The Hecht Commodity Report is one of the most comprehensive commodity reports available today. My weekly report covers the market movements of over 20 different commodities and provides bullish, bearish, and neutral calls; directional trading recommendations; and actionable ideas for traders through a portfolio approach.On Friday, February 20, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court handed down an opinion that struck down the Trump administration’s tariffs. President Trump called the decision a disaster and said that ...

港股方面，截至2026年02月23日，阿里巴巴-W(09988)收盘价报152.20港元，当日上涨3.47%，但近一周 区间累计下跌2.06%；美股方面，截至2026年02月20日，阿里巴巴(BABA.N)收盘价报154.45美元，当日 微涨0.12%，近一周区间下跌0.82%。股价波动受市场情绪、行业竞争及宏观因素综合影响。 中信证券于2026年02月23日发布研报，维持阿里巴巴"买入"评级，目标价234港元。该行指出，公司 25Q4经营性业绩稳健，AI技术全场景深度赋能，游戏业务延续"经典IP长线运营+新游全球化突破"双轮 驱动，长期成长潜力凸显。 股票近期走势 经济观察网 财报季临近尾声，阿里巴巴的业绩将成为市场焦点之一。投资者正密切关注其2025年第四 季度财务表现，以评估AI技术赋能下的业务韧性。 机构观点 监管动态：2026年02月20日，市场监管总局约谈阿里巴巴等平台企业，要求规范促销行为，避免"内卷 式"竞争，以维护公平市场环境。 近期事件 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 AI技术进展：2026年02月期间，阿里巴巴开源千问Qwen3.5-Plus大模型，宣称性能媲美全球顶尖开源模 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,413, down 1.10% for the day but up 3.05% year-to-date [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell 2.91% to 5,211, with a year-to-date decline of 5.52% [1] - The Dow Jones Index increased by 0.47% to 49,625, with a year-to-date gain of 3.25% [1] Currency Trends - The Renminbi Index stands at 98.340, showing a 1M increase of 0.36% and a 6M increase of 1.44% [2] - The USD/JPY exchange rate is at 155.570, with a 1M increase of 1.66% but a 6M decrease of 5.30% [2] Commodity Prices - Brent crude oil is priced at $71.460 per barrel, up 11.37% over the last month and 9.20% over the last six months [3] - Gold is trading at $5,038.03 per ounce, reflecting a significant increase of 50.48% over the last six months [3] Economic News - The U.S. GDP growth for Q4 last year was estimated at 1.4%, significantly below the expected 3% [5][14] - The unemployment rate in Hong Kong has risen to 3.9%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points [20] Company Updates - JD.com reported a 150% increase in robot order volume during the Spring Festival, driven by a significant rise in search and inquiry volumes [22][23] - Xuan Bamboo Biotechnology has been included in the Hang Seng Composite Index, effective March 9, 2026 [25] Sector Performance - The technology sector has shown a decline, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down nearly 3% [6] - The financial and real estate sectors remained stable, with notable increases in certain real estate stocks [6]

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投发布研报称，春节期间大模型迎来密集迭代，多智能体协同与原生多模态 驱动能力跨越式发展。 在过去的两周内，海内外头部 AI 厂商密集发布新一代基座模型。并行智能体架 构、复杂逻辑推理、超长上下文以及原生视音频模态成为本次技术周期的核心特征，产业趋势正快速从 对话式问答向复杂工程任务全自动托管演进。近期国内外云厂商涨价函频发，AI推理需求拉动行业进 入向上拐点，建议关注云涨价逻辑下的核心方向。Agent爆发+上游缺货带动CPU与存储量价齐升逻辑持 续演绎，底层硬件价值分布从重算力全面转向算存并重。 智谱：智谱 AI 推出 7440 亿参数的旗舰基座模型 GLM-5，核心能力由辅助编程向自动化智能体工程演 进。该模型引入稀疏注意力机制与全新异步强化学习基础设施，大幅降低计算与显存开销。在产业生态 方面，GLM-5 首次在华为昇腾算力集群上实现 W4A8 混合精度量化，实测开箱性能对标海外主流算力 平台，在长序列与低时延场景下的部署成本降低 50%。GLM-5 的商业化落地，标志着国产大模型在复 杂推理能力与底层算力生态适配上取得双重突破。 MiniMax：M2.5 在编程、工具调用等生产 ...

2月23日，港交所一开盘，腾讯和阿里的股价向上45度上涨，收盘价较上个交易日收盘分别上涨3.07%和3.47%，资本市场用真金白银为春节期间两大AI参与 方"投票"，也间接对过去一个月大模型密集落地做出回应。从除夕夜豆包扛住633亿tokens/分钟的流量洪峰、阿里云发布新模型，到春节期间月之暗面刷新 融资纪录、阿里"千问帮我"下单近2亿次，大厂与小厂共同上演了一场没有旁观者的高频次产品竞赛。 如今，聚光灯已从台前的具身智能，转向了幕后深入千家万户的大模型应用。台上是风景，台下是生活。曾经，活动不卡顿是春晚"秀肌肉"的底线，如今这 只是AI基建成熟的起点。当大模型真正"入户"，一场关于用户习惯与商业闭环的深层较量进入高潮。 | HK 09988 阿里巴巴-W 港币柜台 v | | | --- | --- | | 152.200港元 +5.100 +3.47% | | | ○ 已收盘 02-23 16:00:00 北京时间 | | | 今开 150.100 | 最高 | | 昨收 昨 147.100 | 最低 | | 4 = = 0 0 200/ | 上月/TTM) | 这场战役的焦点，已不再局限于春晚舞台上的 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - During the Spring Festival of 2026, the global technology sector is characterized by AI-driven deepening, accelerated hard technology transformation, and a bipolar leadership between China and the US, with the practical application and commercialization of technology becoming the core theme [1] - The AI and large model fields have become the absolute core, with global capital and technology intensifying. OpenAI secured a financing round exceeding $100 billion, locking in computational power advantages, while Google is pushing large models deeper into research scenarios [1][6] - The humanoid robot industry is undergoing a critical transformation, with international leading companies completing the transition to fully electric drive, while Chinese companies are seizing opportunities in practical scenarios like "human-machine collaboration" [1][8] - The aerospace and low-altitude economy sectors are showing a trend towards scaling, with both US-China competition and China leading. SpaceX is consolidating its Starlink advantages through high reuse launches, while China's commercial space launch success rate remains at 100% [1][11] Summary by Sections AI - OpenAI finalized a new financing round exceeding $100 billion during the Spring Festival, marking the largest single financing in AI history, which will significantly impact the global AI industry's computational power landscape and competitive dynamics [6] - Google upgraded its flagship large model Gemini 3 Deep Think, enhancing its reasoning capabilities for scientific and engineering scenarios, achieving notable performance in various tests [7] Robotics - Boston Dynamics announced a complete switch of its Atlas humanoid robot to fully electric drive, marking a significant shift towards industrialization and scalability [8][9] - The industry consensus indicates that the core bottleneck for humanoid robots is not mobility or balance but the technology of dexterous hands, which remains a challenge [9] Commercial Aerospace - SpaceX completed its 600th Falcon 9 rocket launch, successfully deploying 24 upgraded Starlink V2 Mini satellites, further expanding the Starlink constellation and enhancing polar coverage and direct mobile communication capabilities [11][12] Semiconductor Storage - Samsung achieved mass production of the HBM4 chip, with a significant price increase of 20%-30% compared to the previous generation, highlighting the high demand for high-end storage chips driven by AI [10] Beneficiary Targets - AI Computing and Applications: Companies such as Cambricon, Industrial Fulian, and Inspur Information [2] - Robotics: Companies like Joyson Electronics and New Spring Co [2] - Large Models: Companies including Zhipu AI and iFLYTEK [2] - Semiconductor Storage: Companies like Zhaoyi Innovation and Changjiang Electronics [2] - Commercial Aerospace: Companies such as Western Materials and Reascend Technology [2]

| 恒生指数 | 恒生科技 | 恒生生物科技 | | --- | --- | --- | | 27081.91 | 5385.35 | 16195.61 | | +668.56 +2.53% | +173.85 +3.34% | +246.44 +1.55% | | 港股通消费 | 港股红利 | 港股现金流 | | 1726.92 | 2321.52 | 2597.06 | | +26.93 +1.58% | +25.10 +1.09% | +57.49 +2.26% | | 恒生综合指数 | 恒指期货 | 恒生科指期货 | | 4148.74 | 27076 | 5381 | | +97.21 +2.40% | +664 +2.51% | +172 +3.30% | 每经记者｜杜宇 每经编辑｜何小桃 宋思艰 记者|杜宇 编辑|何小桃 宋思艰 校对|魏文艺 2月23日，港股大涨。截至收盘，恒指涨2.53%，恒生科技指数涨3.34%。 港股主板1192只个股上涨，537只个股下跌。 AI应用概念股回调，智谱大跌近23%，市值蒸发736亿港元。另外，海致科技集团跌超21%，MINIMAX-WP跌超13%。 值得注 ...

美国部分关税"失效"引发全球股市反弹，2月23日港股跟随外盘大幅上涨，全天恒生指数上升2.53%，报 收27082点，成交1729亿港元；恒生科技指数在2月20日创出调整新低，23日则大幅反弹3.34%，报收 5385点，成交468亿港元。 业内人士表示，美国总统特朗普的关税政策频繁变动，伊朗等地缘政治因素也不确定，这些消息都将引 发港股短期内大幅波动；展望后市，上市公司陆续公布业绩，将会逐步主导港股一季度的走势，预计科 网股公布业绩后重启回购将会支撑市场行情。 业内人士表示，美国总统特朗普的关税政策频繁变动，伊朗等地缘政治因素也不确定，这些消息都将引 发港股短期内大幅波动；展望后市，上市公司陆续公布业绩，将会逐步主导港股一季度的走势，预计科 网股公布业绩后重启回购将会支撑市场行情。 博大资本国际行政总裁温天纳表示，美国最高法院裁定总统特朗普依据《国际紧急经济权力法》征收的 关税违法无效，这一事件是港股反弹的重要触发因素，被视为贸易摩擦缓和的信号，叠加资金回流以及 AI、机器人等主题延续，市场情绪快速修复。但特朗普新关税政策及潜在的退税诉讼仍存在不确定因 素，展望后市，上市公司业绩披露潮（2月底至4月）至关重 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has rebounded, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,081.91 points, up 2.53% or 668.56 points, and a total trading volume of 172.96 billion HKD [1] - The technology sector is experiencing increased scrutiny and differentiation, with domestic technology valuations remaining relatively low compared to the U.S. [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) saw a significant increase of 5.35%, closing at 44.95 HKD, contributing 22.03 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip stocks include Meituan-W (03690) up 5.26%, SMIC (00981) up 5.02%, while New Oriental Energy (02688) and Chow Tai Fook (01929) experienced slight declines [2] Sector Highlights - Large technology stocks showed a strong recovery, with Meituan-W rising over 5% and other major players like JD, Alibaba, Xiaomi, and Baidu increasing by over 3% [3] - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and copper, performed well, with Zijin Gold International (02099) rising 6.82% [5] - The AI sector is expected to see significant advancements, with Alibaba Cloud launching a new model at competitive pricing, indicating a potential shift in the global AI landscape by 2026 [4] Lithium and Battery Sector - The lithium and battery sectors are experiencing strong growth, with companies like Ruipu Lanjun (00666) increasing by 15.42% and CATL (03750) up 3.14% [7] - UBS has raised its price forecasts for lithium products, indicating a third super cycle for lithium prices and predicting a significant increase in China's market share in the global electric vehicle sector by 2030 [8] Optical Communication Sector - The optical communication sector is seeing notable gains, with companies like Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869) rising 14.43% due to strong production and demand for high-speed optical modules [6]

Core Viewpoint - Major Chinese stocks have experienced volatility since the reopening of the Hong Kong market after the Lunar New Year [1] Group 1 - The reopening of the Hong Kong market has led to fluctuations in major Chinese stocks [1]