H200 最新情况以及国内 AI 芯片格局趋势推演 20251214 摘要 受政策影响，2026 年英伟达 H200 在中国出货量预计在 120 万至 200 万片之间，主要受国企和国资背景单位限制，民营互联网企业受限较小。 互联网行业采购量占国内 AI 芯片需求的 45%-50%，是需求趋势的关键 驱动因素。 2026 年国内 AI 芯片总需求预计 420 万片，国产芯片约占 300 万片。 若英伟达完全供货，将占据超过 55%的市场份额，挤压国产芯片约 120 万片市场空间。华为 920C、BN166 和木兮 500 核分等国产芯片在理 论算力上接近 H100 的 80%，但综合性能仍有差距。 除互联网外，运营商和智算中心等领域需求快速增长，占整体需求的 25%左右，预计未来三年在人工智能基础设施上的投入将高速增长，支 出占比可能超过 50%，主要原因是国内 AR 算力投入与国际水平相比仍 较低。 目前国内 AI 芯片性能大致达到 H200 的 60%，部分量产产品达 H100 的 80%。预计 2026 年将有七八家厂商推出计算能力达 600-800T 的产 品，性能基本对标甚至超越 H200，完全超越 ...

| 代码 | 简称 | 最新融资余额 | 融资余额环比增 | 最新融券余额 | 融券余额环比增 | 当日涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (万元） | 减（%） | (万元） | 减（%） | （%） | | 688239 | 航宇 | 41076.10 | 63.50 | 84.34 | 19.85 | 19.85 | | | 科技 | | | | | | | 688119 | 中钢 | 12715.03 | 42.75 | 0.00 | | 2.23 | | | 洛耐 | | | | | | | 688361 | 中科 | 50896.57 | 26.81 | 2087.59 | 6.56 | 10.63 | | | 飞测 | | | | | | | 688682 | 霍莱 | 17086.10 | 25.49 | 0.00 | | 10.21 | | | 沃 | | | | | | | 688719 | 爱科 | 21901.57 | 22.12 | 0.00 | | 12.76 | | | 赛博 | | | | | | | ...

Group 1: Industry Changes - The computer industry in 2026 will witness a convergence of "industrial cycles" and "policy cycles," marking a decisive year for both existing tasks and new growth opportunities [2][3] - AI applications are expected to reach a critical point of explosion, transitioning from a phase of high expenditure to profitability, with significant scale deployment in vertical scenarios [11] - Domestic computing power has evolved from being a backup to becoming fully usable in training and inference for domestic large models, with 2026 anticipated to be a year of comprehensive replacement [12] - The completion of the "信创" (Xinchuang) initiative is set for 2027, making 2026 a peak year for bidding and delivery, with strong performance certainty for related companies [13] Group 2: Policy Changes - The "十四五" (14th Five-Year Plan) elevates commercial aerospace to a national strategic level, with 2026 expected to be a year of industry explosion driven by satellite networking and reusable rockets [6] - The low-altitude economy is transitioning from policy enthusiasm to industrial heat, with substantial construction expected in 2026 due to infrastructure standards and special bonds [6] - The integration of AI with various industries is emphasized in the "十四五" plan, aiming for deep integration in manufacturing, healthcare, transportation, and finance, which will enhance productivity and create greater economic value [20][36] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Companies in the AI application sector should be selected based on their alignment with national policies and the "AI+" initiative, focusing on sectors like agriculture, industrial software, and healthcare [36] - Companies with strong foundational platforms and aggregation entry points for large models are recommended for long-term investment, such as Alibaba and iFlytek [37] - Data barrier companies that possess proprietary data to train models are crucial, with a focus on firms like 海天瑞声 (Haitian Ruisheng) and 同花顺 (Tonghuashun) [38] - Companies that dominate high-frequency usage scenarios, such as 金山办公 (Kingsoft Office) and 东方财富 (Eastmoney), are positioned to benefit significantly from AI integration [40]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the technology sector is pivotal for economic growth, with the capital market increasingly supporting innovation, leading to a bullish trend in the stock market by 2025 [1][17][21] - The A-share market returned to 4000 points in October 2025, with the information technology sector experiencing a 50% increase year-to-date, making it the top-performing industry [4][12] - The number of listed companies in the electronics sector has grown from 299 at the end of 2020 to 489 by November 2025, with the total market capitalization share rising from 7.45% to 11.76% [5][6] Group 2 - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index is 16.36 and 49.18, respectively, indicating a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [7] - The capital market is witnessing a surge in technology IPOs, with over 90% of new listings being technology-related or high-tech companies [10][11] - The introduction of policies supporting unprofitable technology companies to access the capital market has opened new avenues for funding and growth [14][15][16] Group 3 - The Hong Kong stock market is also becoming a hotspot for hard technology companies, with a significant number of tech firms applying for listings [12] - The growth of technology companies is supported by a series of government policies aimed at fostering innovation and financial support for the tech sector [16][18] - The capital market's role in facilitating the transition from innovation to commercialization is crucial, as it provides necessary funding for high-risk, high-reward tech startups [20]

8月29日，是今年A股的历史性时刻。 国产AI芯片龙头寒武纪的股价超越贵州茅台，成为新的"股王"。 这些高科技企业凭核心技术成为产业自主的攻坚尖兵；同样在资本市场的估值重塑中，印证了硬科技从研发投入到价值兑现的逻辑，成为科技牛市的核心标 的。 科技与资本相得益彰，完成了彼此的双重进化。我们遴选了代表性行业，拆解中国科技企业从技术攻坚到资本突围的破局路径与成长密码，也为市场读懂硬 科技的长期价值提供参照。 公司股价暴涨，逻辑并不复杂。当前中国和全球处于历史性的AI大浪潮下，而中国的人工智能芯片国产化是大势所趋。 股王"喜芯厌酒"背后，代表了基于新的技术、新的叙事、新的预期，资本去挖掘那些被传统估值体系所低估的、隐藏的价值，并重新定价。 和年初DeepSeek一鸣惊人类似，来自国产芯片、具身智能、创新药等领域的诸多公司，成为这场价值重估的受益者。 ILIF REAL 0 0 - 0 - - - 0 0 - 0 0 0 - - 0 2025年 0 ■ 0 它们股价攀升、密集融资、火速上市，成为引爆资本市场的"科技牛"。 尽管DeepSeek不是一款完美的产品，寒武纪也不是一家完美的公司，但它们重新为中国资产注入想象 ...

以下文章来源于长线是金11 ，作者长线是金11 长线是金11 . 记录本人的投资心得，希望能对大家有所帮助 作者： 长线是金11 来源：雪球 有一位朋友，说价值投资不应局限于各种茅，也应该分析一下寒武纪、摩尔线程的价值。 于是我就以格雷厄姆曾经讲过的故事作了回应——有一个石油商死后上天堂的时候，圣彼得告诉他一个坏消息。 圣彼得说：你的确有资格进天堂，可是你也看到了，分配给石油商居住的地方已经客满了，我实在没有办法把你安插进去。" ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 下面是A股的半导体指数，我们不难发现大起大落的周期性色彩非常明显，低迷久了就会暴涨，一旦涨狠了，往往又会暴跌。也就是说关注并投 资"科技股"，也应该在行业极端不景气、不被人看好的时候介入，而不是行业高度景气、众人痴迷的时候去人云亦云。 那个石油商想了一会之后问圣彼得说："我可不可以跟那些住在那里的人讲一句话？"圣彼得想了想，让他说句话也无妨。那个石油商于是合起他的 双手成杯状，放在嘴边大喊："地狱里发现石油了！" 忽然之间，大门开了，所有的人蜂拥而出向地狱冲去。 ...

华创证券有限责任公司给予寒武纪add的初始评级。 ...

Core Points - A total of 44 stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market) experienced block trading today, with a cumulative transaction amount of 6.92 billion yuan [2][3] Group 1: Trading Overview - On December 12, there were 105 block trades involving 44 Sci-Tech Innovation Board stocks, with a total trading volume of 15.35 million shares and a total transaction value of 6.92 billion yuan [2] - The stock with the highest transaction amount was Hu Silicon Industry, with a trading volume of 4.20 million shares and a transaction value of 87.19 million yuan [2][3] - Other notable stocks in terms of transaction value included Jintian Titanium Industry and Aojie Technology, with transaction amounts of 56.02 million yuan and 49.43 million yuan, respectively [2] Group 2: Price and Performance Analysis - The average discount rates for block trades relative to the closing prices were significant for several stocks, with Yutai Micro, Nanchip Technology, and Guoguang Electric having discount rates of 21.89%, 20.61%, and 19.02%, respectively [2] - The STAR 50 Index rose by 1.74% today, with 398 stocks (66.89%) on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board experiencing price increases [2] - The average increase for stocks involved in block trading was 3.25%, with the highest increases seen in Hehe Information, Shijia Photon, and Tuojing Technology, which rose by 13.80%, 11.45%, and 8.62%, respectively [2] Group 3: Institutional Participation - Among the block trades, there were 65 transactions involving institutional buyers or sellers across 37 stocks [3] - The leading institutional purchases were in Hu Silicon Industry, Aojie Technology, and Shengke Communication, with purchase amounts of 87.19 million yuan, 49.43 million yuan, and 40.47 million yuan, respectively [3] - Conversely, the top institutional sales were in Lanqi Technology, Zhongwei Company, and Haiguang Information, with sales amounts of 36.72 million yuan, 30.44 million yuan, and 24.19 million yuan, respectively [3] Group 4: Capital Flow - Among the stocks involved in block trading, 22 stocks saw net inflows of capital, with the highest net inflows in Shijia Photon, Aojie Technology, and Shengke Communication, amounting to 458 million yuan, 317 million yuan, and 278 million yuan, respectively [3] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included Hanwujing, Haiguang Information, and Lanqi Technology, with net outflows of 2.096 billion yuan, 893 million yuan, and 523 million yuan, respectively [3]

两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为145.50亿元，近5日减少7.46亿元，降幅为4.88%。（数据宝） 12月12日寒武纪-U大宗交易一览 | 成交量 （万股） | 成交金额 （万元） | 成交价格 （元） | 相对当日 收盘折溢价 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | （%） | | | | 0.85 | 1142.40 | 1344.00 | 0.00 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司总部 | 机构专用 | | | | | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 | | | 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生12笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为2.03亿元。 证券时报•数据宝统计显示，寒武纪-U今日收盘价为1344.00元，下跌2.75%，日换手率为2.19%，成交额 为125.03亿元，全天主力资金净流出20.96亿元，近5日该股累计下跌0.81%，近5日资金合计净流出30.04 亿元。 （原标题：寒武纪-U大宗交易成交0.85万股 成交额1142.40万元） 寒武纪-U12月12日大宗交易平台出现一笔 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the computer industry is driven by model iteration, application breakthroughs, and domestic computing power leadership, with a buy rating for the sector [2][4][17]. Industry Overview - The AI infrastructure sector is transitioning from "testing and trial" to "large-scale rollout in 2026" for domestic AI chip replacements, with a narrowing gap between domestic and international leading models [8][17][26]. - The AI application sector is categorized into three types of companies: those with recognized benchmark clients but in early stages, those with long-term trends but uncertain timelines, and those leveraging AI with reachable inflection points [8][17][19]. - The EDA and R&D software sector is seeing rapid improvement in domestic product capabilities, with mergers and acquisitions expected to accelerate due to policy support [8][17][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, the report suggests focusing on competitive chip tracks, overseas expansion, and new autonomous driving opportunities, recommending global AMR leader Geek+ [8][18][21]. - The report notes that traditional trust and innovation directions are facing funding delays, while the release of HarmonyOS PC in 2025 is seen as a catalyst for business growth and technological upgrades [8][18][21]. - The energy information sector is expected to benefit from stable capital expenditures and market reforms, although policy implementation timelines need to be monitored [8][18][21]. Key Companies - In the AI infrastructure sector, recommended companies include Cambricon, Inspur, and Unisoc, with attention to Sugon [8][19]. - For AI applications, notable companies are Jingtaikong, Rainbowsoft, and Kingdee International, with additional focus on Hancloud and Guangyun Technology [8][19][21]. - In the intelligent driving and robotics sector, key players include Geek+, Black Sesame Intelligence, and Rui Ming Technology, with recommendations to monitor Desay SV and SOTER [8][19][21]. - In the EDA and R&D software sector, companies like GigaDevice, Gexin Electronics, and BGI are highlighted, with attention to Zhongkong Technology and Haocen Software [8][19][21]. - For trust and innovation, recommended companies include Kingsoft and Softcom, with additional focus on Taiji Co. and China Software International [8][19][21]. - In the energy information sector, notable companies are Guoneng Rixin and Longxin Group, with attention to State Grid Information and South Grid Digital [8][19][22].