Investment Rating - The report gives an "Overweight" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The supply side is expected to undergo structural optimization, with a focus on selecting elastic and advantageous sectors. Domestic policies frequently emphasize supply-side requirements, while rising raw material costs and capacity exits in Europe and the U.S. have impacted overseas chemical companies. In the long term, China's chemical industry has a clear competitive advantage, with significant cost benefits and technological advancements, allowing Chinese companies to fill gaps in the international supply chain [6][16] Summary by Sections 1. Industry News and Event Commentary - Prices of third-generation refrigerants continue to rise, indicating a high level of industry prosperity. The supply of refrigerants is constrained by quotas, and increased downstream demand has significantly optimized the supply-demand balance. Prices for R32, R134a, and R125 have increased by 44.19%, 22.35%, and 8.33% respectively this year. Major refrigerant producers have seen substantial profit growth, with companies like Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. reporting net profit increases of 145.84%, 159.22%, and 140.82% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [15][8] 2. Chemical Sector Weekly Performance - For the week of September 15-21, 2025, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.44%, while the Shenwan Chemical Index dropped by 1.33%, underperforming the market by 0.89 percentage points. The Shenwan Oil and Petrochemical Index decreased by 1.99%, also underperforming the market [18][21] 3. Key Product Price Trends - The top price increases for the week included butyl acrylate (3.86%), bisphenol A (3.75%), and phenol (3.31%). Conversely, the largest price declines were seen in nitric acid (-3.11%), liquid ammonia (-2.71%), and caustic soda (-2.44%) [29][31]

Core Viewpoint - Juhua Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price decline of 2.01% on September 23, with a current price of 36.11 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 97.49 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Juhua Co., Ltd. is located in Quzhou, Zhejiang Province, established on June 17, 1998, and listed on June 26, 1998. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of basic chemical raw materials, food packaging materials, and fluorochemical raw materials [1] - The main business revenue composition includes refrigerants (46.00%), petrochemical materials (15.14%), basic chemical products and others (10.88%), fluoropolymer materials (6.59%), fluorochemical raw materials (6.43%), food packaging materials (2.65%), and fine fluorochemical products (1.39%) [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Juhua Co., Ltd. achieved an operating income of 13.33 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.36%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.05 billion CNY, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 145.84% [2] - Since its A-share listing, Juhua Co., Ltd. has distributed a total of 5.973 billion CNY in dividends, with 1.647 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Juhua Co., Ltd. was 51,500, a decrease of 2.96% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per person increased by 3.05% to 52,443 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the second-largest shareholder with 84.92 million shares, an increase of 25.28 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Viewpoint - The current investment landscape is characterized by a new economic cycle, with significant shifts in macroeconomic analysis, particularly the need to focus on country-specific dynamics rather than solely on the US economy [2][25]. Group 1: Major Challenges in Asset Allocation - The first challenge is the misalignment of global economic cycles, where non-US developed countries' monetary policies diverge significantly from the US, influenced by de-globalization and supply chain restructuring [23][24]. - The second challenge is the decline in long-duration risk returns, driven by prolonged monetary easing in the US and increased demand for long-term bonds in China due to economic transformation and aging demographics [26][27]. - The third challenge is the simultaneous volatility of stocks and bonds in overseas markets, necessitating a greater allocation to counter-cyclical assets like gold for risk hedging [29]. Group 2: Insights on Major Asset Classes - For US dollar assets, there is potential for short-term rebounds due to economic soft landing expectations, but long-term attractiveness may diminish due to debt monetization and rising credit risks [30]. - Chinese yuan assets are expected to appreciate in the short term due to improved economic momentum and foreign capital inflows, with long-term growth potential linked to the rising importance of physical assets [30]. - The outlook for bonds remains uncertain, with US Treasury yields expected to steepen while the long-term trajectory for Chinese bonds is influenced by demographic pressures and economic structural changes [30]. Group 3: Investment Strategies and Trends - The investment strategy for cyclical stocks involves a speculative approach based on commodity price movements, which carries high risks due to the assumption of uniformity among companies within the sector [21]. - A more strategic approach involves selecting stocks with high price and income elasticity based on demand expansion trends, particularly in sectors like new energy and lightweight materials [21]. - Value-based strategies focus on identifying buying opportunities in cyclical stocks by analyzing asset elasticity, valuation levels, and demand signals [22]. Group 4: Performance of Managed Funds - The managed funds by the manager have shown significant performance, with the flagship fund achieving a return of 32.9% year-to-date and a cumulative return of 705.37% since inception [2][3]. - The investment philosophy emphasizes a balanced strategy, focusing on high-quality companies and growth stocks, with a high concentration in top holdings [4][6]. - Recent adjustments in the portfolio include increased allocations to semiconductor and biopharmaceutical sectors, reflecting a proactive approach to market trends [7][14].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Juhua Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 50.15% and a recent decline of 2.05% on September 22, 2023, indicating volatility in the market [1]. Company Overview - Juhua Co., Ltd. is located in Quzhou, Zhejiang Province, established on June 17, 1998, and listed on June 26, 1998. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of basic chemical raw materials, food packaging materials, and fluorochemical raw materials [1]. - The main business revenue composition includes refrigerants (46.00%), petrochemical materials (15.14%), basic chemical products and others (10.88%), fluoropolymer materials (6.59%), fluorochemical raw materials (6.43%), food packaging materials (2.65%), and fine fluorochemical products (1.39%) [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Juhua Co., Ltd. achieved an operating income of 13.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.05 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 145.84% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 5.973 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.647 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Juhua Co., Ltd. was 51,500, a decrease of 2.96% from the previous period, with an average of 52,443 circulating shares per person, an increase of 3.05% [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the second-largest shareholder, holding 84.92 million shares, an increase of 25.28 million shares from the previous period [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the oil and petrochemical sector [1]. Core Viewpoints - Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine are supporting oil prices, which are expected to remain volatile in the short term. The report notes that WTI crude futures saw a slight increase of 0.03%, while Brent crude futures decreased by 0.33% during the specified period [6]. - OPEC+ is pushing for increased production despite low international oil prices, aiming to regain market share, which may lead to further pressure on global oil supply [6]. - The demand side shows significant crude oil inventory reductions in the U.S., with gasoline also experiencing a drawdown, providing some support for oil prices. However, as the summer travel season ends, refined oil consumption is expected to shift from peak to off-peak [6]. - In the fluorochemical sector, popular refrigerants like R32 and R134a continue to see price increases due to tight supply and steady demand from downstream industries such as automotive and air conditioning [6]. - The report highlights the strong growth in China's automotive production and sales, which increased by 13.0% and 16.4% year-on-year, respectively, in August 2025, boosting demand for refrigerants [6]. Summary by Sections Oil and Petrochemical - Geopolitical tensions are providing short-term support for oil prices, with WTI and Brent prices showing mixed trends [6]. - OPEC+ discussions on production capacity are ongoing, with a focus on regaining market share despite low prices [6]. - U.S. crude oil inventory reductions and seasonal shifts in refined oil consumption are influencing market dynamics [6]. Fluorochemical - The market for refrigerants remains tight, with prices for R32 and R134a continuing to rise [6]. - Demand from the automotive and air conditioning sectors is supported by government policies promoting consumption [6]. - The reduction in production quotas for second-generation refrigerants is expected to tighten supply further [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the oil and petrochemical sector, fluorochemical sector, and semiconductor materials. It highlights the resilience of major domestic oil companies in the face of price volatility and recommends monitoring companies like China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC [7]. - In the fluorochemical sector, companies leading in third-generation refrigerant production and upstream fluorite resources are recommended for investment [7]. - The semiconductor materials sector is also highlighted for its positive trends in inventory reduction and domestic substitution [7].

Core Viewpoint - The refrigerant industry is experiencing a continuous upward trend in prosperity due to supply reductions and steady recovery in demand, leading to significant profit growth for leading companies in the sector [3]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - In 2025, the production quotas for second-generation fluorinated refrigerants will be further reduced, and third-generation refrigerants will implement production quotas, tightening the supply side of the industry [3]. - The steady recovery in downstream demand is optimizing the supply-demand landscape for refrigerants, resulting in continuous price increases for refrigerant products [3]. Group 2: Profit Growth of Leading Companies - In the first half of 2025, leading domestic refrigerant companies reported substantial year-on-year net profit growth: Juhua Co. +146.97%, Sanmei Co. +159.22%, Yonghe Co. +140.80%, and Dongyue Group +153.28% [3]. Group 3: AI Computing Power and Liquid Cooling Demand - The rapid growth in AI computing power demand is driving the need for liquid cooling solutions, prompting fluorochemical companies to accelerate their layout in the liquid cooling industry [4]. - Juhua Co. is advancing the "Juxin Cooling Liquid" project with a planned capacity of 5,000 tons/year, while Sanmei Co. is enhancing its integrated fluorochemical project in Chongqing [4]. Group 4: Liquid Cooling Technology Overview - Liquid cooling technology is an efficient heat dissipation solution using liquid as a cooling medium, offering advantages such as energy savings (PUE 1.1-1.25) and high-density cooling (supporting 30kW/rack) compared to air cooling [5]. - The main forms of liquid cooling technology are cold plate and immersion cooling, which are expected to see rapid growth as computing power continues to increase [6]. Group 5: Market Growth Projections - The global liquid cooling market is projected to grow significantly, with expected market sizes of $2.9 billion in 2023 and $3.6 billion in 2024, reaching $4.5 billion by 2025 and $19.4 billion by 2032, indicating a CAGR of 23% from 2025 to 2032 [6].

Investment Rating - The report rates the liquid cooling industry as "Overweight," indicating that it is expected to outperform the overall market [3]. Core Insights - The MLCP (Micro-Channel Liquid Cooling Plate) technology is highlighted as an innovative solution to address the cooling challenges posed by ultra-high power chips, with expected power consumption exceeding 2000W [3][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of micro-channel design, forced convection, and optimized fluid dynamics in achieving high heat exchange efficiency [5]. - Key companies in the industry are recommended for attention, including Jiangshun Technology, Yingweike, and Kangsheng Co., among others, due to their advancements in liquid cooling technology [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The MLCP technology utilizes micro-scale fluid channels to achieve efficient heat exchange, capable of handling extreme thermal loads [5]. - The manufacturing processes for micro-channels include etching, 3D printing, and stamping, each with its advantages and limitations [5]. Key Companies and Valuations - Jiangshun Technology: Market cap of 48.74 billion, projected net profit of 1.55 billion in 2024 [6]. - Yingweike: Market cap of 756.61 billion, projected net profit of 4.53 billion in 2024 [6]. - Kangsheng Co.: Market cap of 54.89 billion, with a projected net profit of -0.98 billion in 2024 [6]. - Other notable companies include Nanfeng Co., Huazhu High-Tech, and Yinhong Co., with varying market caps and profit projections [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Overweight" for the refrigerant industry [5] Core Insights - The refrigerant industry continues to experience high prosperity due to supply reduction and steady demand recovery, leading to significant profit growth for leading companies [1][20] - The rapid growth in AI computing power demand is driving fluorochemical companies to accelerate their layout in the liquid cooling industry, which is expected to create a secondary growth curve [2][4] - Liquid cooling technology is becoming essential for data centers and the computing era, offering energy-saving and high-density cooling solutions [3][31] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of second-generation fluorinated refrigerants will be further reduced by 2025, while the third generation will implement a quota system, tightening supply [1][20] - The domestic production of air conditioners and automobiles has shown steady growth, with production increasing by 5.1% and 10.5% year-on-year respectively as of July 2025, supporting the recovery of refrigerant demand [13] AI Computing and Liquid Cooling - The demand for liquid cooling is surging due to the rapid increase in AI computing power, prompting fluorochemical companies to focus on high-value products like fluorinated liquids [2][26] - Major companies like Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. are expanding their production capacities and enhancing their product lines to meet the growing demand for liquid cooling solutions [27][28][29] Liquid Cooling Technology - Liquid cooling technology is a necessary evolution in the face of increasing computing power, providing superior cooling efficiency compared to traditional air cooling [3][31] - The global liquid cooling market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of reaching $4.5 billion by 2025 and $19.4 billion by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of 23% from 2025 to 2032 [3][46] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the refrigerant and fluorochemical sectors, including Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, Xinzhou Bang, Bayi Shikong, and Runhe Materials, as they are well-positioned to benefit from the tightening supply and growing demand [4][55]

Core Viewpoint - Gansu Juxiang Fluoroplastic Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 30 million yuan, focusing on various manufacturing and research areas including wire and cable production, new material technology development, and biobased materials manufacturing [1] Company Summary - Gansu Juxiang Fluoroplastic Technology Co., Ltd. has a registered capital of 30 million yuan [1] - The company's business scope includes wire and cable manufacturing, new material technology research and development, hardware product research and development, biobased material manufacturing, and high-performance fiber and composite material manufacturing [1] - The company is jointly held by Zhejiang Jiaxiang Fluoroplastic Co., Ltd. and Juhua Co., Ltd. (stock code: 600160), which holds Gansu Juhua New Materials Co., Ltd. [1]

Core Insights - The environmental assessment approval for the new electronic-grade fluorinated fine chemicals project (Phase I) of Juhua Co., Ltd. has been granted, with a total investment of 154 million yuan [1] - Juhua Co., Ltd. operates primarily in the chemical industry, with its main business accounting for 84.88% of revenue, while other businesses contribute 15.12% [3] Financial Performance - Market capitalization is reported at 98.379 billion yuan [4] - Revenue for 2023 is 20.655 billion yuan, projected to increase to 24.462 billion yuan in 2024, with a first-half revenue of 13.331 billion yuan for 2025 [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is 944 million yuan for 2023, expected to rise to 1.960 billion yuan in 2024, and 2.051 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is 5.98% for 2023, projected to increase to 11.57% in 2024, and slightly decrease to 11.08% in the first half of 2025 [4] - Gross margin is reported at 13.22% for 2023, expected to rise to 17.50% in 2024, and significantly increase to 28.72% in the first half of 2025 [4] - Operating cash flow is 2.196 billion yuan for 2023, projected to increase to 2.765 billion yuan in 2024, and slightly decrease to 2.666 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [4] - Accounts receivable is reported at 921 million yuan for 2023, expected to decrease to 816 million yuan in 2024, and increase to 1.249 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [4]