知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 近一年中国稀土出口情况统计图 上市企业：中国稀土（000831），北方稀土（600111），广晟有色（600259），盛和资源（600392） 数据来源：中国海关，智研咨询整理 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国稀土行业竞争战略分析及市场需求预测报告》 近一年中国稀土进口情况统计图 根据中国海关数据显示：2025年6月中国稀土进口数量为0.84万吨，同比下降13.7%，进口金额为1.55亿 美元，同比增长16.1%，2025年6月中国稀土出口数量为0.77万吨，同比增长60.3%，出口金额为0.23亿 美元，同比下降46.9%。 数据来源：中国海关，智研咨询整理 ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Guangsheng Nonferrous fell to 62.24 yuan, a decrease of 4.08 yuan or 6.15% from the previous trading day [1] - The opening price was 65.52 yuan, with a highest point of 65.67 yuan and a lowest point of 61.49 yuan, resulting in a trading volume of 247,610 hands and a transaction amount of 1.556 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Guangsheng Nonferrous specializes in rare earth mining, smelting separation, and deep processing, with products widely used in new energy and electronic information sectors [1] - The company is part of the small metals and Hainan Free Trade Zone concept sectors [1] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments recently issued the "Interim Measures for Total Control Management of Rare Earth Mining and Smelting Separation," which implements total control over rare earth mining and smelting separation [1] - The new regulations adjust the indicator distribution process, decentralizing management to the county level and for the first time including imported rare earth ores in the management [1] - Industry analysis indicates that the new regulations may strengthen supply-side constraints, but attention should be paid to the flexibility in policy execution [1] Group 4 - Data shows that on August 26, Guangsheng Nonferrous experienced a net outflow of 279 million yuan in main funds, with a cumulative net outflow of 279 million yuan over the past five days [1]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002378 | 章源钨业 | 14.63 | 9.34% | 254.55万 | | 33.41亿 | | 600301 | 华锡有色 | 30.25 | 4.06% | 22.31万 | | 6.82亿 | | 601958 | 金铜股份 | 15.07 | 2.87% | 59.26万 | | 8.85亿 | | 000657 | 中钨高新 | 19.36 | 0.99% | 115.82万 | | 22.15亿 | | 002978 | 安宁股份 | 32.65 | 0.93% | 7.49万 | | 2.43亿 | | 002738 | 中矿资源 | 40.94 | 0.74% | 24.28万 | | 9.96亿 | | 002428 | 云南错业 | 28.12 | 0.46% | 105.30万 | | 30.20亿 | | 000962 | 东方银业 | 21.01 | -0.19% | 23.39万 | | 4. ...

A股市场稀土永磁板块集体回调，其中，北方稀土跌超7%，包钢股份、奔朗新材、中国稀土、广晟有 色跌超6%，华宏科技、新莱福、盛和资源、三川智慧、中科磁业跌超5%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 1 | -7.19 | 1768亿 | 130.73 | | 600010 | 包钢股份 | 1 | -6.69 | 1264亿 | 50.00 | | 836807 | 奔朗新材 | -08- | -6.20 | 39.10亿 | 174.49 | | 000831 | 中国稀土 | 1 | -6.11 | 502亿 | 68.77 | | 600259 | 广晟有色 | | -6.06 | 210亿 | 124.02 | | 002645 | 华宏科技 | 1 | -5.90 | 99.25亿 | 147.95 | | 301323 | 新来福 | 1 | -5.38 | 58.67亿 | 41.86 | | 600392 | 盛和资源 | 1 | -5.33 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector in the A-share market experienced a collective decline, with significant drops in various companies' stock prices, indicating a bearish trend in this industry [1]. Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth (600111) saw a decline of 7.19%, with a total market capitalization of 176.8 billion and a year-to-date increase of 130.73% [2]. - Baotou Steel (600010) decreased by 6.69%, holding a market cap of 126.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 50.00% [2]. - Benlang New Materials (836807) dropped by 6.20%, with a market cap of 3.91 billion and a year-to-date increase of 174.49% [2]. - China Rare Earth (000831) fell by 6.11%, with a market cap of 50.2 billion and a year-to-date increase of 68.77% [2]. - Guangsheng Nonferrous (600259) decreased by 6.06%, with a market cap of 21 billion and a year-to-date increase of 124.02% [2]. - Huahong Technology (002645) declined by 5.90%, with a market cap of 9.925 billion and a year-to-date increase of 147.95% [2]. - Shenghe Resources (600392) saw a drop of 5.33%, with a market cap of 41.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 131.35% [2]. - San Chuan Wisdom (300066) decreased by 5.23%, with a market cap of 8.674 billion and a year-to-date increase of 113.21% [2]. - Zhongke Magnetic (301141) fell by 5.13%, with a market cap of 9.197 billion and a year-to-date increase of 104.64% [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), along with the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Natural Resources, has officially released the "Interim Measures for Total Quantity Control Management of Rare Earth Mining and Smelting Separation" on August 22, 2023, which aims to regulate the rare earth industry more effectively and protect resources [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Background and Changes - The new measures are based on the "Rare Earth Management Regulations" announced by the State Council, which will take effect on October 1, 2024, establishing total quantity control for rare earth mining and smelting separation [1][2]. - The new measures replace the previous 2012 notification, which was deemed outdated due to changes in the industry [1][2]. - The new policy allows for a broader definition of rare earth production enterprises, not limited to large state-owned groups, thus providing opportunities for other companies, including those engaged in imported ore processing [4][6]. Group 2: Implementation and Reporting Changes - The reporting structure has shifted from a provincial level to a county level, streamlining the process and enhancing efficiency in data reporting [5][7]. - The new measures require enterprises to report their monthly and annual data to local county-level authorities, which will then aggregate and report to higher levels, simplifying the previous multi-tiered reporting system [5][7]. - The inclusion of imported rare earth ores and independent minerals into the smelting separation index management is a significant change, allowing for better control over these resources [7]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Outlook - The implementation of the new measures is expected to significantly constrain the supply side of rare earth smelting and separation, potentially leading to a revaluation of smelting assets and stimulating market activity in the rare earth sector [8]. - The upcoming peak season for electric vehicles is anticipated to drive strong replenishment demand from domestic and international companies, contributing to a rapid increase in rare earth prices [8]. - The measures are designed to stabilize market prices and prevent excessive resource extraction, although there are concerns that the inability to quickly adjust supply in response to rising demand could lead to price increases and supply shortages [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the rare earth industry, indicating a potential for significant price increases and improved valuations due to supply reforms and market dynamics [6][40]. Core Insights - The implementation of the "Interim Measures for Total Control of Rare Earth Mining and Smelting Separation" marks a significant regulatory shift, enhancing government control over the rare earth supply chain [1][12]. - Rapid increases in processing fees for heavy rare earths signal a tightening supply and improved bargaining power for compliant smelting plants [2][14]. - Export volumes for key rare earth materials are recovering, with notable increases in the export of neodymium-iron-boron, suggesting a positive trend for future exports [3][20]. - Supply disruptions from Myanmar's mining operations could further impact the domestic supply of rare earths, particularly if mining is halted as planned [4][36]. - Future quotas for rare earth mining may not be publicly disclosed, indicating a more controlled and potentially limited supply growth [5][40]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Regulatory Changes - The "Interim Measures" officially include previously unregulated imported ore processing, establishing a traceability system for better supply monitoring [1][12]. Section 2: Processing Fees - Heavy rare earth processing fees surged from 1,500 RMB/ton to 15,000 RMB/ton, reflecting a tightening market and reduced buyer interest in imported ores [2][14]. Section 3: Export Recovery - Following export controls in April 2025, there was a recovery in export volumes for terbium and neodymium-iron-boron, with July figures showing a 6% increase in neodymium-iron-boron exports [3][20]. Section 4: Supply Disruptions - Myanmar's mining operations face potential halts, which could significantly affect the domestic supply of neodymium and praseodymium [4][36]. Section 5: Quota Management - The first batch of mining and smelting separation quotas for 2025 has been issued but may not be publicly disclosed in the future, suggesting a more conservative growth outlook [5][40]. Section 6: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like China Rare Earth, Guangsheng Nonferrous, and Northern Rare Earth, which are positioned to benefit from supply reforms and market dynamics [6][43][44].

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, National Development and Reform Commission, and Ministry of Natural Resources released the "Interim Measures for Total Quantity Control Management of Rare Earth Mining and Smelting Separation," indicating a formal start to supply-side reforms in the rare earth sector [1] - The new measures clarify the regulatory framework for the rare earth industry, including the inclusion of previously unregulated imported mineral smelting operations and the establishment of a traceability management system [1] - The processing fees for heavy rare earth minerals have surged from 1,500 yuan/ton to 15,000 yuan/ton, signaling a significant shift in the market dynamics and indicating a reduction in the supply of imported ion minerals [1] Group 2 - Exports of terbium oxide and neodymium iron boron have shown signs of recovery after a decline following the implementation of export controls in April 2025, with July figures showing a year-on-year decrease of 35% for terbium oxide and a 6% increase for neodymium iron boron [2] - The price of overseas terbium oxide and neodymium oxide has risen to 910 and 3,550 USD/kg respectively, with significant premiums over domestic prices, suggesting potential for further export recovery [2] Group 3 - Local authorities in Kachin, Myanmar, have mandated a complete halt to rare earth mining operations by December 31, 2025, which could impact domestic supply of over 500 tons/month of neodymium oxide [3] - The situation in Myanmar may lead to prolonged supply disruptions, similar to previous instances in other mining regions [3] Group 4 - The first batch of total control indicators for rare earth mining and smelting separation has been issued to China Rare Earth Group and Northern Rare Earth, but it is expected that these indicators will no longer be publicly disclosed in the future [4]

Summary of Rare Earth Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The rare earth industry has experienced three major market rallies in the past decade, occurring in 2011, 2017, and 2020-2022, with significant price increases driven by structural changes in demand from consumer electronics, wind power, and new energy vehicles [1][3] - China dominates the global rare earth supply, holding 40% of reserves and producing 70% of output, with 90% of global refining and separation capacity [1][8] Key Insights - In 2024, China's rare earth quota growth is expected to slow to 6%, indicating supply-side adjustments [1][10] - The demand for rare earths is primarily concentrated in the magnetic materials sector, with new energy vehicles being the largest driver, increasing from 15% in 2019 to nearly 50% [1][13] - Human-shaped robots are identified as a potential growth area, with a projected demand of approximately 4,000 tons of rare earth materials if 1 million units are produced, which could significantly impact prices [1][14] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Domestic rare earth market inventory is at a normal level, with a gradual narrowing of excess in fluorine oxide process sheets [1][15] - The price of rare earths has seen three waves of increases since last year, driven by bottom recovery, policy expectations, and price hikes [1][16] - Supply constraints and a 10% growth in demand are expected to push the price center of rare earths upward [1][15] Investment Considerations - Investors are motivated by various factors, including the strategic value of rare earths amid US-China tensions and strong performance from companies like Northern Rare Earth [2] - Recommended companies for investment include Northern Rare Earth, China Minmetals Rare Earth, Guangxi Rare Earth, and leading firms like Shanghai Sitai and Ningbo Yunsheng [1][17] Market Characteristics - Rare earth prices exhibit high volatility, typically experiencing significant fluctuations within a quarter to half a year [1][6] - Future market trends may follow the template established during the 2020-2022 period, where the growth of China's new energy vehicle production correlates with rising rare earth prices [1][7] Additional Insights - The supply-side factors have played a significant role in past market rallies, including issues like Japan's rare earth asset problems in 2011 and domestic group integration and quota management from 2020 to 2022 [1][5] - Despite having 60% of global reserves, overseas production remains limited due to technological and environmental approval challenges [1][11]

Investment Ratings - The report does not explicitly provide investment ratings for the industries discussed [2][3][4][5][6]. Core Insights - The copper market shows a stable upward trend with expectations of demand recovery in mid-September, despite current seasonal weakness [15]. - The aluminum sector is stabilizing at the bottom, with a slight increase in processing rates among leading companies [16]. - The gold market remains highly active, influenced by international geopolitical developments and trade agreements [17]. - The rare earth sector is experiencing significant price increases and regulatory changes, indicating a bullish outlook [35]. - The antimony market is expected to see price recovery due to improved export expectations and domestic production cuts [36]. - The molybdenum market is witnessing price increases driven by rising demand from steel manufacturers [37]. Summary by Sections 1. Base and Precious Metals Market Overview - Copper prices decreased slightly, with LME copper at $9734.50 per ton and SHFE copper at ¥78,700 per ton [15]. - Aluminum prices also fell, with LME aluminum at $2593.00 per ton and SHFE aluminum at ¥20,600 per ton [16]. - Gold prices showed a minor increase, with COMEX gold at $3383.50 per ounce [17]. 2. Base and Precious Metals Fundamental Updates 2.1 Copper - The copper processing fee index dropped to -$41.15 per ton, and domestic copper inventory decreased by 0.2 thousand tons to 13.17 thousand tons [15]. - The operating rate in the copper industry fell by 7.39% to 52.1% due to raw material shortages [15]. 2.2 Aluminum - Domestic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 1.1 thousand tons to 596 thousand tons, while the operating rate for aluminum processing companies rose by 0.5% to 60.0% [16]. - The complete cost of electrolytic aluminum is ¥16,718 per ton, with industry profits around ¥3,960 per ton [16]. 2.3 Precious Metals - The gold market is influenced by international trade agreements and geopolitical tensions, maintaining a volatile trading environment [17]. 3. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Market Overview - The rare earth sector is seeing price increases, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at ¥622,300 per ton, up 11.61% [35]. - Antimony prices are expected to recover due to improved export conditions and domestic production cuts [36]. - Molybdenum prices are rising as demand from steel manufacturers increases, with molybdenum concentrate prices at ¥4,420 per ton [37]. 4. Minor Metals and Rare Earth Fundamental Updates 4.1 Rare Earth - Regulatory changes in the rare earth industry are expected to enhance market conditions, with significant price increases anticipated [35]. 4.2 Antimony - The antimony market is poised for recovery, supported by export expectations and production cuts [36]. 4.3 Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices are on the rise due to increased demand from the steel sector, with a notable recovery in steel procurement volumes [37].