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2026年2月投资组合报告:节前轮动节后蓄势-把握“空窗期”的结构性机遇
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-01-29 11:58
Market Overview - In January 2026, the A-share market showed a growth style dominance with structural differentiation, where the STAR 50 and CSI 1000 indices rose over 10%[4] - The Hang Seng Index and other major indices saw gains exceeding 5%, while the ChiNext and Shanghai Composite Index increased by over 3%[4] Investment Themes - The trading focus in January continued to revolve around "growth stocks and cyclical stocks," driven by technological upgrades in AI, semiconductor equipment, and commercial aerospace sectors[4] - Geopolitical factors led to rising international precious metal prices, benefiting cyclical sectors like copper and aluminum, as well as strategic resources such as lithium and rare earths[4] February Market Outlook - February is expected to be a "window period" for market confidence, driven by high growth expectations in new economies and relatively abundant liquidity before the Spring Festival[4] - The market is likely to see accelerated rotation in sectors like technology and non-ferrous metals, with strong earnings reports becoming focal points[4] Key Stock Recommendations - Top stock picks for February include Zijin Mining (601899.SH) with a projected EPS growth from 1.21 in 2024 to 3.37 in 2026, reflecting a strong outlook due to rising copper prices[6] - Yara International (000893.SZ) is recommended due to expected high potassium fertilizer prices, with EPS forecasted to rise from 1.03 in 2024 to 2.93 in 2026[6] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected policy changes, commercialization outcomes falling short of expectations, and delays in product development and market entry[4]
浅析2025首批上市银行业绩快报丨银行与保险
清华金融评论· 2026-01-29 10:36
Core Viewpoint - The performance indicators of the banking industry in 2025 show significant improvement, with operational trends becoming more favorable and asset quality continuously optimizing [3]. Revenue Performance - As of January 29, 2026, among the 10 listed banks that disclosed their 2025 performance reports, 9 banks reported revenue growth, while only one bank (CITIC Bank) experienced a decline [5]. - Among the four major joint-stock banks, three achieved total revenues exceeding 200 billion yuan, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank leading in growth at 1.88%, followed by Industrial Bank at 0.24%, and China Merchants Bank at 0.01%. CITIC Bank reported a revenue decline of 0.55% [5][6]. Net Profit Growth - All 10 listed banks reported positive growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in 2025, with 9 banks achieving both revenue and profit growth, indicating overall stable performance [8]. - China Merchants Bank led with a net profit of 150.18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.21%. Industrial Bank followed with a net profit of 77.47 billion yuan, up 0.34%, while CITIC Bank reported a net profit of 70.62 billion yuan, up 2.98%. Shanghai Pudong Development Bank's net profit grew significantly by 10.52% to 50.02 billion yuan [8][10]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio among the 10 banks showed a general decline, with five banks reducing their NPL ratios compared to the previous year, while three remained stable and two saw slight increases [12]. - The overall NPL ratio for the banks improved, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank showing the most significant decline of 0.1 percentage points to 1.26%. China Merchants Bank and CITIC Bank both decreased by 0.01 percentage points to 0.94% and 1.15%, respectively [12][15]. - The provision coverage ratio saw a general decline, with eight banks reporting lower ratios compared to the previous year, although the overall provision cushion remains adequate [13]. Future Outlook - The banking sector is expected to benefit from monetary policy easing, which may alleviate margin pressures and support profit growth through liability optimization and business structure adjustments [18]. - Banks are focusing on quality and efficiency in operations, with an emphasis on risk management and customer base strengthening as they navigate ongoing industry challenges [18].
指数基金销售渠道暗战:蚂蚁的流量密码与招行的存量运营
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-01-29 10:07
随着公募基金四季报披露完毕,2025年公募行业规模的全景浮现在公众面前。其中,表现最为亮眼的是 ETF(交易性开放式指数基金)市场——规模一度突破6万亿元,年内增长超2万亿元。 这场资管行业的盛宴,悄然重塑着金融渠道的"权力格局"。 中基协披露的2025年上半年的数据统计可见,蚂蚁基金作为头部第三方平台,以15675亿元的非货规模 保有量稳居第一;招行在非货基金保有规模上,仅次于蚂蚁基金,以10419亿元排名第二,但在股票指 数基金保有规模上,却只排第六。 这引出一个关键问题:面对同样的产品,为何渠道的收获天差地别? 答案或许在渠道的基因与土壤上。前述资深公募机构电商业务负责人表示,ETF具有强烈的工具属性和 交易属性,券商天然拥有证券账户和交易系统,是ETF的"原生家园";而银行与第三方平台,则需要改 造销售逻辑来参与这场游戏,这从一开始就注定了路径的差异。 蚂蚁财富的模式 在受访的多名公募机构相关人士眼中,蚂蚁基金销售ETF的成功常被简单归因为"流量大",这是一种误 读。一名头部公募指数业务部负责人指出:"蚂蚁基金真正的能力,不是把产品推给海量用户,而是把 复杂的指数投资,解构并重组为一种可被广泛接受的服 ...
21独家|去年银行理财代销大增 邮储劲增27%超越交行等
Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in the scale of bank wealth management sales, with a total of 13.46 trillion yuan by December 2025, down 1.05% from November but up 10% from the beginning of the year [1][7] - Postal Savings Bank showed remarkable growth, leading with a 27.2% increase, while China Merchants Bank followed with a 12.2% increase [1][5] - The overall growth in wealth management sales is attributed to a "deposit migration" trend, where customers are shifting their funds into wealth management products [7][10] Group 1: Bank Performance - By December 2025, China Merchants Bank led with a wealth management sales scale of 4.41 trillion yuan, followed by CITIC Bank and Industrial Bank, both exceeding 1 trillion yuan [1][2] - Postal Savings Bank's rise in ranking from 7th to 4th among the 11 banks indicates a significant shift in market dynamics [2][4] - The total growth in wealth management sales among the 11 banks amounted to 1.22 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 10% [7][6] Group 2: Factors Driving Growth - The growth of Postal Savings Bank's wealth management sales is linked to strategic reforms and an expansion of distribution channels, with approximately 40,000 outlets enhancing customer reach [5][6] - The shift in focus from "product sales" to "product configuration" aims to cater to high-net-worth clients, which is seen as a crucial strategy for growth [5][10] - The demand for stable, low-volatility wealth management products remains strong, particularly in a low-interest-rate environment, driving customer interest [9][10] Group 3: Market Trends - The report notes a seasonal pattern in bank wealth management, characterized by "quarter-end contraction" and "quarter-beginning recovery," influenced by regulatory requirements [8][10] - Despite a slight contraction in December, the overall wealth management scale showed resilience, indicating strong underlying demand [8][9] - Predictions suggest that the wealth management scale could reach approximately 38 trillion yuan by the end of 2026, with a projected growth rate of around 12% [12]
去年银行理财代销大增,邮储劲增27%超越交行等
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 09:35
Core Insights - The total scale of wealth management products sold by 11 national banks reached 13.46 trillion yuan by December 2025, showing a decrease of 1.05% from November but a growth of 10% compared to the beginning of the year [1] Group 1: Wealth Management Market Trends - The data indicates a "quarter-end contraction" characteristic in the wealth management sector during the last two months of the year [1] - The growth in wealth management scale is largely driven by the "deposit migration" logic, suggesting a shift in consumer behavior towards wealth management products [1] Group 2: Bank Performance - Postal Savings Bank exhibited a strong growth rate of 27.2% for the year, leading among the 11 banks in the study [1] - China Merchants Bank, known as the "king of retail," recorded a growth of 12.2% from the beginning of the year, placing it second in growth rate [1] Group 3: Strategic Insights - Analysts suggest that the key to significant growth for these banks lies in their extensive and down-market channels, as well as a strategic shift towards "product allocation" [1]
股份制银行板块1月29日涨1.31%,民生银行领涨,主力资金净流入1.17亿元
| 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600036 招商银行 | | 5.44(Z ﻋ | 7.13% | -3.86 Z | -5.06% | -1.58 Z | -2.07% | | 600016 民生银行 | | 3.00 Z | 14.00% | -9790.09万 | -4.56% | -2.03 Z | -9.44% | | 600015 华夏银行 | | 5298.26万 | 8.72% | -1942.12万 | -3.20% | -3356.14万 | -5.52% | | 601916 浙商银行 | | -729.54万 | -1.24% | 971.12万 | 1.64% | -241.58万 | -0.41% | | 000001 平安银行 | | -1.13 Z | -5.63% | 6444.83万 | 3.22% | 4825.40万 | 2.41% | | 601166 兴 ...
银行ETF鹏华(512730)涨超1.3%,高股息+低估值+红利属性持续吸引长线资金
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 06:25
银行板块盘中持续走高,青岛银行涨停,消息面上,青岛银行发布2025年度业绩快报,实现归属于母公 司股东净利润51.88亿元,同比增长21.66%。此前已有招商银行、兴业银行、宁波银行等8家上市银行率 先交出2025年度业绩快报,所有银行均实现净利润正增长。 中国银河证券指出,四季度市场风格整体延续上季度,资金对银行板块青睐程度维持在相对低位。但同 时,国有行、股份行持续受关注。近期被动资金流出对银行资金面形成扰动,但在低利率与中长期资金 加速入市的环境下,银行板块高股息、低估值的红利属性仍对险资等长线资金具备持续吸引力,加速估 值定价重构。继续看好银行板块红利价值。 截至2026年1月29日 14:07,中证银行指数(399986)强势上涨1.68%,成分股青岛银行上涨9.94%,渝农商 行上涨3.86%,宁波银行上涨3.70%,齐鲁银行,江苏银行等个股跟涨。银行ETF鹏华(512730)上涨 1.34%,最新价报1.59元。 银行ETF鹏华紧密跟踪中证银行指数,为反映中证全指指数样本中不同行业公司证券的整体表现,为投 资者提供分析工具,将中证全指指数样本按中证行业分类分为11个一级行业、35个二级行业、90 ...
招商银行关于中小微企业及服务业经营主体贷款贴息工作的公告
招商银行App· 2026-01-29 03:11
Core Viewpoint - The announcement by China Merchants Bank outlines the implementation of interest subsidies for loans to small and micro enterprises and service industry operators, in line with national policies aimed at boosting the private economy and domestic demand [1][2]. Group 1: Loan Subsidy Implementation - Starting from January 1, 2026, the bank will provide interest subsidies for fixed asset loans to eligible small and micro private enterprises and service industry operators [1]. - Loans issued between March 16, 2025, and December 31, 2025, will continue to be processed under the existing subsidy policies [1]. - The bank aims to streamline the application process and simplify procedures to ensure the prompt implementation of these policies [1]. Group 2: Customer Advisory - The bank emphasizes that there will be no additional fees for processing these loan subsidies and warns customers to be cautious of potential scams [1]. - Customers are encouraged to reach out to bank branches or the customer service hotline for any inquiries [1].
东方红景瑞精选混合成立 规模14.6亿元
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-01-29 03:08
中国经济网北京1月29日讯 今日,东方证券资管发布东方红景瑞精选混合型证券投资基金基金合同 生效公告。 募集期间净认购金额1,455,276,951.73元,认购资金在募集期间产生的利息290,831.32元,募集份额 合计1,455,567,783.05份。 | 2. 基金系条情况 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基金募集申请获中国 | 证监许可[2025] 1651 号 | | | | 证监会被准的文号 | | | | | 基金晶集期间 | 自 2026年1月12日至2026年1月23日止 | | | | 脸资机构名称 | 德勤华永会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) | | | | 募集资金划入基金托 | 2026年1月27日 | | | | 管专户的日期 | | | | | 幕集有效认购总户数 | | | 5485 | | (单位:户) | | | | | 份额增别 | 东方红景观精选混合 A | 东方红景瑞诗漫合 C | 省计 | | 基集期间净认购企额 | 1.076.006.740. 57 | 379, 270, 211, 16 | 1, 455, 276, 95 ...
招商银行将对《“一卡通”章程》部分条款进行修订
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-29 02:38
感谢您对招商银行一如既往的支持! 章程公示期截至2026年2月10日,公示期满后此次修订生效,如有疑问,欢迎致电招商银行客户服务热 线95555咨询。 2026年1月28日,招商银行(600036)发布公告称,为更好地为您提供"一卡通"服务,根据实际业务开 展需要,招商银行将对《招商银行"一卡通"章程》(下称章程)的部分条款进行修订,新版章程详见附 件。 ...