热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 玉米：中性 1．东北深加工企业提价收购、东北农户大部分惜售，市场供需双方继续围绕连盘走强的持续性继续博弈 2．此前受天气影响，山东到车量从51台恢复到196台。沂水大地、米能、金汇、青援食品、鲁洲集团等企业继续上调收购价10-20元/吨。 3.20日共举行三场玉米采销竞价：中储粮公司举行玉米竞价采购交易，计划采购玉米量4.6万吨，成交数量2.2万吨，成交率48%。中储粮公司举行玉米购销 双向交易，计划数量1.3万吨，成交数量0.25万吨，成交率20%。中储粮黑龙江公司举行玉米竞价销售交易，计划销售玉米量1.1万吨，全部成交，成交价 2090-2160。结合现货成交一般的情况，侧面说明虽然市场观望情绪短期有所减弱，补库需求仍存，但市场整体仍对未来行情不能有较为确定性的判断。 观点总结：玉米03主力观察2250附近的支撑，上方2350。 3．美盘成本支撑削弱以及菜粕下跌均对豆粕价格形成拖累，但对未来大豆供应可能阶段性偏紧的担忧以及储备投放节奏的不确定性仍提供一定支撑。另一 方面，当前巴西远月船期对盘压榨利润相对可观，暗示若南美到港压力兑现，仍可能通 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 天然橡胶： 周二，国产全乳胶15400元/吨，环比上日下跌100元/吨；泰国20号混合胶14750元/吨，环比上日下跌100元/吨。 原料端：昨日泰国胶水报收57.5泰铢/公斤，环比上日持平，泰国杯胶价格报收51.8泰铢/公斤，环比上日下跌0.2泰铢/公斤；云南停割；海南停割。 截至2026年1月18日，青岛地区天胶保税和一般贸易合计库存量58.49万吨，环比上期增加1.67万吨，增幅2.94%。保税区库存9.95万吨，增幅6.42%；一般贸 易库存48.54万吨，增幅2.26%。青岛天然橡胶样本保税仓库入库率增加0.85个百分点，出库率增加0.05个百分点；一般贸易仓库入库率增加0.72个百分点， 出库率增加1.55个百分点。 观点：随着北半球冬季来临，全球即将进入低产季，也代表着单边价格的定价框架将从供需平衡的动态定价转换至存量库存的静态定价，在近期商品市场预 期全面走强的背景下，预计短期内RU&NR&Sicom仍将高位震荡。向后看，尽管认为2026全球轮胎等橡胶制品的需求将迎来温和增长，但是需求的增长是需 要时间的，以及全球贸易壁垒仍未完 ...

Group 1: Copper Market - The main copper futures in Shanghai fell below 100,000 yuan, reaching a low of 99,210 yuan, while London copper retreated to around 12,785 USD [4][17]. - Macro sentiment is neutral to bearish, influenced by geopolitical tensions and fiscal concerns, leading to downward pressure on copper prices [5][18]. - LME copper inventory increased by 8,875 tons to 156,300 tons, while LME copper warrants decreased by 4,462 tons to 148,000 tons [5][18]. - Mantoverde is operating normally but is only producing at 75% capacity, with attention on strike adjustments [5][18]. - Short-term copper prices are expected to remain under pressure, with a reference trading range of 98,500 to 100,500 yuan per ton for the main Shanghai copper futures [5][18]. Group 2: Aluminum Market - Overnight alumina futures showed weak fluctuations, with spot prices stabilizing after a decline [19]. - Concerns over rising shipping costs before the Spring Festival have led traders to be less willing to sell at significant discounts [19]. - Some production companies in Guizhou and Guangxi are beginning maintenance and short-term shutdowns, which may scale up before the holiday [19]. - The registered amount of alumina warrants decreased significantly by over 70,000 tons to 116,000 tons, with physical warrants expected to flow to terminal aluminum plants [19]. - The 05 contract for alumina is expected to trade between 2,500 and 2,800 yuan per ton, with a recommendation to hold short positions [20]. Group 3: Zinc Market - Zinc prices showed weak fluctuations overnight, with macroeconomic factors and escalating trade tensions contributing to bearish sentiment [22]. - The supply side is affected by a slowdown in TC declines, while the demand side remains weak, particularly in the black metal sector [22]. - The current trading range for the main zinc contract is expected to be between 23,800 and 24,800 yuan per ton, with a recommendation to remain cautious [22]. Group 4: Lead Market - Lead prices showed weak fluctuations overnight, with supply pressures from both primary and secondary sources [23]. - The overall market sentiment is weak, with downstream purchasing intentions declining as the traditional off-season approaches [23]. - The expected trading range for the main lead contract is between 16,800 and 17,800 yuan per ton, with a recommendation for range trading [23]. Group 5: Precious Metals Market - Precious metals experienced a broad upward trend, with gold and silver breaking previous highs due to increased safe-haven buying amid geopolitical tensions [25]. - The European Parliament's suspension of trade agreement approvals and Trump's comments on potential military actions have heightened geopolitical risks, boosting demand for precious metals [25]. - The trading ranges for gold, silver, platinum, and palladium are set at 1,040-1,100 yuan per gram, 22,000-24,000 yuan per kilogram, 600-660 yuan per gram, and 480-530 yuan per gram, respectively [25].

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 钢材早报：原料支撑减弱，期钢震荡偏弱 市场信息： 1、 中国经济2025年"成绩单"出炉。2025年全年，我国GDP同比增长5.0%，达到140.19万亿元；规模以上工业增加值增长 5.9%，增速较上年加快 0.1 个百分 点；社会消费品零售总额规模增长3.7%，增速较上年加快0.2个百分点；固定资产投资下降3.8%，其中房地产开发投资下降17.2%。2025 年末全国人口 140489万人，全年出生人口792万人，死亡人口1131万人，人口总量同比减少339万人。 2、 国家统计局数据显示，2025 年，中国粗钢产量96081 万吨，同比下降4.4%；生铁产量 83604万吨，同比下降3.0%；钢材产量144612万吨，同比增长 3.1%。 3、 据海关统计，2025年我国外贸进出口达45.47万亿元，增长3.8%，创历史新高。其中，出口26.99万亿元，增长6.1%；进口18.48万亿元，增长0.5%。海关 总署数据显示，2025年我国累计出口钢材11901.9万吨，同比增长7.5%，创历史新高。 4、 1月20日，全国主港铁矿石成交116 ...

每经AI快讯，1月21日，中信建投（601066）研报称，2023年9月Meta开启AI眼镜时代，2025年行业进 入产品爆发期，预计谷歌等公司AI眼镜产品也将在2026~2027年陆续推出。政策层面，2026年AI眼镜纳 入国补，有望带动消费需求进一步提升。当前AI眼镜面临"不可能三角"，在成本、重量、性能、续航多 方面有所取舍，目前AI音频眼镜和AI拍摄眼镜已经较为成熟，带显示屏的AI+AR眼镜尚在发展阶段， 光学显示系统是关键环节之一，预计光波导方案为未来主流方向，待技术成熟时，有望替代智能手机， 成为个人综合终端。镜片厂商目前主要在销售渠道、定制镜片领域卡位，带动客单价提升，展望未来， 或可依托自身在树脂材料、光学领域的积累，深入产业链更多环节，如光波导、电致变色、眼球追踪等 光电元件，分享更多产业链价值。 ...

Market Overview - Major indices collectively declined, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2% at one point. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.78 trillion yuan, an increase of 69.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 3,100 stocks fell across the market [1] Sector Performance - The chemical sector showed strong performance, with over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, including Hongbaoli, Shandong Heda, Weiyuan Co., and Hongqiang Co. The precious metals concept continued its strength, with Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit. The real estate sector was active, with Dayue City and City Investment Holdings also hitting the daily limit. AI application stocks saw partial gains, with Jiayun Technology, Yue Media, and Zhejiang Wenhu gaining [1] Semiconductor Equipment Sector - According to CITIC Securities, the heat in the domestic computing power sector is driving growth in the semiconductor equipment sector. Despite an overall slowdown in industry expansion, the increase in domestic penetration rates remains a key growth driver for the equipment sector. By 2025, orders for leading equipment manufacturers are expected to grow by 20-30%, with a rapid increase in the localization of critical components [2] Banking Sector Insights - Guosheng Securities reported that a significant amount of household and corporate medium- to long-term deposits will mature in 2026, totaling 58.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.6 trillion yuan from 2025. The first quarter will see over 54% of these deposits maturing, which could alleviate pressure on bank interest margins and potentially reduce banks' costs by approximately 550 billion yuan [3] Real Estate Sector Opportunities - CICC suggests increasing attention to the real estate sector due to recent policy changes, despite weak demand. There are signs of positive changes on the supply side, and adjustments should be made based on inventory changes and the progress of housing storage policies [4]

Group 1 - The three major indices collectively declined, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 2% at one point. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.78 trillion yuan, an increase of 69.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 3,100 stocks fell across the market [1] - The chemical sector showed strong performance, with over ten constituent stocks hitting the daily limit, including Hongbaoli, Shandong Heda, Weiyuan Co., and Hongqiang Co. The precious metals concept continued to be strong, with Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit. The real estate sector was active, with Dayuecheng and City Investment Holdings also hitting the daily limit [1] - The AI application sector saw some gains, with stocks like Jiayun Technology, Yue Media, and Zhejiang Wenhu gaining the daily limit. In contrast, sectors such as computing hardware and commercial aerospace experienced significant declines, with commercial aerospace stocks collectively dropping, including Shenjian Co. facing four consecutive limit downs and Aerospace Power facing two consecutive limit downs [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities noted that the heat in the domestic computing sector is driving growth in the semiconductor equipment sector. Despite an overall slowdown in industry expansion, the increase in domestic penetration rates remains a key growth driver for the equipment sector. It is expected that the domestic equipment manufacturing rate will see rapid growth, with leading equipment manufacturers projected to achieve order growth of 20-30% by 2025 [1] - Guosheng Securities highlighted that a significant amount of household deposits will mature, potentially bringing new funds into the equity market. In 2026, the scale of maturing medium- and long-term deposits for households and enterprises is expected to reach 58.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.6 trillion yuan compared to 2025, with household deposits accounting for 37.9 trillion yuan [2] - CICC suggested paying attention to trading opportunities in the real estate sector, as recent policy changes have led to some positive developments on the supply side, despite weak demand. It is recommended to adjust focus based on changes in natural inventory and the progress of existing housing storage policies [3]

人民财讯1月21日电，中信建投研报称，铜价受供应扰动、需求增长及贸易流向变化推动大涨，后续走 势存不确定性。供应端，去年印尼、智利矿山事故致供应中断，智利铜矿罢工加剧短缺，南美铜矿产量 占比下滑、新项目审批滞后，加工费低迷使冶炼厂削减产能。需求端，新能源转型、AI基建带动铜消 费，电动汽车、数据中心对铜需求高于传统领域。贸易端，美国拟加征铜关税的预期，促使交易商向美 出口铜，推高其他地区供应紧张程度。后续美国关税政策、库存流向的实际变化节奏不明，"铝代铜"短 期难替代，再生铜供应增长的影响待观察，这些变量使走势存在不确定性。 转自：证券时报 ...

人民财讯1月21日电，中信建投研报称，一季度催化不断，继续旗帜鲜明看好固态电池板块春季行情。 节能与新能源汽车产业发展部际联席会议2026年度工作会议在京召开，提出加快突破全固态电池、高级 别自动驾驶等技术，这是固态电池技术在重要会议上被再次提及，进一步体现其重要性。与此同时，首 个国家级固态电池标准《电动汽车用固态电池 第1部分：术语和分类》已进入征求意见阶段，为固态电 池设置更为严格标准，且以"混合固液电池"作为标准术语，有望极大减少行业名词混用的乱象。随着固 态电池中期验收如期进行，各企业中试线样品受到严苛检验，技术方案将进一步收敛，确定性逐步增 强，头部电池厂及整车厂有望开启新一轮订单招标，看好春季行情下固态电池板块的配置价值。 转自：证券时报 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，2023年9月Meta开启AI眼镜时代，2025年行业进入产品爆发 期，预计谷歌等公司AI眼镜产品也将在26-27年陆续推出。政策层面，2026年AI眼镜纳入国补，有望带 动消费需求进一步提升。当前AI眼镜面临"不可能三角"，在成本、重量、性能、续航多方面有所取舍， 目前AI音频眼镜和AI拍摄眼镜已经较为成熟，带显示屏的AI+AR眼镜尚在发展阶段，光学显示系统是 关键环节之一，预计光波导方案为未来主流方向，待技术成熟时，有望替代智能手机，成为个人综合终 端。镜片厂商目前主要在销售渠道、定制镜片领域卡位，带动客单价提升，展望未来，或可依托自身在 树脂材料、光学领域的积累，深入产业链更多环节，如光波导、电致变色、眼球追踪等光电元件，分享 更多产业链价值。 中信建投主要观点如下： 复盘AI眼镜行业发展及近况：AI眼镜将AI技术与传统眼镜形态结合，或为未来AI在C端最佳落地硬件载 体之一，目前主流产品包括AI音频眼镜、AI拍摄眼镜、带显示屏的AI+AR眼镜。2023年9月Meta开启AI 眼镜时代，其发布的Ray-Ban Meta为行业首款出货量超百万台的AI眼镜。2025年A ...