A股2026年首个交易日，三大股指集合竞价集体高开，上证指数高开0.46%，深证成指高开0.8%，创业板指高开0.84%。截至发稿时，上证指数上涨 0.66%，深证成指上涨1.32%，创业板指上涨1.49%。 | NYMEX WTI原油 | ICE布油 | ICE轻质低硫原油 | | --- | --- | --- | | 57.48 | 60.98 | 57.00 | | +0.16 +0.28% | +0.23 +0.38% | -0.01 -0.02% | | INE原油 | INE低硫燃料油 | NYMEX天然气 | | 429.4 | 2932 | 3.459 | | -7.1 -1.63% | -24 -0.81% | -0.159 -4.39% | 三是科技股走强，半导体产业链和消费电子概念领涨，AI应用主线表现活跃。具体来看，半导体产业链中，存储芯片板块大涨，香农芯创（300475）、 江波龙（301308）等个股大涨。 盘面上，市场主要有以下几条主线走强： 一是新兴产业类主题赛道。脑机接口板块早盘大涨，倍益康、三博脑科（301293）等个股大涨。商业航天、可控核聚变等板块上涨。 消息面上，埃 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3968.84 points, up 0.09%[1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.58%[1] - The Hang Seng Index rose by 2.76% to 26338.47 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 4%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 140.9 billion HKD[1] U.S. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.66% to 48382.39 points[1] - The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.19% to 6858.47 points[1] - The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 0.03% to 23235.63 points[1] Venezuela Situation - U.S. military operations captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, who is now in the U.S. for trial[8] - Trump announced that U.S. oil companies would invest billions in Venezuela's energy infrastructure[12] - The Venezuelan Supreme Court appointed Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting president[12] OPEC+ Response - OPEC+ decided to maintain its production cut strategy in Q1 to address global oil supply surplus risks[8] - The organization is monitoring the situation in Venezuela for potential impacts on oil supply[12] China-Korea Relations - Chinese President Xi Jinping met with South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol, emphasizing the importance of bilateral relations[8] - Yoon reaffirmed South Korea's respect for the "One China" principle regarding Taiwan[12]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor ETF from Southern (159325) opened with a gain of 1.00%, indicating positive market sentiment towards the semiconductor sector [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Southern Semiconductor ETF (159325) opened at 1.509 yuan, reflecting a 1.00% increase [1] - Since its establishment on October 31, 2024, the fund has achieved a return of 49.44% [1] - The fund's performance over the past month has been a return of 5.54% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks in the Southern Semiconductor ETF include: - SMIC (中芯国际) with a gain of 3.26% [1] - Cambrian (寒武纪) up by 1.43% [1] - Haiguang Information (海光信息) increased by 1.38% [1] - Northern Huachuang (北方华创) rose by 1.94% [1] - Lanke Technology (澜起科技) up by 1.44% [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) increased by 3.30% [1] - Zhongwei Company (中微公司) up by 1.94% [1] - OmniVision (豪威集团) rose by 0.37% [1] - Changdian Technology (长电科技) increased by 1.14% [1] Group 3: Management Information - The fund is managed by Southern Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] - The fund managers are Zhao Zhuoxiong and He Dianhong [1] - The benchmark for the ETF's performance is the CSI Semiconductor Industry Select Index [1]

近期国内半导体行业重磅重组并购方案密集出炉，行业整合节奏显著加快。2025年12月30日，中芯国际 发布公告，拟通过发行股份方式，收购国家集成电路产业投资基金等5家机构合计持有的中芯北方49% 股权，交易总价达406.01亿元。 次日，两家半导体企业同步披露并购计划。其中，停牌10个工作日后的中微公司公告称，拟采用发行股 份及支付现金相结合的方式，收购杭州众芯硅等41名交易对方合计持有的杭州众硅64.69%股权，同时 拟向不超过35名特定投资者发行股份募集配套资金；华虹半导体则同步公告，计划通过发行股份收购华 虹集团等4名交易对方持有的华力微97.4988%股权，同样拟向不超过35名符合条件的特定对象发行股票 募集配套资金。 这一系列密集落地的并购动作，既彰显了头部企业强化产业链布局、提升核心竞争力的战略意图，更标 志着国内半导体行业重组并购浪潮全面来袭。 半导体行业并购活跃度走高，核心驱动力源于行业景气度持续回暖、企业盈利能力显著提升，以及复杂 国际环境下强化本土产业链韧性的迫切需求。从"点"上的技术突破到"链"上的协同发展，这一系列资本 运作背后，是在人工智能（AI）等多因素推动下，行业正通过资源整合寻求 ...

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is expected to see significant growth, with chip design, semiconductor equipment, and materials projected to rise by 62.38%, 60.86%, and 37.31% respectively by 2025 [2] - The semiconductor theme index, focusing on the aforementioned three sectors, is anticipated to achieve a growth rate of 62.33% in 2025, with the semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) experiencing a net inflow of over 220 million yuan in the last five trading days [2] - The demand for semiconductor equipment is driven by advancements in AI and domestic substitution, particularly in the storage chip sector, which is reshaping the global pricing cycle [4][5] Group 2 - The storage chip segment accounts for approximately 30% of the integrated circuit market, making it a significant area for semiconductor equipment demand [5] - The global storage industry is entering a new upcycle, with DRAM and NAND prices rising since September 2024, and this trend is expected to continue through 2026 [5] - The shift towards 3D architecture in DRAM and NAND is projected to increase the service market for related equipment by approximately 1.7 times and 1.8 times respectively [6] Group 3 - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor index, which has a high concentration of leading companies in the semiconductor supply chain, with the top five companies accounting for over 50% of the index [6][8] - The CSI semiconductor index has shown a maximum increase of over 570% since the last upcycle, with a notable 63.92% increase in 2025, outperforming other semiconductor indices [7][8] - The high concentration of equipment, materials, and design sectors in the CSI semiconductor index indicates a strong potential for domestic substitution and ongoing market and policy support [8]

本报讯 （记者毛艺融）2026年1月1日，两家半导体领域龙头企业并购重组迎来关键进展。华虹半导体 有限公司（以下简称"华虹公司"）发布发行股份收购上海华力微电子有限公司（以下简称"华力微"） 97.5%股权的交易草案，中微半导体设备（上海）股份有限公司（以下简称"中微公司"）则披露发行股 份及支付现金购买杭州众硅电子科技有限公司64.69%股权的预案，并将于1月5日复牌。 此前2025年12月30日，中芯国际集成电路制造有限公司（以下简称"中芯国际"）也披露了发行股份收购 控股子公司中芯北方集成电路制造（北京）有限公司（以下简称"中芯北方"）49%股权的交易草案。 据统计，自"科创板八条"政策发布以来，科创板公司已累计披露近170单股权收购交易，其中2025年超 过100单，政策助推效果显著。重大资产重组达50单，其中2025年达37单，远超2019年至2023年累计的 17单。 科创板股权收购交易均围绕产业整合展开，半导体、生物医药、软件行业交易数量位居前三。随着行业 头部企业陆续上市，资本市场正成为并购重组的主渠道。龙头企业积极把握政策机遇与市场窗口，通过 并购补齐产业链关键环节，增强核心竞争力。 上述三 ...

A-Share Market - As of December 30, 2025, over 2,800 A-share listed companies have received broker research, indicating that more than half of the market's listed companies have attracted broker attention. The most focused sectors include machinery, electronics, and pharmaceuticals, with over 290 companies in each sector receiving broker research [2] - On December 29, Ganfeng Lithium announced it received a notice from the Yichun Public Security Bureau regarding prosecution for suspected insider trading, with the case now transferred to the procuratorate for review and prosecution. The company had previously received an administrative penalty from the Jiangxi Securities Regulatory Bureau in July 2024 and has complied with disclosure obligations and paid fines [2] - Minmetals Development announced on December 29 that it received a notice from its actual controller, China Minmetals, regarding a planned major asset restructuring. The company intends to acquire equity stakes in Minmetals Mining and Luzhong Mining from its controlling shareholder through asset swaps, share issuance, and cash payments, while also raising matching funds [2] - On December 29, Huali Co., a leader in decorative composite materials, disclosed the termination of its intention to acquire a 51% stake in Beijing Zhongke Huilian Technology Co., due to failure to reach consensus on core transaction terms [3] - On December 22, Beijing Haizhi Technology Group submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the second time, having previously let its application expire in June 2025. The company reported net losses of 176 million, 266 million, 93.73 million, and 128 million yuan for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively, primarily due to high upfront investments in upgrading products and technology [3] - On December 29, SMIC announced plans to issue 547 million shares to acquire a 49% stake in SMIC North from five shareholders, with a transaction price of 40.601 billion yuan [3] - As of December 28, 19 A-share companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong capital market this year, a significant increase of 533% compared to 3 companies in 2024, accounting for over 50% of the total fundraising for new shares in Hong Kong [4] Financial Management - On January 5, 2026, new local government special bonds and replacement bonds will be issued, with Shandong Province planning to issue its first batch of 24.609 billion yuan in bonds, including 24.609 billion yuan for replacing existing hidden debts [5] - As of September 2025, China's banking sector had foreign financial assets of 1.8114 trillion USD and foreign liabilities of 1.4399 trillion USD, resulting in a net foreign asset of 371.6 billion USD, with net liabilities in RMB of 224.9 billion USD and net assets in foreign currency of 596.5 billion USD [5] - As of the end of November, there were 165 public fund management institutions in China, with a total net asset value of public funds amounting to 37.02 trillion yuan, a slight increase of approximately 60 billion yuan from the end of October [5] - As of December 28, the issuance of FOF (fund of funds) products surged to 83.828 billion units, marking a historical high, with both the number and scale of products reaching new records as more investors shift their funds into these products [5]

Market Overview - Major US stock indices showed mixed performance, with the S&P 500 rising by 0.19% and the Dow Jones increasing by 0.66%, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.03% [1] - Tesla shares dropped by 2.6%, influenced by software stocks offsetting gains in chip stocks, while Salesforce fell over 4% and Nvidia rose over 1% [1] - The White House's decision to delay tariffs on certain household goods led to an 8% increase in shares of RH [1] Semiconductor Sector - SanDisk surged nearly 16%, Micron Technology rose over 10%, ASML increased by over 8%, and TSMC hit a historical high with a rise of over 5% [2] - The semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from increased capital expenditure in 2026, with analysts projecting a tightening market for memory chips, leading to significant price increases [11] Chinese Tech Stocks - The China concept index rose over 4%, with Baidu increasing by 15% and Alibaba by over 6% [3] - Baidu announced plans to spin off Kunlun Chip for independent listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, resulting in a 9% rise in its stock [10] Economic Policies and Initiatives - The State Council approved the draft of the Water Supply Regulations and the revised Drug Administration Law Implementation Regulations [4] - Shanghai's measures to accelerate the construction of low-altitude economic advanced manufacturing clusters include support for eVTOL and industrial-grade drones, with funding up to 50 million yuan [5] - The State Council issued a solid waste comprehensive governance action plan aiming for a 45 billion-ton annual comprehensive utilization of major solid waste by 2030 [5] IPO and Corporate Actions - Blue Arrow Aerospace's IPO application was accepted, aiming to raise 7.5 billion yuan for reusable rocket technology upgrades and capacity enhancement [12] - Multiple companies announced acquisitions, including Zhongwei Company planning to acquire a 64.69% stake in Hangzhou Zhonggui, and Meike Home proposing to buy 100% of Wande Technology [15][16] Lithium and Battery Materials - Tianqi Lithium forecasted a net profit of 1.1 to 1.6 billion yuan for 2025, driven by strong demand in the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets [29] - The lithium hexafluorophosphate market is expected to remain tight, with significant price increases anticipated due to strong demand and cautious supply expansion [13] Consumer Market Trends - Hainan's duty-free market saw a significant increase during the New Year holiday, with sales reaching 712 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 128.9% [10][14]

Group 1 - The current rise in Hong Kong stocks is supported by fundamentals, with signs of structural recovery in profitability starting from the second half of 2024 due to stabilization in both domestic and external demand and macroeconomic policy support [1][24] - The Hang Seng Index is transitioning from traditional economic cycles to focus on hard technology sectors such as AI applications, new energy, and semiconductors, with the weight of new economy sectors in the index increasing from 17% to nearly 50% [1][34] - The performance of Hong Kong stocks is expected to shift from being liquidity-driven to being driven by both profitability and liquidity, with earnings growth projected to rebound to 10.8% in 2026 [1][25] Group 2 - The current low valuation levels of quality companies in Hong Kong stocks highlight their growth potential, and the market sentiment has likely adjusted to current liquidity and emotional factors [6][24] - The structural recovery in profitability is evident, with emerging industries experiencing rapid growth while traditional sectors are still stabilizing [28][29] - The performance of individual stocks correlates positively with earnings growth, with high-growth companies significantly outperforming those under profit pressure [33] Group 3 - The upcoming liquidity improvements, including potential dovish signals from the new Federal Reserve chair and a decrease in HIBOR rates, could provide upward momentum for Hong Kong stocks [52][70] - The AH premium is expected to decline further due to increased investment from insurance funds in H-shares and the growing convenience for foreign capital to allocate resources in Hong Kong [71][74] - The spring market rally in Hong Kong stocks has historically shown a high probability of positive returns, indicating a potential opportunity for investors [56][60]

Market Overview - European stocks opened strong in 2026, with the pan-European index reaching a historical high, driven by a 7% increase in ASML shares. In contrast, U.S. stocks faced a challenging rebound, with Tesla shares dropping 2.6% and software stocks offsetting gains in chip stocks, leading to a more mixed performance among major indices [2][8] - The offshore RMB saw significant fluctuations, rising over 100 points and breaking the 6.97 mark for the first time in over two and a half years. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields experienced a V-shaped rebound, with the 30-year yield hitting a four-month high [2][8] Key Events - The U.S. conducted an airstrike in Venezuela, capturing President Maduro and his wife, with Trump stating that the U.S. would manage Venezuela until a "safe" transition is implemented, indicating deep involvement in the oil industry [3][12] - Russia strongly urged the U.S. to release Maduro and his wife, emphasizing the need for dialogue to resolve issues between the U.S. and Venezuela [15][22] - The global oil market showed signs of absorbing the geopolitical shock from the U.S. actions in Venezuela, as key oil facilities remained undamaged and the country's production accounted for less than 1% of global supply [16][34] Company Developments - Baidu's Kunlun Chip is estimated to be worth approximately $22 billion, which could represent about 45% of Baidu's total market value if it receives a similar valuation to Cambricon [25] - Semiconductor industry consolidation is accelerating, with major companies like SMIC and Huahong Semiconductor announcing significant mergers and acquisitions to strengthen their market positions [31][33] - BYD announced a target of delivering 4.6 million electric vehicles in 2025, marking a 7.7% increase, while Tesla's fourth-quarter deliveries fell short of expectations, declining 16% year-over-year [25] Industry Insights - The low-altitude economy is gaining traction, with significant government support and projected market growth to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by advancements in drone technology and applications [30][36] - The commercial space sector is witnessing rapid development, with multiple rocket launches planned for 2025, contributing to China's ambitions in space exploration and technology [35] - The nuclear fusion sector is expected to accelerate, with significant investments projected in the coming years, as China aims to establish a robust nuclear fusion industry [38]