展望后市，中国银河证券表示，2024年以来化工行业资本开支迎来负增长，随着"反内卷"浪潮袭来及海 外落后产能加速出清，供给端有望收缩。"十五五"规划建议"坚持扩大内需"为未来五年定调，叠加美国 降息周期开启，化工品需求空间打开。其认为，供需双底基本确立，政策预期强力催化，2026年化工行 业或迎周期拐点向上，开启从估值修复到业绩增长的"戴维斯双击"。 如何把握化工板块反弹机遇？借道化工ETF（516020）布局效率或更高。公开资料显示，化工ETF （516020）跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，全面覆盖化工各个细分领域。其中近5成仓位集中于大市 值龙头股，包括万华化学、盐湖股份等，分享强者恒强投资机遇；其余5成仓位兼顾布局磷肥及磷化 工、氟化工、氮肥等细分领域龙头股，全面把握化工板块投资机会。场外投资者亦可通过化工ETF联接 基金（A类012537/C类012538）布局化工板块。 来源：沪深交易所等，截至2026.1.6。 风险提示：化工ETF被动跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于 2012.4.11。指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表 ...

截至2026年1月6日10:31，中证石化产业指数强势上涨2.58%，成分股恒力石化、万华化学、盐湖股份、鲁西化工、凯赛生物等个股领涨。石化ETF(159731) 上涨2.28%，最新价报0.94元。资金流入方面，石化ETF近8个交易日内，合计"吸金"2446.03万元。石化ETF最新规模达2.46亿元，创近1年新高。 截至1月5日，石化ETF近2年净值上涨43.18%。从收益能力看，截至2026年1月5日，石化ETF自成立以来，最高单月回报为15.86%，最长连涨月数为8个月， 最长连涨涨幅为41.6%，上涨月份平均收益率为5.25%。截至2026年1月5日，石化ETF近1年超越基准年化收益为2.08%。 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 涨跌幅 | 权重 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600309 | 万华化学 | 5.60% | 10.47% | | 601857 | 中国石油 | 0.60% | 7.63% | | 000792 | 盐湖股份 | 4.65% | 6.44% | | 600028 | 中国石化 | 0.82% | 6.44% | | 600938 | 甲国海 ...

1月6日，万华化学涨5.03%，截至发稿，报81.22元/股，成交19.58亿元，换手率0.78%，总市值2542.57 亿元。 资料显示，万华化学集团股份有限公司位于山东省烟台市经济技术开发区三亚路3号，成立日期1998年 12月16日，上市日期2001年1月5日，公司主营业务涉及各种异氰酸酯产品及其衍生产品的开发、生产、 经营、应用;各种聚氨酯系统料及其助剂的开发、生产、经营。主营业务收入构成为：聚氨酯系列 40.58%，石化系列38.43%，精细化学品及新材料系列17.19%，其他12.46%，其他(补充)0.40%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，鑫元基金旗下1只基金重仓万华化学。鑫元行业轮动A（005949）三季度增持3500股，持有 股数3.8万股，占基金净值比例为4%，位居第三大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约14.78万元。 鑫元行业轮动A（005949）成立日期2018年5月31日，最新规模699.02万。今年以来收益1.48%，同类排 名5218/8816；近一年收益15.65%，同类排名5606/8081；成立以来亏损30.16%。 鑫元行业轮动A（005949）基金经理为张汉毅。 截 ...

点击 最 下方 关注《材料汇》 ， 点击"❤"和" "并分享 添加 小编微信 ，寻 志同道合 的你 正文 全球石化产业规模 全球石化产业规模约4.5-5万亿美元，基础化工原料、聚合物合计市场占比50%以 上,精细化工、专用化学品等高价值细分市场为主要增长动力 | | 产量/需求 | 市场规模 | | 产量/需求 | 市场规模 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 乙烯 | 2.18亿吨 | 约2000亿美元 | 聚乙烯 | 1.1亿吨 | 约1200亿美元 | | 内烯 | 1.3-1.5亿吨 | 1300-1600亿美 元 | 聚丙烯 | 约9000万吨 | 约700亿美元 | | 甲醇 | 1.25亿吨 | 320亿美元 | 精细化工 | | 超1万亿欧元 | | PX | 6800-7000万吨 | 850-920亿美元 | 专用化学品 | | 6020亿美元* | | 乙醇 | 5300万吨 | 300亿美元 | 电子化学品 | | 约700亿美元 | | 苯乙烯 | 4000万吨 | 450亿美元 | 工程塑料 | | 超1000亿美元 | | 资料来源 ...

Core Viewpoint - Wanhua Chemical has been selected as a core asset in the chemical industry for the "Betting on China" initiative, driven by a recovery in the global chemical sector and strong growth potential in emerging industries such as new energy vehicles and semiconductors [1] Industry Background - The global chemical industry is expected to enter a recovery phase by the end of 2025, with net profit growth projected at 15%-20% in 2026, significantly benefiting leading companies like Wanhua Chemical [2] Key Opportunities in 2026 - The MDI industry is set for an upswing, with global MDI capacity at 8.5 million tons and demand at 8.2 million tons in 2025, leading to enhanced pricing power for Wanhua Chemical [3] - Emerging materials are expected to see explosive growth, with global demand for lithium iron phosphate exceeding 10 million tons and significant opportunities in semiconductor materials and bio-based materials [3] - Wanhua's global presence, with over 50% of revenue from overseas, positions it well to benefit from international demand recovery and pricing strategies [3] Fundamental Analysis - Wanhua Chemical has diversified its business beyond traditional cyclical reliance, achieving stable growth through its "three-horsepower" strategy [4] - The polyurethane segment generated revenue of 55.14 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, maintaining a high gross margin of 26% [4] - The petrochemical segment has become the largest business unit, with revenue of 59.32 billion yuan, benefiting from cost reductions and raw material efficiency [5] - The emerging materials segment, contributing 23.81 billion yuan, includes high-value products that reduce cyclical dependency [5] Core Competitiveness - Wanhua Chemical's leadership is supported by four key barriers: advanced technology, scale advantages, a complete industrial chain, and a global footprint [6] - The company holds leading positions in MDI and TDI production, with a global market share exceeding 30% in MDI [6] Investment Appeal - Wanhua Chemical's current P/E ratio of 19.29 is below the average for global chemical leaders, indicating significant valuation recovery potential [7] - Projected net profit for 2026 is expected to reach 18-20 billion yuan, driven by growth across all business segments [7] - The company represents a dual opportunity for investment, combining cyclical recovery with growth potential in emerging sectors [7]

Core Viewpoint - Wanhua Chemical has been selected as a core asset in the "Global Vision" category for 2026, representing the chemical industry, due to its strong performance and growth potential amid industry recovery and structural upgrades [2][3]. Industry Background - The global chemical industry is expected to emerge from a downturn in 2025, with MDI supply-demand optimization and a recovery in domestic demand driving steady price increases [3][5]. - The industry is projected to see a net profit growth rate of 15%-20% in 2026, with leading companies like Wanhua Chemical benefiting from this recovery [5]. Wanhua Chemical's Competitive Advantages - Wanhua Chemical has a complete industrial chain from raw materials to finished products, with over 30% global market share in MDI, creating significant barriers to entry [7][11]. - The company is positioned to capture market share from smaller competitors during the recovery phase due to its scale, technology, and global presence [7][11]. Business Segments and Financial Performance - The polyurethane segment is a key growth driver, with revenue of 551.43 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, maintaining a high gross margin of 26% [9]. - The petrochemical segment has become the largest business unit, generating 593.19 billion yuan in revenue, benefiting from cost reductions through raw material switching [9]. - The emerging materials segment is expected to grow significantly, with revenue of 238.11 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, focusing on high-value areas like battery materials and semiconductors [10]. Financial Outlook - Wanhua Chemical's net profit for 2026 is projected to reach 180-200 billion yuan, driven by growth across its business segments, with significant increases expected in both the petrochemical and emerging materials sectors [13]. - The company's current price-to-earnings ratio is 19.29, below the average for domestic and international peers, indicating potential for valuation recovery [13]. Conclusion - Wanhua Chemical represents a dual opportunity of cyclical recovery and growth, making it a compelling choice for investment in 2026 as it combines strong fundamentals with a favorable market outlook [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment value of Wanhua Chemical, emphasizing its leading position in the global MDI industry and its resilience against market fluctuations despite short-term price pressures [3][4]. Group 1: MDI as the Core Business - Wanhua Chemical's business is divided into three main segments: polyurethane (core products MDI and TDI), petrochemicals, and fine chemicals and new materials [5]. - In the first half of 2025, the gross profit from polyurethane products accounted for approximately 75% of the company's total profit, highlighting its significance as the main profit source [5]. - As of September 2025, Wanhua's total MDI production capacity reached 3.05 million tons per year, maintaining the largest market share globally at 27.2%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points from 2024 [5][11]. Group 2: Market Demand and Pricing Trends - The global demand for MDI in the first nine months of 2025 was approximately 7.85 million tons, with China accounting for 3.9 million tons, or 49.7% of the total demand [8]. - Demand growth rates for MDI in various sectors from January to September 2025 were 3.5% in home appliances, 4.8% in automotive manufacturing, while the construction insulation sector saw a decline of 2.0% due to a sluggish real estate market [9]. - MDI prices in China exhibited a "first suppressed, then rebounded, and finally declined" trend in 2025, influenced by global overcapacity [9][11]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Challenges - For the first three quarters of 2025, Wanhua reported revenue of 144.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.3% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.16 billion yuan, down 17% [12]. - The gross margin for the polyurethane business in Q3 2025 was 25.7%, a slight decline from 26.2% in 2024, primarily due to falling MDI prices and high raw material costs [14]. - Despite short-term price pressures, Wanhua's strong production capacity, cost advantages, and diversified business layout provide significant resilience against market cycles [11]. Group 4: Future Growth Opportunities - Wanhua is cultivating its battery materials business as a second growth curve, focusing on lithium iron phosphate and continuous graphite negative electrode products, with plans to achieve a capacity of 1 million tons of lithium iron phosphate by 2027 [18]. - In fine chemicals, Wanhua's ADI business is expanding globally to enhance risk resilience, and its MS resin facility has begun large-scale production, filling a domestic gap in high-end optical-grade materials [19]. - The company is committed to a differentiated product strategy, benefiting from new production capabilities and the demand from the new energy sector, which supports its high-value product matrix for long-term growth [19].

Core Insights - The new energy storage industry is experiencing unprecedented growth opportunities driven by the national "dual carbon" strategy [1] - Yantai Dongde Industrial Co., Ltd. plans to launch the world's first PowerMax super hydrogen power station by October 2025, featuring a rapid charging capability of "charging 8 degrees in 1 minute" [1] - Dongde's integrated solution encompasses hydrogen production, storage, power generation, and consumption, providing a replicable model for ultra-charging stations and green electricity consumption [1] - Dongfang Xuneng (Shandong) Technology Development Co., Ltd. has achieved a remarkable "100-fold growth in three years," positioning itself as a dark horse in the clean energy sector [1] - The Yantai Huangbohai New Area is focusing on new energy storage as one of its two strategic emerging industries, aiming to create a collaborative ecosystem for upstream and downstream industry development [1] Industry Development - By the end of 2025, Yantai Huangbohai New Area aims to establish a "geese formation" of new energy storage enterprises, with 50 key companies across various fields, including battery materials and hydrogen storage [2] - The area has introduced supportive policies to bolster industry development, integrating new energy storage into its "5+2" modern industrial system [2] - A target has been set for the new energy storage industry to reach a scale of over 50 billion yuan by 2030, supported by a continuous policy framework [2] - A 3000-acre new energy storage industrial park is being developed, focusing on advanced materials, battery manufacturing, and system integration [2] Company Collaborations - Yantai Lihua Power Technology Co., Ltd. has been established through a joint venture between Lihua New Energy and Wanhua Chemical, creating a complete industrial chain from upstream materials to downstream systems [3] - Lihua Power's self-developed ultra-high rate 46 series cylindrical battery features a groundbreaking structure that allows for "10-minute charging and 400 km range," applicable in various sectors [3] - Yantai Xinghe Battery Material Technology Co., Ltd. has been formed by leading material companies to develop high-quality SAFEBM aramid-coated separators, enhancing battery safety and manufacturing efficiency [3] Project Progress - The construction of the industrial park is progressing steadily, with projects like Lihua Power's 25GWh cylindrical energy storage battery and Wanhua's lithium hexafluorophosphate already established [4] - By 2030, the park aims to enhance innovation capabilities and achieve comprehensive collaboration across the upstream and downstream sectors of the new energy storage industry [4]

Group 1 - Huawei's rotating chairman Meng Wanzhou emphasizes the importance of resilience and professionalism in overcoming challenges and creating value in the face of the intelligent transformation wave, highlighting the need for strategic focus and organizational strength by 2026 [27] - Hengrui Medicine plans to increase R&D investment, focusing on oncology, autoimmune, and metabolic diseases, aiming to address unmet clinical needs and enhance international cooperation for global commercialization of Chinese innovative drugs by 2026 [28] - Wanhua Chemical's chairman Liao Zengtai aims to enhance operational quality and focus on technological innovation, particularly in battery materials and high-end new materials, to create a competitive advantage and develop an integrated growth model by 2026 [29] Group 2 - Muyuan Foods' chairman Qin Yinglin reflects on the company's journey from starting with 22 pigs to becoming the largest pig farming enterprise globally, emphasizing the importance of innovation and technology in achieving a dignified and efficient pig farming process by 2026 [30] - Gree Electric's chairman Dong Mingzhu commits to deepening core business and accelerating in smart equipment and new energy sectors, while focusing on green and digital transformation to enhance product quality and service for global users by 2026 [31] - Geely Holding Group's chairman Li Shufu highlights the importance of making bold decisions during critical moments, emphasizing the need to overcome challenges and maintain core values as the company approaches its 40th anniversary in 2026 [32] Group 3 - SAIC Motor's chairman Wang Xiaoqiu outlines the company's commitment to deepening reforms and focusing on intelligent and electric vehicle development, aiming for high-quality growth and user-centered innovation by 2026 [32] - Hengli Group's chairman Chen Jianhua stresses the importance of practical action and innovation in overcoming development challenges, encouraging a proactive approach to seize opportunities in the coming years [33] - LONGi Green Energy's chairman Zhong Baoshan believes the photovoltaic industry is at a pivotal moment, emphasizing the need for technological innovation to navigate challenges and capitalize on the global green energy transition [34] Group 4 - Inspur's chairman Li Jun emphasizes the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on the global economy and the importance of open collaboration to unlock AI's potential, with a focus on building a comprehensive innovation ecosystem by 2026 [35] - TCL's chairman Li Dongsheng highlights the need for strategic focus on achieving global leadership and enhancing core capabilities to drive high-quality development amid economic uncertainties in 2026 [36] - Trina Solar's co-chairman Gao Haichun emphasizes the company's evolution from a product supplier to a system-level innovator, focusing on creating solutions that transcend traditional competition by 2026 [38] Group 5 - JinkoSolar's chairman Li Xian-de discusses the potential of space photovoltaic technology as a sustainable energy solution for future AI power needs, marking the company's 20th anniversary with a vision for universal solar energy [39] - Leo Group's chairman Wang Xiangrong aims to enhance the company's strategic focus and sustainable value, emphasizing collaboration with customers and employees to achieve higher-dimensional value creation by 2026 [40] - Innovent Biologics' chairman Cui Jisong outlines the company's commitment to innovation and global expansion, aiming to launch multiple new drugs and maintain an entrepreneurial spirit in the face of uncertainty by 2026 [41]

Group 1 - Huawei's rotating chairman Meng Wanzhou emphasized the importance of resilience and professionalism in overcoming challenges and creating value, highlighting the long-term strategic opportunities presented by the wave of intelligent transformation [25] - Hengrui Medicine's chairman Sun Piaoyang announced plans to increase R&D investment, focusing on oncology, autoimmune, and metabolic diseases, while promoting international cooperation and accelerating overseas clinical trials [26] - Wanhua Chemical's chairman Liao Zengtai aims to enhance operational quality and focus on technological innovation, particularly in battery materials and high-end new materials [27] Group 2 - Muyuan Foods' chairman Qin Yinglin expressed commitment to smart pig farming and improving animal health, aiming to enhance the quality and safety of pork for consumers [28] - Gree Electric's chairman Dong Mingzhu plans to deepen the core business while accelerating in smart equipment and renewable energy sectors, emphasizing a commitment to green and digital transformation [29] - Geely Holding Group's chairman Li Shufu highlighted the importance of making bold decisions during critical moments, focusing on core values and sustainable development [30] Group 3 - SAIC Motor's chairman Wang Xiaoqiu stated the company will deepen reforms and focus on intelligent and electric vehicle development, aiming for high-quality growth [30] - Hengli Group's chairman Chen Jianhua emphasized the need for a proactive approach to overcome challenges and achieve breakthroughs in the coming years [31] - LONGi Green Energy's chairman Zhong Baoshen believes the photovoltaic industry is at a pivotal moment, with significant opportunities for innovation and growth [32] Group 4 - TCL's chairman Li Dongsheng stressed the importance of maintaining strategic focus and enhancing core capabilities to achieve high-quality development [33] - Inspur's acting chairman Li Jun highlighted the transformative impact of artificial intelligence on the economy and the need for open and collaborative innovation [35] - Trina Solar's co-chairman Gao Haichun mentioned the company's evolution from a product supplier to a solution provider, focusing on system-level product innovation [36] Group 5 - JinkoSolar's chairman Li Xian-de discussed the potential of space photovoltaic technology as a sustainable energy solution for future challenges [37] - LEO Technology's chairman Wang Xiangrong emphasized the importance of creating value beyond mere data growth, focusing on sustainable and collaborative progress [38] - Innovent Biologics' chairman Cui Jisong outlined the company's commitment to innovation and global expansion in the next decade [39] Group 6 - Fosun International's chairman Guo Guangchang highlighted the growing demand for health and wellness, emphasizing the need to leverage the company's strengths in various industries [40] - Obsidian Technology's chairman Huang Yuanhao expressed the importance of innovation in robotics and AI vision, aiming to lead in the upcoming technological revolution [41] - Volkswagen's chairman Yang Guoping emphasized the commitment to brand and innovation as the company embarks on a new journey in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [42]