证券代码：600026 证券简称：中远海能 公告编号：2025-057 中远海运能源运输股份有限公司 关于向特定对象发行 A 股股票结果暨股本变动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 中远海运能源运输股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"发行人"）本次向特 定对象发行 A 股股票（以下简称"本次发行"）对应的 694,444,444 股新增股份 已于 2025 年 10 月 22 日在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公司（以下简 称"中国结算上海分公司"）办理完毕股份登记、托管及限售手续。本次发行新 增股份为有限售条件流通股，将于限售期届满后的次一交易日起在上海证券交易 所（以下简称"上交所"）上市流通交易，如遇法定节假日或休息日，则顺延至 其后的第一个交易日。 新增股票限售期安排 本次发行对象为包括公司间接控股股东中国远洋海运集团有限公司（以下简 称"中远海运集团"）在内的 7 家。中远海运集团认购的本次发行的股份自发行 结束之日起 18 个月内不得转让，其他发行对象通过本次发行认购的公司股份 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of China Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (中远海能) has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.13% and a total market capitalization of 569.63 billion yuan. The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 4.83% but has faced declines in the short term [1]. Company Overview - China Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. is based in Hongkou District, Shanghai, and was established on July 26, 1996. It was listed on May 23, 2002. The company's main business includes international and coastal oil and refined oil transportation, as well as international liquefied natural gas (LNG) transportation [1]. - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: foreign trade crude oil 44.88%, domestic crude oil 13.64%, LNG transportation 10.69%, foreign trade refined oil 9.88%, domestic refined oil 9.49%, foreign trade ship leasing 8.06%, chemical transportation 1.37%, LPG transportation 1.21%, domestic ship leasing 0.54%, and others 0.24% [1]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, China Cosco Shipping Energy reported a revenue of 11.642 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.08% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.869 billion yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 28.28% compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 14.462 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.437 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for China Cosco Shipping Energy reached 116,500, an increase of 7.95% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person remained at 0 [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 91.6484 million shares, an increase of 18.3201 million shares from the previous period. Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF also increased their holdings [3].

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (71.22%), COSCO Shipping Energy (70.13%), and GCL-Poly Energy (69.57%) [1] - In the last five trading days, the largest increases in holding amounts were seen in China Mobile (+1.929 billion), Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (+1.897 billion), and InnoCare Pharma (+1.751 billion) [1] - Conversely, Alibaba (-3.254 billion), SMIC (-2.330 billion), and Laopuhuang (-0.855 billion) experienced the largest decreases in holding amounts [2] Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Connect Holding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) has a holding ratio of 71.22% with 9.884 billion shares [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) has a holding ratio of 70.13% with 909 million shares [1] - GCL-Poly Energy (01330) has a holding ratio of 69.57% with 281 million shares [1] - Other notable companies include China Shenhua (67.74%), Kaisa Group (67.61%), and Xinte Energy (65.33%) [1] Group 2: Recent Increases in Holdings - China Mobile (00941) saw an increase of 1.929 billion in holding amount and 22.8427 million shares [1] - Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) increased by 1.897 billion and 71.8145 million shares [1] - InnoCare Pharma (09606) increased by 1.751 billion and 5.5669 million shares [1] - Other companies with significant increases include Meituan-W (+1.592 billion) and Xiaomi Group-W (+1.105 billion) [1] Group 3: Recent Decreases in Holdings - Alibaba-W (09988) experienced a decrease of 3.254 billion in holding amount and 20.0969 million shares [2] - SMIC (00981) saw a decrease of 2.330 billion and 31.1261 million shares [2] - Laopuhuang (06181) decreased by 0.855 billion and 1.2141 million shares [2] - Other companies with notable decreases include Huahong Semiconductor (-0.792 billion) and Jiangxi Copper (-0.651 billion) [2]

Group 1 - The consumer electronics sector experienced a significant surge, with stocks like Yunzhong Technology rising by 20% and Industrial Fulian approaching the daily limit [1][6] - The A-share market opened strongly, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3900 points and the Shenzhen Component Index exceeding 13000 points, indicating a broad market rally with over 4600 stocks rising [1] - Major sectors such as electronics, communication, and machinery saw substantial net inflows, with electronics receiving over 24 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The iPhone 17 series has shown impressive sales, with a 14% increase in sales compared to the iPhone 16 during the first ten days of its release in China and the US, and the standard version's sales in China nearly doubling that of its predecessor [4] - The market for AI smart glasses is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted compound annual growth rate of 55.6% from 2024 to 2029, indicating strong demand and potential investment opportunities in this sector [7]

Core Insights - The article highlights the current premium rates of AH shares, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading at a premium rate of 881.82% [1] - The bottom three in terms of premium rates are Ningde Times (03750) at -17.23%, China Merchants Bank (03968) at 1.09%, and Hengrui Medicine (01276) at 1.64% [1] - The article also discusses the deviation values of these stocks, indicating significant discrepancies between their A-shares and H-shares [1] Premium Rate Rankings - The top three AH shares by premium rate are: 1. Northeast Electric (00042) with a premium rate of 881.82% and a deviation value of 68.11% [1] 2. Hongye Futures (03678) with a premium rate of 248.18% and a deviation value of 18.60% [2] 3. Zhejiang Shibao (01057) with a premium rate of 247.12% and a deviation value of 23.76% [1] - The bottom three AH shares by premium rate are: 1. Ningde Times (03750) with a premium rate of -17.23% and a deviation value of -2.71% [1] 2. China Merchants Bank (03968) with a premium rate of 1.09% and a deviation value of -3.46% [1] 3. Hengrui Medicine (01276) with a premium rate of 1.64% and a deviation value of 4.78% [1] Deviation Value Rankings - The top three AH shares by deviation value are: 1. Northeast Electric (00042) with a deviation value of 68.11% [1] 2. Shandong Molong (00568) with a deviation value of 29.50% [1] 3. Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) with a deviation value of 28.06% [1] - The bottom three AH shares by deviation value are: 1. Shanghai Electric (02727) with a deviation value of -27.72% [2] 2. China Foreign Transport (00598) with a deviation value of -17.01% [2] 3. COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) with a deviation value of -15.18% [2]

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (00728) at 70.93%, COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) at 69.85%, and GCL-Poly Energy (01330) at 69.62% [1] Hong Kong Stock Connect Latest Holding Ratios (Top 20) - China Telecom (00728): 9.844 billion shares, 70.93% holding ratio [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138): 905 million shares, 69.85% holding ratio [1] - GCL-Poly Energy (01330): 282 million shares, 69.62% holding ratio [1] - China Shenhua Energy (01088): 2.286 billion shares, 67.66% holding ratio [1] - Kaisa Group Holdings (01108): 169 million shares, 67.41% holding ratio [1] - Other notable companies include: - China Southern Power Grid (03033): 6.028 billion shares, 60.28% holding ratio [1] - GAC Group (02238): 1.629 billion shares, 57.89% holding ratio [1] Recent 5-Day Increase in Holdings (Top 10) - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): +2.213 billion CNY, +46.943 million shares [1] - InnoCare Pharma-B (09606): +1.901 billion CNY, +5.590 million shares [1] - Meituan-W (03690): +1.430 billion CNY, +14.791 million shares [1] - Other companies with significant increases include: - Pop Mart International (09992): +1.386 billion CNY [1] - China Mobile (00941): +1.383 billion CNY [1] Recent 5-Day Decrease in Holdings (Top 10) - Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800): -5.916 billion CNY, -22.309 million shares [1] - SMIC (00981): -1.859 billion CNY, -2.588 million shares [1] - Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (02828): -1.745 billion CNY, -1.855 million shares [1] - Other companies with notable decreases include: - Innovent Biologics (01801): -1.124 billion CNY [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358): -0.708 billion CNY [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Energy is the largest tanker owner globally, with a diverse fleet structure that allows the company to capitalize on market cycles effectively [1] Group 1: Company Overview - China Merchants Energy owns 44 VLCCs, contributing nearly 1 billion yuan in net profit elasticity, while the overall fleet's net profit elasticity is close to 2 billion yuan [1] - The company has additional profit elasticity of 400 million yuan from its current orders upon delivery [1] Group 2: Demand and Supply Dynamics - OPEC+ is increasing crude oil production, which is expected to boost transportation demand, with a potential increase of 2.14 to 4.11 million barrels per day [1] - The current low oil prices have released pent-up inventory demand, with global crude oil inventories still having a capacity of 460 million barrels compared to the five-year high [1] - The supply constraints are strong, with VLCC fleet capacity not seeing concentrated scrapping for nearly 20 years, leading to an expected actual fleet growth rate of 3.3% and 5.1% for 2026-2027 [2] Group 3: Profit Forecast - The forecast for VLCC freight rates is set at an average of $50,000/day, $60,000/day, and $58,000/day for the years 2025 to 2027 [3] - Projected revenues for the company are 24.485 billion yuan, 26.725 billion yuan, and 27.233 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 5.8%, 9.1%, and 1.9% respectively [3] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 4.462 billion yuan, 5.803 billion yuan, and 5.757 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of +10.5%, +30.1%, and -0.8% respectively [3] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Potential - The company's replacement cost is estimated at 55.43 billion yuan, with the current market value being 0.73 times the replacement cost, lower than its peers [3] - If benchmarked against a P/NAV of 1.16 times, the company has an upside potential of 58% [4] - Under various scenarios, including a 10% increase in ship prices, the estimated replacement cost could rise to 60.5 billion yuan, indicating potential price increases of 65%, 72%, and 200% under different assumptions [4]

Group 1: Market Reactions and Economic Data - The Hong Kong stock market showed a strong rebound, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.42% [1] - The U.S. government shutdown continues, leading to increased public dissatisfaction, highlighted by a nationwide protest involving approximately 7 million participants [1] - China's economic data for the first three quarters of 2025 shows a GDP of 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, although consumption and investment have declined [3] Group 2: Robotics and Technology Developments - Yubiquitous Technology secured a contract worth 126 million yuan for the procurement of humanoid robots, adding to its significant order backlog of over 630 million yuan for the Walker series [4] - The robotics sector is experiencing growth, with companies like Yushutech reporting substantial sales figures and aiming for increased production in the coming year [3][4] Group 3: Stock Buybacks and Market Performance - Companies engaging in significant stock buybacks, such as China Resources Gas, are seeing positive market reactions, with shares rising over 4% [5] - Sanhua Intelligent Control announced an increase in its share repurchase price cap, leading to an 8% rise in its stock price [4] Group 4: Shipping and Aviation Industry Trends - The global shipping industry is undergoing a significant reshuffle due to new port fees, benefiting companies like COSCO Shipping Energy, which saw an 8% increase in stock price [6] - The aviation sector is also thriving, with China Eastern Airlines reporting a 9% increase in stock price, driven by a strategic focus on international routes [6] Group 5: IPOs and Investment in Technology - The rapid IPO process for Muxi Integrated Circuit indicates strong regulatory support for technology firms, with related companies experiencing stock price increases [7] - MINIEYE's successful bid for an autonomous driving project marks a significant step in the commercialization of its technology, leading to a 7% rise in its stock price [7] Group 6: Tourism and Hospitality Sector Insights - The tourism industry shows steady demand, with hotel average daily rates and revenue per available room experiencing positive growth, although supply pressures remain [8] - Analysts are optimistic about the Macau gaming sector, particularly for companies like Sands China and Galaxy Entertainment, due to low revenue baselines [8] Group 7: Company Performance and Global Expansion - Shenzhou International reported a revenue increase of 15.3% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in leisure and overseas markets [9] - The company is expanding its global production capacity, with overseas factories accounting for approximately 53% of total garment output [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [9][11]. Core Views - The company is positioned as the world's largest oil tanker owner, with a robust fleet structure that allows it to capitalize on market cycles. The demand for oil transportation is expected to increase due to OPEC+ production boosts, while supply constraints are anticipated to maintain freight rate elasticity [9][10]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 24.485 billion, 26.725 billion, and 27.233 billion RMB, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 5.84%, 9.14%, and 1.90% respectively [8][10]. - Net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders is forecasted to be 4.462 billion, 5.803 billion, and 5.757 billion RMB for the same period, with growth rates of 10.51%, 30.05%, and -0.80% [8][10]. - The company’s gross profit is expected to be 6.660 billion, 8.336 billion, and 8.168 billion RMB, with gross margins of 27.2%, 31.2%, and 30.0% respectively [10]. Company Overview - The company controls a fleet of 158 vessels, including 54 VLCCs, making it the largest in the world. The fleet's structure provides significant operational flexibility and profit elasticity [19][23]. - The company has a strong focus on dividend distribution, maintaining a payout ratio around 50% since 2022, with a current dividend yield close to 7% [37][39]. Market Demand and Supply Dynamics - The demand for oil transportation is expected to be bolstered by OPEC+ production increases, with a projected supply increase of 214,000 to 411,000 barrels per day [9][46]. - The supply side is characterized by strong constraints, with the VLCC fleet not experiencing significant capacity scrapping for nearly 20 years, leading to a projected effective fleet growth rate of -0.3% to 1.8% from 2026 to 2027 [9][10][13]. Valuation - The company's reset cost is estimated at 55.43 billion RMB, with a current market value to reset cost ratio of 0.73, indicating potential for price appreciation [11][10]. - If benchmarked against comparable companies, the potential upside is estimated at 58%, with scenarios predicting price increases of 65% to 200% under various assumptions regarding ship prices [11][10].

Group 1: Market Overview - The US-China trade relations show signs of easing, and China's GDP growth for the first three quarters is reported at 5.2% year-on-year [1] - Hong Kong's three major indices rebounded collectively, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.42% to close at 25,858.83 points, and a total trading volume of HKD 239.16 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 3%, indicating a strong performance in the tech sector [1] Group 2: Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Alibaba (09988) saw a significant increase of 4.86%, closing at HKD 161.9, contributing 113.55 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include NetEase (09999) up 5.18%, China Petroleum (00857) up 5.05%, while Orient Overseas International (00316) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) experienced slight declines [2] Group 3: Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks rebounded, with Alibaba rising nearly 5%, and Baidu and Tencent both increasing over 3% [3] - The aviation sector continued its upward trend, with China Eastern Airlines (00670) surging over 9% [3] - Semiconductor stocks also saw gains, driven by the acceleration of domestic self-sufficiency and AI advancements [4] Group 4: Robotics and Gaming Sector - Robotics stocks performed well, with UBTECH (09880) rising by 9.77% after winning a significant contract worth HKD 126 million [5][6] - Gaming stocks collectively increased, with Wynn Macau (01128) up 4.44% and Sands China (01928) up 4.37% [5][7] Group 5: Gold Stocks and Market Sentiment - Gold stocks faced declines, with notable drops including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) down 6.18% [7] - Recent volatility in gold prices, including a drop from a historical high of USD 4,379 to a low of USD 4,185, has affected market sentiment [7] Group 6: Notable Stock Movements - Haixi Pharmaceutical (02637) debuted with a 20.6% increase, closing at HKD 104.2 [8] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) reached a new high, closing up 7.91% at HKD 10.09, supported by strategic developments in the shipping sector [9] - Leap Motor (09863) saw a rise of 6.19% after significant insider buying [10] - YF Financial (00376) and Yao Cai Securities (01428) declined, attributed to regulatory actions affecting stablecoin projects [11]