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中国石油(601857):油价中枢下移,油气龙头全产业链抗风险能力突出
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-31 07:34
证券研究报告 公司研究 [Tabl 点评报告 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 中国石油(601857.SH) | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | [Table_A 刘红光 uthor 石化行业联席首席分析师 ] 执业编号:S1500525060002 邮箱:liuhongguang@cindasc.com 刘奕麟 石化行业分析师 执业编号:S1500524040001 联系电话:13261695353 邮箱:liuyilin@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编:100031 [油价Table_T 中枢下移 itle] ,油气龙头全产业链抗风险能力突出 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 31 日 [Table_S 事件: ummary] 2025 年 10 月 30 日晚,中国石油发布 2025 年三季度报告。2025 年 前三季度公司实现营业收入 21,692.56 亿元,同比下降 ...
新凤鸣(603225):淡季供需偏弱拖累短期业绩,看好长丝龙头长期业绩弹性
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-31 07:33
证券研究报告 公司研究 | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | [Table_A 刘红光 uthor 石化行业联席首席分析师 ] 执业编号:S1500525060002 邮箱:liuhongguang@cindasc.com 刘奕麟 石化行业分析师 执业编号:S1500524040001 联系电话:13261695353 邮箱:liuyilin@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦 B座 邮编:100031 [淡季供需偏弱拖累短期业绩,看好长丝龙头长期业绩弹性 Table_Title] [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 31 日 [Table_S 事件: ummary] 2025 年 10 月 30 日晚,新凤鸣发布 2025 年三季度报告。2025 年 前三季度公司实现营业收入 515.42 亿元,同比增长 4.77%;实现归母净利 润 8.69 亿元,同比增长 16.53%;实现扣非后归母净利润为 7.76 亿元,同 比增长 21. ...
公募基金2025Q3季报分析:电子和通信配比新高
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-31 04:40
公募基金 2025Q3 季报分析: 电子和通信配比新高 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 10 月 31 日 邮 箱:yumingming@cindasc.com [于明明 Table_ First 金融工程与金融产品首席分析师 Author] 执业编号:S1500521070001 联系电话:+86 18616021459 邮 箱:yumingming@cindasc.com 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_FirstAuthor] 于明明 金融工程与金融产品首席分析师 执业编号:S1500521070001 联系电话:+86 18616021459 证券研究报告 金工研究 [T基金ableReportType] 深度报告 于明明 金融工程与金融产品 首席分析师 执业编号:S1500521070001 联系电话:+86 18616021459 邮 箱:yumingming@cindasc.com [公募基金 Table_Title] 2025Q3 季报分析: 电子和通信配比新高 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 ...
公牛集团(603195):经营下滑收敛,新业务、出海持续增长
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-31 02:08
证券研究报告 公司研究 上次评级 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524120004 邮箱:jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com [Table_OtherReport] 公牛集团:短期业绩略有承压,积极探 索增量机会 公牛集团:坚持创新驱动,主业壁垒深 厚,探索增量市场 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 公牛集团:经营下滑收敛,新业务&出海持续 增长 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 31 日 [Table_S 事件:公司发布 ummary] 2025 年第三季度报告。2025Q1-Q3 公司实现收入 121.98 亿元(同比-3.22%),归母净利润 29.79 亿元(同比-8.72%),扣非归母净利 润 27.01 亿元(同比-4.87%)。2025Q3 实现收入 40.30 亿元(同比-4.44%), 归母净利润 9.19 亿元(同比-10.29%),扣非归母净利润 8.59 亿元 ...
方盛制药(603998):单Q3扣非归母净利润增速超36%,中药创新药研产销路线已打通
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-31 02:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Fangsheng Pharmaceutical (603998) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook based on performance metrics and growth potential [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 1.253 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7.02%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 17.6% to 268 million yuan [2]. - The growth in net profit is attributed to a decrease in expense ratios, with a notable reduction in sales and management expenses [3]. - The company has successfully commercialized two traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) products, with plans for further commercialization of new products, including a TCM for treating frequent tension-type headaches [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.740 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 2.1% year-on-year, with net profit expected to rise by 24.6% to 318 million yuan [5]. - The gross profit margin is forecasted to be 70.5% in 2025, with a net asset return (ROE) of 18.4% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.58 yuan in 2024 to 0.72 yuan in 2025, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [4]. Product and Market Development - The cardiovascular medication segment showed a revenue increase of 10.16% year-on-year in Q3 2025, driven by strong sales of specific products [3]. - The company has expanded its market presence for its pediatric cough syrup, covering over 320 public medical institutions and nearly 2000 in total [3]. - The newly approved TCM product, Yangxue Qufeng Zhitong Granules, is expected to become a significant profit driver if included in the national basic medical insurance directory [3].
陕西煤业(601225):Q3业绩环比改善,煤电协同稳健增长
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-30 14:33
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the coal production and sales have shown steady growth, with a notable cost control, indicating resilience in the main business operations [3] - The power business is operating steadily with significant growth potential in the future, supported by a substantial installed capacity of coal-fired power generation [3] - Investment income has bolstered the third-quarter performance, focusing on enhancing profitability stability through the exit from investment businesses [3] - The coal main business is operating steadily with abundant high-quality capacity reserves for future development [3] - The report predicts that the coal industry will continue to exhibit inelastic supply and elastic demand over the next 3-5 years, with domestic thermal coal prices expected to remain at a mid-to-high level [3] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1180.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company of 12.713 billion yuan, down 27.22% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 40.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.075 billion yuan, down 5.80% [2] - The company’s coal production for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 130.37 million tons, an increase of 2.03% year-on-year, while coal sales were 189.20 million tons, up 0.4% [3] - The average coal selling price was 540 yuan/ton, down 13.04% year-on-year, while the sales cost was 376 yuan/ton, down 5.44% [3] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 17.4 billion, 18.8 billion, and 19.3 billion yuan respectively, with EPS projected at 1.79, 1.94, and 1.99 yuan per share [3][5]
天地科技(600582):业绩短期承压无碍,长线布局迎来良机
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-30 12:02
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4]. Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure due to the coal and equipment manufacturing sectors, with a 39.51% year-on-year decline in non-recurring net profit to 1.264 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 7.55% year-on-year, primarily due to investment income from the transfer of 51% equity in Qin Nan Energy [4]. - The company is expected to achieve stable growth as coal prices stabilize and the decline in contract liabilities narrows. The average price of 5500 kcal thermal coal in Qinhuangdao showed a "V" shape trend throughout the year, with prices of 723, 633, 669, and 740 yuan per ton in Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 respectively [4]. - The company has a high net cash position of approximately 17.6 billion yuan, which provides a solid foundation for withstanding industry cycles and returning value to shareholders. The dividend rate is expected to increase, with a projected dividend yield of 5.5% based on a 50% payout ratio [4]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the coal mining design and full industry chain, with expected net profits of 2.837 billion, 3.043 billion, and 3.276 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [4]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have total revenue of 29.238 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.2% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be 2.837 billion yuan, an increase of 8.2% year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be 25.6% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 10.7% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.69 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.64 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.93 [6].
桐昆股份(601233):短期聚酯板块略有拖累,看好长丝行业竞争格局优化
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-30 12:02
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tongkun Co., Ltd. is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights a slight decline in operating performance due to a drag from the polyester sector, with a focus on the long filament industry's competitive landscape improvement [2][3] - The company reported a revenue of 67.397 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 11.38%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 53.83% to 1.549 billion yuan [2][3] - The report anticipates a recovery in the long filament market driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and the company's competitive advantages as a market leader [4][6] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 1.549 billion yuan, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.65 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 54.76% [2][3] - The average prices of key raw materials such as PX, MEG, and PTA decreased by 17.13%, 0.92%, and 17.18% respectively, while the prices of main products POY, FDY, and DTY fell by 9.55%, 15.38%, and 9.94% respectively [3] - The report projects the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 2.087 billion, 2.788 billion, and 3.416 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 73.7%, 33.6%, and 22.5% [6] Industry Outlook - The report notes that the polyester sector is experiencing a seasonal slowdown, but the long filament market is expected to see a gradual recovery as downstream demand improves [3][4] - The competitive landscape in the long filament industry is anticipated to strengthen, with the market leader's advantages becoming more pronounced as smaller players exit the market [4][6] - The report indicates that the average operating rate of textile enterprises in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has risen to approximately 69%, suggesting a recovery in industry activity [4]
唐山港(601000):Q3归母净利润同比+5.37%,盈利逐步修复
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-30 11:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tangshan Port (601000) is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the company's profit is gradually recovering as the impact of factors affecting the shipping side has weakened [3] - The core cargo types are showing a sequential recovery in throughput [4] - The report projects revenue and net profit for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 54.65 billion, 56.43 billion, and 57.23 billion respectively, and net profits of 18.12 billion, 19.51 billion, and 20.09 billion respectively [5] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the cumulative operating revenue was 40.91 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.47%, with quarterly revenues of 12.37 billion, 13.56 billion, and 14.98 billion, showing respective year-on-year growth rates of -16.64%, -9.24%, and 14.84% [5] - The cumulative net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 13.88 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12.22%, with quarterly profits of 3.81 billion, 5.03 billion, and 5.03 billion, showing respective year-on-year growth rates of -29.53%, -10.50%, and 5.37% [5] - The iron ore throughput for the first three quarters was 10.44 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.25% [5] - The coal throughput for the same period was 4.54 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.42% [5] Earnings Forecast - The forecast for 2025-2027 includes expected revenues of 54.65 billion, 56.43 billion, and 57.23 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.52%, 3.25%, and 1.42% respectively [5] - The expected net profits for the same period are 18.12 billion, 19.51 billion, and 20.09 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of -8.45%, 7.68%, and 2.99% respectively [5] - The report estimates the EPS for 2025-2027 to be 0.31, 0.33, and 0.34 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.02, 12.09, and 11.74 [5][6]
华光环能(600475):扣非净利延续增长,经营性现金流大幅改善
Xinda Securities· 2025-10-30 11:26
证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 投资评级:无评级 郭雪 环保公用联席首席分析师 执业编号:S1500525030002 邮 箱:guoxue @cindasc.com 吴柏莹 公用环保行业分析师 执业编号:S1500524100001 邮 箱:wuboying@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编:100031 [Table_Title] 扣非净利延续增长,经营性现金流大幅改善 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 30 日 [Table_S 事件:华光环能发布 ummary] 2025 年第三季度报告。2025 年前三季度公司实现营 业收入 66.62 亿元,同比下降 7.89%;实现归母净利润 3.44 亿元,同比下 降 28.46%;扣非后净利润 3.08 亿元,同比增长 34.85%。经营活动现金流 量净额 8.59 亿元,同比增长 384.85%。其中,第三季度单季实现营业收入 ...