大会特别设置"银企携手，共创未来"环节。会上，滨江开发区商会与中国银行南京江宁支行签署战略合 作协议，将为商会企业提供全方位、定制化的金融服务，助力企业转型升级与创新发展。 本报讯(董翔单维亮)1月22日，南京江宁滨江经济开发区商会第四届第一次会员代表大会召开。会议选 举产生新一届商会领导班子，明确下一步工作重点，并推动多项实质性合作落地。 会议听取并审议了第三届商会工作报告，全面总结了过去几年商会在服务企业、促进交流、助力发展等 方面取得的成效。经民主表决，王银当选为新一届商会会长，万京林、徐伟当选执行会长。新一届领导 班子成员来自制造业、科技、食品、环保等多个产业领域，具有广泛代表性，体现了商会凝聚企业、服 务发展的组织活力。王银在就职发言中表示，将团结带领全体会员，紧紧围绕江宁滨江开发区发展大 局，积极发挥桥梁纽带作用，努力推动民营企业健康发展和民营经济人士健康成长。 大会还举办了"滨江商道"大讲堂首期活动，邀请人工智能领域专家带来AI助力企业减员降本增效的前沿 分享。 ...

证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20260125 二级资本债周度数据跟踪 （20260119-20260123） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 一级市场发行情况： 本周（20260119-20260123）银行间市场及交易所市场无新发行二级资本 债。 ◼ 二级市场成交情况： 本周（20260119-20260123）二级资本债周成交量合计约 3342 亿元，较 上周增加 691 亿元，成交量前三个券分别为 25 中行二级资本债 02BC （443.52 亿元）、25 广发银行二级资本债 01BC（219.80 亿元）和 25 中 行二级资本债 03A（BC）（77.53 亿元）。 分发行主体地域来看，成交量前三为广东省、山西省和山东省，分别约 为 2521 亿元、299 亿元和 147 亿元。 从到期收益率角度来看，截至 1 月 23 日，5Y 二级资本债中评级 AAA-、 AA+、AA 级到期收益率较上周涨跌幅分别为：-2.18BP、-2.84BP、- 3.84BP；7Y 二级资本债中评级 AAA-、AA+、AA 级到期收益率较上周 涨跌幅分别为：-2.72B ...

截至2025 年末，银行业理财登记托管中心个人养老金理财产品行业信息平台共支持6 家理财公司发行37 只个人养老金理财产品；理财产品中央数据交换平台支持966 家理财产品发行机构和销售机构开展销售 数据交换，理财产品申购赎回业务发生额达142 万亿元；理财行业信息披露平台累计发布各类公告超50 万份，产品净值信息超270 万条。 截至2025 年末，银行理财市场存续规模33.29 万亿元，较年初增长11.15%，全年累计新发理财产品3.34 万只，募集资金76.33 万亿元；理财产品通过投资债券、非标准化债权类资产、权益类资产等，支持实 体经济资金规模约21 万亿元；持有理财产品的投资者数量达1.43 亿个，较年初增长14.37%；全年为投 资者创造收益7303 亿元。 2025 年是"十四五"收官、"十五五"开局的关键之年，在内外部压力交织的复杂局面下，我国经济顶压 前行、向新向优发展，保持了总体平稳、稳中有进的发展态势，展现出强大韧性和活力。过去5 年，党 和国家事业取得新的重大成就，我国经济、科技、国防等硬实力和文化、制度、外交等软实力明显提 升，中国式现代化迈出新的坚实步伐，第二个百年奋斗目标新征程实 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing trend of personal non-performing loan (NPL) transfers in the banking sector, driven by regulatory changes and the rising pressure of bad debts on financial institutions [1][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The personal NPL transfer market is experiencing a surge, with transaction volumes rising from 186.48 billion in 2021 to 965.30 billion in 2023, and projected to reach 1583.50 billion in 2024 [3][4]. - As of January 22, 2026, there were 20 new announcements for personal NPL transfers within the month, indicating heightened activity in the market [2][8]. - The average discount rate for personal NPL packages has significantly decreased, with rates dropping from 8%-10% before 2023 to around 5% in 2026 [10][11]. Group 2: Regulatory Impact - A regulatory notification extended the trial period for bulk transfers of personal NPLs until December 31, 2026, allowing a wider range of financial institutions to participate in the transfer process [2][4]. - The expansion of trial institutions to include city commercial banks and rural commercial banks has led to a notable increase in the volume of NPL transfers [5][17]. Group 3: Borrower Profile and Economic Context - The borrower demographic for personal NPLs includes failed entrepreneurs, unemployed individuals relying on credit cards for living expenses, and consumers with excessive debt [4][20]. - The economic backdrop, characterized by macroeconomic fluctuations and income instability, has exacerbated the bad debt situation, compelling banks to offload risk assets [5][20]. Group 4: Challenges in Asset Recovery - The recovery rates for NPLs have declined, with some packages facing average recovery rates below 6%, marking the lowest in five years [12][13]. - Financial institutions are facing challenges in asset valuation and recovery due to incomplete documentation and inefficient legal processes [26][28]. Group 5: Strategic Adjustments - Banks are adapting their strategies by improving the quality of NPL packages, such as reducing overdue times and increasing the concentration of borrowers in economically developed areas [24][25]. - There is a push for enhanced transparency and standardization in the NPL transfer process to improve market confidence and asset pricing [28].

Group 1: Gold Price Surge - The price of gold has surged significantly, with spot gold reaching $4981.309 per ounce, approaching the $5000 mark [1] - Domestic gold prices have also increased, with several brands of gold jewelry exceeding 1500 yuan per gram, and some reaching 1548 yuan, marking a daily increase of over 50 yuan [3] Group 2: Demand for Bank Safe Deposit Boxes - The demand for bank safe deposit boxes has skyrocketed, with many banks reporting that all available boxes are rented out, leading to waiting lists for new customers [7][9] - In Hangzhou, major banks have completely rented out their safe deposit boxes, and new customers must wait for existing customers to return their boxes before they can rent one [8] - The surge in demand for safe deposit boxes is attributed to the increasing need for secure storage of high-value items like gold bars, particularly among high-net-worth individuals in major cities [9]

2025 年 4 季度公募基金银行持仓点评 主动基金配置比例仍处低位 glmszqdatemark 分析师：王先爽 分析师：乔丹 执业证书：S0590525120014 执业证书：S0590526010003 邮箱：wangxianshuang@glms.com.cn 邮箱：qiaodan@glms.com.cn 推荐 维持评级 相对走势 -10% 3% 17% 30% 2025/1 2025/7 2026/1 银行 沪深300 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 2026 年 01 月 25 日 [Table_Author] 25Q4 公募基金持仓银行情况。为了追踪市场偏股公募基金对银行的持仓情况， 我们把其分为三类：1、主动基金：主动股票、偏股混合和灵活配置型基金；2、 ETF 基金：追踪沪深 300、中证 A500 等与银行相关的主要指数的 ETF 基金；3、 非 ETF 指数基金：追踪以上主要指数的非 ETF 类被动指数、指数增强型基金。25 年四季度主动、ETF 和非 ETF 指数基金分别持有银行板块 305.8、2607.2、574.1 亿元，分 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese private banking industry is undergoing a historic shift from "scale expansion" to "value cultivation," with high-quality growth expected by 2025 [3][4] - The number of high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) in China has surpassed 3 million, with assets under management (AUM) reaching 24.6 trillion yuan, projected to grow to 42 trillion yuan by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5% [3][6] - The market is characterized by a dual trend of "head concentration and distinctive breakthroughs," with major state-owned banks dominating the sector [3][8] Industry Overview - The private banking sector in China continues to show steady growth, with AUM reaching 18.8 trillion yuan by mid-2025, a 9.3% increase from the end of 2024 [5][6] - The number of clients served by 16 banks reached 1.649 million, a year-on-year growth of 13.17% [5] - The market is highly concentrated, with the top four state-owned banks holding nearly 70% of the total AUM among the 12 major private banks [8][7] Market Dynamics - Business innovation is becoming a new driving force for industry development, with family trusts and insurance trusts experiencing rapid growth [4][19] - By Q3 2025, the total scale of family trusts exceeded 950 billion yuan, while insurance trusts reached 420 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 5.6% and 19.1% respectively [4][19] - The industry faces challenges such as stricter regulations, talent shortages, and intensified competition [4][29] Client Demographics - The number of high-net-worth families in China reached 2.066 million by 2025, with the total wealth of billionaires growing to 1.8 trillion USD, a 22.2% increase [12][6] - The average age of high-net-worth individuals is 35, with a significant portion being young entrepreneurs [13][12] - The income sources of high-net-worth individuals are diverse, with business income being the primary source [13][16] Business Model Innovations - Family office services are rapidly developing, with over 85% of private banking departments establishing independent family office service systems by the end of 2023 [22] - The demand for family office services is expected to grow, with annual expenditures on tax planning projected to reach 2.8 million yuan by 2025 [23] - ESG investments are becoming a key focus, with ESG-themed financial products seeing significant growth [24][25] Digital Transformation - The digital transformation of the private banking sector is entering a deepening phase, with at least 60% of institutions expected to adopt AI-driven advisory systems by 2025 [26][27] - Technology investments are projected to exceed 4.8 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 27.3% [26] - The integration of digital services is crucial for enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency [28] Regulatory Environment - The regulatory environment is becoming stricter, leading to increased compliance costs, which are expected to rise by 23 percentage points of operating income [29][30] - The implementation of new asset management regulations is reshaping product design and increasing the entry barriers for new players [29][30] Talent Shortage - The private banking industry faces a significant talent shortage, with a demand gap of approximately 24,000 professional bankers by 2025 [33][34] - The ratio of talent supply to demand is 1:8, indicating a critical need for skilled professionals [33] - The industry is increasingly focusing on talent training and recruitment to address this gap [34]

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund Ping An Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Select Mixed Fund A (021046) reported a profit of 11.96 million yuan for Q4 2025, with a net asset value growth rate of 3.5% during the period [3]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 1.286 yuan, with a fund size of 389 million yuan [3][17]. - The fund's performance over the past three months showed a return of -0.63%, ranking 588 out of 621 comparable funds; over the past six months, it returned -0.69%, ranking 607 out of 621; and over the past year, it achieved a return of 19.68%, ranking 525 out of 613 [4]. Investment Strategy - The fund manager indicated that in the context of declining cash yields, high-dividend assets have shown a "quasi-fixed income" characteristic, becoming a dominant investment style in Q4. In contrast, growth sectors faced increased volatility and pressure due to market sentiment and fluctuating fundamental expectations [3]. - The fund will continue to focus on stable high-dividend stocks, particularly in the financial, telecommunications, energy, and public utility sectors, which are expected to provide visibility and stable profits during the economic recovery [3]. Risk Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio since inception is 1.3198, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [9]. - The maximum drawdown since inception is 10.87%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q2 2025 at 9.1% [12]. Portfolio Composition - The average stock position since inception is 85.49%, with a peak of 89.53% at the end of H1 2024 and a low of 71.51% at the end of Q3 2024 [15]. - The fund has a high concentration of holdings, with the top ten stocks including China National Offshore Oil, China Mobile, CITIC Bank, Bank of China, and others [20].

Core Viewpoint - The report outlines the global asset allocation strategy for personal finance by Bank of China, predicting a slow recovery in the global economy in 2026, with a focus on the performance of various asset classes amid changing monetary policies and economic conditions. Economic Overview - In 2025, global economic growth is expected to slow down with inflation receding, leading G10 countries (excluding Japan) into a rate-cutting cycle. The Federal Reserve's continued rate cuts are anticipated to push the US dollar index down, resulting in strong global asset performance, particularly in gold and silver, while oil is expected to be the only asset with negative returns. The Chinese asset market is entering a phase of value reassessment, with a slow bull market forming and the RMB expected to appreciate against the USD [1][8]. - For 2026, the global economy may continue its weak recovery, with uncertainties remaining. China's economy is projected to stabilize and grow between 4.7% and 5.0% due to supportive macro policies. The US is expected to see reduced policy uncertainty, while the Eurozone's economic fundamentals remain robust, and the UK economy shows resilience [1][8][10]. Equity Market - The internationalization and value reassessment of Chinese assets are ongoing, with the A-share market expected to solidify its slow bull market and potentially evolve into a long bull market. Hong Kong stocks are positioned to benefit from global liquidity inflows as a core hub for RMB asset allocation. The US stock market is expected to rise but may underperform compared to non-US markets, while European and Japanese markets are anticipated to see moderate gains [1][9][12]. Bond Market - The bond market is influenced by the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and balance sheet expansion, leading to a downward shift in US Treasury yields. The UK bond market shows high allocation value, while German bonds are expected to perform slightly weaker. In China, the 10-year government bond yield is projected to fluctuate between 1.6% and 1.9% [2][10][11]. Foreign Exchange Market - The trend of "de-dollarization" is expected to continue, with the US dollar's central tendency likely to decline. Non-US currencies are showing mixed performance, with the Euro and Malaysian Ringgit slightly stronger, while the Japanese Yen, British Pound, Australian Dollar, and Indonesian Rupiah are in the middle range. The RMB is expected to fluctuate within a stable range against the USD and may depreciate slightly against other major non-US currencies [2][10][20]. Commodity Market - The long-term upward trend for gold remains solid, with expectations for new historical highs in 2026, albeit with increased volatility. Silver is also expected to trend upwards due to multiple support factors. The demand dynamics for copper and aluminum are being reshaped by AI developments, while oil is expected to remain in a supply surplus situation. Prices for polyester and industrial silicon are anticipated to recover due to supportive policies, and lithium carbonate is expected to see price fluctuations based on supply and demand changes [2][11][12]. Asset Allocation Strategy - The recommended global asset allocation order for 2026 is precious metals, non-ferrous metals, equities, and bonds. Gold and silver are expected to outperform copper and aluminum, while non-US equities are projected to outperform US stocks. In the bond sector, US Treasuries are favored over Chinese bonds, and oil is suggested for lower allocation [3][11][12].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the optimization of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy, which aims to stimulate consumer spending by extending the policy duration and expanding its coverage [1][2][4] - The new policy extends the implementation period until the end of this year and includes credit card installment payments in the subsidy scope, thereby broadening the areas eligible for interest subsidies [1][3] - Financial institutions, including major banks, are quickly responding to the policy by optimizing their services to ensure consumers can benefit from the subsidies seamlessly, enhancing the overall consumer experience [4][6] Group 2 - The collaboration between financial institutions and e-commerce platforms is highlighted, with initiatives like interest-free installment products being offered to consumers, which have led to significant increases in sales for participating brands [6] - The policy is part of a broader strategy to boost domestic demand and consumer confidence, aligning with the central economic work conference's focus on enhancing the domestic market [7] - The implementation of the policy is expected to improve consumer sentiment and market vitality, contributing to a stable economic outlook and encouraging higher quality consumption [7]