公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 青岛银行(002948) | | | | | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | | [Table_Author] 张晓辉 银行业分析师 证券研究报告 执业编号：S1500523080008 邮 箱：zhangxiaohui@cindasc.com 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 青岛银行 2025 一季报点评：息差逆势 提升，业绩突出、不良再降 青岛银行 2024 年报点评：规模、效益 与质量协同跃升 青岛银行 2024 业绩快报点评：业绩增 速再提升，不良率持续下降 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 青岛银行 2025 三季报点评：扩规模、调结 构、降成本，不良指标持续优化 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 29 日 [Table_S [Table_S 事件：10ummar ummar 月 y]2y]8 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance showed significant improvement, with total profit increasing by 39% year-on-year [4] - The company achieved a revenue of 541.56 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.69% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 was 10.46 billion yuan, up 10.97% year-on-year, primarily due to a low tax base from the previous year [4] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q3, the company reported a revenue of 182.72 billion yuan, which is an 8.73% increase year-on-year [2] - The net profit for the first three quarters was 28.77 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.83% year-on-year [2] - The company's operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 46.71 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.41% [4] Business Volume and Market Share - The company handled 77.21 billion express parcels in Q3, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.05%, which is higher than the industry growth rate of 13.3% [3] - The market share for the company in Q3 was 15.6%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [3] Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 44.75 billion yuan, 52.85 billion yuan, and 61.84 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.54%, 18.09%, and 17.00% [5] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for these years are 13.1x, 11.1x, and 9.5x, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report - In September, the total bond custody scale increased by 921.2 billion yuan month - on - month, with a slower growth compared to August, hitting the lowest level since May last year. The adjustment in the bond market was affected by the change in public - offering regulatory policies, but market sentiment towards government bonds has recovered. The bond market leverage ratio decreased month - on - month, not showing the seasonal increase seen in previous quarter - end months [2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 9 - month Bond Custody Increment Shrinks Significantly, Net Financing of Policy Financial Bonds Drops Notably - The total bond custody scale increased by 921.2 billion yuan month - on - month in September, 584.8 billion yuan less than in August. Among them, the custody increment of policy financial bonds decreased significantly, while that of treasury bonds and local bonds decreased slightly. The custody scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit and commercial bank bonds continued to decline with an enlarged decline, and the custody increment of credit bonds increased slightly [2][5]. 3.2 Public - offering Regulatory New Rules Bring Structural Shocks, Demand for Government Bonds has Recovered - Affected by the public - offering regulatory policy changes in September, the bond market adjusted, especially for bonds with large public - offering holdings. The adjustment was mainly due to panic rather than liquidity pressure. Market sentiment recovered at the end of the month. Structurally, different institutions had different behaviors. Generalized funds reduced their holdings of credit and financial bonds, while securities firms increased their holdings. Both reduced their holdings of policy financial bonds and increased their holdings of local bonds. Commercial banks' increase in holdings decreased, while insurance institutions significantly increased their holdings of treasury bonds, and the reduction in holdings by overseas institutions decreased [2][9]. - **Generalized Funds**: The decline in the bond custody scale of generalized funds widened by 5.99 billion yuan month - on - month to 25.15 billion yuan. They reduced their holdings of more credit and financial bonds, and their relative reduction in bond allocation decreased, turning to increase the allocation of inter - bank certificates of deposit [14]. - **Securities Firms**: The bond custody volume of securities firms decreased by 353 million yuan month - on - month. They mainly reduced their holdings of policy financial bonds and increased their holdings of local bonds and medium - term notes. Their relative reduction in bond allocation increased slightly [18]. - **Insurance Companies**: The bond custody increment of insurance companies increased by 43 million yuan month - on - month to 439 million yuan. They significantly increased their holdings of treasury bonds and increased their allocation of bonds relatively [20]. - **Overseas Institutions**: The decline in the bond custody volume of overseas institutions narrowed by 551 million yuan month - on - month to 446 million yuan. They turned to increase their holdings of policy financial bonds, and their relative reduction in bond allocation decreased [24]. - **Other Institutions**: The bond custody increment of other institutions increased by 203 million yuan month - on - month to 3556 million yuan. They increased their holdings of local bonds and medium - term notes, and increased their allocation of bonds relatively [27]. - **Commercial Banks**: The bond custody increment of commercial banks decreased by 6056 million yuan month - on - month to 5945 million yuan. They mainly reduced their holdings of policy financial bonds and treasury bonds, and their relative increase in bond allocation decreased [32]. - **Credit Unions**: The bond custody increment of credit unions increased by 315 million yuan month - on - month to 419 million yuan. They increased their holdings of treasury bonds and policy financial bonds and increased their allocation of bonds relatively [38]. 3.3 The Bond Market Leverage Ratio Declined Counter - seasonally in September, and the Leverage Ratio of Generalized Funds Continued to Decline - Affected by the decline in the repurchase balance, the bond market leverage ratio decreased by 0.2 pct month - on - month to 107.3% in September, remaining at a relatively low level. The leverage ratio of commercial banks decreased by 0.2 pct to 103.6%, while that of non - bank institutions remained unchanged at 116.9%. Among them, the leverage ratio of securities companies increased by 8.2 pct to 223.3%, and that of insurance and non - legal person products decreased by 0.1 pct to 113.7% [40].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the overall sentiment appears positive based on the performance metrics and growth expectations. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.188 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.4%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 210 million yuan, up 7.3% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 221 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 35.4% [1][2]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.843 billion yuan, which is an 8.3% increase year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to the parent company surged by 200.9% to 41 million yuan [1][2]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company has shown robust growth in its apparel and accessories segment, maintaining a continuous growth trend despite a large base. The revenue growth rate has slowed down due to factors such as expanding sales scale of various brands and trade friction impacting short-term shipments [2][3]. - The company has recorded a gross margin of 43.6% for the first three quarters of 2025, slightly down by 1.4 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 41.8%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Inventory and Non-Recurring Losses - The company has made a provision for inventory impairment of approximately 90.73 million yuan due to losses from financial products and equity investments, which have significantly impacted profits. However, the company is optimistic about future improvements in profitability through strategic adjustments [3][4]. Operational Efficiency - The company has effectively controlled its expense ratios, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios showing slight declines. The inventory turnover days have decreased to approximately 97.4 days, down by about 6.5 days year-on-year, indicating improved operational efficiency [4][6]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company of 340 million yuan, 560 million yuan, and 690 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28.3X, 17.4X, and 14.1X [4][6].

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 陕西能源(001286.SZ) | | | 上次评级 买入 李春驰 电力公用联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522070001 联系电话：010-83326723 邮 箱：lichunchi@cindasc.com 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 短期需求好转助力业绩大幅改善，在建产能 如期推进未来可期 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 29 日 [Table_S 事件：202ummar 5 年y]10 月 28 日晚，陕西能源发布 2025 年三季报。2025Q1-3 公 司实现营业收入 163.59 亿元，同比-2.83%；实现归母净利润 24.17 亿元， 同比-3.23% ...

[Table_Title] 单季营收破百亿，全球化扬帆正当时 证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 赛轮轮胎(601058.SH) 投资评级 买入 上次评级 买入 [Table_Author] 张燕生 化工行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500517050001 邮箱：zhangyansheng@cindasc.com 洪英东 化工行业分析师 执业编号：S1500520080002 邮箱：hongyingdong@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦 B座 邮编：100031 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 29 日 [Table_S 事件：202ummar 5 年y]10 月 28 日，赛轮轮胎公布 2025 年三季报。公司 2025 年 前三季度公司累计营业收入为 275.87 亿元，同比+16.76%；累计归母净利 润为 28.72 亿元，同比-11.47%。2025Q3 实现营业总收入 100. ...

央行重启购债的影响或未完全反应 [Table_ReportTime] 2025 年 10 月 28 日 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com1 证券研究报告 债券研究 [T专题able_ReportType] 报告 [Table_A 李一爽 uthor 固定收益 ] 首席分析师 执业编号：S1500520050002 联系电话：+8618817583889 邮 箱：liyishuang@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号金 隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 3央行重启购债的影响或未完全反应 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 10 月 28 日 | 图 1：2022 年以来政府债净融资规模持续走高 5 | | --- | | 图 2：债务付息支出规模占财政支出的比重持续上升 5 | | 图 3：11-12 月国债净融资规模估计 5 | | 图 4：11-12 月地方债净融资规模估计 5 | | 图 5：2022 年以来国内经济呈现出了当刺激政策落地后短期改 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.718 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 33.18%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 30.94% to 203 million yuan due to increased marketing expenses for its own brands and reduced interest income [1][2] - The company's main business showed steady growth, driven by new product designs and positive market response, which enhanced its competitive edge [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 31.7%, while the net profit margin was 7.48%, both showing a decline compared to the previous year due to a significant increase in sales expenses [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 958 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 31.65%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company fell by 45.36% to 55 million yuan [1] - The sales expenses reached 441 million yuan, up 215.94% year-over-year, leading to a sales expense ratio of 16.2% [3] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 283 million yuan, 408 million yuan, and 502 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24.9X, 17.3X, and 14.1X [3] Business Strategy - The company is accelerating the expansion of its own brand, "洁婷," through effective channel development and leveraging live-streaming sales models, resulting in significant sales growth [2] - The company is also increasing its investment in emerging social e-commerce platforms to enhance brand influence and expand its user base [2] Future Outlook - The company aims to optimize its brand structure and strengthen expense management to improve future profitability, with expected benefits from these initiatives gradually materializing [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating that the stock price is expected to outperform the benchmark by more than 15% [5]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 190 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 39.17 million yuan, down 9.8% year-on-year [2][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the capital operations of its associate company, Zhonghao Xinying, which has initiated its IPO process [5]. - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 to 150 million yuan, 2026 to 172 million yuan, and 2027 to 195 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 40x, 35x, and 31x [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 771 in 2023, 795 in 2024, 800 in 2025, 879 in 2026, and 959 in 2027, with a growth rate of -2.9% in 2023 and expected growth rates of 3.1%, 0.6%, 9.9%, and 9.1% in the following years [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 139 million yuan in 2023, 145 million yuan in 2024, 150 million yuan in 2025, 172 million yuan in 2026, and 195 million yuan in 2027, with significant growth in 2023 at 83.6% [4]. - The gross margin is expected to remain stable around 33.1% to 34.3% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. Investment and Profitability Metrics - The report indicates an increase in gross margin to 42.7% in Q3 2025, up 3.0 percentage points year-on-year [5]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 15.6% in 2023, slightly decreasing to 14.8% in 2025, before rising to 16.3% in 2027 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from 0.42 yuan in 2023 to 0.59 yuan in 2027 [4]. Other Relevant Information - The company realized investment income of 2.28 million yuan in Q3 2025, primarily attributed to the profitability of Zhonghao Xinying [5]. - The report highlights the potential impact of macroeconomic conditions on consumer willingness to spend on educational products, which may have contributed to the revenue decline [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in net profit for the third quarter of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 17.4%, reaching 2.307 billion yuan, despite a slight increase in revenue of 2.2% to 137.7 billion yuan [2][3] - The report expresses optimism about the recovery of passenger traffic and revenue in the fourth quarter, driven by strong demand during the National Day holiday and improving ticket prices [5][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 137.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.23%, and a net profit of 2.307 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.40% [2][3] - The quarterly net profit figures for Q1, Q2, and Q3 were -747 million, -786 million, and 3.84 billion yuan, respectively, indicating a substantial recovery in Q3 [2] Capacity and Traffic - The total Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) increased by 5.6% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with domestic, international, and regional ASK growing by 1.95%, 17.8%, and 1.5%, respectively [3] - The Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) rose by 7.6% year-on-year, with international RPK recovering to 95.8% of the 2019 levels [3][4] Passenger Load Factor - The overall passenger load factor for the first three quarters was 85.6%, with domestic and international load factors at 86.2% and 84.2%, respectively, showing improvements compared to 2019 [4] - In Q3 alone, the load factor was 85.9%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.4 percentage points [4] Pricing and Cost Management - The unit revenue per RPK decreased by 3.0% to 0.570 yuan, while the unit cost per ASK fell by 3.9% to 0.408 yuan, benefiting from lower oil prices and effective cost control [5] - The report notes that the decline in ticket prices is gradually stabilizing, which is expected to positively impact revenue [5] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.057 billion yuan in 2025, with significant growth rates of 162.3% and 486.0% expected in the following years [7] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the recovery of air travel and the company's profitability, reiterating the "Accumulate" rating [7]