单品种看，上周五资金主要流入的商品期货（主连合约）品种有焦煤、铜、黄金、不锈钢和豆油，分别流入15.07 亿元、3.43 亿 元、2.11 亿元、1.50 亿元和1.37 亿元；主要流出的品种有多晶硅、白银、原油、螺纹钢和纯碱，分别流出3.22 亿元、2.17 亿 元、1.63 亿元、1.63 亿元和1.46 亿元。从主力合约看，黑色和有色金属板块呈流入状态，农产品、化工和金融板块呈流出状 态。 整体看，上周五商品期货（主连合约）资金呈微幅流入状态，黑色和有色金属板块流入较多，重点关注流入较多的焦煤、铜、 黄金和不锈钢，同时关注逆势流出的多晶硅、白银和螺纹钢。农产品和化工板块流出较多，重点关注流出较多的纯碱、PTA和 棉花，同时关注逆势流入的豆油、红枣和纸浆。金融板块重点关注30年期国债期货和沪深300股指期货。（徽商期货 方正） 图为金融期货主连合约资金流向（亿元） 图为商品期货主连合约资金流向（亿元） 图为商品期货资金流入前十名（亿元） 图为商品期货资金流出前十名（亿元） 图为板块资金流入额（亿元） ...

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Core Viewpoint - The futures market indicates a 75% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, up from 45% before the employment report [3]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - A rate cut is expected to lead to a depreciation of the US dollar, enhancing global economic stimulus expectations and improving oil demand forecasts, which may drive prices up [4]. Group 2: Inventory Data - Seasonal inventory data shows significant deviations compared to the same period last year, with notable increases in certain commodities: - Urea inventory is up 341.46% [9] - Manganese silicon inventory is up 57.69% [9] - Peanut inventory is up 121.91% [9] - Oil factory inventory is up 101.32% [10] - Gold inventory is up 118.66% [11] - Soda ash inventory is up 67.08% [12] - Lead social inventory is up 142.36% [13] - Silver inventory is up 62.31% [13] - Conversely, some inventories are reported to be low: - 20 rubber inventory is down 71.91% [14] - Oil factory soybean meal inventory is down 55.29% [15] - Aluminum exchange inventory is down 57.15% [15].

薛鹤翔、柴玉荣（薛鹤翔系申银万国期货研究所所长、中国首席经济学家论坛成员） + 摘要 Ø 今年由于受到特朗普贸易关税的影响，集运欧线运价整体呈现出"中枢下移但波动放大"的显著特征，虽然运价水平较2024年回 落，但其季节性波动规律依然较为清晰。当前，集运欧线现货运价再一次来到了旺转淡的拐点。通常情况下集运欧线运价都会呈 现较为明显的季节性特征，本质上源于国际海运贸易需求的阶段性波动和我国的出口节奏。 Ø 从五年走势中可以提炼出两个重要规律：一是外部冲击会显著改变淡季的深度和节奏，如2021年港口拥堵缓冲了跌势；二是旺 季高度与淡季跌幅存在正相关性，即旺季冲高越剧烈，淡季回调往往越深（2021年除外），这对预判淡季行情具有参考价值。此 外，船公司的运力调控策略也在不断进化，通过空班和航速调整来平滑运价波动。回到当下，7月上旬以来集运欧线运价逐渐趋 于平顶，马士基在第32周开启降价，至鹿特丹大柜报价2900美元，环比第31周下降100美元，第33周继续调降大柜运价100美元， 部分船司已开始跟降，运价基本确认进入淡季。此轮欧线旺季见顶于8月上旬，以马士基为计算基准的话，对应大柜在3000美元 左右。参考前文往年欧 ...

本文源自：金融界AI电报 金涌投资(01328.HK)发布公告，于2025年8月1日，公司全资附属公司Redwood通过于联交所进行市场上 交易以代价总额约230.9万港元(不包括交易成本)进一步收购31.5万股圣贝拉(02508.HK)股份，即约每股 圣贝拉股份7.3286港元。 ...

Group 1 - The company, Kingyung Investment (01328), announced the acquisition of 315,000 shares of Saint Bella (02508) at a total cost of approximately HKD 2.309 million, excluding transaction costs, at a price of HKD 7.3286 per share [1] - Between July 28, 2025, and August 1, 2025, Redwood, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, purchased a total of 1.83 million shares of Saint Bella for approximately HKD 13.823 million, at an average price of HKD 7.5536 per share [1] - Following these acquisitions, the group holds a total of 1.83 million shares of Saint Bella, representing about 0.29% of the total issued shares of Saint Bella as of the announcement date [1] Group 2 - The group primarily engages in providing investment management services and strategic direct investment [1] - The company maintains a positive outlook on Saint Bella's financial performance and future prospects, viewing it as a leading postpartum care and recovery group in China that also offers home care services and products catering to women's needs [1] - The investment in Saint Bella aligns with the group's investment criteria and serves the overall interests of the company and its shareholders [1]

Group 1 - The core announcement indicates that King Yong Investment (01328) plans to further acquire shares of Saint Bella (02508) through its wholly-owned subsidiary Redwood, with a total cost of approximately HKD 2.309 million, excluding transaction costs, for 315,000 shares at an average price of HKD 7.3286 per share [1] - Between July 28, 2025, and August 1, 2025, Redwood will acquire a total of 1.83 million shares of Saint Bella for approximately HKD 13.823 million, at an average price of HKD 7.5536 per share [1] - After these acquisitions, the group will hold a total of 1.83 million shares of Saint Bella, representing about 0.29% of the total issued shares of Saint Bella as of the announcement date [1] Group 2 - The group primarily engages in providing investment management services and strategic direct investment [1] - The group maintains a positive outlook on the financial performance and future prospects of Saint Bella, which is recognized as a leading postpartum care and recovery group in China, also offering home care services and food products catering to women's needs [1] - The investment in Saint Bella aligns with the group's investment criteria and serves the overall interests of the company and its shareholders [1]

图为商品期货资金流入前十名（亿元） 图为商品期货资金流出前十名（亿元） 单品种看，昨日资金主要流入的商品期货（主连合约）品种有黄金、玻璃、纯碱、铜和镍，分别流入2.26 亿元、1.90 亿元、 1.52 亿元、1.10 亿元和0.53 亿元；主要流出的品种有螺纹钢、白银、热轧卷板、碳酸锂和铁矿石，分别流出6.29亿元、5.31 亿元、4.37亿元、3.97亿元和3.48亿元。从主力合约看，金融板块呈流入状态，农产品、黑色、化工和有色金属板块呈流出 状态。 整体看，昨日商品期货（主连合约）资金呈大幅流出状态，农产品、黑色和有色金属板块流出较多，重点关注流出较多的螺 纹钢、白银、碳酸锂、焦煤和豆油，同时关注逆势流入的黄金、铜、镍和玉米。化工板块中幅流出，重点关注流出较多的橡 胶和PTA，同时关注逆势流入的玻璃和LPG。金融板块重点关注2年期国债期货和沪深300股指期货。（徽商期货 方正） 图为商品期货主连合约资金流向（亿元） 图为板块资金流入额（亿元） 图为金融期货主连合约资金流向（亿元） ...

Performance Summary - Ningde Times (03750.HK) reported a revenue of 178.886 billion yuan for the first half of the year, an increase of 7.27% year-on-year, with a net profit of 30.512 billion yuan, up 33.02% year-on-year [2] - Hisense Home Appliances (00921.HK) achieved a total operating revenue of 49.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.44%, and a net profit of 2.077 billion yuan, up 3.01% year-on-year [2] - New Oriental-S (09901.HK) recorded a net revenue of 4.9 billion USD for the fiscal year 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, with a net profit of 372 million USD, up 20.1% year-on-year [2] - Weisheng Holdings (03393.HK) reported an operating income of 1.368 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.88%, and a net profit of 305 million yuan, up 12.24% year-on-year [2] - Yingda Real Estate (00432.HK) had a total revenue of 736 million HKD, a year-on-year growth of 35%, but reported a net loss of approximately 249 million HKD, an increase of 62.75% year-on-year [2] - Saint Bella (02508.HK) announced a profit alert, expecting a net profit of over 320 million yuan, turning from loss to profit year-on-year [2] - Aoneng Construction (01183.HK) issued a profit alert, expecting a net profit increase of over 125% to no less than 18 million MOP year-on-year [2] - Da Cheng Corn Group (03889.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a net loss of approximately 65 to 85 million HKD, turning from profit to loss year-on-year [2] Company News - Sinopec Oilfield Services (01033.HK) announced that its subsidiary won a natural gas pipeline engineering project with a bid amount of 3.597 billion yuan, accounting for 4.44% of the 2024 revenue [2] - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) signed an exclusive licensing agreement with MADRIGAL for SYH2086, with potential total payments of up to 2.075 billion USD [2] - China Biopharmaceutical (01177.HK) reported successful external licensing cooperation for LM-299, with a milestone payment of 300 million USD expected to be received soon [2] - Chunquan Industrial Trust (01426.HK) reported an average rental rate of approximately 86% for Huamao Property in the second quarter [2] - Sihuan Pharmaceutical (00460.HK) completed the first patient enrollment in a Phase III clinical trial for the new indication of the innovative drug Annelazole Sodium for gastroesophageal reflux disease [2] - Zhaoke Ophthalmology-B (06622.HK) received orphan drug designation from the FDA for Mephalan for the treatment of retinoblastoma in children [2] - Yunnan Construction Investment Concrete (01847.HK) continues to sign concrete supply contracts for the expansion project of Kunming Changshui International Airport, with a contract amount of approximately 283 million yuan [2] Buyback and Increase Dynamics - Vitasoy International (00345.HK) repurchased 2.122 million shares for approximately 19.6 million HKD at a price range of 9.2 to 9.26 HKD [2] - China Eastern Airlines (00670.HK) spent approximately 7.2536 million HKD to repurchase 2.5 million shares at a price range of 2.89 to 2.92 HKD [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company anticipates achieving significant revenue growth and profitability in the upcoming financial period, marking a turnaround from previous losses [1] Financial Performance - The group expects to generate revenue of no less than RMB 448 million in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of no less than 25% [1] - The revenue from the entrusted management of maternity centers is projected to be no less than RMB 72 million, which is an increase of no less than 156% compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The combined revenue of the group and the entrusted management of maternity centers is expected to be no less than RMB 520 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of no less than 35% [1] Profitability - The group is projected to achieve overall profitability at the financial statement level for the first time, with a net profit expected to be no less than RMB 320 million, a significant recovery from a net loss of RMB 480 million in 2024 [1]