跌幅前三位行业为国防军工（-2.23%）、纺织服 饰（-1.35%）、汽车（-1.32%）；涨幅前三位行业为环保（+3.15%）、公用事业 （+1.06%）、计算机（+0.69%）。 市场风格：大盘价值相对占优。大盘成长环比下降0.03%、大盘价值环比上涨 1.09%、中盘成长环比下降 0.52%、中盘价值环比下降 0.14%、小盘成长环比 下降 0.59%、小盘价值环比上涨 0.01%。 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车行业跟踪报告 2Q 板块财报前瞻：2Q25 销量高增，板块财 推荐（维持） 务增长预期乐观 乘用车销量：预计 2Q25 批发、零售均实现两位数左右同环比增长 行业研究 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：张程航 电话：021-20572543 邮箱：zhangchenghang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360519070003 证券分析师：李昊岚 邮箱：lihaolan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524010003 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 232 | 0.03 | | 总市值(亿元) | 51,073.47 | 4.91 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 32,514.94 | 3.97 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | -0.7% | 12.4% | 33.6% | | 相对表现 | -3.4% | 9.2% | 20.1% | 汽车 2025 年 07 月 04 日 -9% 9% 27% 45 ...