Core Insights - The 2026 Guizhou Inbound Tourism Supplier Conference and Ctrip Global Partner Conference was held in Guiyang, showcasing Guizhou's tourism potential and fostering global industry collaboration [1][3][19] - Guizhou's tourism market is experiencing strong growth, with online reception numbers and total revenue expected to multiply by 2025 compared to 2019-2020, and inbound tourism consumption growth exceeding 50% in the past two years [3][19][21] - The launch of the 2026 Guizhou Inbound Tourism Cooperation Plan aims to enhance the "Colorful Guizhou" brand's recognition and influence in international markets [7][24][26] Group 1: Event Overview - The conference featured approximately 2,400 domestic and international tourism representatives, emphasizing immersive experiences of China's cultural tourism [1][19] - Key government and industry leaders, including Guizhou's Vice Governor and Ctrip executives, participated in discussions on the future of tourism [1][3][19] Group 2: Tourism Development - Guizhou is transitioning from sightseeing tourism to cultural and immersive travel experiences, focusing on themes like "Ecological Secrets," "Cultural Islands," and "Heartfelt Experiences" [5][22] - New tourism formats such as "Village Super" and outdoor sports are emerging, showcasing the region's vibrant tourism landscape [3][19] Group 3: Technological Innovations - Ctrip's executives highlighted the role of AI as a core growth engine for the tourism industry, facilitating a shift from "service finds people" to "people find service" [11][28] - Innovations in operational and sales models for tourism businesses are being driven by AI, including automated customer service systems and personalized video content generation [11][28][31] Group 4: Strategic Collaborations - The conference served as a platform for global tourism partners to enhance trust and cooperation, aiming to inject new momentum into China's high-quality tourism development [9][26][33] - Ctrip plans to collaborate with Guizhou to ensure the stable and healthy development of the local tourism market through innovative technology and governance mechanisms [16][35]

Group 1 - Global capital markets are focusing on China, with strong confidence in its economic resilience and market potential from multiple foreign institutions [1][4] - Goldman Sachs predicts that the MSCI China Index and the CSI 300 Index will rise by 20% and 12% respectively in 2026, maintaining a high allocation to Chinese A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1][4] - UBS expects a 14% profit growth for the MSCI China Index in 2026, driven mainly by internet platforms, high-end manufacturing, and companies with global expansion capabilities [1][5] Group 2 - There is a clear trend of capital returning to China, with international long-term funds continuing to flow in and a strong recovery in the Hong Kong IPO market [2] - UBS's China president noted that 2025 was a pivotal year for international investors' attitudes towards Chinese assets, shifting from passive observation to active participation [2] - Goldman Sachs forecasts that net buying from southbound funds could reach $200 billion in 2026, setting a new historical high [2] Group 3 - Global hedge funds currently have a net allocation of 7.6% and a total allocation of 6.5% to Chinese stocks, significantly below previous cycle peaks [3] - The MSCI China Index is expected to trade at a forward P/E ratio of 13 times by the end of 2026, indicating significant upside potential not yet reflected in current valuations [3] - The MSCI China Index currently trades at a discount of 38% compared to developed markets and 11% compared to other emerging markets, making it attractive for foreign investment [3] Group 4 - The positive outlook for Chinese assets is supported by fundamental improvements, reasonable valuations, and policy benefits [4][5] - Goldman Sachs emphasizes that the stock market's rise in 2026 will be driven by earnings growth, with expected profit growth of 14% for both the MSCI China Index and the CSI 300 Index [4][5] - The anticipated policy support will focus on accelerating investment in advanced technologies to enhance self-sufficiency and productivity [5] Group 5 - The technology innovation and AI sectors are identified as core growth areas attracting foreign investment [6] - China's AI technology companies have a total market value of approximately $5 trillion, which is only one-sixth of that of the U.S., indicating significant growth potential [6] Group 6 - Goldman Sachs recommends focusing on three core areas for investment: private enterprises benefiting from AI development, stocks supported by the "14th Five-Year Plan," and leading companies in export [7] - The top ten private leading enterprises in China, including Tencent and Alibaba, represent 40% of the MSCI China Index's weight and have a daily trading volume of $7.5 billion [7] - Companies with strong balance sheets and cash flows that are well-positioned for international market expansion are expected to perform well [7]

Group 1 - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increased by 1.09% on January 8 [1] - Key Chinese stocks saw significant gains, with GDS Holdings rising over 8% and Bilibili increasing by more than 6% [1] - Tencent Music and Alibaba both rose by over 5%, while other companies like Kingsoft Cloud and Xpeng Motors saw increases of over 3% [1] Group 2 - JD.com and Vipshop experienced gains of over 2%, while ZTO Express and Futu Holdings rose by more than 1% [1] - Ctrip and NetEase had slight increases, indicating a generally positive market sentiment for these companies [1] - Conversely, Baidu and Bawang Tea House fell by over 3%, with Manbang and NIO also experiencing declines of more than 1% [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,310.99, up by 161.68 points or 0.62% as of January 8, 16:00 Eastern Time [1] - The index reached a high of 26,311.38 and a low of 25,998.12 during the trading session, with a trading volume of 50.328 million shares [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 125.439, up by 0.92% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 615.197, down by 0.13% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] Stock Price Movements - Tencent Holdings: Latest price HKD 616.000, down by HKD 8.500 or 1.36%, with an ADR price of 615.197, reflecting a decrease of 0.13% [3] - Alibaba Group: Latest price HKD 142.600, down by HKD 3.300 or 2.26%, with an ADR price of 150.458, reflecting an increase of 5.51% [3] - HSBC Holdings: Latest price HKD 124.300, down by HKD 2.900 or 2.28%, with an ADR price of 125.439, reflecting an increase of 0.92% [3] - Other notable movements include Meituan-W down by 3.35% and JD.com down by 2.02% [3]

Core Viewpoint - Ctrip Group has been selected as a core asset in the consumer tourism sector for 2026, reflecting its strong position in the recovering domestic consumption market and its structural transformation into a comprehensive tourism service provider [1] Company Analysis - Ctrip is transitioning from a "single booking platform" to a "full-domain tourism ecosystem service provider," leveraging its leadership in the online travel agency (OTA) sector [1] - The company reported a revenue of 47 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16%, and an adjusted operating profit of 13.29 billion yuan, up 11.5%, showcasing its resilience in a challenging consumption environment [1] - Ctrip's unique model combines a stable domestic base, international business expansion, comprehensive supply chain coverage, and technological empowerment, resulting in a profit structure characterized by both cyclical resilience and growth certainty [1] Industry Trends - The tourism service industry is experiencing growth, benefiting from an increase in domestic tourism service share and a significant recovery in inbound tourism due to favorable policies aimed at stimulating consumption [3] - The domestic tourism market is showing steady growth, with a year-on-year increase of 18% in tourist numbers and 11.5% in tourism revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 [8] - The OTA penetration rate in China reached 51.5% in 2024 and continues to rise, indicating a shift towards online booking as the mainstream mode of tourism consumption [8] Competitive Advantages - Ctrip has established significant barriers to entry through brand and traffic advantages, with a user repurchase rate exceeding 60% [4] - The company has a robust supply chain covering over 750,000 hotels in more than 600 cities domestically and 1.2 million hotels globally, providing a comprehensive one-stop service for diverse travel needs [4][5] - Ctrip's early global expansion through acquisitions has positioned it well in the international market, with substantial growth in international OTA bookings [5] Business Structure - Ctrip's domestic tourism business remains the core profit base, contributing over 80% of revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, supported by both high-end and budget travel segments [10] - The international tourism business is rapidly growing, with a significant increase in bookings for inbound and outbound travel, expected to become a core growth driver alongside domestic operations [10] - The company has diversified its service offerings beyond core travel bookings to include vacation products, scenic tickets, and business travel management, enhancing its revenue structure [11][12] Investment Outlook - Ctrip is viewed as an attractive investment opportunity due to its low valuation and strong growth potential, with expected revenue growth of 15%-17% in 2026 [13] - The company is anticipated to benefit from policy incentives, rising consumer income, and a recovering tourism market, positioning it as a key player in the consumption recovery cycle [14]

Core Viewpoint - Citic Securities has initiated a "Buy" rating for Trip.com Group-S (09961) with a target price of 660 HKD, citing manageable short-term impacts from public opinion and international political fluctuations on outbound tourism [5]. Financial Projections - The firm forecasts that by 2026, Trip.com Group's domestic revenue will grow by 9%, outbound revenue by 12%, and pure overseas revenue by 34%, leading to an overall revenue growth rate of 13% and an adjusted net profit of 22.58 billion RMB [5]. - The current valuation stands at approximately 16.5 times earnings, which is below the historical average of 18 times, suggesting a buying opportunity during price dips [5]. Market Position and Strategy - Citic Securities believes that the company's market share as a leading Online Travel Agency (OTA) is unlikely to decrease in the long term, with minimal impact on overall performance [5]. - The report anticipates that domestic hotel prices will stabilize and recover gradually, with a relatively stable competitive landscape, allowing Trip.com to maintain a leading growth rate in its domestic hotel business [5]. - Trip.com is expected to drive continued high growth in its overseas business, enabling the company to enhance its market share and profit release [5].

携程集团旅游事业群CTO陈浩然在会上展示了多项已落地AI工具的赋能成果：流量提效工具：新上线 的"CTRIPS融合模型"在跟团游场景中，已为合作伙伴带来超10%的订单增长。该模型将流量分配逻辑 透明化，商家可通过优化具体因子自主提升曝光。 来源：环球网 【环球网科技报道 记者 王楠】1月6日，携程在2026旅游全球合作伙伴大会上披露，其AI驱动的"智能引 擎3.0"已实现规模化应用落地：通过新流量模型为商家带来超10%订单增长，核心合作伙伴GMV增速跑 赢大盘38%。这标志着携程的战略重心已转向系统化赋能生态伙伴提效增收，以此作为推动行业"众行 远"的实践路径。 "赋能的核心是帮助伙伴解决最根本的经营难题。"携程方面表示，破解服务痛点，提升复购率：通 过"拟合NPS"机制与AI行中干预，携程帮助合作伙伴将团队游行中服务的NPS提升了超过20个百分点。 服务体验的优化直接转化为更高的客户复购与口碑推荐，为商家带来源源不断的流量。 破解流量痛点，实现"优质优价"：在租车等易陷入价格战的领域，携程通过"无忧租"标准认证和流量倾 斜，构建良性飞轮。携程旅游租车CEO宋臻表示："这证明将流量赋能给好商品和好商家能获得更 ...

该行预计，2026年携程集团境内收入增9%、出境增12%、纯海外增34%，整体收入增速13%，经调整净 利润225.8亿人民币。当前估值约16.5倍，低于历史估值中枢的18倍，建议逢低布局。展望2026年，该行 预计境内酒店价格逐步企稳回升、竞争格局相对稳定的背景下公司境内酒店业务增速有望持续领先行 业，同时Trip.com有望驱动海外业务延续高增长，携程有望持续实现份额提升与利润释放。 智通财经APP获悉，中信证券发布研报称，首予携程集团-S(09961)"买入"评级，对应目标价660港元。 报告表示，近期携程集团因自身舆论及国际政治波动对出境旅游造成的潜在负面影响，股价波动。该行 认为，短期舆论影响可控，长期而言，集团作为OTA龙头份额大概率不会降低，且对整体业绩影响较 小。 ...

市场层面，国内与入境市场双双走高。国内市场受 "请 3 休 8" 拼假模式刺激，错峰游需求激增，节前两天境内酒店搜索热度同比增长超 100%，国内机票搜 索热度同比提升 50% 以上。入境市场受益于免签红利持续释放，酒店及机票搜索热度同步大涨，入境酒店搜索热度同比增幅超 150%，上海、广州、北京、 三亚、深圳稳居热门目的地 TOP5，烟台、南宁、汕头等 "宝藏小城" 凭借独特魅力跻身热度上升榜前列。 2026 年元旦假期，旅游市场呈现全面升温态势，错峰游需求爆发、机酒双线增长、入境市场强劲复苏，异地长时旅居成为主流，主题旅游带动细分酒店品 类爆发，酒店行业需精准把握机遇优化运营。 用户行为呈现显著变化，游玩半径与连住时长大幅拉长。2026 年元旦跨省酒店住宿占比预计超半数，连住 2 天及以上的住宿需求进一步提升，异市出行占 比超 90%。客源地主要集中在上海、北京、广州、深圳、杭州等核心城市，出行偏好呈现南北分化特征：北方游客南下前往三亚、广州等城市过冬，南方 游客则青睐冰雪旅游；同时开封、景德镇等新兴目的地凭借丰富的跨年活动，成为游客新选择，热门酒店目的地 TOP10 涵盖上海、南京、哈尔滨、重庆等 南北 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,526.37, down by 184.08 points or 0.69% from the previous close [1] - The index opened at 26,762.67 and reached a low of 26,524.46 during the trading session [1] - The trading volume was 44.585 million shares, with an average price of 26,644.01 [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - HSBC Holdings closed at HKD 127.849, down 0.74% compared to the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 630.832, down 0.26% from the Hong Kong close [2] - Alibaba Group (W) saw a decline of 1.31%, closing at HKD 150.800 [3] - China Ping An increased by 4.96%, closing at HKD 72.000 [3] - Meituan (W) had a slight increase of 0.66%, closing at HKD 106.100 [3] ADR Performance - Tencent's ADR price was USD 630.832, reflecting a decrease of 0.26% compared to its Hong Kong stock price [3] - Alibaba's ADR was USD 146.902, down 2.58% from its Hong Kong counterpart [3] - HSBC's ADR closed at USD 127.849, down 0.74% compared to its Hong Kong price [3]