证券代码：600508 证券简称：上海能源 公告编号：2025-030 上海大屯能源股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 10 月 28 日 （星期二） 16:00-17:00 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证路演中心（网址： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/）（以下简称"上证路演中心"） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 10 月 21 日 （星期二） 至 10 月 27 日 （星 期一）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目 或通过公司邮箱 sh600508@263.net 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对 投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 上海大屯能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）将于 2025 年 10 月 27 日发布公司 2025 年第三季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全 面深入地了解公司 2025 年第三季度经营成果、财务状况，公司 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the prices of thermal coal and coking coal have reached a turning point, with thermal coal prices expected to rebound and stabilize above the long-term contract price of around 700 CNY per ton, with a potential target of 750 CNY per ton in 2025 [6][7][16] - The report highlights that the coal market is experiencing a significant price increase, with thermal coal prices rising to 748 CNY per ton as of October 17, 2025, marking a 6.1% increase from the previous period [6][20] - The investment logic is based on two main aspects: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends, suggesting that the coal sector is at a favorable entry point for investment [8][17] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy-driven commodity, with prices expected to recover to long-term contract levels due to the dual-track pricing mechanism [7][16] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by supply and demand fundamentals, with target prices set based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices [7][16] Market Performance - The coal index increased by 4.17% in the week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 6.39 percentage points [11][28] - Major coal companies showed significant price increases, with the top performers being Dayou Energy (+53.13%), Zhengzhou Coal Electricity (+15.93%), and China Coal Energy (+11.68%) [11][28] Price Indicators - As of October 17, 2025, the Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal price was 748 CNY per ton, reflecting a 6.1% increase [20] - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port reached 1710 CNY per ton, up from 1630 CNY, indicating a 4.91% increase [21][23] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests four main lines for coal stock selection: cyclical logic (e.g., Jinko Coal and Yanzhou Coal), dividend logic (e.g., China Shenhua and Zhongmei Energy), diversified aluminum elasticity (e.g., Shenhua Holdings), and growth logic (e.g., Xinji Energy and Guanghui Energy) [8][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry [2][5]. Core Views - The coal price is expected to maintain a strong upward trend due to multiple factors, including supply constraints and increased demand driven by cold winter expectations and export pressures [7][8]. - The report highlights the potential for investment opportunities in the coal sector, particularly in companies with high elasticity in their stock prices [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry comprises 37 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 1,954.93 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 1,915.57 billion yuan [2]. 2. Coal Price Trends - The price of thermal coal at the port increased by 43 yuan/ton week-on-week, reaching 753 yuan/ton as of October 17, 2025, marking a 6.06% increase from the previous week [8]. - The average daily production of thermal coal from 462 sample mines was 5.52 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.13% week-on-week and a 3.93% decrease year-on-year [8]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Supply constraints are expected to persist due to increased safety inspections and anticipated rainfall in major production areas, which may limit coal production and transportation [7][8]. - Demand is bolstered by expectations of a cold winter, leading to early stockpiling by power plants, and ongoing high demand from the steel industry [8]. 4. Key Companies and Recommendations - Recommended high-elasticity stocks include Yanzhou Coal Mining, Shanxi Coal International, and Jinneng Holding, among others, which are expected to benefit from the favorable market conditions [8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring companies' dividend policies and growth prospects, with several companies expected to maintain or increase their dividend payouts [13]. 5. Market Performance - The coal sector has seen significant price fluctuations, with the report indicating that the coal price is likely to remain resilient despite seasonal trends [8]. - The report notes that the coal sector's performance is expected to improve as supply-demand dynamics become more favorable [8].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Energy's stock price has shown a slight increase of 0.08% year-to-date, with notable gains in recent trading days, indicating a potential recovery trend in the market [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shanghai Energy reported a revenue of 3.498 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 205 million yuan, down 56.45% compared to the previous year [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 3.975 billion yuan, with 1.178 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 19, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shanghai Energy increased to 34,500, reflecting a 1.47% rise, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 1.45% to 20,948 shares [2]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 6.6305 million shares, and various ETFs such as Guotai Zhongzheng Coal ETF and Southern Zhongzheng 1000 ETF, all of which have increased their holdings [3]. Market Activity - On October 16, Shanghai Energy's stock rose by 2.05%, reaching a price of 12.95 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 146 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.58% [1]. - The company's market capitalization stands at 9.359 billion yuan, with significant net outflows of main funds amounting to 9.3213 million yuan [1]. Business Overview - Shanghai Energy, established on December 29, 1999, and listed on August 29, 2001, operates in coal mining, processing, sales, power generation, and aluminum production, with coal sales contributing 58.32% to its revenue [1]. - The company is categorized under the coal mining industry, specifically focusing on coking coal, and is involved in various concept sectors including ultra-supercritical power generation and green energy [1].

Core Insights - The Shanghai Energy Technology Service Company is transferring 51% of its equity with a base price of 7.929174 million yuan, established in 2011 and recognized in the energy sector [1][3]. Company Overview - The project company has a registered and paid-in capital of 10 million yuan, operating in energy technology services, consulting, development, and equipment leasing [3]. - It is a member of a large domestic energy group, benefiting from a robust operational system and diverse business capabilities [3][4]. Investment Advantages - Strong shareholder background provides substantial resource support, allowing the company to leverage the parent group's extensive experience in natural gas exploration, energy pipeline construction, and regional market operations [4]. - The company can access a stable supply chain and diverse market channels, enhancing profitability and reducing risks in new business development [4]. Market Potential - Located in Shanghai, a key economic center, the company is positioned to meet the growing demand for clean energy and efficient energy services in the region [5]. - The ongoing push for carbon neutrality and the transition to natural gas create significant market opportunities for the company's gas sales and energy technology services [5]. Policy Environment - National support for energy structure transformation and clean energy development aligns with the company's business direction, allowing it to benefit from tax incentives, subsidies, and easier market access [6]. - The acceleration of the Yangtze River Delta integration process presents opportunities for regional market collaboration, enabling the company to expand its cross-regional business [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry [2][5]. Core Views - The supply-demand situation is improving, leading to a stable and slightly rising trend in coal prices. The report anticipates that coal prices will maintain a strong oscillating trend in late October 2025 [7][8]. - The demand side is supported by higher temperatures leading to increased coal consumption, particularly in coastal and inland provinces. The average daily coal consumption reached 5.486 million tons as of October 9, 2025, a week-on-week increase of 18.82% and a year-on-year increase of 8.29% [7][8]. - On the supply side, there are expectations of tighter supply due to regulatory measures against overproduction and adverse weather conditions affecting coal production and transportation [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry consists of 37 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 185.34 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 181.40 billion yuan [2]. 2. Price Tracking - The report indicates that the price of thermal coal at the Qinhuangdao port was 710 yuan per ton as of October 10, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 5 yuan per ton [8]. - The average daily production of thermal coal from 462 sample mines was 5.529 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 0.23% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.42% [8]. 3. Inventory Tracking - The report notes that the Daqin line has begun its autumn maintenance, which will reduce daily transport capacity and may lead to further inventory depletion at ports [8]. 4. Downstream Performance - The steel market is entering a traditional peak season, which is expected to improve the demand for coking coal. The average daily pig iron production has remained above 2.4 million tons [7][8]. 5. Company Performance - Key companies recommended for investment include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Shanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group, and others, which are expected to benefit from the improving coal price environment [8][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that thermal coal prices have rebounded above 700 yuan per ton, with a peak of 706 yuan per ton observed recently. The demand for non-electric coal is expected to be a highlight in the upcoming months [3][4] - The report emphasizes that both thermal coal and coking coal prices have reached a turning point, with expectations for further price recovery due to supply-demand dynamics and seasonal demand shifts [4][5] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy coal type, with prices expected to recover to long-term contract prices. The current price has surpassed the second target price, which is around 700 yuan per ton. Future expectations suggest a potential recovery to a third target price of approximately 750 yuan per ton by 2025, with a fourth target price around 860 yuan per ton [4][13] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by market dynamics, with target prices set based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices. The current ratio indicates target prices for coking coal at 1608 yuan, 1680 yuan, 1800 yuan, and 2064 yuan corresponding to thermal coal's target prices [4][13] Investment Recommendations - The report outlines a dual logic for coal stocks: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends. The current low prices of thermal and coking coal provide room for rebound, supported by supply-side policies and seasonal demand expectations [5][14] - Four main lines of coal stock selection are recommended: 1. Cyclical logic: Jin控煤业, 兖矿能源 for thermal coal; 平煤股份, 淮北矿业, 潞安环能 for metallurgical coal 2. Dividend logic: 中国神华, 中煤能源, 陕西煤业 3. Diversified aluminum elasticity: 神火股份, 电投能源 4. Growth logic: 新集能源, 广汇能源 [5][14] Market Performance - The coal index experienced a slight decline of 1.37%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.44 percentage points. The average PE ratio for the coal sector is 13.49, and the PB ratio is 1.26, ranking low among all A-share industries [8][30][31]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - Coal prices have rebounded above 700 RMB, with a current price of 704 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 24 RMB/ton (3.53%) [3][4] - The demand for non-electric coal is expected to be a highlight in the upcoming months, particularly during the "golden September and silver October" period [4] - The report predicts that the current rebound in coal prices is at a turning point, with potential further increases expected as the market stabilizes [4][5] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The prices of thermal coal and coking coal are at a turning point, with thermal coal prices expected to recover to long-term contract prices, currently above the second target price of around 700 RMB [4][13] - Future expectations indicate that thermal coal prices could reach a third target price of approximately 750 RMB, with a potential peak at around 860 RMB [4][13] Market Performance - The coal index increased by 3.51% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.96 percentage points [8][25] - The average PE ratio for the coal sector is 13.59, and the PB ratio is 1.28, ranking low among all A-share industries [25][31] Coal Price Indicators - As of September 19, the Qinhuangdao Q5500 thermal coal price is 704 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 24 RMB [20] - The price of coking coal at the Jingtang port has risen to 1670 RMB/ton, reflecting a significant increase from earlier months [21][23] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a dual logic for investment in coal stocks, focusing on both cyclical recovery and stable dividends, with specific stocks recommended for investment [5][14] - Key stocks identified for investment include: - Cyclical logic: Jinko Coal Industry, Yanzhou Coal Mining - Dividend logic: China Shenhua, Zhongmei Energy - Diversified aluminum elasticity: Shenhua Holdings, Electric Power Investment Energy - Growth logic: Xinjie Energy, Guanghui Energy [5][14][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the coal economy is at the beginning of a new upward cycle, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to invest in the coal sector [3][13] - The report highlights that coal prices have shown signs of stabilization, and there is an expectation for price increases due to seasonal demand and supply constraints [5][13] - The report emphasizes the continued investment logic of coal capacity shortages, with a short-term balance and a long-term gap in supply [13][14] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of September 19, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 699 CNY/ton, an increase of 21 CNY/ton week-on-week [4][31] - The price for coking coal at Jingtang port is 1610 CNY/ton, up 60 CNY/ton week-on-week [4][33] - International thermal coal prices have also seen fluctuations, with Newcastle thermal coal at 69.6 USD/ton, a week-on-week increase of 0.4 USD/ton [4][31] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 91.7%, an increase of 2.4 percentage points week-on-week [4][48] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces has increased by 4.10 thousand tons/day (+1.22%) [5][13] - The report notes that the supply side is still constrained by policies, and the demand is expected to rise as winter heating needs begin [5][13] Industry Performance - The coal sector has shown a weekly increase of 3.59%, outperforming the broader market [16] - The report identifies key companies to focus on, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others, highlighting their stable operations and strong performance [14][16]

Group 1 - Shanghai Energy's stock price closed at 12.28 yuan as of September 19, 2025, reflecting a 0.74% increase from the previous week's closing price of 12.19 yuan [1] - The highest intraday price for Shanghai Energy was 12.45 yuan on September 16, 2025, while the lowest was 12.0 yuan on September 18, 2025 [1] - The current total market capitalization of Shanghai Energy is 8.875 billion yuan, ranking 24th out of 30 in the coal mining sector and 2089th out of 5153 in the A-share market [1] Group 2 - Shanghai Datun Energy Co., Ltd. announced a cash dividend of 0.09 yuan per share (tax included), with the record date set for September 24, 2025 [2][3] - The total cash dividend distribution amounts to 65,044,620.00 yuan, based on a total share capital of 722,718,000 shares [2][3] - Individual shareholders holding shares for over one year will be exempt from personal income tax on dividend income, while QFII and Shanghai Stock Connect shareholders will have a 10% withholding tax [2][3]