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招商银行(03968):2025年二季度基本面稳健,盈利实现增长(买入)
EBSCN· 2025-09-02 09:00
Investment Ratings - China Merchants Bank: BUY with a target price of HK$54.42 [5][6] - Agricultural Bank of China: BUY with a target price of HK$6.09 [7][8] - Postal Savings Bank of China: BUY with a target price of HK$6.35 [10][12] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China: BUY with a target price of HK$7.15 [13][14] - China Construction Bank: BUY with a target price of HK$8.95 [15][16] - China Everbright Bank: BUY with a target price of HK$3.98 [18][19] - 3SBio Inc: BUY with a target price of HK$38.20 [20][21] - Longfor Group: HOLD with a target price of HK$9.52 [23][24][25] Core Insights - China Merchants Bank's attributable net profit increased by 2.7% YoY in 2Q25, recovering from a 2.1% decline in 1Q25, with outstanding asset quality but a drop in NIM [5][6] - Agricultural Bank of China's attributable net profit rose by 3.2% YoY in 2Q25, maintaining stable asset quality despite a slight decline in NIM [7][8] - Postal Savings Bank of China's net profit increased by 4.8% YoY in 2Q25, with strong asset quality and an attractive valuation [10][12] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China's net profit grew by 1.4% YoY in 2Q25, showing improvement in asset quality and attractive valuation [13][14] - China Construction Bank's net profit increased by 1.6% YoY in 2Q25, with a decline in net interest income but solid asset quality [15][16] - China Everbright Bank's net profit rose by 0.8% YoY in 2Q25, with expectations of maintaining solid asset quality despite a declining NIM [18][19] - 3SBio Inc's revenue declined by 0.8% YoY in 1H25, but adjusted net profits increased by 2.1% YoY, with new product launches driving sales [20][21] - Longfor Group's revenue grew by 25.4% YoY in 1H25, but gross margin narrowed significantly, leading to a substantial decline in core net profit [23][24][25] Summary by Company China Merchants Bank - Attributable net profit increased 2.7% YoY in 2Q25 after a decline in 1Q25 [5][6] - Asset quality remains outstanding, but NIM dropped in 1H25 [5][6] - Target price revised to HK$54.42, maintaining BUY rating [5][6] Agricultural Bank of China - Attributable net profit increased 3.2% YoY in 2Q25 [7][8] - NIM was 1.32% in 1H25, down from 2024 [7][8] - Target price raised to HK$6.09, maintaining BUY rating [7][8] Postal Savings Bank of China - Attributable net profit increased 4.8% YoY in 2Q25 [10][12] - NIM reached 1.70% at end-June 2025 [10][12] - Target price revised to HK$6.35, maintaining BUY rating [10][12] Industrial and Commercial Bank of China - Attributable net profit increased 1.4% YoY in 2Q25 [13][14] - NIM reached 1.30% in 1H25 [13][14] - Target price raised to HK$7.15, maintaining BUY rating [13][14] China Construction Bank - Attributable net profit increased 1.6% YoY in 2Q25 [15][16] - Net interest income dropped 1.1% YoY in 2Q25 [15][16] - Target price raised to HK$8.95, maintaining BUY rating [15][16] China Everbright Bank - Attributable net profit increased 0.8% YoY in 2Q25 [18][19] - NIM expected to decline in 2025 [18][19] - Target price raised to HK$3.98, maintaining BUY rating [18][19] 3SBio Inc - Revenue declined by 0.8% YoY in 1H25 [20][21] - Adjusted net profits increased by 2.1% YoY [20][21] - Target price lifted to HK$38.20, reiterating BUY rating [20][21] Longfor Group - Revenue grew by 25.4% YoY in 1H25 [23][24][25] - Gross margin narrowed significantly, leading to a decline in core net profit [23][24][25] - Target price cut to HK$9.52, maintaining HOLD rating [23][24][25]
股份制银行板块9月2日涨2.09%,招商银行领涨,主力资金净流入4.95亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-09-02 08:59
Group 1 - The banking sector saw a rise of 2.09% on September 2, with China Merchants Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3858.13, down 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12553.84, down 2.14% [1] - Key stocks in the banking sector showed varying performance, with China Merchants Bank closing at 43.44, up 3.48%, and CITIC Bank at 66.7, up 2.70% [1] Group 2 - The banking sector experienced a net inflow of 4.95 billion yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 299.83 million yuan [1] - China Merchants Bank had a main fund net inflow of 198 million yuan, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 50.89 million yuan [1] - Other banks like Ping An Bank and Huaxia Bank also showed significant fund flows, with Ping An Bank seeing a main fund net inflow of 22.3 million yuan [1]
研报掘金丨东莞证券:维持招商银行“买入”评级,高股息价值凸显
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-02 07:43
格隆汇9月2日|东莞证券研报指出,招商银行上半年实现营业收入1,699.69亿元,同比-1.72%;归母净 利润749.30亿元,同比+0.25%;Q2归母净利润增速由负转正,存款成本继续优化。拆分营收结构,招 商银行今年上半年实现净利息收入1,060.85亿元,同比+1.57%,延续2024Q4以来的增长态势。负债端, 受益于存款利率下调、监管部门严格限制手工补息等高息揽储行为、公司持续推动低成本核心存款的增 长,上半年存款成本率同比-34bp至1.26%,对净利息收益率产生一定正向效果。招商银行分红率维持 30%以上,并将于2025年进行中期分红,拟定比例为35%,高股息价值凸显。预计招商银行2025年每股 净资产为45.25元,当前股价对应PB是0.95倍。维持"买入"评级。 ...
7家上市银行,首次公布!
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-09-02 07:36
Core Viewpoint - The recent announcements of interim dividend plans by A-share listed banks highlight a significant trend towards enhancing shareholder returns, with major state-owned banks leading the way in dividend payouts exceeding 200 billion yuan in total [1][4]. Group 1: State-Owned Banks - Six major state-owned banks have announced their interim dividend plans for 2025, with a total proposed payout exceeding 200 billion yuan [1]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) leads with a proposed dividend of 1.414 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 503.96 billion yuan [1]. - Other state-owned banks, including Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, China Construction Bank, Bank of Communications, and Postal Savings Bank, have also outlined their respective dividend amounts [1]. Group 2: Joint-Stock Banks - China Merchants Bank, known as the "King of Retail," has announced its first interim profit distribution plan since its listing, proposing a cash dividend of 35% of its net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders for the first half of 2025 [2]. - Citic Bank plans to increase its interim dividend payout ratio to 30.7%, aiming to enhance investor returns and market confidence [2]. - Other joint-stock banks, including Ping An Bank, Minsheng Bank, and Huaxia Bank, have also confirmed their interim dividend plans with specific payout amounts [2]. Group 3: New Participants in Interim Dividends - Several banks, such as Changshu Bank, Ningbo Bank, and Su Nong Bank, have joined the ranks of those announcing interim dividends for the first time [3]. - Su Nong Bank plans to distribute 0.9 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.82 million yuan, marking its inaugural interim dividend [3]. - The focus on interim dividends is seen as a strategy to enhance shareholder satisfaction and align with regulatory expectations [3]. Group 4: Market Trends and Regulatory Influence - The introduction of the "National Nine Articles" has encouraged listed companies to adopt more frequent dividend distributions, with 23 A-share listed banks implementing interim dividends in 2024, totaling over 250 billion yuan [4]. - The trend towards interim dividends is viewed as a means to improve the stability and sustainability of dividend payouts, enhancing liquidity and cash flow certainty for investors [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that the shift towards interim dividends reflects a robust operational foundation and a commitment to shareholder returns, positively influencing market sentiment [5].
收盘|创业板指跌2.85%,银行板块逆势走强
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 07:21
Market Overview - The three major stock indices in China collectively declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3858.13 points, down 0.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 12553.84 points, down 2.14%, and the ChiNext Index at 2872.22 points, down 2.85% [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.87 trillion yuan, with over 4000 stocks declining and more than 1200 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The computing hardware sector experienced significant declines, while sectors such as consumer electronics, semiconductor chips, military industry, and digital currency also faced downturns [5] - Conversely, bank stocks showed resilience, with the banking sector rising by 1.68%, and other sectors like precious metals, PEEK materials, automotive parts, and electricity showing positive performance [6] Individual Stock Movements - The "three barrels of oil" in A-shares saw fluctuations, with China Petroleum rising over 4%, China Petrochemical nearly 2%, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation up 1.7% [7] - Notable individual stock movements included a significant drop for Zhongji Xuchuang, which fell over 5% with a trading volume exceeding 31 billion yuan, and Jianye Holdings, which experienced a dramatic trading session [7] Capital Flow - Main capital flows indicated a net inflow into the banking and public utility sectors, while electronic and computer sectors saw net outflows [8] - Specific stocks that attracted net inflows included Julun Intelligent, Pacific, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, with net inflows of 1.187 billion yuan, 1.075 billion yuan, and 1.005 billion yuan respectively [8] - On the other hand, stocks like Xinyisheng, Dongfang Wealth, and Northern Rare Earth faced significant sell-offs, with net outflows of 3.142 billion yuan, 2.891 billion yuan, and 2.604 billion yuan respectively [9]
A股回调之际,红利股逆势活跃!中国石油涨4%股价创年内新高,渝农商行、沪农商行、宝钢股份、宇通客车、美的集团、招商银行涨超3%
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 06:59
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a pullback, but dividend stocks showed resilience in the afternoon session, with notable gains in several companies [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - China Petroleum saw a rise of over 4%, reaching a new high for the year [1]. - Other companies such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, Baosteel, Yutong Bus, Midea Group, and China Merchants Bank all increased by more than 3% [1].
2025基金中报透视:医药、银行、电子成加仓重点 舒泰神基金持股比例增长居首
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 06:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights significant changes in fund holdings across various sectors, with notable increases in the pharmaceutical, banking, and electronics sectors, while the power equipment, food and beverage, and coal sectors experienced declines [1] - As of the end of the reporting period, the largest three sectors by fund holding scale are electronics, pharmaceuticals, and power equipment [1] - Individual stocks that saw the highest increase in fund holding as a percentage of circulating market value include Shutai Shen, Anglikang, and Weichai Heavy Industry [1] Group 2 - In terms of fund holding market value growth, Guotai Haitong, Shenghong Technology, and Zijin Mining lead the rankings [1] - The concentration of fund holdings is highest in Nocera Health, Maolai Optics, and Dekeli, while the top three in terms of fund holding market value are Ningde Times, Kweichow Moutai, and China Merchants Bank [1]
AI算力下挫,4100股下跌,银行股飘红,中期分红超2000亿
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-02 06:10
Market Overview - A-share market saw a significant pullback in CPO and AI computing power concept stocks, with the CPO index dropping by 7.73% and individual stocks like Guangxun Technology and Jingwang Electronics hitting the daily limit down [1][2] - The banking sector showed resilience, with the banking index rising by 1.23%, driven by gains in major banks such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and China Merchants Bank [3][4] Banking Sector Performance - As of September 1, 2025, 17 out of 42 listed banks announced mid-term dividends, with state-owned banks leading the way, collectively distributing over 2046.57 billion yuan [7][8] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) announced a dividend of 1.414 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 503.96 billion yuan, the highest among listed banks [7][8] - Other banks like China Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank of China also reported substantial mid-term dividends of 486.1 billion yuan and 418.2 billion yuan, respectively [7][8] Dividend Trends - Mid-term dividends are being implemented by several banks for the first time, including China Merchants Bank and Jiangyin Bank, indicating a trend towards increased shareholder returns [7][8] - Analysts noted that the banking sector's performance is improving, with a notable recovery in earnings, particularly among state-owned banks [9][11] Investment Outlook - The banking sector is viewed as having stable investment characteristics, with analysts suggesting that it may offer better short-term value compared to other sectors due to its high dividend yields and solid asset quality [11][12] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is encouraging companies to increase dividend payouts and enhance shareholder value through various financial strategies [12]
净利润转正、35%中期分红领跑,招商银行行长表态:下半年逐季向好
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-09-02 06:10
Core Viewpoint - The company experienced significant operational pressure in Q1 due to loan repricing starting January 1, which further compressed interest margins, but showed improvement in Q2, with expectations for steady progress in the latter half of the year [2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported operating income of 1699.7 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.72% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 749.3 billion yuan, a marginal increase of 0.25% [2][4] - The company plans to initiate a mid-term cash dividend, with the distribution amounting to 35% of the net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders for the half-year, which is higher than peers [2][10] Asset and Loan Growth - As of June 30, total assets grew by 4.16% year-on-year to 12.66 trillion yuan, with loan and deposit balances increasing by 3.31% and 3.58% respectively [3] - Retail loans accounted for over 50% of the company's loan portfolio, with a retail loan balance of 36,781.88 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 0.92% [7] Interest Margin and Cost Structure - The company's net interest margin and net interest yield were reported at 1.79% and 1.88%, respectively, both showing declines compared to the previous year [4] - Interest income decreased by 5.84% year-on-year, with loan interest income down by 9.93% [4] Asset Quality - As of June 30, the non-performing loan balance was 663.70 billion yuan, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.93%, slightly down from the previous year [6] - The company maintains a high provision coverage ratio of 410.93%, indicating strong risk resilience [6] Retail Credit Risk - Retail credit risk has increased but remains manageable, with a retail non-performing loan ratio of 1.03%, up 0.07 percentage points from the previous year [7][8] - The company attributes the increase in retail credit risk to a broader industry trend, with expectations for a slight rise in risk levels in the near term [8] Strategic Focus - The company aims to enhance high-quality, low-cost liability growth and improve asset organization to stabilize interest margins [5] - The "anti-involution" trend in the banking sector is seen as beneficial for stabilizing loan pricing and controlling deposit costs, which could enhance asset quality [10]
AI算力下挫,4100股下跌,银行股飘红,中期分红超2000亿
21世纪经济报道· 2025-09-02 06:06
Market Overview - The A-share market saw a significant pullback in CPO and AI computing power concept stocks, with the CPO index dropping by 7.73% and several stocks hitting the daily limit down, including Guangxun Technology and Jingwang Electronics [1][2] - The banking sector showed resilience, with the banking index rising by 1.23%, driven by gains in major banks such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and China Merchants Bank [3][4] Banking Sector Performance - As of September 1, 2023, 17 out of 42 listed banks announced plans for mid-term dividends for 2025, with state-owned banks leading in generosity, collectively proposing cash dividends totaling 204.657 billion [6][7] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) proposed the largest dividend of 50.396 billion, followed by China Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank of China with 48.61 billion and 41.82 billion respectively [7] - Several joint-stock banks, including China Merchants Bank and CITIC Bank, also confirmed mid-term dividends, with CITIC Bank's cash dividend exceeding 10.46 billion [8] Investment Outlook - Despite recent adjustments in the banking sector, the China Securities Banking Index has increased by 9.05%, with three banks, Agricultural Bank of China, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and Qingdao Bank, seeing stock price increases exceeding 30% year-to-date [10] - Analysts suggest that the banking sector offers stability and attractive dividend yields, making it a favorable investment during market fluctuations [10][11] - The trend of increasing dividends and the potential for long-term investment value in the banking sector is supported by ongoing low interest rates and a focus on enhancing shareholder returns [11][12]