1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The fundamentals of the PVC industry are poor, with the supply-demand situation being supply - strong and demand - weak. The comprehensive profit of enterprises has declined to a low level for the year, but the supply - side maintenance volume is small, and the output is at a historical high. In the short term, multiple new devices will start trial operations. Domestically, downstream construction has declined, and domestic demand is weak. Regarding exports, the anti - dumping tax rate in India is expected to be implemented soon, and the export outlook for the fourth quarter is poor. Although the short - term valuation has declined to a low level, it still cannot support the supply - demand situation that is weaker than in the first half of the year. In the medium term, pay attention to short - selling opportunities on rallies [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - to - Week Assessment and Strategy Recommendation - **Cost and Profit**: The price of Wuhai calcium carbide is 2,425 yuan/ton, up 25 yuan/ton week - on - week; the price of Shandong calcium carbide is 2,830 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan/ton week - on - week; the price of medium - grade semi - coke in Shaanxi is 730 yuan/ton, unchanged week - on - week. The comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali integration has slightly recovered, while the profit from ethylene - based production is at a low level, and the current valuation is moderately low [11]. - **Supply**: The PVC capacity utilization rate is 76.7%, a 5.9% decline from the previous week. Among them, the utilization rate of calcium carbide - based production is 74.7%, down 8.2% week - on - week, and that of ethylene - based production is 81.3%, down 0.6% week - on - week. Last week, the supply - side load decreased mainly due to maintenance at enterprises such as Xinfeng, Lutai Chemical, Inner Mongolia Junzheng, Jinyuyuan, Tianye, and Zhongtai. The load is expected to rebound next week. The overall load in October is still expected to be high, and multiple devices are expected to start trial operations, resulting in continuous high supply pressure [11]. - **Demand**: Regarding exports, the anti - dumping tax rate in India is expected to be implemented in October - November, and exports are expected to decline after implementation. The construction rates of the three major downstream sectors decreased last week. The load of the pipe sector is 32.8%, down 7.6% week - on - week; the load of the film sector is 68.9%, up 5% week - on - week; the load of the profile sector is 15.9%, down 23% week - on - week. The overall downstream load is 39.2%, down 8.6% week - on - week, indicating weak overall downstream construction. Last week, the pre - sales volume of PVC was 55.6 tons, a decrease of 2.8 tons from the previous week [11]. - **Inventory**: Last week, the in - factory inventory was 36 tons, a decrease of 2.3 tons from the previous week; the social inventory was 103.4 tons, a decrease of 0.3 tons from the previous week; the total inventory was 139.4 tons, a decrease of 2.6 tons from the previous week; the number of warehouse receipts remained at a high level. The industry is still in the inventory accumulation cycle, with upstream inventory gradually shifting to the mid - stream. Given the supply - strong and demand - weak situation, the inventory accumulation is expected to continue [11]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Market - Multiple graphs are presented, including those showing the PVC term structure, the price of East China SG - 5 PVC, the PVC spot basis, the 1 - 5 spread of PVC, the positions and trading volumes of active PVC contracts, and the total positions and trading volumes of PVC. These graphs are sourced from WIND, Steel Union, and the research center of Wukang Futures [15][16][25][27]. 3.3 Profit and Inventory - **Inventory**: The overall inventory decreased this week, and the number of warehouse receipts was at a high level. Graphs show the in - factory inventory of calcium carbide - based PVC, the social inventory of PVC, the combined in - factory and social inventory of PVC, and the number of PVC warehouse receipts [32][39]. - **Profit**: Graphs show the comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali integration with externally purchased calcium carbide in Shandong, the profit of calcium carbide - based PVC production, the profit of ethylene - based PVC production, and the profit of calcium carbide production in Inner Mongolia [40]. 3.4 Cost Side - **Calcium Carbide**: Calcium carbide prices have stabilized. Graphs show the prices of Wuhai and Shandong calcium carbide, calcium carbide inventory, and calcium carbide production start - up rate [46][47]. - **Semi - coke and Caustic Soda**: The prices of semi - coke and caustic soda have remained stable. Graphs show the market price of medium - grade semi - coke in Shaanxi, the self - pick - up price of 32% liquid caustic soda in Shandong, and the market price of liquid chlorine in Shandong [48][49]. - **Ethylene**: The graph shows the CFR spot price of Northeast Asian ethylene [52]. 3.5 Supply Side - In 2025, the capacity expansion of PVC is significant, mainly concentrated in the third quarter. Graphs show the historical trend of PVC capacity, the newly - added PVC production capacity in 2025, and the raw materials consumed by the newly - added PVC production capacity in 2025 [57][60][62]. 3.6 Demand Side - **Downstream Construction**: The construction rates of the three major downstream sectors of PVC have declined. Graphs show the construction rates of PVC downstream sectors, including film, profile, and pipe sectors [73][75][77]. - **Exports**: The anti - dumping tax rate in India is expected to be implemented soon, which may lead to a decline in exports. Graphs show the export volume of PVC and the export volume of PVC to India [82][85]. - **Pre - sales**: The pre - sales volume of PVC has decreased. The graph shows the pre - sales volume of PVC [87]. - **Real Estate Indicator**: The graph shows the rolling cumulative year - on - year change in China's housing completion area [89].

化工板块今日（10月17日）随市深度回调。反映化工板块整体走势的化工ETF（516020）几乎全天单边 下行，截至发稿，场内价格跌2.01%。 成份股方面，钾肥、其他化学原料、合成树脂、氟化工等板块部分个股跌幅居前。截至发稿，藏格矿业 大跌超4%，杭氧股份、圣泉集团、巨化股份金发科技等多股跌超3%，拖累板块走势。 | | | 分财 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 日 周 · | | | | | F9 盘前盘后 图加 九转 测线 工具 @ 2 > | | 4. TETF O | | 516020 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | CARA | | | | | 516020(化工ETF) 13:45 6) 0.730 股跌 -0.015(-2.01%) [36] 0.737 限交通 194 IOPV 0.7311. | | | | 0.730 | | -0.015 -2.01% | | | | | | | | | | | SSE CNY 13:45:50 交易中 | | 104 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Wanhua Chemical's stock has experienced a decline of 10.18% year-to-date, with a notable drop of 6.35% in the last five trading days, indicating potential challenges in the market [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Wanhua Chemical reported revenue of 90.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.35% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 6.123 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 25.10% [2] Stock Market Activity - As of October 16, Wanhua Chemical's stock price was 63.43 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.018 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.51% [1] - The company experienced a net outflow of 153 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 269,200, up by 22.10% from the previous period [2] - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 18.10% to 11,665 shares [2] Dividend Distribution - Wanhua Chemical has distributed a total of 50.24 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 14.05 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fifth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 136 million shares, a decrease of 9.0754 million shares from the previous period [3] - Several ETFs, including Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Haitong SSE 300 ETF, increased their holdings in Wanhua Chemical [3]

10月14日，烟台市人民政府新闻办公室举行"回望十四五奋楫启新程"主题系列新闻发布会第二场。记者 从会上获悉，"十四五"期间，烟台通过加大科技投入、完善激励机制等举措，持续优化科技创新发展环 境。 科技创新离不开真金白银的投入。会上，烟台市科学技术局党组书记、局长李杰介绍，"十四五"期间， 投入市级财政资金23.85亿元，带动全社会研发投入总量达到257.4亿元，年均增长14.12%。发挥政府引 导基金作用，成立规模30亿元的科技创新(科新发展（600234）)母基金，支持联合社会资本投早、投 小、投长期、投硬科技。 齐鲁晚报.齐鲁壹点于洋 "十四五"期间，烟台共有127项成果获国家、省科学技术奖，"新一代绿色高效提炼贵金属技术""大型先 进压水堆非能动安全关键技术"等获国家科技进步奖二等奖，万华化学（600309）华卫琦获省科技进步 最高奖，海军航空大学王海鹏、滨州医学院田梗等获省科技进步青年奖，荣昌生物、泰和新材 （002254）、万华化学等单位获省特等奖，睿创微纳、山东核电等单位获得省奖一等奖22项。8微米非 制冷红外热成像模组、"东方航天港"号海上火箭发射船等四项成果入选省年度十大科技创新成果。 累计 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [4] Core Insights - Q3 is traditionally a low season for downstream chemical products, with prices of chemical products retreating from high levels. However, high demand in sub-sectors like agricultural chemicals supports performance [3][4] - The supply side of the chemical sector is nearing the end of capital expenditure, and policies aimed at reducing excess capacity are expected to accelerate the exit of outdated production capacity. Demand is anticipated to trend upward in the long term due to stabilizing oil prices and easing liquidity [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Agricultural Chemicals - The agricultural chain is expected to see steady growth in fertilizer demand due to increasing cultivated areas and higher penetration of genetically modified crops. Key companies to watch include Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy for nitrogen fertilizers, Yuntianhua and Xingfa Group for phosphate fertilizers, and Yara International for potash fertilizers [4] Textile and Apparel Chain - The textile and apparel chain has maintained high growth rates, with supply-side production peaks having passed. Companies like Luxi Chemical and Tongkun Co. are highlighted for their potential in this sector [4] Export-Related Chemicals - With overall overseas inventory at historical lows and expectations of interest rate cuts, demand for export-related chemical products is expected to rise. Key companies include Juhua Co. and Sanmei Co. in the fluorochemical sector, and Wanhua Chemical in the MDI segment [4] New Materials - The report emphasizes the acceleration of domestic self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor materials and OLED panel materials. Companies like Yake Technology and Ruijie New Materials are noted for their growth potential [5]

Key Insights - The recent announcement by two departments regarding the governance of price disorder in the market is expected to stabilize the prices of epoxy propane and polyether, leading to a positive outlook for the chemical industry [3][4] - The chemical industry in China is anticipated to undergo a revaluation due to the reduction of overcapacity globally, which could enhance cash flow and dividend yields for companies in this sector [4] - The "Work Plan for Stable Growth in the Petrochemical Industry (2025-2026)" aims for an average annual growth of over 5% in the added value of the petrochemical industry, focusing on innovation and quality improvement [5][6] Industry Analysis - The chemical industry is expected to see a significant increase in demand for chromium salts due to the rising orders for gas turbines and commercial aircraft engines, with a projected shortfall of 250,000 tons by 2028 [8] - The report highlights four key investment opportunities in the chemical sector: low-cost expansion, improved industry conditions, new materials, and high dividend yields from state-owned enterprises [9][10] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies in various sub-sectors, such as Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng, which are well-positioned to benefit from these trends [11] Market Trends - The report notes that the price of Brent and WTI crude oil has decreased by 3.53% and 4.04% respectively, indicating a potential impact on the chemical industry [12] - The domestic market for epoxy propane has shown a steady upward trend, supported by supply constraints and increased purchasing activity during the holiday season [13][14] - The report also mentions the stable pricing of various chemical products, including MDI and ammonium phosphate, suggesting a balanced supply-demand dynamic in the market [15][19] Company-Specific Insights - Companies like Zhenhua Co. are expected to benefit from the anticipated increase in demand for chromium salts, with a production capacity of 260,000 tons in 2024 [8] - The report highlights the performance of various companies in the chemical sector, including the stable pricing of products from companies like Yangu Huatai and Huafeng Chemical [16][23] - The report indicates that companies such as Yonghe Co. are projected to see significant profit growth in the upcoming quarters, with an expected net profit increase of over 200% [29]

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a significant pullback on October 13, with the chemical ETF (516020) declining by 3.19% [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector, including Tongkun Co., Ltd., fell over 7%, while several others like Xin Fengming and Huafeng Chemical dropped more than 6%, negatively impacting the overall sector performance [1][2] - The chemical ETF has seen a capital inflow of over 80 million yuan in the last three trading days, indicating renewed interest from investors [1][2] Group 2 - The chemical industry is currently at a historical low in terms of profitability and valuation, with a profit margin of 4.14% for the chemical raw materials and products sector as of August 2025 [3] - The price-to-book ratio for the chemical ETF (516020) is at 2.4 times, which is in the 41.57 percentile of the last decade, suggesting a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3] - The construction of new projects in the basic chemical sector has seen a decline for three consecutive quarters, confirming a supply turning point and indicating a potential improvement in the industry landscape [4] Group 3 - Investment strategies suggest focusing on sectors with significant profit elasticity, such as pesticides, organic silicon, and polyester filament, which are expected to benefit from supply-side improvements [4] - The chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI segmented chemical industry index, covering various sub-sectors and concentrating nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks like Wanhua Chemical and Salt Lake Industry [4] - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked funds (A class 012537/C class 012538) for exposure to the chemical sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming 2026 Silicon-based Anode and Solid-State Battery Summit, focusing on breakthroughs in silicon-based anodes and the future of solid-state batteries [2][3]. Event Details - The summit is organized by Xinluo Information and will take place in Shanghai, China, on November 12-13, 2025, with a registration day on November 12 [3][4]. - The event includes a visit to Shanghai Shanshan Enterprises and a welcome dinner, which are exclusive to registered participants [4]. Agenda and Topics - The conference will cover various topics related to silicon-based anodes and solid-state batteries, including: - Development bottlenecks and solutions for new silicon-based anode products [6]. - High-efficiency long-cycle silicon-based anode development [6]. - Market outlook for silicon-based anodes in digital and cylindrical battery applications [6]. - Current status and development trends of the solid-state battery market [6]. - Notable speakers include representatives from Carbon One New Energy Group, Shanghai Shanshan Technology, and the Chinese Academy of Sciences [6]. Participating Companies - A diverse range of companies will participate, including: - Penghui Energy - Ningde Times - TianNeng Battery Group - Various financial and investment firms [8][10][11]. Previous Events - The article references past conferences, indicating a history of discussions and developments in the silicon-based anode and solid-state battery sectors [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [6][4]. Core Views - Recent price increases in titanium dioxide and significant rises in refrigerant long-term contract prices are noted, indicating a potential recovery in profitability for the titanium dioxide sector [6]. - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry is influenced by stable global GDP growth of 2.8%, with oil demand expected to rise despite some slowdown due to tariffs [6][7]. - The report suggests a strategic focus on sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" policies, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals [6]. Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable [7]. - The chemical sector is experiencing a recovery phase, with improvements in supply-demand relationships and policy effects leading to price stabilization in various industrial products [9]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of key materials in the semiconductor and OLED sectors, as well as the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices [6][12]. Sector Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on specific companies within the textile chain, agricultural chain, and export-related chemicals, such as: - Textile: Companies like Lu Xi Chemical and Tongkun Co. - Agriculture: Companies like Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy [6]. - Emphasis is placed on the potential for recovery in the titanium dioxide market, particularly with the easing of trade tensions and seasonal demand increases [6][4]. - The report also suggests monitoring the performance of companies in the fine chemicals sector, such as Xinhecheng and Juhua Co., as they may benefit from ongoing market trends [20].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The basic chemical industry is facing short-term challenges due to renewed US-China trade disputes, which have raised concerns about demand and led to a significant drop in international oil prices, with Brent crude oil prices falling by 4.8% [8] - Despite short-term pressures, the long-term outlook for the petrochemical industry remains positive, as high tariffs from trade disputes are unlikely to have a lasting impact, and domestic companies have gained valuable experience in navigating such challenges [8] - The green low-carbon sector is expected to become a new industry trend, with significant market potential for green methanol, bio-aviation fuel, and green polyester, which are anticipated to achieve rapid growth as they align with sustainable development goals [8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report recommends buying shares of Wan Kai New Materials (301216) for its leading position in the green polyester industry. Other recommended stocks include: - Runfeng Co., Ltd. (301035) - Guoguang Co., Ltd. (002749) - Hailier (603639) - Sinopec (600028) - Hengli Petrochemical (600346) - Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493) - Wanhua Chemical (600309) - Huayi Group (600623) [3]