Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the light industry manufacturing and textile apparel sectors [4][6]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference highlighted the optimization of the "two new" policies, with an expected increase in subsidy amounts for 2026, from 150 billion yuan in 2024 to 300 billion yuan in 2025. The support scope is expanding from physical consumption to service consumption, indicating a significant policy shift [6][7]. - The report suggests focusing on four main investment lines: emotional consumption, intelligent consumer goods, branded apparel, and manufacturing upgrades. It emphasizes the potential for increased concentration in the paper and textile manufacturing sectors due to manufacturing efficiency, innovation capabilities, and environmental standards [6][7]. - The report identifies specific companies with growth potential, such as Pop Mart, which has a replicable IP incubation capability, and Morning Glory, which is undergoing a transformation [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The light industry manufacturing index decreased by 1.04%, ranking 16th among 28 industries, while the textile apparel index fell by 2.57%, ranking 26th [6][11]. - The report notes a mixed performance in sub-sectors, with packaging printing up by 1.45% and home goods down by 1.75% [11]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies like Sun Paper, Baiya Co., and Huali Group, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [4][6]. - Specific attention is drawn to the outdoor retail expansion of Li Ning, which is seen as a positive operational change [6][7]. Raw Material and Pricing Trends - The report tracks raw material prices, noting increases in MDI and TDI, while soft foam polyether prices have decreased. The prices of various paper products are also monitored, with packaging paper continuing to rise [19][44]. - The report highlights the rebound in broadleaf pulp prices and the overall positive trend in the paper sector, suggesting potential profitability improvements for companies like Sun Paper [7][44]. Export and Domestic Market Dynamics - The report discusses the recovery of exports, particularly in the furniture sector, with a noted increase in non-wood furniture exports from Vietnam to the U.S. [6][7]. - It also highlights the challenges in the domestic real estate market, with significant declines in property sales and construction activity [69][89].

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 12x and 18x [2][30]. Core Views - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing fluctuations in revenue, with notable declines in some manufacturers' performance due to changing international trade environments and tariff policies [1][13]. - The report anticipates a recovery in orders and shipments for apparel manufacturers in 2026, driven by improved demand and healthy inventory levels [23][28]. - Key brands like Nike are expected to show gradual improvement in their operational performance, which may positively impact their suppliers [23][24]. Summary by Sections Recent Revenue Performance - In November 2025, revenue for Feng Tai Enterprises, Ruo Hong, and Yu Yuan Group decreased by 11.8%, increased by 1.5%, and decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, respectively [1][13]. - Cumulatively from January to November 2025, Feng Tai's revenue declined by 4.9%, while Ruo Hong and Yu Yuan reported increases of 3.8% and 0.9% [1][13]. Industry Outlook - The report indicates that the apparel manufacturing sector is expected to see a recovery in orders in 2026, with a focus on companies with integrated and international supply chains [28][29]. - The report highlights that the competitive landscape is improving, with leading manufacturers likely to gain market share [2][27]. Key Investment Opportunities - Recommended stocks include Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with a focus on companies that are expected to benefit from improved customer trends and operational efficiencies [2][28]. - Other companies to watch include Weixing Co., Kairun Co., and Jingyuan International, which are also positioned well for future growth [2][28]. Brand Performance - The report emphasizes the importance of brand performance, particularly for Nike in the Greater China region, which is expected to show a turnaround [28]. - Other recommended brands include Anta Sports and Li Ning, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 14x and 16x [28].

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in A-shares has underperformed the broader market since December, with textile manufacturing showing better performance than branded apparel, declining by -3.3% and -4.4% respectively [1][13] - The Hong Kong textile and apparel index rose by 2.9% in November but has since turned negative in December [1] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing in October grew by 6.3% year-on-year, with a stable growth rate compared to the previous month, increasing by 1.6 percentage points [2] - E-commerce performance varied significantly between categories from October to November, with outdoor leisure leading, while home textiles and personal care faced declines. Year-on-year growth rates for various categories were: outdoor (+20%), sportswear (0%), leisurewear (+8%), home textiles (-9%), and personal care (-2%) [2] - Notable brands with strong growth included Descente (74%), Lululemon (69%), and Asics (8%) in sportswear; and brands like Atour Planet (43%) and Luolai Home Textile (26%) in home textiles [2] Textile Manufacturing Insights - In November, Vietnam's textile and footwear exports faced a high base effect from the previous year, resulting in a decline of -2.6% and -3.8% respectively. China's textile exports showed a slight recovery at +1.0%, while apparel and footwear exports fell by -10.9% and -17.2% respectively [3] - The macroeconomic environment remains challenging, with fluctuations in cotton prices and a slight increase in wool prices by +4.8% month-on-month and +32.0% year-on-year in November [3] - Taiwanese manufacturers reported improved revenue in November, driven by World Cup-related orders and a return to normalcy in brand ordering rhythms [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the recovery of consumer spending and the rebound in textile manufacturing. It highlights the potential for high-end consumer recovery and the strong outlook for the light luxury outdoor segment [5][6] - Key brands recommended for investment include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing trends in high-end consumption and outdoor sports [6] - In textile manufacturing, companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group are highlighted as beneficiaries of tariff reductions and Nike's recovery, while New Australia and Weixing Holdings are noted for their potential gains from rising wool prices and improved order visibility [7]

紫金矿业(02899)涨3.51%，中国宏桥(01378)涨3.32%，京东健康(06618)涨3.2%，金沙中国(01928)涨 2.36%，网易(09999)涨1.91%。跌幅方面，恒基地产(00012)跌1.03%，李宁(02331)跌0.75%，翰森制药 (03692)跌0.65%。 招金矿业(01818)高开1.97%，公司公布，有关2025年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创新可续期公司债券 （第一期），最终发行金额8亿元（人民币．下同），为计划规模不超过15亿元上限的53.3%。债券采 取网下面向专业机构投资者询价配售方式发行，发行工作已于昨日结束。期限为2年的债券品种一未发 行，期限为3年的债券品种二发行金额8亿元，超额认购倍数0.98倍，最终票面利率2.2%。债券承销机构 及其关联方共认购债券7000万元。 来源：金吾财讯 金吾财讯 | 港股开盘向好，恒指高开0.9%，国企指数高开0.88%，恒生科技指数高开1.02%。 红星美凯龙(01528)低开0.84%，公司公布，于近日收到股东淘宝控股及新零售基金告知，于本周三（10 日)至昨日，淘宝控股及新零售基金通过集中竞价合计减持3061.6万股H股 ...

Core Viewpoint - The consumer concept stocks have generally risen, reflecting positive market sentiment following the Central Economic Work Conference held in Beijing, which emphasized the importance of domestic demand and consumption [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Jiumaojiu (09922) increased by 5.42%, trading at HKD 1.75 [1] - Haidilao (06862) rose by 4.42%, trading at HKD 14.64 [1] - Chabaidao (02555) saw a 6.06% increase, trading at HKD 7.18 [1] - Mengniu Dairy (02319) gained 2.53%, trading at HKD 14.6 [1] - Li Ning (02331) went up by 1.8%, trading at HKD 17.56 [1] Group 2: Policy Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference, held on December 10-11, outlined a focus on domestic demand and the construction of a robust domestic market [1] - Key policies include the implementation of special actions to boost consumption and the development of plans to increase income for urban and rural residents [1] - The conference also emphasized the need to eliminate unreasonable restrictions in the consumption sector to unlock service consumption potential [1] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Galaxy Securities highlights the importance of the medium to long-term goals for consumption outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a short-term focus on specific policies related to consumption expected to be implemented by 2026 [1] - CMB International suggests three investment directions based on consumption types: 1) Survival consumption, emphasizing frugality, low prices, and high cost-performance [1] 2) Compensatory consumption, focusing on small pleasures and affordable entertainment [1] 3) Defensive consumption, which has risk-averse attributes [1]

Group 1 - The majority of Hong Kong consumer concept stocks are rising, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - Jiumaojiu (09922.HK) increased by 5.42%, reaching HKD 1.75 [1] - Haidilao (06862.HK) rose by 4.42%, trading at HKD 14.64 [1] - Chabaidao (02555.HK) saw a 6.06% increase, priced at HKD 7.18 [1] - Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) gained 2.53%, with a share price of HKD 14.6 [1] - Li Ning (02331.HK) experienced a 1.8% rise, now at HKD 17.56 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The consumer sector is experiencing a positive trend, driven by government policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption and addressing income growth for urban and rural residents [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Consumer concept stocks are mostly rising, with notable increases: Jiumaojiu (09922) up 5.42% to HKD 1.75, Haidilao (06862) up 4.42% to HKD 14.64, Chabaidao (02555) up 6.06% to HKD 7.18, Mengniu Dairy (02319) up 2.53% to HKD 14.6, and Li Ning (02331) up 1.8% to HKD 17.56 [1] Group 2: Government Policies - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 in Beijing emphasized the importance of domestic demand and the construction of a strong domestic market [1] - Key policies include the implementation of special actions to boost consumption, the formulation of income growth plans for urban and rural residents, the removal of unreasonable restrictions in the consumption sector, and the promotion of high-quality urban renewal [1] Group 3: Investment Insights - Galaxy Securities highlights the need to focus on the medium to long-term goals of consumption outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, with short-term attention on specific policies related to consumption expected to be implemented by 2026 [1] - CMB International suggests three investment directions based on consumption types: 1) survival consumption emphasizing frugality, low prices, and high cost-performance, 2) compensatory consumption focusing on small pleasures and affordable entertainment, and 3) defensive consumption with risk-averse attributes [1]

2025年的日历进入最后一页，随着"2025体坛榜样年度评选"正式启动，为这一年的忙碌画上一个相对完整的句号。到了年末，行业回顾、趋势盘点又一次 成为常规动作，我们也顺势把视角放回到中国运动品牌这一细分市场。 这一年里，运动品牌们都在忙着各自的布局：有人在加快赞助资源的抢占，有人在跑步这一高频场景持续深挖，也有品牌把重心转向更细分的户外消费人 群。 现在回头看，把这些分散的节点理一理，既能看到行业在过去一年里的真实状态，也能帮助我们更清楚地理解：在即将到来的新周期里，哪些趋势还可能 继续走下去，哪些又会被重新洗牌。年终回望的意义，大概就在这里。 奥运新周期，开启新战事 2025年是新一轮奥运周期的起点。年初，李宁取代安踏，时隔20年再次成为中国奥委会新周期的体育服装顶级合作伙伴。回顾过去，除 2002 年冬奥会 外，李宁在 1992—2004 年间几乎连续"占位"中国奥委会赞助商；而从 2009 年起，安踏接棒阿迪达斯，与中国奥委会合作了长达 16 年，并在这一时期成 长为国产运动品牌行业当之无愧的"一哥"。 进入新周期后，李宁的规划相对明确。围绕2028年奥运会、2026年冬奥会和亚运会等重要节点匹配营销资 ...

文｜消费财眼 曾几何时，走进任何一座城市的商业中心，安踏、李宁、特步的门店总是人潮涌动，与耐克、阿迪达斯分庭抗礼，它们是"国潮崛起"与"全民健身"红利最直 接的受益者。然而，不知不觉间，一种微妙而深刻的转变正在发生。 细心者会发现，这些品牌的店铺不再像过去那样急速扩张，一些商圈的门店甚至悄悄易主。现实情况便是如此，面对过去依赖"万店规模"跑马圈地的模式已 触顶，为提升效率，三大品牌不约而同地优化线下渠道。 例如，2025年上半年，李宁净关闭门店51家，特步主品牌门店也减少了22家。这绝非简单的收缩，而是增长瓶颈期下迫切的经营调整。当线下客流增长放 缓、主品牌增长引擎普遍乏力，关闭低效门店、向核心商圈的大型体验店和高效的奥特莱斯渠道集中资源，成为了它们应对存量竞争、提升单店盈利能力的 共同选择。 同时，在社交媒体上关于它们"设计雷同"、"除了Logo没区别"的讨论也开始增多。而在消费者心中，曾经因情怀与性价比激发的购买冲动，正逐渐被更审慎 的"值不值"所取代。这一切表面的"降温"，指向几个品牌共同面临的残酷现实：驱动行业狂奔十年的外部市场红利，已经正式见顶。 因此，几个品牌的门店集体收缩绝非简单的业务调整，而是 ...

招商证券国际发布研报称，在美联储降息、AI投资等因素支持下，预计美国经济明年保持温和增长， 维持对美股的战略性看多，但需关注结构性分化和一季度短期风险。针对明年港股市场展望，该行表 示，港股将从估值修复主导，迈向盈利增长主导。估值扩张可能减弱，但流动性宽松，不会形成拖累。 2026年呈现盈利驱动与流动性托底相结合的格局，通过"新供给创造新需"，成为港股市场新动力。 招商证券国际明年年一季度首选推荐股为：Alphabet(GOOGL.US)、Meta(META.US)、 Netflix(NFLX.US)、腾讯控股(00700)、阿里巴巴(BABA.US)、哔哩哔哩(BILI.US)、翰森制药(03692)、 康诺亚-B(02162)、信达生物(01801)、和誉-B(02256)、迈瑞医疗(300760.SZ)、新产业(300832.SZ)、吉利 汽车(00175)、比亚迪股份(01211)、小鹏汽车(09868)、优必选(09880)、地平线机器人-W(09660)、敏实 集团(00425)、泡泡玛特(09992)、亞朵(ATAT.US)、雅诗兰黛(EL.US)、李宁(02331)。 该行又指，新经济支撑港股 ...