Core Viewpoint - The employment report for December 2025 indicates that both the non-farm payroll additions and the unemployment rate in the U.S. were below expectations, reflecting a balanced state in the job market after six years of adjustment since the pandemic [1] Employment Market Analysis - The unemployment rate decreased to 4.4%, with new non-farm jobs primarily concentrated in specific service sectors [1] - The total non-farm employment additions for the year 2025 were 584,000, significantly lower than the levels seen in 2023 and 2024 [1] - The current job market is characterized by "low hiring + low layoffs," suggesting a stable employment environment [1] Economic Advisory Insights - Due to unconventional data disclosures by Trump, there is a recommendation to closely monitor news and research from the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) [1] Interest Rate Expectations - The expectation remains that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate cuts during the January meeting, with a possibility of one more rate cut during Powell's term [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal industry is expected to maintain a weak supply and demand balance in 2026, but coal prices may perform better than in 2025 due to policy support, leading to improved profitability and dividend expectations for listed companies [1] Group 1: Industry Outlook - The coal industry is projected to continue experiencing a dual weakness in supply and demand in 2026 [1] - Policy support is anticipated to positively influence coal prices, resulting in better performance compared to 2025 [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Listed companies in the coal sector are expected to see improvements in profitability and dividend expectations [1] - There may be short-term opportunities in the sector due to market style rotation and differences in industry expectations as the outlook improves [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Continued focus is recommended on leading companies with industry dividends, those with alpha, and targets with potential earnings elasticity [1]

Core Viewpoint - The coal industry is expected to maintain a weak supply and demand balance in 2026, but coal prices may perform better than in 2025 due to policy support, leading to improved profitability and dividend expectations for listed companies [1] Group 1: Industry Outlook - The coal industry is projected to continue a dual weakness in supply and demand in 2026 [1] - Policy support is anticipated to positively influence coal prices compared to 2025 [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Listed companies in the coal sector are expected to see improvements in profitability and dividend expectations [1] - There may be short-term opportunities in the sector due to market style rotation and differences in industry expectations [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Continued focus is recommended on leading companies with industry dividends, those with alpha, and targets with potential earnings elasticity [1]

中信证券研报指出，墨西哥宣布从2026年1月1日开始，对没有和墨西哥签署自由贸易协定的国家加征关 税。我们认为此次墨西哥加征关税主要受影响国家为中国和韩国为代表的亚洲经济体。我们测算墨西哥 加征关税覆盖的商品约占中国对墨西哥出口的45%左右，大约影响中国整体出口约1%的商品。墨西哥 此次关税调整可以看作是向美国纳"投名状"，提示关注其他发达经济体尤其是加拿大受美国影响跟进调 整对华关税的可能性。从行业层面看，综合考虑对墨西哥出口敞口和加征关税税率，我们预计我国汽车 产业链、贱金属制品、机械设备出口可能相对受影响较大。财政部、国家税务总局1月9日发布公告调整 光伏、电池产品出口退税政策，我们认为这是出于减少贸易摩擦以及产业升级需要，或对2026年一季度 相关商品出口增速构成一定支撑，预计化学品、塑料制品、服装、机械和电气产品等在未来可能会有跟 进调整出口退税的措施。宏观经济运行方面，2025年12月PPI表现略超市场预期，CPI同比连续4个月回 升至+0.8%，核心CPI同比维持在+1.2%的高位，基本符合市场预期。本周市场关注12月中国物价数据， 下周建议关注中国12月金融数据和进出口数据。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The coal industry is expected to maintain a weak supply and demand balance in 2026, but coal prices may perform better than in 2025 due to policy support, leading to improved profitability and dividend expectations for listed companies [1] Industry Outlook - The coal sector may experience a temporary opportunity due to market style rotation or differences in industry expectations as sentiment improves [1] - Continued focus is recommended on industry leaders, companies with alpha, and those with potential earnings elasticity [1]

【头条要闻】 证监会最新发声！五方面深化资本市场投融资改革 进一步提高中长期资金入市规模比例 ——推动中长期资金入市实现突破性进展。截至2025年末，各类中长期资金合计持有A股流通市值约为 23万亿元，较年初增长36%；权益类基金规模由2025年初的8.4万亿元增长到11万亿元左右。 ——加大对新质生产力的支持服务力度。2025年，电子行业总市值已超过银行板块，成为A股第一大行 业。A股市值前50的公司中，科技企业从5年前的18家增加到了目前的24家。 ——推动上市公司提升投资价值。2025年，A股上市公司现金分红2.55万亿元，再创历史新高，是同期 IPO和融资规模的两倍，越来越多的公司是一年多次分红。2025年，全市场推动重大资产重组超过200 单，活跃度明显提升。 ——坚决维护市场"三公"原则。2024年以来，累计查办财务造假案件159起，有43起案件涉及的大股东 和实控人被严肃追责，金通灵、美尚生态、锦州港等特别代表人诉讼案件近期都取得了重大进展，有力 支持了投资者依法维权。 核查结果各异！3只大牛股集体复牌，天普股份被立案调查，国晟科技业绩预亏…… 天普股份、国晟科技、嘉美包装三只大牛股结束停牌核查 ...

36氪获悉，中信证券研报指出，1月9日，财政部、税务总局公告调整电池产品出口退税政策。我们认 为，本次政策是国家坚定推进"反内卷"、防止"内卷外化"的具体举措，政策连续性较强。从影响来看， 对于短期政策设置退税税率梯度式下降和过渡期的安排，企业可通过电池价格调整对冲影响，同时海外 需求有望迎来抢出口局面；中长期来看，在海外拥有电池产能的中国头部电池企业有望进一步提升全球 竞争力、获取更多的海外市场份额和更高的盈利水平。继续推荐中国头部电池企业。 ...

每经AI快讯，1月12日，中信证券研报指出，1月9日，财政部、税务总局公告调整电池产品出口退税政 策。我们认为，本次政策是国家坚定推进"反内卷"、防止"内卷外化"的具体举措，政策连续性较强。从 影响来看，对于短期政策设置退税税率梯度式下降和过渡期的安排，企业可通过电池价格调整对冲影 响，同时海外需求有望迎来抢出口局面；中长期来看，在海外拥有电池产能的中国头部电池企业有望进 一步提升全球竞争力、获取更多的海外市场份额和更高的盈利水平。继续推荐中国头部电池企业。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent changes at CITIC Securities are not indicative of a strategic contraction or business failure, but rather a necessary step to fulfill commitments made during the acquisition of Guangzhou Securities, now known as CITIC Securities South China, and to comply with regulatory requirements [1][2][3] Group 1: Background and Regulatory Context - The changes stem from the acquisition of Guangzhou Securities, which requires clear delineation of business operations between the parent company and its subsidiaries to avoid internal competition [2][3] - CITIC Securities has historically followed this model after acquiring other brokerages, allowing subsidiaries to operate in specific regions while the parent company withdraws from those areas [2][3] - The recent approval for business delineation for CITIC Securities South China limits its margin financing and securities lending operations to five provinces in South China, necessitating the parent company to remove these areas from its own operations [2][3] Group 2: Regulatory Feedback and Clarifications - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) identified a discrepancy in CITIC Securities' application, noting that the board resolution only specified the removal of "securities brokerage" from the five provinces, while the application sought to remove "margin financing" as well [3][4] - The CSRC's inquiry was not a rejection of the business adjustment but a standard procedure to ensure internal decision-making processes are complete and compliant [3][4] - The overall conclusion is that these actions represent the final steps of the acquisition process rather than a signal of a shift in market conditions [3][4] Group 3: Business Scope Changes - The approved changes include a reduction in the scope of securities underwriting and a modification of the margin financing business to be limited to specific regions [7][24] - CITIC Securities South China is required to complete the necessary business registration changes within six months and must apply for a new business license within 15 days of receiving the updated business registration [7][24] - The company must also amend its articles of association in accordance with the new business scope and report these changes to the local regulatory authority [8][24]

随着"十五五"开局，多家主流券商近期密集发布2026年北交所投资策略。其中，"新质生产 力"与"中小盘成长股"成为共识性的布局焦点。开源证券建议关注春季行情中代表新质生产力的产业链 机会；中信建投证券认为，新质生产力、科技创新与战略资源等领域将孕育丰富的结构性投资机会。作 为服务创新型中小企业的核心阵地，北交所正日益成为资本市场布局前沿科技与产业升级的重要战场。 投资逻辑转变 历经前期的市场发展和估值修复，主流券商普遍认为，北交所的投资逻辑正发生深刻变化，已从板 块普涨转向个股价值深度挖掘。在这一新范式下，具备核心竞争力的企业将脱颖而出。 从市场节奏来看，华源证券认为，2025年有多达34家北交所公司股价翻倍，显示出强大的市场弹 性，2026年北交所的"春季躁动"行情值得投资者积极布局。 业内普遍认为，随着市场生态持续优化，一个"优质企业聚集—流动性改善—制度赋能—业绩兑 现"的正循环已在北交所逐步形成。这个曾经聚焦"小而美"企业的市场，正聚力迈向"强而久"的新发展 阶段。对于投资者而言，2026年的北交所，将更考验其精准识别真成长企业的能力。 聚焦新质生产力 "新质生产力"已成为券商展望2026年北交所时绕 ...