Core Insights - Bilibili has announced the new list of its top 100 content creators (UP主) for the year [1] - By 2025, the total viewing time of content from these top creators is projected to exceed 83 billion minutes [1] - On average, each video from the top 100 creators is expected to be viewed for over 250 million minutes [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock index opened high but closed lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.29% at 26,844.96 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.11% at 5,822.18 points, the National Enterprises Index down 0.5% at 9,220.81 points, and the Red Chip Index down 0.34% at 4,139.41 points [1] Company News - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) repurchased 1.017 million shares for HKD 636 million at a price range of HKD 619-632 [2] - Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) repurchased 3.9 million shares for HKD 148 million at a price range of HKD 37.86-37.92 [3] - Six Fortune Group (00590.HK) reported a retail value increase of 26%, retail income increase of 17%, and same-store sales increase of 15% in Q3, exceeding expectations [3] - China Southern Airlines (01055.HK) reported a 11.89% increase in passenger capacity and a 19.28% increase in cargo capacity for December 2025 [6] Industry Insights - Tianfeng Securities noted that the Hong Kong stock market has a basis for short-term valuation recovery and sentiment improvement, but upward momentum may be constrained by high overseas interest rates [7] - The firm suggested a focus on technology and consumer sectors that are relatively undervalued [7] - According to Huatai Securities, the market is experiencing a shift towards a bullish sentiment, with historical data indicating a high probability of price increases following a period of panic [8] - Industry recommendations include prioritizing leading companies in the AI sector and exploring opportunities in insurance, banking, energy, and new consumption areas [8]

Group 1 - The AI application sector in the Hong Kong stock market showed a recovery in the afternoon, with MINIMAX-WP (00100.HK) rising over 16% [1] - Other companies such as Zhiyun (02513.HK) increased by more than 4%, while companies like Reading Group (00772.HK) and Bilibili (09626.HK) also experienced gains [1]

Core Insights - The animation market experienced significant growth in the past year, with monthly online views skyrocketing from 3 billion to 15 billion, and total views exceeding 75 billion, surpassing traditional animation market size within a year [1] - Despite the rise of short animations, long video platforms have not been significantly impacted, as top IP annual series remain stable, indicating a parallel development path [1][2] - The rapid evolution of short animations towards IP and quality production is expected to disrupt the current market equilibrium [1][7] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The domestic drama market faced a notable impact from short dramas, with the top 20 long dramas in 2025 seeing a 20% reduction in effective views compared to previous years [2] - Animation has become a crucial support for long video users, with 6 out of the top 10 new shows on Tencent Video being anime series, enhancing user acquisition and retention [2] - The overall impact of short animations on long-form anime remains limited, as the latter continues to attract substantial viewership [5][6] Group 2: Content Quality and Audience Engagement - Current short animations primarily serve as "fast food" entertainment, lacking the depth and emotional connection found in long-form anime, which continues to dominate viewer preferences [5][6] - The transition of short animations towards quality and IP-driven content is anticipated, with platforms beginning to leverage classic stories to establish emotional connections with audiences [9][10] - The rise of male and female-targeted short animations is expected to cater to diverse audience needs, potentially shifting viewer demographics [10] Group 3: Platform Strategies - Major platforms like Tencent Video and Bilibili are actively engaging in the short animation space, with Tencent Video launching initiatives to support quality content creation [11][19] - Bilibili's unique UGC community is driving the production of short animations, although it faces challenges in upgrading to higher-quality 3D animations [19][21] - Platforms are exploring collaborations with web novel IPs to enhance the quality and appeal of short animations, indicating a shift towards more structured content creation [10][23]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that Bilibili-W (09626) management believes the company's fourth-quarter performance will meet expectations, with target prices raised for both Hong Kong and US stocks, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Hong Kong target price increased from HKD 279.9 to HKD 314.9, and US target price raised from USD 36 to USD 40.5 [1] - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2026 have been adjusted upwards by 1% and 2% respectively due to improved advertising growth prospects [1] Group 2: Advertising Growth - Management holds a constructive view on advertising growth prospects, noting early signs of demand from AI and gaming advertisers [1] - The company is confident in its ability to secure budget allocations from e-commerce advertisers and plans to actively expand into new verticals to broaden its advertising client base [1] Group 3: Gaming Developments - For the game "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World," management anticipates seasonal fluctuations in Q4 2025, with revenue expected to stabilize in Q1 this year due to two seasons (S12 and S13) [1] - The Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan versions of the game are set to launch at the end of January, while versions for Japan and South Korea are planned for the second half of this year [1] - Regarding "Three Kingdoms: Hundred Generals Card," the company plans a new round of testing after the Lunar New Year, believing the game has significant potential in lower-tier markets and considering the development of a mini-game version [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Bilibili-W (09626) management believes the company's fourth-quarter performance will meet expectations, raising the target price for Hong Kong shares from HKD 279.9 to HKD 314.9 and for US shares from USD 36 to USD 40.5, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Advertising Growth Outlook - Management holds a constructive view on advertising growth prospects for 2026, noting early signs of demand growth from AI and gaming advertisers [1] - The company is confident in its ability to sustainably capture budget allocations from e-commerce advertisers and will actively expand into new verticals to broaden its advertising client base [1] Group 2: Gaming Performance - For the game "Three Kingdoms: Strategy of the World," management anticipates seasonal fluctuations in Q4 2025, with revenue expected to stabilize in Q1 this year due to two seasons (S12 and S13) being included [1] - The Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan versions of the game are set to launch at the end of January, while the Japanese and Korean versions are planned for release in the second half of this year [1] Group 3: Future Game Developments - Regarding "Three Kingdoms: Hundred Generals Card," the company plans to conduct a new round of testing after the Lunar New Year, believing the game has significant potential in lower-tier markets [1] - Management maintains a constructive outlook on the medium to long-term operational potential and profitability of this game and may consider developing a mini-game version [1] Group 4: Financial Forecast Adjustments - The firm has adjusted its revenue and profit forecasts for 2026 upwards by 1% and 2% respectively, due to improved advertising growth prospects [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that UBS's research report indicates Bilibili's management believes the company's fourth-quarter performance meets expectations, with a positive outlook for advertising growth through 2026 [1] - Management has noted early signs of demand growth from AI and gaming advertisers, indicating a constructive view on future advertising prospects [1] - The company is confident in its ability to sustainably capture budget allocations from e-commerce advertisers and plans to actively expand into new verticals to broaden its advertising client base [1] Group 2 - UBS has raised its revenue and profit forecasts for 2026 by 1% and 2% respectively, due to improved advertising growth prospects [1] - The target price for Hong Kong stocks has been increased from HKD 279.9 to HKD 314.9, and the target price for US stocks has been raised from USD 36 to USD 40.5, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that UBS has a positive outlook on Bilibili's advertising growth prospects, leading to an increase in revenue and profit forecasts for 2026 [1][2] - Bilibili's management believes that the company's performance in Q4 is in line with expectations and sees early signs of demand growth from AI and gaming advertisers [1] - UBS has raised its target price for Bilibili's Hong Kong stock from HKD 279.9 to HKD 314.9 and for its US stock from USD 36 to USD 40.5, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1][2] Group 2 - Bilibili has experienced over 20% growth in advertising revenue for 11 consecutive quarters [2] - JPMorgan has increased its stake in Bilibili by 696,300 shares, indicating confidence in the company's future [2] - The company aims to actively expand into new verticals to broaden its advertising client base and sustain its efforts to capture e-commerce advertisers' budget allocations [1]

Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.08%, the Nasdaq down 1.00%, and the S&P 500 down 0.53% [2] - Technology stocks experienced widespread declines, with Oracle and Broadcom falling over 4%, and Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta dropping over 2% [2] - Notably, Intel saw a contrary increase, rising over 3% [2] Chinese Stocks Performance - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index decreased by 0.23%, with significant declines in several Chinese companies [2] - Ctrip fell over 17%, Pinduoduo dropped nearly 4%, and electric vehicle manufacturers such as Li Auto, NIO, and Xpeng, along with Bawang Tea, all declined over 2% [2] - In contrast, Bilibili experienced a rise of over 6% [2]

Market - US stock market experienced a decline for the second consecutive day, with the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 all falling, primarily driven by poor performance in technology stocks, particularly chip stocks like Nvidia, which dropped due to export restrictions [2] - Bank stocks also struggled, with Wells Fargo's revenue falling short of expectations, while Bank of America and Citigroup exceeded expectations but could not support the high market levels. The banking sector faced additional pressure from Trump's call for credit card interest rate reforms [2] - Despite strong PPI and retail sales data, the market remained low due to concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and rising geopolitical risks, particularly related to Iran [2] Company - Tesla announced it will stop selling its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software at a fixed price and will instead offer it as a monthly subscription service starting at $99, leading to a 1.79% drop in its stock price [3][33] - Cerebras secured a significant contract with OpenAI worth over $10 billion, committing to provide 750 MW of computing power by 2028, which will help reduce its reliance on a single customer [32] - Wells Fargo reported profits below expectations, with a significant $612 million spent on severance costs, leading to its stock experiencing the largest intraday drop in six months [40] - Bank of America reported a 23% increase in stock trading revenue to $2.02 billion, exceeding analyst expectations, but concerns over costs led to a 5% drop in its stock price [41] - Boeing announced it received 1,173 net orders in 2025, surpassing Airbus, although its stock fell 1.7% in early trading [42]