Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 465.42 points, a decrease of 1.72%, closing at 26,567.12 points [1] - The total turnover on the main board was HKD 257.578 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped by 142.47 points, closing at 9,032.71 points, a decline of 1.55% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 48.56 points, closing at 5,360.42 points, down by 0.9% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings fell by 0.65%, closing at HKD 532 [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing decreased by 2.13%, closing at HKD 405.2 [1] - China Mobile remained unchanged, closing at HKD 78.2 [1] - HSBC Holdings dropped by 2.72%, closing at HKD 135.7 [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings decreased by 0.59%, closing at HKD 46.9 [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by 0.15%, closing at HKD 133.7 [1] - Henderson Land Development fell by 1.04%, closing at HKD 32.4 [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China decreased by 1.48%, closing at HKD 4.65 [1] - China Construction Bank fell by 1.49%, closing at HKD 7.96 [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China dropped by 1.38%, closing at HKD 6.41 [1] - Ping An Insurance decreased by 2.16%, closing at HKD 70.35 [1] - China Life Insurance fell by 3.67%, closing at HKD 33.08 [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation dropped by 5.12%, closing at HKD 5.37 [1] - China National Petroleum Corporation fell by 4.33%, closing at HKD 9.05 [1] - CNOOC Limited decreased by 3.5%, closing at HKD 24.24 [1]

（编辑 丛可心） 证券日报网讯 2月13日，东华软件在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司与腾讯在技术创新领域拥有 超过十年的合作历史，腾讯亦是公司重要股东之一。公司多款行业应用软件已在腾讯各类平台完成适 配，并成功落地交付多家客户。未来双方将继续深化合作，共同推进国产化算力基础设施与开源操作系 统相关生态建设，相关业务进展请以公司公告为准。 ...

Group 1 - WeChat Pay has launched a series of promotional activities for the Spring Festival, including "Shake for Discounts," aiming to stimulate consumer spending with over 10 billion yuan in discounts [1] - The "Shake for Discounts" activity allows users to receive high-value merchant coupons and bank discounts after completing a payment, enhancing user engagement [1] - WeChat Pay is collaborating with banks to offer cash discounts ranging from 0.5 yuan to 10 yuan per transaction, with users able to claim multiple discounts [1] Group 2 - WeChat Pay is enhancing the payment experience for foreign visitors by allowing them to bind international credit cards like VISA and Mastercard directly to the platform, facilitating easier transactions in China [2] - A fee waiver for transactions of 200 yuan or less has been introduced to further improve the user experience for foreign users [2] - WeChat Pay supports 29 foreign wallets from 12 countries, enabling foreign users to make payments using their wallet apps while in China [2] Group 3 - During the Spring Festival, WeChat Pay is participating in a "Lucky Invoice" pilot program in collaboration with government departments, allowing users to win prizes through the WeChat payment interface [3] - The "Lucky Spring Festival" themed red envelope covers will be launched in limited quantities to enhance the festive atmosphere and encourage consumer spending [3]

"投流烧钱加剧，新客成本翻倍，利润缩水""公域规则多变，用户资产流失快"……这是当下多数商家的共同困境。 流量红利消退后，私域已成商家沉淀用户、穿越周期的必选项。微信作为12亿+活跃用户的超级生态，是私域核心阵地，但不少商家仅停留在"拉群发广 告"阶段，收效甚微。 本文拆解一套可落地的微信私域运营方法论，从价值认知、执行步骤到避坑指南，帮你把微信用户转化为复购资产。 一、先搞懂，为什么微信私域是商家的"救命稻草"？ 1.大幅降本增效 在流量成本居高不下的当下，私域运营的降本优势尤为突出。权威数据显示，老客维系成本仅为新客开发的1/7，这意味着商家无需在公域持续"烧钱抢 量"，就能通过存量用户实现稳定收益。某连锁零售品牌的实战案例印证了这一点，其通过私域社群的老客复购运营，不仅让营销成本直降30%，还带动 整体利润率提升了12个百分点，这种"以老带新、以复购补增量"的模式，对资金有限的中小商家来说，远比盲目投流更稳妥、更可持续。 2.提升用户终身价值（LTV） 私域核心是延长用户生命周期，通过精准运营可让核心用户复购率提升40%、客单价增长25%，单客生命周期贡献可达单次消费的10倍以上。 引流核心是"全域收口 ...

Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Meituan-W (03690) ranked as the top three companies in terms of trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) on February 13, 2026, with transaction amounts of 4.301 billion, 3.680 billion, and 3.169 billion respectively [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Meituan-W (03690) also led the trading volume on the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) with transaction amounts of 3.563 billion, 2.870 billion, and 1.460 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - The top ten active companies on the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) included Tencent Holdings (00700) with a net buy of 1.426 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) with a net buy of 1.143 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) with a net sell of 0.368 billion [2] - On the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound), Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net buy of 0.837 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 1.156 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) had a net buy of 0.611 billion [2]

Group 1 - The last trading day before the Spring Festival saw A-shares close in the green, influenced by a significant drop in the US stock market and pre-holiday sentiment [1] - Investors may feel disappointed for missing the last market gains before the holiday, but the market will reopen in two weeks, providing an opportunity for reflection and strategy [2][3] Group 2 - Tencent's recent performance has been concerning, with a 23% decline from its peak in October 2025, resulting in a market cap loss of 1.43 trillion yuan [4] - The main factors for the decline include tax rumors and internal product competition, but the fundamental business remains unchanged, with a forward PE of approximately 15-16 times for 2026 [7] - Tencent's core business PE, excluding external investments, is around 13 times, aligning with an expected EPS growth of 12%-15% for 2026 [7] Group 3 - Tencent's valuation is supported by share buybacks and a stable dividend yield of 4-5%, making it attractive compared to high valuations of similar US tech stocks [8] - The recent strengthening of the RMB may accelerate the rebalancing of foreign investments into Tencent and similar companies [9][10] - Even if negative rumors materialize, they may only affect valuations rather than the underlying logic, with recent declines potentially setting the stage for a technical rebound [11] Group 4 - The AI industry is expected to undergo a fundamental shift by 2026, with a focus on application commercialization rather than just computational power [15][16] - Microsoft's Copilot has reached 52 million enterprise users, demonstrating a willingness to pay for AI solutions, which could serve as a benchmark for AI application commercialization [18] - In contrast to the US, China's AI application sector is at a critical point of penetration and valuation, with a significant increase in active users and usage time [22] Group 5 - The shift from linear to exponential revenue models in AI applications is a key driver for valuation restructuring, but A-shares have yet to fully account for this premium [25] - Institutional investors have been overweight in US AI applications for three consecutive years, while Hong Kong and A-shares remain underweight [26] - A potential "expectation gap" could lead to rapid valuation adjustments once it begins [27] Group 6 - Concerns are rising regarding the capital expenditure of major AI cloud computing firms, which have announced a total of $650 billion in spending, exceeding market expectations [30][31] - The market is worried that these high expenditures may impact profits and cash flow, leading to significant stock price declines [32] - The current environment is highly selective, with a shift from broad market optimism to a focus on substantial earnings growth, which could lead to sharp sell-offs if expectations are not met [36][38] Group 7 - The AI technology landscape in 2026 is expected to be volatile, with significant shifts in market dynamics [39] - Stability is considered a prudent strategy, focusing on fundamental and valuation factors to avoid poor investment decisions [40]

智通财经APP获悉，2月13日港股市场，北水成交净买入202.19亿港元，其中港股通(沪)成交净买入114.77亿港元，港股通 (深)成交净买入87.43亿港元。 北水净买入最多的个股是盈富基金(02800)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)、腾讯(00700)。北水净卖出最多的个股是长飞光纤光缆 (06869)、中海油(00883)。 | 盈富基金 | 11.80亿 | 188.87万 | 11.82亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HK 02800 | | | +11.78亿 | | 南方恒生 ... | 11.51亿 | 2782.07万 | 11.79 亿 | | HK 03033 | | | +11.24 乙 | | 小米集团-W | 8.00亿 | 2.98亿 | 10.98 亿 | | HK 01810 | | | +5.02 乙 | | 长飞光纤 ... | 4.90亿 | 4.56亿 | 9.461乙 | | HK 06869 | | | +3338.34万 | | :: 洪烟田中 | 3.76亿 | 5.19 乙 | 8.95亿 | | HK 00883 | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the Hong Kong stock market, particularly focusing on Tencent, highlighting its valuation and potential investment opportunities amidst recent market fluctuations [7][9][10]. Group 1: Market Performance and Valuation - The Hong Kong stock market has seen a significant decline, with Tencent's stock dropping 23% from its peak in October 2025, resulting in a market value loss of 1.43 trillion HKD [7]. - Despite the recent downturn, Tencent's valuation appears reasonable, with a forward PE of approximately 15-16 times for 2026, and a core business PE of around 13 times, aligning with an expected EPS growth of 12%-15% [9][10]. - Tencent's stock buyback program, averaging several hundred million HKD daily, and a stable dividend yield of 4-5% provide additional support for its valuation [10]. Group 2: Investment Sentiment and Future Outlook - The article suggests that foreign investors are beginning to view Hong Kong tech stocks, including Tencent, as undervalued compared to their U.S. counterparts, creating a potential "rebalancing" opportunity [11][12]. - The strengthening of the RMB may further accelerate this rebalancing trend, with domestic capital flowing into Tencent and similar companies [12]. - The article emphasizes that while Tencent is perceived as a "public utility" tech stock, its role in the AI growth sector remains significant, although its investment in AI is currently more conservative compared to other tech giants [14]. Group 3: AI Market Dynamics - By 2026, the global AI industry is expected to shift from a focus on "computing power arms race" to "application commercialization," with Microsoft’s Copilot as a key reference point [16][17]. - In contrast to the U.S., China's AI application sector is experiencing a breakthrough in penetration rates, with active users reaching 320 million, a 78% year-on-year increase [21]. - The article notes that the current valuation of A-shares does not fully account for the commercial value brought by AI, indicating a potential for significant upward adjustment once the market recognizes this [23][25]. Group 4: Risks and Market Behavior - The article warns of potential volatility in the market due to aggressive capital spending by major AI cloud computing firms, which could lead to profit and cash flow concerns [27][30]. - The market is transitioning from a "broad rally" to a "survival of the fittest" mentality, where companies must demonstrate substantial earnings growth to maintain their valuations [33]. - The article concludes that investors should focus on fundamental and valuation factors to avoid being caught in market fluctuations, emphasizing the importance of ensuring that created value translates into tangible returns [39][40].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of red envelope marketing as a unique strategy for market promotion and customer engagement during the Chinese New Year, particularly highlighting its effectiveness in the context of AI applications and consumer behavior [2][3]. Group 1: Red Envelope Marketing - Red envelope marketing has become a common phenomenon among companies during the Spring Festival, creating numerous successful business cases [3]. - The high recognition of red envelopes in China makes them a valuable marketing tool, helping to stimulate consumer activity and enhance the festive market atmosphere [2][4]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Market Dynamics - Red envelopes may not provide true consumer surplus but rather represent a discount from merchants or third parties, potentially confusing the relationship between consumers and products/services [4]. - Overuse of red envelope marketing can obscure market price signals and disrupt the genuine expression of consumer preferences, leading to unnecessary purchases [4]. Group 3: Innovation and Market Competition - As the market enters a new phase dominated by AI, the traditional first-mover advantage may become a burden, necessitating rapid innovation to meet changing consumer preferences [5]. - Resources allocated to red envelope promotions may be better spent on enhancing product quality and service scarcity, which could more effectively stimulate consumer activity [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the communication industry [4][7]. Core Insights - In January 2026, the communication industry index increased by 5.47%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index (+3.76%), CSI 300 Index (+1.65%), Shenzhen Component Index (+5.03%), and ChiNext Index (+4.47%) [3][13]. - The capital expenditure of the four major North American cloud providers is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase of over 60% in 2026 [6][24]. - The procurement results for special optical cables by China Mobile indicate that eight manufacturers, including Tongding Interconnection and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable, have been selected, highlighting the focus on key sectors such as industrial manufacturing and digital government [6][7]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The communication industry index showed a strong performance in January 2026, with a 5.47% increase, outperforming major indices [3][13]. - Sub-sectors within the communication industry saw varied performance, with cable, other communication equipment, and system equipment rising by 19.70%, 10.72%, and 7.85% respectively [16]. Telecommunications Sector - In 2025, the telecommunications business revenue reached CNY 1.75 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [6][45]. - By December 2025, 5G mobile phone users accounted for 65.9% of total mobile phone users, with a monthly data usage (DOU) of 23.04GB per user, reflecting a 17.0% year-on-year increase [6][45]. Cloud Infrastructure Investment - The combined capital expenditure of the four major North American cloud providers in Q4 2025 was USD 126 billion, marking a 62.0% year-on-year increase [24][25]. - For 2026, the total capital expenditure guidance for these providers exceeds USD 660 billion, with an expected growth of 61.0% [24][25]. AI and Smartphone Market - The retail sales of communication equipment in China increased by 20.9% year-on-year in December 2025, driven by the demand for smartphones [44]. - The global smartphone shipment is projected to grow by 2% in 2025, reaching 1.25 billion units, with AI smartphones expected to penetrate 34% of the market by 2025 [6][44]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in optical devices, optical chips, optical modules, and AI smartphones, including Tianfu Communication, ZTE, and China Mobile [7][6].