港股体育用品股普遍上涨，其中，安踏、李宁均上涨超3%，特步国际涨近2%，裕元集团、361度、滔 搏皆有涨幅。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 02020 | 安踏体育 | 93.050 | 3.39% | | 02331 | 李宁 | 17.560 | 3.29% | | 01368 | 特步国际 | 5.730 | 1.78% | | 02368 | 鹰美 | 4.050 | 1.25% | | 00551 | 裕元集团 | 13.360 | 0.60% | | 01361 | 361度 | 5.800 | 0.69% | | 06110 | 溜搏 | 3.140 | 0.32% | 消息上，里昂发表研究报告指，留意到内地运动服饰品牌持续扩大市占率，上半年销售按年增长 4.2%，优于服装及配饰行业的3.1%增幅。该行首选安踏，将2025至27年销售额预测轻微上调2%，净利 润预测上调1%，目标价由114港元上调至116港元，予"跑赢大市"评级。至于李宁，该行维持"持有"评 级，目标价16港元。同时，该行将特步目标价由5.9港元上调至 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a significant shift in China's consumption structure from goods to services, with per capita service consumption expected to reach 46.1% of total consumption by 2024, contributing 63% to the growth of consumer spending [2] - The establishment of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway Company marks the beginning of a major infrastructure project that is expected to enhance regional economic collaboration and reduce logistics costs, with an estimated investment of around 500 billion yuan [7][8] - The report emphasizes the positive impact of major infrastructure projects on China's economic stability and growth, particularly in the context of external uncertainties [9][10] Economic News - The Ministry of Commerce indicates a rapid transition in China's consumption structure, with service consumption growing at an annual rate of 9.6% from 2020 to 2024 [2] - The Ministry of Finance has introduced a one-year "dual interest subsidy" policy aimed at boosting consumer loans for various sectors, including automotive and healthcare [2] - The People's Bank of China is encouraging increased credit support for the service consumption sector to ensure effective policy implementation [4] Company Insights - Alibaba Health has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Innovent Biologics to enhance supply chain solutions for cold-chain delivery of specific medications [5] - Didi has recently invested in a driverless commercial vehicle company, indicating a strategic move towards autonomous transportation [5] - Jiangfeng Electronics is planning to integrate its flat panel display target material business with Japan's Aifuka Corporation, showcasing international collaboration [5] Infrastructure Projects - The Xinjiang-Tibet Railway is expected to significantly lower logistics costs and enhance economic cooperation between regions, with a construction period projected to exceed 20 years [8][9] - The report outlines that the construction of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway will provide a safety net for China's economy against external uncertainties, contributing approximately 0.18% to GDP growth annually [8][9] - Other major infrastructure projects are also set to commence, which will serve as important engines for domestic demand and economic stability [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that leading companies in the construction and materials sector will benefit significantly from the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway project, including major state-owned enterprises [9] - It emphasizes that the implementation of major projects will not only yield long-term benefits but also stabilize the economy amid external challenges [11]

中信里昂发布研报称，预期中国运动服饰市场占有率将持续增长，上半年销售额年增4.2%，而运动休 闲服饰(AT&A)年增3.1%。但这仍低于整体消费品销售额年增5%的水平，这亦解释了市场对该行业的温 和情绪。 报告表示，安踏体育(02020)是主要的市场份额获得者，该行预计，国内品牌的销售额和盈利能力将超 国际运动零售商。同时，第三季基数应该会更加稳健，故该行预计品牌零售额在第二季放缓后将季比改 善。然而，折扣压力依然存在。 该行小幅调高了首选股安踏体育的盈测，并将目标价上调至116港元。同时维持李宁(02331)"持有"评 级，等待更多基本面因素的推动。该行另下调特步国际(01368)的盈测，但基于展期和外汇因素，将目 标价上调至6.3港元，并维持"跑赢大市"评级，因风险回报完整无缺。 ...

该行小幅调高了首选股安踏体育的盈测，并将目标价上调至116港元。同时维持李宁(02331)"持有"评 级，等待更多基本面因素的推动。该行另下调特步国际(01368)的盈测，但基于展期和外汇因素，将目 标价上调至6.3港元，并维持"跑赢大市"评级，因风险回报完整无缺。 报告表示，安踏体育(02020)是主要的市场份额获得者，该行预计，国内品牌的销售额和盈利能力将超 国际运动零售商。同时，第三季基数应该会更加稳健，故该行预计品牌零售额在第二季放缓后将季比改 善。然而，折扣压力依然存在。 智通财经APP获悉，中信里昂发布研报称，预期中国运动服饰市场占有率将持续增长，上半年销售额年 增4.2%，而运动休闲服饰(AT&A)年增3.1%。但这仍低于整体消费品销售额年增5%的水平，这亦解释了 市场对该行业的温和情绪。 ...

公募基金二季报本周进入密集披露期，部分头部基金及知名基金经理的调仓动向也备受市场关注。 综合来看，各家基金在二季度保持了高仓位运作，新能源产业链、医药消费等成为关注重点。 此外，睿远基金傅鹏博管理的基金则对光伏行业板块个股更为关注。综合季报，通威股份、迈为股 份等新晋十大重仓股，大族激光、先导智能等退出前十大重仓股序列；由傅鹏博、朱璘管理的睿远成长 价值混合基金前十大重仓股为三安光电、中国移动、立讯精密、东方雨虹、万华化学、通威股份、吉利 汽车、沃森生物、迈为股份、国瓷材料。相比一季度，该基金新进持仓了通威股份、吉利汽车、迈为股 份，而先导智能、大族激光、卫宁健康则被调出十大重仓股序列；广发基金刘格菘持仓结构没有出现大 幅调整。其前十大重仓股当中，亿纬锂能、龙佰集团的持仓量不变，国联股份、福莱特分别新晋成为第 七大重仓股和第九大重仓股。另外，晶澳科技、隆基绿能、锦浪科技等多只个股持股数量均较一季度末 有所增长。 Wind数据显示，截至7月20日记者发稿时，已经有多家基金公司旗下1338只股票型开放式基金（未 合并A/C）发布了二季度报告，其中不乏头部基金公司和张坤、刘格菘、傅鹏博、李晓星等知名基金经 理。易方 ...

李宁公布，公司将于2025年8月21日举行董事会会议，藉以批准发布公司及其附属公司截至2025年6月30 日止六个月的中期业绩公告，以及考虑宣派中期股息。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning Company Limited (02331.HK) announced that it will hold a board meeting on August 21, 2025, to approve the release of its interim results for the six months ending June 30, 2025, and to consider the declaration of an interim dividend if applicable [1] Group 1 - The board meeting is scheduled for August 21, 2025 [1] - The meeting will focus on approving the interim results announcement for the six months ending June 30, 2025 [1] - The company will also consider the declaration of an interim dividend during this meeting [1]

李寧有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） 股份代號：2331（港幣櫃台）及 82331（人民幣櫃台） 董事會會議日期 李寧有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）謹此公佈，本公司將於2025年8月 21日（星期四）舉行董事會會議，藉以（其中包括）批准發佈本公司及其附屬公司截至 2025年6月30日止六個月的中期業績公告，以及考慮宣派中期股息（如適用）。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容 而產生或因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED 香港，2025 年 8 月 11 日 於本公告日期，本公司的執行董事為李寧先生、高坂武史先生和李麒麟先生；本公司的 獨立非執行董事為顧福身先生、王亞非女士、陳振彬博士和王雅娟女士。 承董事會命 李寧有限公司 公司秘書 戴嘉莉 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the textile, apparel, and luxury goods industry [12]. Core Insights - The inventory cycle is a significant phenomenon in economic operations, reflecting changes in market supply and demand relationships and companies' adaptability to market environments. The cycle typically consists of four stages: proactive restocking, passive accumulation, proactive destocking, and passive destocking. The transition from proactive destocking to proactive restocking is expected to catalyze stock prices and valuation levels for brand companies [3][6]. - The textile and apparel industry generally experiences a cycle of destocking to restocking or accumulation lasting 1-3 years. Currently, the accumulation phase has persisted for over a year. With stable retail growth and favorable policies, it is anticipated that the industry will enter a destocking phase by Q3 2025, leading to potential upward movement in stock prices and valuations [8][9]. Summary by Sections Inventory Cycle Overview - The inventory cycle can be divided into four stages: proactive restocking, passive accumulation, proactive destocking, and passive destocking. Key indicators include GDP growth, apparel retail growth, and inventory year-on-year (yoy) changes, which reflect demand conditions and inventory trends [6][20]. - The report identifies four notable destocking to restocking phases from 2012 to present: Q4 2014 to Q1 2016, Q3 2017 to Q1 2019, Q2 2020 to Q4 2022, and Q1 2023 to Q1 2025 [23][26]. Current Inventory Cycle Status - The current inventory situation is relatively controllable, with significant inventory clearance achieved in 2023. Although retail performance has been weak since Q2 2024, overall inventory levels remain healthy. The future progress of the inventory cycle will depend on terminal retail performance [9][10]. - Retail levels are stable, with a reported 1.9% year-on-year increase in sales for clothing and footwear in June 2025. Despite some fluctuations, the retail sector is expected to improve gradually, particularly in H2 2025 [9][10]. Brand Performance and Market Outlook - The report highlights that the brand sector typically experiences a beta market phase during the late proactive destocking to passive destocking stages, correlating closely with retail growth trends. The retail sector is expected to stabilize in Q3 2024, with potential improvements in Q1 2025 as the base effects diminish [9][10]. - The sportswear sector is currently experiencing a weak beta market, with domestic brands expected to outperform international counterparts. The demand for functional and specialized products remains weak, leading brands to seek new market channels and product categories [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - Suzano announced a price increase of $20 per ton for commodity pulp in the Asian market for August, indicating a potential recovery in pulp and paper prices from current cyclical lows [2][4] - The report highlights the ongoing price adjustments in the paper industry, with various paper types experiencing different price movements, suggesting a recovery trend driven by supply-demand dynamics [4][50] - The report emphasizes the importance of policy catalysts in the home furnishing sector, particularly in light of recent housing policy optimizations in Beijing [4][31] Summary by Sections Home Furnishing - Recent policy changes in Beijing allow families to purchase multiple properties outside the city center, which is expected to stimulate the housing market [4][31] - Major home furnishing companies are currently valued at historical lows, presenting potential investment opportunities as market sentiment improves [4][31] Paper Industry - As of August 8, 2025, various paper prices are reported: double glue paper at 4993.75 CNY/ton (unchanged), copper plate paper at 5320 CNY/ton (unchanged), white card paper at 3955 CNY/ton (down 35 CNY/ton), box board paper at 3463.4 CNY/ton (up 12.8 CNY/ton), and corrugated paper at 2582.5 CNY/ton (up 46.25 CNY/ton) [4][50] - The report notes that the current pulp and paper prices are at cyclical lows, with expectations for a rebound due to supply-demand imbalances [4][50] Consumer Goods - The report discusses the launch of new health-focused products in the personal care sector, indicating a shift towards higher quality and compliance with health standards [4][6] - The collaboration between Morning Glory stationery and popular anime IPs is expected to enhance brand visibility and sales [4][6] Export Chain - In July, China's total exports increased by 7.2% year-on-year, with significant growth in exports to ASEAN countries [4][6] - The report suggests that the ongoing shift of production capacity to Southeast Asia may enhance the long-term competitiveness of companies with overseas supply chain layouts [4][6] Packaging - New regulations in Shanghai aimed at reducing single-use plastics are expected to drive demand for recyclable and biodegradable packaging solutions [4][6] - The report recommends companies involved in eco-friendly packaging solutions as potential investment opportunities [4][6] New Tobacco Products - The introduction of new electronic cigarette products in the UK is anticipated to boost market share for refillable devices [4][6] - The report highlights the potential for growth in the new tobacco sector, particularly for companies with strong partnerships and product offerings [4][6] Textile and Apparel - The textile and apparel sector has shown resilience, with notable increases in revenue for key players despite some challenges [4][6] - The report identifies leading companies in the apparel sector as potential investment opportunities based on their performance [4][6]