Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The new factory ramp-up meets expectations, contributing to improved quarterly gross profit, with a year-to-date revenue growth of 6.67% [5][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 18.68 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with a gross margin of 21.96%, showing a slight increase from the first half of the year [7] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the sports footwear OEM sector in China, benefiting from short-term demand recovery and long-term capacity expansion [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 20,114 million yuan in 2023, 24,006 million yuan in 2024, 26,929 million yuan in 2025, 30,414 million yuan in 2026, and 34,739 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -2.21%, 19.35%, 12.18%, 12.94%, and 14.22% respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 3,200 million yuan in 2023, 3,840 million yuan in 2024, 3,515 million yuan in 2025, 4,187 million yuan in 2026, and 4,977 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -0.86%, 20.00%, -8.46%, 19.12%, and 18.85% respectively [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.74 yuan in 2023, 3.29 yuan in 2024, 3.01 yuan in 2025, 3.59 yuan in 2026, and 4.26 yuan in 2027 [6] Market Performance - The company’s sales volume of sports shoes reached 168 million pairs, with a year-on-year increase of 3.04%, maintaining steady growth despite a high base in 2024 [7] - The average selling price (ASP) of products increased by 0.99% compared to the first half of the year, contributing to revenue stability [7] - The company is expected to benefit from structural changes in customer demand and new brand collaborations, which will drive ASP upward [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report indicates that the company's performance shows signs of marginal improvement, with a positive revenue growth in the third quarter of 2025, despite a year-on-year decline in the first three quarters [7] - The company is recognized as a leader in the waterproof materials industry in China, and it is believed to be entering a sustainable high-quality development phase after strategic adjustments [7] Financial Summary - Total market capitalization is 30,575.36 million yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 24,511.76 million yuan [3] - The company reported a total revenue of 32,823 million yuan for 2023, with a projected decline to 28,056 million yuan in 2024, followed by a slight recovery in subsequent years [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2,273 million yuan in 2023, dropping significantly to 108 million yuan in 2024, but rebounding to 1,131 million yuan in 2025 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.95 yuan in 2023, decreasing to 0.05 yuan in 2024, and then recovering to 0.47 yuan in 2025 [6] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 8.01% in 2023, dropping to 0.43% in 2024, and gradually increasing to 7.56% by 2027 [6] Performance Analysis - In the third quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7,032 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.51%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2,450 million yuan, down 26.58% year-on-year [7] - The gross profit margin for the third quarter was reported at 24.80%, showing a decline compared to the previous year [7] - The company has improved its cash flow management, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing by 184.56% year-on-year [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the global tool steel sector, with a solid foundation for sustainable profitability. It has made breakthroughs in powder metallurgy and titanium alloy technologies, positioning itself in high-growth sectors such as integrated die-casting for electric vehicles, consumer electronics, and aerospace, establishing a clear second growth curve [6][9]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 49.41 billion, 56.99 billion, and 65.45 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.2%, 15.3%, and 14.8%. Corresponding net profits are projected at 4.31 billion, 6.20 billion, and 8.50 billion RMB, with growth rates of 20.0%, 43.9%, and 37.2% [6][9]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of October 28, 2025, the closing price is 3.05 HKD, with a market capitalization of 8,311.25 million HKD. The stock has seen a one-year high of 3.28 HKD and a low of 1.65 HKD [3]. Business Overview - The company has been in the special steel industry for over 40 years, evolving from a cutting tool manufacturer to a leader in high-end materials, covering high-speed steel, tool steel, cutting tools, and titanium alloys [8][18]. - The company has a concentrated and stable shareholding structure, with the Zhu family as the actual controllers, ensuring strategic execution continuity [8][17]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 5,163.31 million RMB in 2023, with a projected decline in 2024 followed by a recovery in subsequent years. The gross profit margin and net profit margin have remained stable, supported by high R&D investment [7][31]. - The first half of 2025 saw a revenue decline of 7.1% year-on-year, attributed to reduced exports and lower demand from consumer electronics. However, net profit increased by 10.4% due to favorable currency exchange rates and improved gross margins in tool steel [22][23]. Growth Drivers - The company’s core business in tool steel is expected to enter an upward cycle, driven by domestic demand recovery and import substitution in high-end materials [8][22]. - The titanium alloy business is positioned to benefit from expanding demand in consumer electronics and aerospace, with significant growth potential as the market evolves [8][37]. Technological Advancements - The company has successfully established a powder metallurgy production line, filling a domestic gap in the large-scale production of tool steel, and is expected to lead in domestic substitution efforts [15][18]. - Ongoing R&D efforts have resulted in numerous innovations, including high-nitrogen alloy materials and advanced titanium products, enhancing the company's competitive edge in high-end manufacturing [31][34].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company reported a 73% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025, driven by strong performance in its proprietary brands [5][7] - The company achieved a revenue of 2.14 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 85% year-on-year increase [7] - The proprietary brand business contributed significantly to revenue, accounting for 55.1% of total revenue in Q3 2025 [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 1,366 million yuan - 2024: 1,766 million yuan (12.25% growth) - 2025E: 3,159 million yuan (78.89% growth) - 2026E: 4,146 million yuan (31.27% growth) - 2027E: 5,005 million yuan (20.71% growth) [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 54 million yuan in 2023 to 350 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 60.83%, 94.58%, 70.93%, 42.90%, and 35.61% respectively [6] - The company's gross margin improved by 12.0 percentage points to 58.5% in the first three quarters of 2025 [7] Brand Performance - The proprietary brand "Zhanjia" generated 227 million yuan in revenue in Q3 2025, marking a 118.9% year-on-year increase [7] - The brand "Feicui" achieved revenue of 203 million yuan in Q3 2025, with a sequential growth of over 98.8% [7] - The newly launched brand "Niuyibei" contributed 12.13 million yuan in revenue by September 2025, with significant growth in GMV [7] Brand Management - The brand management business generated 539 million yuan in revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, a 71.1% year-on-year increase [7] - The company focuses on the health and personal care sectors, enhancing its brand management ecosystem and operational capabilities [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The effectiveness of the integrated logistics strategy is becoming evident, with anticipation for a recovery in chemical demand [5][6] - The company's Q3 revenue showed a slight increase of 2.1% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.5% [6] - The total assets increased by 41.42% year-on-year, indicating rapid expansion in distribution business [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 9,753 million RMB - 2024: 12,118 million RMB (24.26% growth) - 2025E: 13,311 million RMB (9.84% growth) - 2026E: 15,303 million RMB (14.96% growth) - 2027E: 17,192 million RMB (12.35% growth) [5][7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 431 million RMB in 2023 to 862 million RMB in 2027, with a growth rate of 31.04% in 2024 [5][7] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 2.73 RMB in 2023 to 5.45 RMB in 2027 [5][7] Operational Efficiency - The company has improved its cash flow significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities reaching 940 million RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, compared to -160 million RMB in the same period last year [6] - The net operating cycle is approximately 50 days, a reduction of 3 days year-on-year, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [6] Strategic Developments - The logistics network is continuously optimized, with significant progress in building hazardous chemical support and expanding into lower-tier markets [6] - The company has successfully developed clients in three major sectors: new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals, indicating a diversified client base [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's performance has been impacted by a decline in operating income and net profit, but the decrease in performance has narrowed due to investment gains [4][6] - The company reported a revenue of 3.367 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 540 million yuan, down 13.52% year-on-year [6] - The report indicates that the company's gross margin improved sequentially but still faced year-on-year pressure, with a gross margin of 43.04% in Q3 2025, down 0.07% year-on-year but up 2.51% quarter-on-quarter [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue forecast for 2025 is 5.584 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 10.90% [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected at 851 million yuan, a decrease of 10.71% year-on-year [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.53 yuan [5] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 16.34% in 2025 [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is projected at 19.56 [5] Market Performance - The company’s total market capitalization is 16.637 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 15.370 billion yuan [2] - The company’s total share capital is 1,592.04 million shares [2] - The asset-liability ratio stands at 23.42% [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, particularly in the tungsten and molybdenum segment, which showed remarkable growth [5][7] - The company is positioned as a materials platform enterprise, benefiting from rising tungsten prices and strong demand for lithium cobalt materials [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.78 billion yuan, up 27.1% year-on-year [7] - In Q3 alone, revenue reached 12.82 billion yuan, reflecting a 39.3% year-on-year growth and an 18.7% quarter-on-quarter increase, with net profit of 810 million yuan, a significant 109.9% increase year-on-year [7] - The tungsten and molybdenum business generated a total profit of 2.33 billion yuan in the first three quarters, with a profit margin of 16.0% [7] - The rare earth business reported a total profit of 190 million yuan in the first three quarters, with a profit margin of 4.3% [7] - The energy new materials segment saw a total profit of 610 million yuan, with a profit margin of 4.7%, and lithium cobalt sales increased by 45% year-on-year [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.64 billion yuan, 3.05 billion yuan, and 3.39 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.66 yuan, 1.92 yuan, and 2.13 yuan per share [6][7] - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 22.6, 19.5, and 17.6 [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company faces short-term pressure on Q3 performance due to increased credit loss provisions, but is expanding its boundaries by developing optoelectronic hybrid interconnection products [5] - The company has shown resilience through various measures such as multi-channel expansion, product iteration, and supply chain optimization, particularly with the production phase of its Thailand factory starting in July 2025 [7] - The non-automotive parts business is rapidly growing, with revenue of 64.99 million yuan in the first half of 2025, accounting for 17.34% of total revenue and showing a year-on-year growth of 183.18% [7] - The company is actively exploring the pre-installation market and does not rule out potential acquisitions in the automotive electronics and micro-motor sectors [7] - The company plans to purchase industrial buildings to enhance its automotive electronics business and is partnering with Haibang Optoelectronics to develop optoelectronic hybrid interconnection products [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023: 558 million yuan, 2024: 752 million yuan, 2025E: 869 million yuan, 2026E: 992 million yuan, 2027E: 1,175 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 31.93%, 34.71%, 15.51%, 14.21%, and 18.44% [6] - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company is: 2023: 70 million yuan, 2024: 107 million yuan, 2025E: 113 million yuan, 2026E: 145 million yuan, 2027E: 174 million yuan, with growth rates of 38.24%, 52.91%, 5.97%, 28.35%, and 20.04% [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are: 2023: 1.06 yuan, 2024: 1.62 yuan, 2025E: 1.71 yuan, 2026E: 2.20 yuan, 2027E: 2.64 yuan [6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 13.79% in 2023, increasing to 21.22% by 2027 [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's profitability continues to improve, with steady growth in operating quality. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.933 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.85%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 347 million, a year-on-year increase of 16.92% [4] - The company is actively expanding its business through mergers and acquisitions, particularly in the rail transit and low-altitude economy sectors, which are expected to open new growth opportunities [4] - The company has made significant progress in international markets, with recent contracts signed for projects in Serbia and Vietnam, indicating a steady advancement in overseas business [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue forecast for 2025 is 2.934 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.77% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 553 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.44% [3] - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 38.97%, an increase of 2.88 percentage points year-on-year, with a significant rise in Q3 gross margin to 43.73% [4] - The company's net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 18.03%, an increase of 2.34 percentage points year-on-year [4] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 11.53, 10.70, and 9.75 respectively [3] - The company is focusing on expanding its low-altitude economy applications, particularly in drone inspection and low-altitude platform construction, to cultivate new growth drivers [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The traditional home appliance business is impacting short-term performance, but the outlook for server slide rails is optimistic due to advancements in R&D and production capacity [5] - The company has diversified its R&D efforts into server slide rails, home appliance hinges, and automotive products, which are expected to drive long-term growth [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 284 million yuan (down 2% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52.16 million yuan (down 4% year-on-year) [7] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 102 million yuan (down 5% year-on-year, up 16% quarter-on-quarter) with a net profit of 19.10 million yuan (down 14% year-on-year, up 38% quarter-on-quarter) [7] - The company’s operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 58.71 million yuan (up 46% year-on-year) for Q1-Q3 2025 [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are as follows: 467 million yuan in 2025, 546 million yuan in 2026, and 639 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 11.89%, 16.96%, and 17.15% respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 92 million yuan in 2025, 108 million yuan in 2026, and 127 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 12.56%, 18.07%, and 17.21% respectively [6] R&D and Product Development - R&D expenses reached 10.51 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, with a significant year-on-year increase of 26% in Q3, indicating a commitment to new product development in the server and home appliance sectors [7] - The company is developing various types of server slide rails, including ball-type, friction-type, L-type, tray-type, and square tube-type, with specific applications in different server configurations [7] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 28.40, 24.06, and 20.52 respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's growth potential [6]