更令人瞩目的是其盈利表现。国泰海通实现归母净利润157.37亿元，同比增长高达213.74%，以绝对优 势夺得行业净利润榜首，排名较去年同期提升2位。净利润同比激增107.21亿元，这一增量甚至超过了 绝大多数券商半年的利润总额。其惊人的净利润增长率（213.74%）远超行业平均（126.85%），展现 出极强的盈利弹性。 在总经理李俊杰的带领下，国泰海通显然在报告期内抓住了市场机遇，无论是在投资业务、机构服务还 是财富管理领域都可能取得了超预期的业绩。从各项数据看，国泰海通已不再是传统的"老牌券商"，而 是一匹动力十足的"头马"，其上半年的卓越表现极大地提升了其行业地位与市场影响力。 | | | | 2025上半年A股上市券商营收及排名变化 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 简称 | 营收亿元 | 营收增长率% | 营收增减亿元 | 排名变化 | 点经理 | | 1 | 中信证券 | 330.39 | 20.44 | 28.56 | 0 | 部迎光 | | 2 | 国泰海通 | 238.72 | 77.71 | 68.03 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is expected to continue rising and reach new highs due to accelerated transformation, declining risk-free returns, and capital market reforms [1][2]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The market is anticipated to expand, with a focus on mid-cap stocks and low-priced blue-chip stocks as key drivers for the next phase of market growth [3]. - The overall market sentiment is positive, with the potential for sustainable growth supported by healthy market dynamics and a favorable economic environment [2]. Group 2: Investment Themes - AI applications are highlighted as a key investment theme, with significant growth expected in finance, office, gaming, and education sectors due to policy support [1][4]. - The robotics industry is transitioning from technological exploration to large-scale commercialization, with a focus on key components and lightweight materials benefiting from technological upgrades [1]. - Emerging consumption trends are emphasized, particularly in IP toys and pet-related sectors, which are expected to see high performance due to policy-driven innovation [1]. - High-end equipment sectors, including military, semiconductor, and energy, are projected to benefit from substantial fiscal support and investment in equipment upgrades [1][4]. Group 3: Sector Comparisons - New emerging technologies are identified as a primary focus, while cyclical finance is seen as a potential dark horse in the market [4]. - The financial sector, including brokers, insurance, and banks, is recommended for investment due to low valuations and potential for rebound [4]. - The market is expected to see improvements in supply-demand dynamics for cyclical products, with recommendations for chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and real estate sectors [4].

通达海首次公开发行股票募集资金合计109,250.00万元，扣除发行费用后募集资金净额98,287.69万元。 通达海最终募集资金净额比原计划少1712.31万元。通达海于2023年3月1日发布的招股说明书显示，该 公司拟募集资金100,000.00万元，用于智能化司法办案平台升级建设项目、智能化司法服务平台升级建 设项目、研发中心建设项目、营销网络建设项目、补充流动资金。 通达海首次公开发行股票的发行费用(不含税)合计10,962.31万元，其中，保荐及承销费8,433.96万元。 2023年6月1日，通达海发布2022年度分红派息、转增股本实施公告。通达海以实施权益分派股权登记日 登记的总股本为基数，向全体股东每10股派发现金股利10.00元(含税)，共分配利润46,000,000.00元(含 税)，剩余母公司未分配利润188,469,710.86元结转下一年度。同时以资本公积金向全体股东每10股转增 5股，合计转增23,000,000股，转增后公司总股本为69,000,000股；本年度不送股。股权登记日为2023年6 月7日，除权除息日为2023年6月8日，新增可流通股份上市日为2023年6月8日。 中 ...

Core Insights - The international business competition among leading and small to medium-sized brokerages has intensified in the first half of 2025, with significant profit growth reported by major firms [1][2][3] - Major brokerages like CITIC Securities, CICC, Huatai Securities, and Guotai Junan have shown remarkable performance in their international business segments, with net profits from these operations becoming crucial to their overall profitability [1][2][3] - Smaller brokerages are also actively expanding their international business through various strategies, including capital increases and establishing subsidiaries, particularly focusing on the Hong Kong market and other key financial regions [4][5][6] Major Brokerages Performance - CITIC Securities reported a revenue of $1.492 billion and a net profit of $387 million in its international business for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 52.80% and 65.85% respectively [1] - CICC's international business achieved a revenue of 6.877 billion HKD and a net profit of 2.634 billion HKD, with net profit growth of 168.96%, indicating a strong contribution to the company's overall earnings [2] - Huatai Securities' international segment generated a revenue of 3.762 billion HKD and a net profit of 1.145 billion HKD, reflecting a 25.58% increase in net profit [2] - Guotai Junan's international business reported a revenue of 4.376 billion HKD and a net profit of 958 million HKD, with a net profit growth of 47.84% [3] Small to Medium-Sized Brokerages Initiatives - In January 2025, GF Securities increased its capital by 2.137 billion HKD to support its international business [4] - In March, Guojin Securities signed a guarantee contract to support its subsidiary's international operations [4] - In April, Huazhong Securities and Northeast Securities announced capital increases to establish subsidiaries in Hong Kong, each with a capital of 500 million HKD [4] - In June, Western Securities announced plans to invest 1 billion RMB to set up a wholly-owned subsidiary in Hong Kong [5] - In July, Dongwu Securities proposed a capital increase plan of up to 1.5 billion RMB for its international business [5] Trends and Predictions - Analysts noted three significant trends in the international business focus of brokerages: accelerated capital injection, broader business dimensions beyond traditional services, and simultaneous advancements in fintech and compliance infrastructure [6] - Future predictions for the international business of brokerages include a shift from single hub regional layouts to global networks, a transition from channel services to ecosystem innovation, and a deepening of technology-driven structural changes [6]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company has solidified its leading position in the industry post-merger and is expected to see a rebound in ROE levels [5] - The merger with Haitong Securities has strengthened the company's client base and operational efficiency, aligning with the trend of industry consolidation [5] - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for H1 2025, with revenue of 239 billion and net profit of 157 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 78% and 214% respectively [5] Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 revenue and net profit reached 239 billion and 157 billion respectively, with a year-on-year growth of 78% and 214% [5] - The annualized weighted ROE for H1 2025 was 12.5%, with a non-recurring annualized ROE of 5.7% [5] - The company expects net profit for 2025-2027 to be 247 billion, 218 billion, and 259 billion respectively, with a projected year-on-year growth of 89%, -12%, and +19% [5] - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 15.0, 17.0, and 14.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Business Segment Performance - Brokerage business net income for H1 2025 was 57 billion, up 86% year-on-year, driven by the merger and market recovery [6] - Investment banking net income reached 14 billion, a 19% increase year-on-year, with the company ranking first in IPO underwriting [6] - Asset management net income was 26 billion, reflecting a 34% year-on-year growth, with total assets under management reaching 705.2 billion [6] Investment Strategy and Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the regulatory trend favoring capital concentration and operational efficiency in the securities industry [5] - The merger is expected to enhance the company's service capabilities and client base, leading to improved operational management [5] - The company maintains a strong market presence with a 10% market share in margin financing [7]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 出品：新浪财经上市公司研究院 作者：郑权 近日，国泰海通发布吸收合并后的第一份半年报。尽管公司归母净利润总额排行业第一，但扣除非经常性损益的影响后只排第 三，并且较中信证券有较大差距。 由于今年3月14日才完成并表，因此只有第二季度的财务数据才可以证明1+1是否大于2。但遗憾的是，国泰海通今年第二季度的营 收120.99亿元，比去年合并前的国泰君安和海通证券营收之和少近11亿元。而中信证券、中国银河、华泰证券等头部券商第二季度 的营收和净利润皆大幅增长。单单从第二季度的营收看，目前吸收合并并没有实现"1+1>2"。 Q2单季度营收同比下滑 Q1净利润暴增大部分是"纸面财富" 今年上半年，国泰海通实现营业收入238.72亿元，同比增长77.71%；实现归母净利润157.37亿元，同比增长213.74%；实现扣非归 母净利润72.79亿元，同比增长59.76%。 在42家纯证券业务券商中，国泰海通今年上半年的营收在行业中排名第二，仅次于中信证券；归母净利润在行业中排第一。 如果仅从上述数字看，国泰海通吸收合并后成绩单很亮眼。但值得关注的是， ...

美银证券发布研报称，国泰海通(02611)上半年纯利同比升210%至155亿元人民币，符合早前盈喜预期， 次季盈利同比升35%至34亿元人民币，较同业次季表现弱。该行将国泰海通的目标价由17.7港元微降至 17.3港元，维持评级"中性"。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，美银证券发布研报称，国泰海通(02611)上半年纯利同比升210%至155亿元人民币， 符合早前盈喜预期，次季盈利同比升35%至34亿元人民币，较同业次季表现弱。该行将国泰海通的目标 价由17.7港元微降至17.3港元，维持评级"中性"。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，维持钢铁行业"增持"评级。该行预期若供给政策落地，行业 供给的收缩速度更快，行业上行的进展将更快展开。长期来看，产业集中度提升、促进高质量发展是未 来钢铁行业发展的必然趋势，具有产品结构与成本优势的钢企将充分受益;在环保加严、超低排放改造 与碳中和背景下，龙头公司竞争优势与盈利能力将更加凸显。 上周45港进口铁矿库存13763万吨，环比降82.18万吨。上周螺纹模拟平均吨毛利231.5元/吨，环比降 12.2元/吨，热卷模拟平均吨毛利171.5元/吨，环比降30.2元/吨;247家钢企盈利率63.64%，环比降1.3%。 展望来看，该行预期铁矿加速增产且需求难有较大提升，铁矿或逐步进入宽松周期，铁矿价格向上弹性 有限，钢铁成本掣肘因素有望改善，行业盈利中枢有望逐步修复。 需求有望企稳，供给维持收缩预期 地产持续下行，导致地产端需求占比下降，该行预期地产对钢铁需求的负向拖拽将减弱;基建、制造业 端用钢需求有望平稳增长。出口方面，1-7月钢材出口量仍维持同比增长。总体来看，该行预期钢铁需 求有望逐步企稳。供给端来看，行业自2022Q3开始亏损，目前仍有超30%钢企亏损，供给 ...

Core Insights - The performance of A-share listed securities firms in the first half of 2025 shows significant growth, with 82% of the 50 listed firms reporting year-on-year revenue increases [1][4][5] - All 50 listed securities firms achieved profitability, with 13 firms seeing their net profits double, and notable increases from Huaxi Securities and Guolian Minsheng, exceeding 1000% growth [1][9][11] - The future outlook for the securities sector is optimistic, driven by improved performance and increased market participation from residents [1][13] Revenue Performance - In the first half of 2025, 10 securities firms reported revenues exceeding 10 billion yuan, up from 6 firms in the same period last year [2][4] - CITIC Securities led with a revenue of 33.04 billion yuan, followed by Guotai Junan with 23.87 billion yuan [2][4] - Other firms with significant revenues include Huatai Securities (16.22 billion yuan), GF Securities (15.40 billion yuan), and China Galaxy (13.75 billion yuan) [3][4] Revenue Growth Rates - Guolian Minsheng reported the highest revenue growth rate at 269.40%, with several firms like Guotai Junan and Tianfeng Securities also showing growth rates above 50% [5][6] - A total of 41 firms experienced positive revenue growth, while 9 firms reported declines, with Xiangcai Securities experiencing the largest drop at 34.25% [5][7][8] Net Profit Performance - All 50 listed securities firms reported positive net profits, with 8 firms exceeding 5 billion yuan in net profit, up from 3 firms in the previous year [9][10] - Guotai Junan topped the net profit rankings with 15.74 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Securities with 13.72 billion yuan [9][10] - Notable net profit figures also came from Huatai Securities (7.55 billion yuan) and China Galaxy (6.49 billion yuan) [9][10] Net Profit Growth Rates - 13 firms saw their net profits double, with Huaxi Securities and Guolian Minsheng leading with increases of 1195.02% and 1185.19% respectively [11][12] - Other firms with significant net profit growth include Guosheng Financial and Jinlong Co., both exceeding 300% [11][12] Market Outlook - Analysts express a positive outlook for the securities sector, citing strong performance and the potential for continued growth driven by increased market participation and improved earnings [1][13] - The overall net profit for the 42 listed securities firms reached 104.02 billion yuan, a 65.08% increase year-on-year, indicating robust sector health [13]