智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，李宁(02331)2025年上半年业绩优于预期，或会为股价提供下行支 撑，评级为"持有"。报告指出，李宁2025年上半年销售额同比增长3.3%，该行及市场预期增长1%及 1.8%，毛利率与市场共识持平，为50%，高于该行预期的49.4%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrates a "steady" development approach amidst uncertainties, combining flexibility in strategy with a focus on sustainable growth [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.3% - Gross profit reached 7.41 billion yuan, up 2.5%, with a gross margin of 50% - Net profit stood at 1.74 billion yuan, and cash and cash equivalents totaled 11.8 billion yuan, an increase of 4.3 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024 [1]. Strategic Approach - The company emphasizes a "steady" strategy that is not conservative but involves proactive measures in marketing and operational adjustments [2]. - The management highlights the importance of balancing aggressive marketing investments with systematic control and adjustments in operations [2][3]. Industry Context - The Chinese sports footwear and apparel industry is projected to grow to 598.9 billion yuan by 2025, with an expected annual growth rate of 11.62% from 2021 to 2025 [2]. - The industry is characterized by intense competition, with a multi-brand landscape and a focus on technological innovation and channel integration [2]. Brand Strategy - The company maintains a single-brand strategy, leveraging its founder's athlete background to enhance brand professionalism [4]. - This strategy allows the company to concentrate resources on the "Li Ning" brand, avoiding the risks associated with multi-brand acquisitions [4]. Product Performance - The company reported strong market recognition in categories such as running, basketball, and cross-training, with these categories accounting for 67% of retail sales [5]. - The running category saw a retail sales increase of 15%, with total sales of over 14 million pairs of running shoes in the first half of 2025 [5]. Innovation and R&D - The company has increased R&D investment by 8.7%, outpacing revenue growth, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 3.8 billion yuan over the past decade [8]. - New technologies, such as the "超䨻" technology, are being developed to enhance product competitiveness [8][9]. Channel Optimization - The company is strategically opening new stores in emerging markets while maintaining high-quality channel standards [10]. - As of June 2025, the total number of stores was 7,534, with a focus on high-level market contributions [10]. Long-term Vision - The company's strategy reflects a commitment to long-term growth, aiming to remain one of China's leading brands over the next decade [12].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rise, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by 0.93% to close at 25,339.14 points, and the Hang Seng Technology Index soaring nearly 3% [1] - The overall trading volume for the day was HKD 285.58 billion, with the Hang Seng Index gaining 0.27% over the week [1] Blue Chip Performance - Semiconductor company SMIC (00981) led the blue-chip stocks, rising by 10.06% to HKD 56.9, contributing 36.87 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable performers included Li Ning (02331) up 8.78%, BYD Electronics (00285) up 6.13%, while Sinopec (00386) and China Resources Power (00836) saw declines [2] Sector Highlights - The technology sector experienced a collective surge, with major stocks like Kuaishou and Alibaba rising significantly [3] - Chip stocks exploded, with Huahong Semiconductor rising by 17.85% and ZTE Corporation by 15.13% [3] - The automotive sector also performed well, with XPeng Motors increasing by 13% following significant share purchases by its CEO [3][8] Earnings Reports - Miniso (09896) reported a revenue of HKD 4.97 billion for Q2, a year-on-year increase of 23.1%, with a notable 87% surge in TOP TOY revenue [7] - SUTENG (02498) achieved a revenue of approximately HKD 460 million, up 24.4% year-on-year, driven by a 631.9% increase in robot sales [7] - Kuaishou's Q2 revenue grew by 13.1% to HKD 35 billion, with adjusted net profit rising by 20.1% [7] Chip Industry Developments - DeepSeek launched its new model, DeepSeek-V3.1, which is expected to enhance the domestic chip design process [4] - The domestic computing power sector is anticipated to see accelerated growth due to increased demand for AI chips and local chip production [4] Airline Sector Performance - Airline stocks faced declines, with China Southern Airlines (01055) down 1.77% and China Eastern Airlines (00670) down 2.83% [5] - July operational data indicated a 2.3% year-on-year increase in domestic route capacity, but the overall demand remains subdued [6] Notable Stock Movements - XPeng Motors saw a strong performance with a 13.6% increase after its CEO's share purchase [8] - NIO's new ES8 model launch led to an 11.12% rise in its stock price [9] - COSCO Shipping Energy (01138) rose by 7.63% due to changes in global oil supply dynamics [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating for the company with a target price of HKD 16.28, indicating a potential downside of 10.1% from the current closing price of HKD 18.11 [2][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a steady performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue increasing by 3.3% year-on-year to RMB 14.82 billion. However, challenges are anticipated in the third quarter due to declining foot traffic and increased marketing expenses related to the Olympics [7]. - The management has maintained its full-year guidance for 2025, expecting flat revenue and a high single-digit net profit margin. The company is currently in an adjustment phase, and the recovery pace in the second half remains uncertain [7]. - The company has a healthy inventory level with a stock-to-sales ratio of four months, despite a net decrease of 51 stores to 7,534 by the end of the first half [7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 27,598 million in 2023, RMB 28,676 million in 2024, and RMB 29,007 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 7.0%, 3.9%, and 1.2% respectively [6][8]. - Net profit is expected to decline from RMB 3,187 million in 2023 to RMB 2,678 million in 2025, with a corresponding decrease in earnings per share from RMB 1.23 to RMB 1.04 [6][17]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 49.1% in 2025, down from 48.4% in 2023, while the net profit margin is expected to decrease to 9.2% in 2025 [8][18]. Market Position and Strategy - The company continues to focus on professional sports categories, with footwear sales growing by 4.9% year-on-year, while apparel sales declined by 3.4%. The running category showed strong growth, with sales increasing by 15% [7]. - The management has increased marketing investments, particularly in collaboration with the Chinese Olympic Committee, to enhance the brand's professional image, despite the anticipated rise in marketing expense ratios in the second half of the year [7].

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning Company reported a revenue of 14.82 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, with a net profit of 1.74 billion RMB and a net profit margin of 11.7% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue reached 14.82 billion RMB, up 3.3% year-on-year - Gross profit was 7.41 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 50.0% - Net profit stood at 1.74 billion RMB, with a net profit margin of 11.7% [1] R&D Investment - R&D investment increased by 8.7% year-on-year, totaling over 3.8 billion RMB in the last decade - The company has enhanced its ability to convert technological research into product applications [1][2] Product Development - The introduction of "超䨻科技" technology in new products has been well-received in the market - The "越影5 PRO" running shoes are the first to feature this technology, enhancing the company's product lineup [2] Market Segmentation and Growth - The company focuses on six core categories: running, basketball, cross-training, badminton, table tennis, and sports leisure - Running, basketball, and cross-training categories accounted for 67% of retail sales [2] Sales Performance - The running category saw a retail sales increase of 15%, with over 14 million pairs of professional running shoes sold - The company’s running shoes achieved a 61.35% market share among runners completing the Beijing Half Marathon in under 90 minutes [3] Operational Efficiency - Li Ning Company maintains a channel inventory turnover ratio of 4 months, with an inventory turnover period of 61 days - The company emphasizes systematic inventory management to ensure healthy channel inventory levels [5] Channel Strategy - The company is optimizing its channel structure by collaborating with top commercial entities and expanding into emerging markets - As of June 30, 2025, the total number of Li Ning stores reached 7,534 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's H1 2025 performance met expectations, supported by professional sports resources for long-term development [5] - The company reported a revenue of 14.82 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, with a gross profit of 7.42 billion RMB, up 2.5% year-on-year [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.74 billion RMB, down 11.0% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 11.7%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points [7] - The company has a strong dividend policy, with an interim dividend of 0.3359 RMB per share, representing a payout ratio of 50% [7] - E-commerce contributed the largest incremental revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%, accounting for 29.0% of total revenue [7] - The company signed player Yang Hansheng, who was selected in the first round of the NBA draft, which is expected to enhance brand sales and improve the popularity of basketball in China [7] - The company focuses on a "single brand, multiple categories, multiple channels" strategy, with ongoing investment in R&D to enhance product competitiveness [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 29.03 billion RMB, 30.77 billion RMB, and 32.85 billion RMB, respectively, with growth rates of 1.2%, 6.0%, and 6.8% [6][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.65 billion RMB in 2025, 2.85 billion RMB in 2026, and 3.10 billion RMB in 2027 [6][8] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 11.54% in 2024 to 8.95% in 2027 [6][8] - The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-asset ratio of 26.13% [3]

Core Insights - Li Ning reported a revenue of 14.817 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to equity holders was 1.737 billion yuan, a decrease of 11% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 11.7% [1] - The gross profit margin declined by 0.4 percentage points to 50.0% [1] E-commerce Performance - The company optimized its e-commerce platform operations and enhanced online marketing strategies, leading to a 7.4% year-on-year increase in e-commerce channel revenue, which contributed the largest incremental growth [1] - The membership service system was improved, resulting in increased online sales scale and customer loyalty [1] Distribution Channels - Revenue from authorized distributors grew steadily by 4.4% year-on-year, further increasing their share to 46.5%, continuing to play a core supporting role [1] - Retail channel performance faced pressure, with revenue from direct stores declining by 3.4% due to adjustments in store layout and shifts in consumer scenarios [1] Store Network - As of June 30, the number of sales points for Li Ning brand (including core brand and Li Ning YOUNG) was 7,534, a net decrease of 51 stores compared to December 31, 2024 [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 14.82 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.3% [1] - Gross profit reached 7.41 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 50.0%, while net profit was 1.74 billion yuan, yielding a net margin of 11.7% [1] - The company has become the official partner of the Chinese Olympic Committee and the Chinese sports delegation for 2025-2028, launching a marketing campaign titled "China Glory, Li Ning Together" across over 5,200 stores nationwide [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 14.82 billion yuan, up 3.3% year-on-year [1] - Gross profit was 7.41 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 50.0%, and net profit was 1.74 billion yuan, with a net margin of 11.7% [1] - R&D investment increased by 8.7% year-on-year, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 3.8 billion yuan over the past decade [1] Product Development - The company focuses on six core categories, including running and basketball, while expanding into new areas like outdoor and tennis [2] - Retail sales in the running category grew by 15%, with over 14 million pairs of professional running shoes sold [2] - The company launched new products utilizing advanced technologies, such as "Ultra Light" and "Aerospace Dry" [1][2] Operational Efficiency - As of June 30, 2025, the company operated 7,534 stores, maintaining a healthy inventory turnover with an inventory turnover period of 61 days [2] - E-commerce direct sales experienced high double-digit growth, while Li Ning Young's offline retail sales grew by 10%-20% [2] - The company has optimized its supply chain, expanding flexible supply capabilities and completing its national logistics network [2] Future Outlook - The company plans to adhere to a "single brand, multi-category, multi-channel" strategy, focusing on product competitiveness and the effectiveness of its Olympic Committee partnership [2] - The company aims to drive long-term sustainable growth through steady operations in the second half of 2025 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning (02331.HK) announced an interim dividend of RMB 0.3359 per share to be distributed on September 16, 2025, with a strong buy rating from multiple investment banks [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Li Ning's market capitalization is HKD 47.483 billion, ranking 4th in the apparel and home textiles industry [2] - The company reported a revenue of HKD 28.676 billion, placing it 2nd in the industry [2] - Li Ning's net profit margin stands at 10.51%, significantly higher than the industry average of -12.58% [2] - The company's gross profit margin is 49.37%, compared to the industry average of 36.03% [2] - Li Ning's return on equity (ROE) is 11.81%, while the industry average is -5.0% [2] - The company's debt ratio is 26.9%, which is lower than the industry average of 50.99% [2] Group 2: Analyst Ratings - In the past 90 days, 17 investment banks have issued buy ratings for Li Ning, with an average target price of HKD 19.01 [1] - Guotai Junan Securities recently provided a buy rating for Li Ning [1] - Various investment banks have set target prices ranging from HKD 16.28 to HKD 20.82, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [1]

李宁(02331)发布公告，该公司将于2025年9月16日派发中期股息每股0.3359元人民币。 ...