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【十大券商一周策略】春季行情仍在途,注意总体赚钱效应已逼近高位
券商中国· 2026-01-25 14:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the ongoing recovery of market confidence, with potential for sector and stock recovery, particularly in consumer and real estate chains before the Two Sessions [2] - The article highlights the significant outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs, with a notable impact on sectors and stocks that are underweight by institutions [2] - It suggests that sectors with strong fundamentals and logical narratives, particularly those not heavily weighted in broad-based indices, are likely to see recovery [2] Group 2 - The spring market is characterized by a transition towards a more stable phase, with the potential for a perfect spring market driven by increased profitability [3] - The article notes that the overall profitability effect is nearing a high point, indicating that the market may face limitations in time and space for further growth [3] - It anticipates a correction phase following the spring market, where the focus will shift to clearer industrial trends and performance digestion [3] Group 3 - The article discusses the supportive role of abundant liquidity in driving the current spring market, stemming from various factors including insurance capital and foreign fund inflows [4] - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on fundamental performance as companies begin to disclose annual reports, with particular attention to sectors like AI hardware, batteries, and pharmaceuticals [5] Group 4 - The article identifies the current market phase as a structural bull market, transitioning from the second consolidation phase to the third upward phase [6] - It suggests that the market may face a correction after reaching a temporary high between 4200 and 4300 points, with a focus on the support levels and core sectors [6] Group 5 - The article advocates for a dual focus on technology and resource sectors, highlighting the importance of macroeconomic conditions and liquidity in shaping investment strategies [7] - It identifies key sectors such as semiconductors, AI, and new energy as central to current market trends, with a positive outlook for resource industries [7] Group 6 - The article suggests that the market's optimism is necessary, particularly in light of the recent volatility and the need to consider the relationship between market optimism and regulatory cooling [8] - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on physical assets and Chinese assets in investment strategies, with a recommendation for sectors like equipment exports and consumer recovery [9] Group 7 - The article indicates that the current market is entering a phase of high volatility and differentiation, with expectations for policy-driven demand expansion [10] - It highlights the potential for the non-ferrous metals sector to benefit from both industrial trends and financial attributes, particularly in light of geopolitical factors [11] Group 8 - The article notes that the A-share market is returning to a slow bull trend, with an increasing importance of sector rotation and fundamental performance [12] - It emphasizes the need to focus on structural investment opportunities, particularly in technology innovation and manufacturing sectors [12] Group 9 - The article suggests that the current market may be entering the latter half of the spring market, with a focus on sectors with strong performance and clear industrial trends [13] - It highlights the potential for price increases in sectors like basic chemicals and new energy materials, as well as opportunities in export-driven sectors [13] Group 10 - The article maintains that the slow bull trend is likely to continue, with a focus on technology, resource sectors, and industries with high growth potential [14] - It suggests that the current market conditions provide ample opportunities for investment, particularly in sectors with strong earnings forecasts [14]
中信建投:景气为纲,坚守“科技+资源品”双主线
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-25 11:28
来源:中信建投证券研究 文|夏凡捷 李家俊 "生产强于需求、外需好于内需"的经济运行特征贯穿全年,同时货币政策维持宽松取向,银行间利率降 至2020年以来几乎最低水平。宏观偏弱+流动性宽松环境下,景气投资占优。近两周市场资金面有所分 化,宽基ETF资金流出超过5700亿元,而行业主题型ETF仍有1100亿元左右的资金流入。总体来说,近 期主动降温调控节奏,整体大基调仍然积极,建议以景气为纲,继续坚守"科技+资源品"双主线。科技 方面,AI半导体/新能源仍是当前的景气核心,同时AI应用/太空光伏/创新药等热点景气催化不断。资源 品方面,有色行业业绩预告情况较好,关注后续景气行情向能化和机械板块的传导扩散。行业重点关 注:半导体、AI、新能源、有色、化工、传媒、计算机、机械、医药等。 当前市场热度仍然高涨,资金面则有所分化 最近两周,股票型ETF出现约4500亿元的资金流出,结构性分化明显。宽基ETF资金流出超过5700亿 元,其中沪深300ETF资金流出超过3200亿元;而行业主题型ETF仍然有1100亿元左右的资金流入,其 中TMT、周期资源相关ETF资金流入分别约500亿元、400亿元。 本轮牛市自924以 ...
中证协财富管理业务培训在晋举办 慧研智投与行业共探转型新路
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-01-23 11:48
此次高规格、高质量的行业交流,为参与机构提供了宝贵的对标学习和思想碰撞平台。慧研智投科技有 限公司(以下简称"慧研智投")由运营管理中心总监于飞海带队,组织高级产研投顾团队杨风、任洪、左 助锋等参与了本次培训交流。参会团队表示,通过系统学习行业顶尖机构的转型理念与实践案例,对财 富管理业务的内涵与外延有了更深刻的理解,尤其对投顾从基础服务向资产配置、行为陪伴和全生命周 期管理转型的趋势形成了清晰认知,为慧研智投现有的投顾服务向多维财富管理体系做转型给予了很大 帮助。这些行业洞察与先进经验,将为公司后续依托自身客户服务积淀,探索更系统化、专业化的客户 财富管理服务体系提供有益借鉴。 本报讯(记者矫月)近日,由中国证券业协会指导、山西省证券业协会承办的"财富管理业务培训班"在山 西太原顺利举办。本次培训聚焦当前证券行业财富管理转型的核心命题,汇聚监管、行业与机构智慧, 旨在深入贯彻监管部门"将功能性放在首位,强化财富管理专业服务能力"的政策导向,为辖区机构提升 专业服务水平、加快向高质量财富管理转型提供思想启迪与实践指引。 培训立足行业高质量发展全局,内容兼具政策高度与实战深度。课程设置了宏观趋势、买方转型、投顾 ...
2025年债券承销机构成绩单出炉:中国银行、中信证券领跑
Core Insights - The bond underwriting market in 2025 shows a clear trend of "the strong getting stronger," with market share concentrated among a few leading institutions [1][4][8] - Competition among underwriters is intensifying, with banks and securities firms leveraging their unique strengths to differentiate themselves [2][6] - Regulatory bodies are taking steps to ensure market order and prevent irrational competition, particularly in pricing and underwriting practices [2][6] Group 1: Market Overview - The total bond issuance in 2025 reached 89.76 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 11% [2] - The issuance of interest rate bonds was 33.80 trillion yuan, up 18%, while credit bonds reached 21.95 trillion yuan, growing by 8% [2] - The market is characterized by a large total volume, diverse categories, and differentiated competition [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In the banking sector, China Bank led with over 16 trillion yuan in underwriting, capturing more than 10% of the market share [4] - The top four state-owned banks collectively hold nearly 40% of the market share, indicating a strong position [4] - In the securities sector, CITIC Securities topped the list with 22,496.07 billion yuan in underwriting and a market share of 14.08% [4][5] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Local government bond issuance reached a record high of approximately 10.29 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [6] - The financial bond market is predominantly led by securities firms, with CITIC Securities holding a market share of 17.56% [6] - The asset-backed securities (ABS) market shows a concentration of resources among leading firms, with CITIC Securities leading at 12.32% market share [7] Group 4: International Market Dynamics - The offshore bond market saw a total issuance of approximately $307.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 15.75% [7][8] - The market features a mix of domestic and foreign institutions, with China Bank leading at $14.70 billion in underwriting [8] - The competitive landscape in the offshore market is relatively dispersed, with no single institution dominating [8]
中信建投红利智选混合A:2025年第四季度利润74.46万元 净值增长率1.12%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 11:36
Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund, CITIC Securities Dividend Smart Selection Mixed A (016774), reported a profit of 744,600 yuan for Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.0216 yuan, and a net value growth rate of 1.12% for the period [4]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 1.223 yuan, with a total fund size of 30.8486 million yuan [4][16]. - The fund manager, Wang Peng, oversees 8 funds, with the highest one-year return of 47.34% for CITIC Securities CSI 1000 Index Enhanced A, while CITIC Securities Dividend Smart Selection Mixed A had the lowest at 7.38% [4]. Market Outlook - The fund management anticipates a transition from "repair-type growth" to "high-quality growth" in the Chinese economy, with increasing internal momentum [5]. - Key sectors expected to drive growth include artificial intelligence, high-end manufacturing, biotechnology, and advanced materials, supported by policy and industry developments [5]. - Consumer-related sectors are projected to experience moderate recovery due to improving income expectations and ongoing policy support, favoring companies with strong brand power and stable cash flow [5]. Fund Metrics - As of January 22, the fund's performance metrics include a three-month return of -2.74%, a six-month return of -3.82%, a one-year return of 7.38%, and a three-year return of 19.12%, ranking it within the respective peer groups [5]. - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years is 0.6169, ranking 120 out of 383 comparable funds [10]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years is 13.44%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q3 2024 at 12.16% [12]. Investment Strategy - The fund maintained an average stock position of 89.82% over the past three years, with a peak of 93.32% at the end of Q1 2025 and a low of 67.38% at the end of 2022 [15]. - The top holdings of the fund include COFCO Sugar, Nanjing Bank, China Ping An, Agricultural Bank of China, Gree Electric Appliances, China Petroleum, China Construction Bank, Fuanna, Bank of Communications, and China Shenhua Energy [19].
2025年A股IPO上市企业中介机构情况一览(财经公关、保荐机构、律所、会所)
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 10:33
中国上市公司网 2025年全年,共有116家IPO企业上市,上市地为上交所的有43家(主板24家、科创板19家),深交所47家(主 板13家、创业板34家),北交所26家。 01 财经公关 2025年全年,共有25家财经公关获得这116家IPO企业的上市业务。 排名前五的分别为: 第一名:金证互通 27家 第三名:新航线、万全智策 各13家 第四名:中改一云 8家 第五名:泉鸣咨询、瓦琉咨询 各4家 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 上市地 | 财经公关 | 上市日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688809 | 强一股份 | 科创板 | 金证互通 | 12月30日 | | 920121 | 江天科技 | 北交所 | 金证互通 | 12月25日 | | 688805 | 健信超导 | 科创板 | 金证互通 | 12月24日 | | 603334 | 丰倍生物 | 沪主板 | 金证互通 | 11月5日 | | 603175 | 超颖电子 | 沪主板 | 金证互通 | 10月24日 | | 601026 | 道生天合 | 沪主板 | 受证互通 | 10月17日 | | 3 ...
中信建投: 银价高企倒逼产业变革,光伏金属化革命的"铜"时代开启
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-23 05:11
中信建投研报称,近期硅料、白银价格上涨导致光伏电池、组件企业利润承压加剧,而白银从2019年以 来便出现供需缺口并一直延续至今,考虑白银供给刚性+需要使用白银的新兴应用接力增长,预计白银 供需长期紧平衡。为控制成本,降低银耗成为光伏电池、组件企业的当务之急,而铜是最理想的替代材 料,只需解决铜易氧化、易扩散问题,对此PCB、MLCC、半导体行业已经有丰富的经验可供光伏参 考。目前银包铜、电镀铜方案在光伏进展相对较快,纯铜浆是终极目标但还有较多问题需要解决。假设 2026—2027年银包铜、铜浆渗透率分别来到17.7%、43%,对应两种浆料产量分别为813、2188吨,将为 浆料企业、金属粉体企业带来较大业绩弹性。3 ...
创业板指数窄幅震荡,创业板ETF易方达(159915)半日净申购达8000万份
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 05:10
截至午间收盘,创业板中盘200指数上涨1.5%,创业板指数下跌0.2%,创业板成长指数下跌0.4%。相关ETF受资金关注,创业板ETF易方达(159915)半日 净申购达8000万份。 每日经济新闻 中信建投证券表示,当前市场行业表现分化,有充分预期的板块横盘等待兑现验证,与此同时概念主题表现活跃,前期落后板块补涨。整体而言,继续看好 跨年行情,行业主要围绕未来产业热点、AI和半导体、资源品涨价链展开。 ...
弥富科技过会:今年IPO过关第11家 中信建投过首单
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-01-23 02:11
弥富科技的保荐机构为中信建投证券股份有限公司,保荐代表人为洪敏、王玉龙。这是中信建投今 年保荐成功的第1单IPO项目。 弥富科技主营业务为汽车流体管路系统关键零部件以及导轨等其他塑料零部件的研发、生产及销 售,主要产品包括流体管路系统快插接头、通类接头、阀类等连接件、管夹等紧固件、传感器以及导轨 等塑料产品,产品可适用于新能源汽车及传统燃油汽车等领域。 截至招股说明书签署日,顾强直接持有公司26,000,000股,持股比例为44.37%,为公司控股股 东。顾强直接持有公司44.37%的股份;顾留贵直接持有公司12.12%的股份;王乃军直接持有公司 20.31%的股份,通过嘉善森博控制公司0.98%的股份,通过上海森酉控制公司8.53%的股份;顾强、 王乃军及顾留贵直接及间接控制公司86.31%的股份,为公司实际控制人。顾强与王乃军系夫妻关系, 顾留贵与顾强系父子关系。 中国经济网北京1月23日讯 北京证券交易所上市委员会2026年第7次审议会议于昨日召开,审议结 果显示,弥富科技(浙江)股份有限公司(简称"弥富科技")首发符合发行条件、上市条件和信息披露 要求。这是2026年过会的第11家企业(其中,上交所和 ...
中信建投期货:1月23日黑色系早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 01:33
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 钢材早报:驱动不强,期钢延续窄幅震荡 市场信息: 1、 央行行长潘功胜表示,2026年,中国人民银行将继续实施好适度宽松的货币政策,把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量。今年 降准降息还有一定的空间。 2、 中国经济2025年"成绩单"出炉。2025年全年,我国GDP同比增长5.0%,达到140.19万亿元;规模以上工业增加值增长 5.9%,增速较上年加快 0.1 个百分 点;社会消费品零售总额规模增长3.7%,增速较上年加快0.2个百分点;固定资产投资下降3.8%,其中房地产开发投资下降17.2%。2025 年末全国人口 140489万人,全年出生人口792万人,死亡人口1131万人,人口总量同比减 少339万人。 3、 国家统计局数据显示,2025 年,中国粗钢产量96081 万吨,同比下降4.4%;生铁产量 83604万吨,同比下降3.0%;钢材产量144612万吨,同比增长 3.1%。 4、 海关总署数据显示,2025年我国累计出口钢材11901.9万吨,同比增长7.5%,创历史新高。 5、 1月22日,全国主港铁矿石 ...