Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][11]. Core Views - The report indicates that the price increase of refrigerant products is expected to continue, leading to a significant year-on-year increase in the company's net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2025 [2][3]. - The company achieved operating revenue of 13.33 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.36% [2]. - The company is a global leader in refrigerants, holding a significant production quota advantage in the domestic market [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% [3]. - The sales expense ratio was 0.57%, down by 0.20 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a decrease in leasing fees for exported products [3]. - The company achieved operating revenue of 7.53 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.93% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.84% [4]. Product Performance - The refrigerant segment generated revenue of 6.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 55.09% [2]. - The average price of refrigerants increased to 39,400 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 61.88% [2][4]. - The company has a diverse product range, including first to fourth generation fluorinated refrigerants and new types of refrigerants [9]. Market Position - The company holds a production quota of 38,900 tons for HCFC-22, accounting for 26.10% of the national total, and a production quota of 297,800 tons for HFCs, representing 39.33% of the national market share for similar products [9]. - The company plans to expand its production capacity for fourth-generation fluorinated refrigerants (HFOs) by nearly 50,000 tons through new construction and technological upgrades [9]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve operating revenues of 28.27 billion yuan, 33.37 billion yuan, and 36.38 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 5.17 billion yuan, 6.59 billion yuan, and 7.44 billion yuan for the same years [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [1][18]. Core Views - The company reported significant growth in its financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 13.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, and a net profit of 2.05 billion yuan, up 146.97% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, revenue was 7.53 billion yuan, reflecting a 13.93% year-on-year and 29.84% quarter-on-quarter increase, while net profit was 1.24 billion yuan, up 138.82% year-on-year and 53.57% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The refrigerant market is experiencing a sustained uptrend, with the company benefiting from price increases in second and third-generation refrigerants. The average price for these refrigerants has risen significantly, with R22, R32, R125, and R134a priced at 36,000, 61,000, 45,500, and 52,000 yuan per ton, respectively [8]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the refrigerant industry, with strong pricing power and a robust growth outlook driven by demand in emerging sectors such as new energy and liquid cooling [8]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 31.14 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 27.3%. Net profit is expected to reach 4.41 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 125% [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 0.73 yuan in 2024 to 1.63 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22 for 2025 [3][9]. - The company's total assets are projected to grow from 27.91 billion yuan in 2024 to 49.14 billion yuan by 2027, indicating a strong upward trend in financial health [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Overweight" for the basic chemical industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The refrigerant industry is experiencing a sustained upward trend in demand, with leading companies showing significant profit growth in H1 2025. The production quotas for second-generation fluorinated refrigerants will be further reduced, and third-generation refrigerants will be subject to production quotas, tightening supply. This, combined with a steady recovery in downstream demand, is optimizing the supply-demand dynamics in the refrigerant market [1][2] - The price of refrigerants has been rising, leading to substantial increases in profitability for major companies. For instance, in H1 2025, the net profits of major domestic refrigerant companies such as Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., Yonghe Co., and Dongyue Group increased by 146.97%, 159.22%, 140.80%, and 153.28% respectively [1] - The price differences for third-generation refrigerants have significantly increased, with R32 prices rising by 15.24% since early July 2025 and 40.70% since the beginning of the year. The price difference for R32 reached 42,761 yuan/ton, reflecting a 19.68% increase since early July and a 66.79% increase since the beginning of the year [2] - Leading refrigerant companies are accelerating their entry into the liquid cooling sector, driven by tightening environmental regulations and increasing demand for AI computing power. Companies like Juhua Co. and Sanmei Co. are investing in high-value-added liquid cooling technologies, which are expected to benefit from the growing AI computing needs and domestic substitution opportunities [3][4] - The liquid cooling technology market is projected to grow significantly, with global market sizes expected to reach 4.5 billion USD in 2025 and 19.4 billion USD by 2032, representing a CAGR of 23% from 2025 to 2032 [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The refrigerant industry is in a high prosperity cycle, with major companies reporting strong performance due to supply constraints and rising prices [1][5] - The report highlights the ongoing recovery in downstream demand, which is expected to further support price increases in the refrigerant market [2] Price Trends - The report tracks significant price increases for key refrigerants, with R32, R125, and R134a showing notable price growth in 2025 [2][18] - The price of R32 reached 60,500 yuan/ton, marking a 40.70% increase since the beginning of 2025 [2] Company Developments - Major companies are expanding their operations into the liquid cooling market, with Juhua Co. planning to produce 5,000 tons/year of cooling liquid and Sanmei Co. launching a 19,000 tons/year electronic-grade fluorinated liquid project [3][4] - The transition to liquid cooling technologies is seen as a strategic move to capture growth opportunities in the AI sector and to leverage existing technological advantages [3][4]

Group 1: Industry Insights - The rapid increase in power of AI server cabinets is pushing the limits of cold plate liquid cooling, leading to a rise in the penetration of immersion liquid cooling and a surge in demand for fluorinated liquids [1] - Currently, fluorinated compounds account for approximately 94.2% of the immersion cooling liquid market, indicating a strong market share for this segment [1] - Based on calculations, if 1% of the 2.1 million AI servers expected to be shipped in 2025 utilize immersion cooling, the demand for fluorinated liquids could reach 10,500 tons [1] Group 2: Product Development - Perfluoropolyether is expected to become the preferred choice for immersion cooling fluorinated liquids due to its excellent properties such as low dielectric constant, good insulation, and high thermal conductivity [2] - The synthesis of perfluoropolyether is complex, with only a few companies globally, including Solvay, Chemours, and Daikin, capable of mass production [3] - The main production methods for perfluoropolyether include photochemical oxidation and anionic polymerization, with K-type and Y-type being the most common types in the market [3] Group 3: Company Profiles - Sinochem International (New Zhou Bang) has established a production capacity of 2,500 tons of perfluoropolyether, which supports various applications including immersion cooling for data centers [4] - The company has plans to expand its production capacity through technological upgrades and a new project aimed at producing 30,000 tons of high-end fluorinated fine chemicals, with an investment of approximately 1.2 billion yuan [4] - Juhua Co., Ltd. has developed a series of perfluoropolyether-based cooling liquids, which have been recognized as excellent industrial new products in Zhejiang Province for 2025 [5] - The company has established demonstration applications for its immersion cooling liquids and plans to produce 5,000 tons annually, with the first phase already in operation [5]

Market Performance - The basic chemical index increased by 1.11% from August 23 to August 29, while the CSI 300 index rose by 2.71%, indicating that the basic chemical sector underperformed the CSI 300 by 1.60 percentage points, ranking 11th among all sectors [1][2] - The top-performing sub-industries included nylon (5.68%), rubber additives (5.44%), potassium fertilizer (4.65%), food and feed additives (2.99%), and fluorochemicals (2.99%) [1][2] Chemical Product Price Trends - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases were NYMEX natural gas (11.11%), crude phenol (7.12%), niacinamide (5.78%), phenol oil (5.16%), and hydrofluoric acid (5.00%) [3] - The top five products with the largest weekly price declines included liquid chlorine (-75.00%), sodium (-6.78%), coal tar (-4.17%), anthracene oil (-4.11%), and lithium carbonate (industrial grade) (-4.09%) [3] Industry Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, the basic chemical sector achieved operating revenue of 1,123.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.72 billion yuan, up 4.43% year-on-year [4] - In Q2 2025, the sector reported operating revenue of 587.10 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.80% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.38%, with a net profit of 35.72 billion yuan, down 2.66% year-on-year but up 5.03% quarter-on-quarter, indicating an improving trend in quarterly profitability [4] Company Performance Highlights - In the refrigerant sector, Juhua Co. reported H1 2025 operating revenue of 13.33 billion yuan, up 10.36% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.05 billion yuan, up 145.84% year-on-year [6] - Sanmei Co. achieved H1 2025 operating revenue of 2.83 billion yuan, a 38.58% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 999.5 million yuan, up 159.22% year-on-year [6] - In the agricultural chemicals sector, Yara International reported H1 2025 operating revenue of 2.52 billion yuan, a 48.54% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 855 million yuan, up 216.64% year-on-year [7] - Salt Lake Co. reported H1 2025 operating revenue of 6.78 billion yuan, down 6.30% year-on-year, but a net profit of 2.52 billion yuan, up 13.69% year-on-year [7] Investment Recommendations - Current investment focus includes the refrigerant sector, with recommendations for companies like Jingshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. [9] - The chemical fiber sector is also highlighted, with recommendations for Huafeng Chemical, Xin Fengming, and Taihe New Materials [9] - Other recommended companies include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Luxi Chemical, and Baofeng Energy [9] - The tire sector includes recommendations for Sailun Tire, Senqilin, and Linglong Tire [9] - In the agricultural chemicals sector, recommended companies include Yara International, Salt Lake Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, and Yangnong Chemical [9] - High-quality growth stocks to watch include Blue Sky Technology, Shengquan Group, and Shandong Heda [9] Industry Rating - The basic chemical industry maintains an "overweight" rating [10]

Core Viewpoint - The fluororubber (FPM) market in China is experiencing steady growth, with a market size reaching 720 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.88% due to its excellent properties and wide applications in various industries [6][10]. Industry Overview - Fluororubber (FPM) is a synthetic polymer elastomer characterized by the presence of fluorine atoms, which provide unique properties making it suitable for demanding sealing applications [2][3]. - The main types of fluororubber include general-purpose and special-purpose variants, with products such as conventional binary fluororubber, ternary fluororubber, and low-temperature resistant fluororubber [2]. Industry Chain - The upstream of the fluororubber industry chain includes raw materials like fluorite, hydrofluoric acid, and vinylidene fluoride (VDF), while the downstream applications span high-end industrial sectors such as automotive, aerospace, and petrochemicals [4][5]. Market Size - The fluororubber market is expanding due to its superior electrical insulation properties and excellent resistance to organic solvents and fuels, making it highly sought after in automotive, aerospace, and chemical industries [6][10]. Key Enterprises - Major companies in the Chinese fluororubber industry include Haohua Technology, Juhua Co., and Dongyue Group, each with distinct advantages in technology, product quality, and market share [7][8]. - Haohua Technology reported a revenue of 3.157 billion yuan in Q1 2025, marking a 10.96% increase year-on-year, while Juhua Co. achieved a revenue of 5.8 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.05% growth [8][9]. Industry Development Trends 1. **Technological Innovation and Product Upgrading**: The industry is focusing on high-performance and differentiated products to meet the demands of high-end sectors like aerospace and automotive [10][11]. 2. **Market Application Expansion**: The demand for fluororubber is surging in traditional sectors and emerging fields, particularly in new energy vehicles, where it is essential for battery separators and seals [10][11]. 3. **Accelerated Industry Competition**: Increased competition is leading to consolidation and mergers within the industry, allowing leading companies to enhance their market positions and operational efficiencies [11].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Juhua Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02%, while the company has shown significant growth in stock price and revenue over the year [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Juhua Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 13.33 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.05 billion yuan, which is an increase of 145.84% compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 5.973 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.647 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - The stock price of Juhua Co., Ltd. has increased by 51.95% year-to-date, with a 1.28% rise over the last five trading days, 31.71% over the last 20 days, and 32.87% over the last 60 days [1]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 98 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 846 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.85% [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Juhua Co., Ltd. is 51,500, a decrease of 2.96% from the previous period, with an average of 52,443 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 3.05% [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and several mutual funds, with notable increases in holdings among the top shareholders [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][8]. Core Views - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing a strong performance, with the industry index outperforming major stock indices in August 2025. The fluorochemical index rose by 16.75% compared to the previous month, indicating robust market dynamics [1][15]. - Main refrigerant prices are expected to continue stable growth, driven by limited supply and strong demand. The average prices for R32 and R134a are projected to rise in the coming months [2][22]. - The development of liquid cooling technology is expected to significantly boost the demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants, as traditional cooling methods are becoming less effective [4][62]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of August 29, 2025, the fluorochemical index reached 1681.54 points, up 16.75% from the end of July, outperforming the Shenwan Chemical Index by 7.77 percentage points [1][15]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - The prices of major refrigerants are on an upward trend due to supply constraints. R32 is expected to average 62,000 CNY/ton in September to November, while R134a is projected to average 52,000 CNY/ton [2][22][24]. - Export data shows a mixed performance, with R32 exports increasing by 13% year-on-year, while R22 exports decreased by 34% [35]. 3. Liquid Cooling Demand - The rise of AI technology and increased server power density are driving the shift towards liquid cooling solutions, which are more efficient than traditional air cooling methods. This trend is expected to enhance the demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants [4][62][66]. 4. Regulatory Environment - China's commitment to the Montreal Protocol includes significant reductions in HCFCs and HFCs production and usage, which will impact the refrigerant market dynamics positively in the long term [71][74]. 5. Key Companies and Investment Recommendations - Companies such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co. are highlighted as key players in the fluorochemical sector, with strong growth prospects due to their leading positions in refrigerant quotas and advanced technologies [4][8][70].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant increases in revenue and net profit, driven by rising prices in the refrigerant market and improved sales across most product lines [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 13.331 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.051 billion yuan, up 146.97% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded operating revenue of 7.531 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.93%, and a net profit of 1.242 billion yuan, up 138.82% year-on-year [1]. - The company set a record for single-quarter revenue and net profit in Q2 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter revenue increase of 29.84% and net profit increase of 53.57% [1]. Product Performance - The company saw an increase in production and sales volumes for most products, with the exception of refrigerants and food packaging materials, which experienced slight declines [1]. - Specific sales volumes for various product segments in H1 2025 included: fluorochemical raw materials (187,500 tons, +11.72%), refrigerants (154,600 tons, -4.19%), fluoropolymer materials (22,900 tons, +7.45%), fluorine fine chemicals (2,900 tons, +4.43%), food packaging materials (32,100 tons, -16.82%), petrochemical materials (283,900 tons, +11.48%), and basic chemical products (964,300 tons, +7.55%) [1]. Price Trends - The average prices for various products in H1 2025 were as follows: fluorine refrigerants (36,290 yuan/ton, +10.24%), refrigerants (39,372 yuan/ton, +61.88%), fluoropolymer materials (38,372 yuan/ton, -2.80%), fluorine fine chemicals (63,064 yuan/ton, +20.87%), food packaging materials (11,013 yuan/ton, -2.55%), petrochemical materials (7,138 yuan/ton, -8.66%), and basic chemical products (1,557 yuan/ton, +6.55%) [1]. Industry Outlook - 2024 marked the beginning of a new cycle for third-generation refrigerants, with continued upward trends observed in 2025 [2]. - In Q2 2025, the average prices for third-generation refrigerants R32, R134a, and R125 were 49,811 yuan/ton, 47,689 yuan/ton, and 45,270 yuan/ton, reflecting year-on-year increases of 49.63%, 52.41%, and 8.35% respectively [2]. - The company holds a leading position in the refrigerant market, with significant production quotas for HCFC-22 and HFCs, accounting for 26.10% and 39.6% of national shares respectively [2]. Investment Recommendations - Based on the strong performance in the first half of 2025, the company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards to 4.356 billion yuan, 4.879 billion yuan, and 7.229 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 1.61, 2.18, and 2.68 yuan per share [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the high growth potential in the refrigerant industry, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [4][6]. Core Insights - The chemical industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability in Q2 2025, driven by a decrease in oil and coal prices, which has alleviated cost pressures. The industry is expected to enter a long-term upward trend due to improved supply-demand balance and supportive domestic policies [4][5][7]. - The report highlights strong demand recovery in specific sectors such as pesticides, fluorochemicals, potassium fertilizers, and coal chemicals, while some sectors like organic silicon and viscose have seen significant declines [5][6][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-growth demand sectors, including the textile supply chain, agricultural chemicals, and export-related products, while also considering the benefits from "anti-involution" policies [5][6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - In Q2 2025, the chemical sector's revenue reached 548.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10%. Net profit was 35.5 billion yuan, down 5% year-on-year but up 8% quarter-on-quarter [5][32]. - The overall gross margin for the chemical industry was 17.9%, with a slight quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.3 percentage points [5][32]. 2. Sector Performance - The report identifies significant performance improvements in sectors such as pesticides, fluorochemicals, potassium fertilizers, and coal chemicals, while sectors like organic silicon and viscose have faced declines [5][6]. - The report notes that the overall asset-liability ratio for the chemical industry is at 50.0%, indicating a historical low, and capital expenditure growth has significantly slowed down [5][32]. 3. Future Outlook - The report anticipates a long-term recovery in demand driven by stable global GDP growth and easing external trade tensions, with a focus on key materials for semiconductor and AI-related industries [5][6][7]. - The report suggests that the chemical industry will benefit from a combination of improved demand and supply-side reforms, including the exit of outdated production capacities [5][6][7].