Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The central urban work conference emphasized urban renewal, which is expected to drive demand for construction materials such as pipes, waterproofing, and coatings. This will lead to significant improvements in the real estate chain's fundamentals [3] - The report recommends several companies in the consumer building materials sector, including Sankeshu (channel expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproofing leader), Weixing New Materials (high retail business ratio), and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary companies include Beixin Building Materials (gypsum board leader) [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission's action plan for the cement industry aims to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, which is expected to accelerate energy-saving and carbon reduction efforts [3] Market Performance - The construction materials index fell by 0.23% in the week from July 14 to July 18, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.32 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index rose by 7.17%, while the construction materials index increased by 4.36%, underperforming by 2.82 percentage points. In the past year, the CSI 300 index rose by 14.68%, and the construction materials index increased by 16.62%, outperforming by 1.94 percentage points [4][13] Cement Sector - As of July 18, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 280.87 CNY/ton, down 0.71% month-on-month. The clinker inventory ratio was 67.24%, up 1.35 percentage points [6][27] - The report highlights regional price variations, with Northeast China stable, North China up by 0.74%, and East China down by 1.90% [26] Glass Sector - The spot price of float glass as of July 18, 2025, was 1214.63 CNY/ton, an increase of 0.71% from the previous week. The inventory of float glass nationwide decreased by 175 million weight boxes, a decline of 3.05% [82][84] - The average price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 116.02 CNY/weight box [89] Fiberglass Sector - The market price for non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3300 to 4100 CNY/ton, with variations depending on the manufacturer [6] Consumer Building Materials - As of July 18, 2025, the price of asphalt was 4570 CNY/ton, stable week-on-week, and up 2.93% year-to-date. The price of titanium dioxide was 13050 CNY/ton, down 1.14% month-on-month [6]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The establishment of China Yajiang Group marks the orderly advancement of major engineering projects, with significant investment opportunities in geotechnical engineering and civil explosives [1][8] - The demand for civil explosives is expected to concentrate further, benefiting companies like Guangdong Hongda and Xuefeng Technology [1] - The traditional industry is experiencing a "anti-involution" trend, with recommendations for cement leaders such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [1][9] - Domestic substitution is gaining momentum, with recommendations for companies like Maijia Xincai and Songjing Co., which are expected to benefit from tariff relief and increased shipping demand [1][10] Summary by Sections 1. Market Trends - In the 29th week, new housing and second-hand housing market transaction volumes showed a downward trend, with new housing transaction area in 30 major cities down by 25% year-on-year [2][23] - The average price of cement in the national market is 356 RMB/ton, continuing to decline with a drop of 1% [3][27] 2. Investment Opportunities - Major water conservancy and hydropower projects are expected to generate substantial demand for engineering, building materials, and civil explosives, with total investment in the Yarlung Hydropower Project estimated at approximately 1.2 trillion RMB [8] - The civil explosives industry is undergoing consolidation, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aiming to reduce the number of production enterprises to 50 by 2025 [8] 3. Cement Industry Analysis - Cement prices are under downward pressure, particularly in East and Southwest China, with average shipment rates around 43.2% [3][27] - The cement market is expected to continue experiencing price fluctuations due to weak overall demand and high inventory levels [27][54] 4. Recommendations - Recommended companies include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and companies in the waterproofing sector like Dongfang Yuhong and Keshun Co. [1][9] - For domestic substitution, companies like Maijia Xincai and Songjing Co. are highlighted for their growth potential in the ship coating sector [1][10]

Investment Rating - The report rates the building materials industry as "Overweight" indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [2][11]. Core Insights - The cement industry is showing a clear trend of recovery, with the average net profit per ton for A-share listed companies in 2024 expected to be 13.7 CNY, nearing historical lows from 2015. The willingness of cement companies to maintain profit margins is increasing, and with the gradual decline in coal costs, there is significant potential for profit recovery [3]. - The glass fiber sector is experiencing product structure differentiation, with higher price elasticity in mid-to-high-end products. Despite a slight decline in prices for some products, leading companies are benefiting from their product mix, leading to improved profitability [3]. - The consumer building materials sector is seeing a divergence in performance, with strong results expected in segments like coatings, which have a high retail value and renovation ratio. Companies like Sanke Tree and Keda Manufacturing are projected to show significant year-on-year profit growth [3]. - The glass sector is facing mixed results, with photovoltaic glass prices initially rising but then falling as installation policies change. The flat glass market continues to face pressure, with many small to medium enterprises entering negative profit margins [3]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry - The cement industry is in its third quarter of recovery, with a significant reduction in excess clinker capacity expected by the end of 2025. Current measures have already led to the exit of 45.09 million tons of clinker capacity [3]. - Key companies to watch include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Tianshan Cement, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming quarters [3]. Glass Fiber Industry - The price of direct yarn has shown a slight decline, but leading companies like China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology are expected to report significant improvements in profitability due to their focus on high-end products [3]. - The demand for specialty glass fiber products remains strong, benefiting companies with a higher proportion of these products in their portfolios [3]. Consumer Building Materials - The coatings segment is expected to perform well, with companies like Sanke Tree and Keda Manufacturing showing impressive profit growth. The overall market is shifting towards price recovery strategies [3]. - The renovation market in regions like Africa and South America is also expected to contribute positively to the performance of consumer building materials [3]. Glass Sector - Photovoltaic glass prices have fluctuated, and while there was a recovery, the market needs to be monitored closely as installation policies evolve. The flat glass market continues to face challenges, with many companies struggling to maintain profitability [3]. - Companies with cost advantages, such as Qibin Group and Xinyi Glass, are recommended for observation due to their potential resilience in the current market [3].

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund Zhongtai Dividend Quantitative Stock Selection A (021167) reported a profit of 69,300 yuan in Q2 2025, with a net value growth rate of 0.58% for the period, and a total fund size of 12.2475 million yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [3][16]. Fund Performance - As of July 17, the fund's unit net value was 1.066 yuan [3]. - The fund's performance over different periods includes a 4.66% growth rate over the last three months, 3.23% over the last six months, and 8.37% over the last year, ranking 93rd, 97th, and 92nd respectively among comparable funds [4]. Investment Strategy - The fund employs a quantitative investment strategy based on objective indicators, focusing on dividend yield, historical volatility, and stability of historical dividend yields when selecting stocks [3]. - The investment portfolio is constructed to minimize exposure to non-dividend-related factors such as scale and industry [3]. Portfolio Composition - As of Q2 2025, the fund's investment portfolio is heavily weighted in the industrial, financial, and consumer discretionary sectors [3]. - The top ten holdings include China National Offshore Oil Corporation, Agricultural Bank of China, China State Construction Engineering, Kweichow Moutai, China Merchants Bank, Anhui Conch Cement, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Gree Electric Appliances, Jiuli Special Materials, and Meihua Holdings [19]. Risk Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio since inception is 0.616 [9]. - The maximum drawdown since inception is 12.37%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q2 2025 at 6.3% [11]. Fund Positioning - The average stock position since inception is 90.04%, compared to the industry average of 88.05%. The fund reached a peak stock position of 92.43% at the end of H1 2025 and a low of 85.08% at the end of Q3 2024 [14].

Market Performance - The cement sector experienced a slight decline of 0.06% as of the market close on July 17, ranking among the top decliners in concept sectors [1] - Notable declines within the sector included Sanhe Pile and China National Materials, while Tibet Tianlu, Jianfeng Group, and Hetai Electromechanical saw increases of 7.46%, 1.58%, and 1.28% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The cement sector faced a net outflow of 113 million yuan from major funds, with 22 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 10 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [1] - China Energy Construction led the outflows with a net withdrawal of 21.996 million yuan, followed closely by Anhui Conch Cement and Sanhe Pile [1] - Conversely, the stocks with the highest net inflows included Tibet Tianlu, Anhui Wuhua, and Jinzhengda, with inflows of 47.9126 million yuan, 8.1617 million yuan, and 6.5611 million yuan respectively [1] Stock Performance - The top stocks with significant net outflows included: - China Energy Construction: -0.43% with a turnover rate of 0.68% and a net outflow of 21.996 million yuan - Anhui Conch Cement: +0.09% with a turnover rate of 0.51% and a net outflow of 21.985 million yuan - Sanhe Pile: -9.80% with a turnover rate of 13.59% and a net outflow of 17.8126 million yuan [2] - Stocks with notable gains included: - Tibet Tianlu: +7.46% with a turnover rate of 12.61% and a net inflow of 47.9126 million yuan - Jianfeng Group: +1.58% with a turnover rate of 5.10% and a net inflow of 2.9371 million yuan - Hetai Electromechanical: +1.28% with a turnover rate of 3.67% and a net inflow of 2.2363 million yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Materials Index has shown significant growth, with a 41.40% increase year-to-date, indicating strong performance in the materials sector [1][2]. Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Hong Kong 300 Materials Index reported a value of 2311.34 points, with a 6.83% increase over the past month and a 23.83% increase over the past three months [1]. - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of different industries in the Hong Kong market, classified according to the China Securities industry classification standards [1]. Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten holdings in the China Securities Hong Kong 300 Materials Index include Zijin Mining (26.28%), China Hongqiao (10.9%), and Zhaojin Mining (7.98%) among others [1]. - The index is fully composed of stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% representation [1]. Group 3: Industry Breakdown - The industry composition of the index shows that non-ferrous metals account for 78.94%, non-metallic materials for 15.04%, chemicals for 4.62%, and paper and packaging for 1.41% [2]. - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **consumption building materials industry** and its performance in 2024, highlighting a **7.2% year-on-year decline** in revenue for the sector [1] - The **real estate demand** remains weak, impacting the consumption building materials sector, which has seen continuous revenue pressure over the past few quarters [1] Key Points and Arguments - **Revenue Trends**: The revenue growth for the consumption building materials sector is expected to decline in 2024, with quarterly comparisons showing fluctuations: **0.2% growth**, **5.3% decline**, **10.7% decline**, **10.9% decline**, and **5.7% decline** from Q1 2024 to Q1 2025 [1] - **Profitability Issues**: The industry faces challenges such as **declining gross margins** due to reduced demand and increased expense ratios. Some companies have reported increased impairments on goodwill and assets [2] - **Improvement in Profitability**: In Q1 2024, some companies managed to stabilize and improve profitability through better gross margins and expense control, with half of the consumption building materials companies reporting year-on-year gross margin increases [2] - **Net Profit Performance**: Among 26 analyzed companies, **10 reported year-on-year net profit increases**, and **9 showed improvements in net profit margins** both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, particularly in waterproofing and coating sectors [3] - **Market Resilience**: Despite the downturn in new housing demand, the sector shows resilience supported by the high demand for second-hand housing, which could lead to revenue growth if new housing demand stabilizes [4] Additional Insights - **Future Growth Potential**: Companies with strong brand and channel capabilities are expected to have significant growth potential. Key players mentioned include **Sanhe Tree, Tubaobao, Beixing Building Materials, and others** [5] - **Cement Industry Outlook**: The cement sector is projected to see a bottoming out in Q1 2024, with expectations of gradual improvement in profitability throughout the year. The industry experienced a **35% year-on-year decline** in scale in 2024 [5] - **Price Trends**: Cement prices are expected to rise after a period of decline, with a **1.4% year-on-year drop** in demand noted in Q1 2024, but a recovery is anticipated post-Chinese New Year [6] - **Cost Management**: The decline in coal prices is expected to stabilize industry profitability, with a projected **6% year-on-year decline** in cement demand for 2025 [7] - **Investment and Dividends**: Companies with low cash flow and stable investment returns, such as **Tapai Group and Ningxia Building Materials**, are highlighted for their significant profit contributions [8] Conclusion - The consumption building materials and cement industries are navigating through challenging market conditions, with signs of potential recovery in profitability and demand stabilization. Key players are expected to leverage their market positions for future growth opportunities.

Summary of Conference Call on Urban Development and Industry Insights Industry and Company Involved - **Industry**: Real Estate, Building Materials, Energy Drinks - **Companies Mentioned**: Dongpeng Beverage, Conch Cement, Taipai Group, Huaxin Cement, China Resources, Binjiang, Greentown, Jianfa Zhonghai Key Points and Arguments Urban Development and Real Estate Policy - The Central Urban Work Conference emphasizes a shift from large-scale expansion to improving existing urban stock, indicating a focus on urban renewal rather than large-scale stimulus, which benefits post-cycle industries like building materials and home appliances [1][2][3] - The policy aims to steadily advance the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated housing, avoiding a return to the monetization of shantytown renovations seen in 2015-2016, suggesting limited demand for incremental cyclical products [1][3][5] - The real estate market is transitioning from expansion to quality enhancement, focusing on improving existing housing quality and surrounding environments rather than new construction [1][6][7] Regional Market Performance - The real estate markets in first and second-tier core cities and their metropolitan areas are expected to outperform the national average, with regional developers like China Resources, Binjiang, Greentown, and Jianfa Zhonghai being noteworthy [1][8] Energy Drink Consumption Trends - Population movement significantly impacts energy drink consumption, with higher preferences in first and second-tier cities. As population density increases, energy drink consumption is expected to rise, making Dongpeng Beverage a recommended investment [1][9][10] - The consumption of energy drinks varies across provinces, with Guangdong leading in market share for Red Bull and Dongpeng, which is projected to maintain a 35% revenue growth rate [1][11] Building Materials Industry Insights - Urban renewal and village renovation will have limited demand pull for the building materials industry, with the consumption of building materials being most affected, particularly in segments like waterproofing, piping, and coatings [2][12][15] - The cement sector is expected to benefit from demand growth and supply-side reforms, with recommendations for Conch Cement, Taipai Group, and Huaxin Cement as investment targets due to their strong market positions and profitability [2][15][16] Market Outlook and Investment Strategy - The overall sentiment from the conference indicates a cautious approach to large-scale stimulus, with the market expected to remain within a relatively stable range [3][5] - Investment strategies should focus on a "barbell" approach, balancing technology and military sectors with dividend-paying assets like bank stocks and high-dividend service sector stocks [3] Conclusion - The conference highlights a significant policy shift in urban development and real estate, with implications for various industries. The focus on quality over quantity in housing and urban infrastructure suggests a need for investors to adapt their strategies accordingly, particularly in the building materials and consumer goods sectors.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the cement industry [6][27]. Core Insights - The cement industry is expected to see significant improvement in performance forecasts for the first half of 2025, driven by anti-involution measures and a focus on high-quality development [1][4]. - The historical success of supply-side reforms has led to a reduction in new cement production lines, alleviating supply-demand imbalances, but recent market demand declines have intensified competition [2][3]. - The regulatory framework for anti-involution policies is being strengthened, with measures to address overproduction expected to be a key focus in the second half of 2025 [3][4]. - Companies with integrated operations and global expansion strategies are positioned for long-term growth, with specific recommendations for Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and China National Building Material [1][4][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The cement industry has experienced a significant drop in average prices, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.5% as of July 11, 2025, leading to a renewed call for anti-involution measures [2][3]. Performance Forecasts - Five cement companies have reported impressive performance forecasts for the first half of 2025, with some expecting net profit increases of over 100% year-on-year [4][8]. Policy Developments - Recent policies from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the inclusion of the cement industry in carbon emissions trading are expected to enhance the regulatory framework for managing overproduction [3][4]. Company Recommendations - The report highlights Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and China National Building Material as key investment opportunities due to their competitive advantages in scale, cost, and energy efficiency [1][4][8].

Group 1: Special Electronic Fabrics - The demand for M8/M9 and second-generation/Q fabrics is expected to increase significantly, with high barriers to entry and few players in the market, leading to a prolonged period of prosperity [1] - The supply-demand dynamics for first-generation fabrics are anticipated to be better than market expectations [1] - Low CTE electronic fabrics continue to face shortages, with recommendations for Zhongcai Technology and attention to Honghe Technology [1] Group 2: Cement Industry - Cement stock configurations are becoming increasingly cost-effective, with negative factors already fully priced in; the industry is expected to maintain a bottom line [1] - Recommendations include Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with attention to China National Building Material and other companies [1][4] - National cement market prices have shown a slight decline of 0.4%, with regional price drops of 10-20 yuan/ton [4] Group 3: Glass Fiber Industry - The industry is entering a new normal, with stable prices for electronic yarn and a gradual recovery in profitability [5] - The main transaction price for 2400tex non-alkali yarn is between 3300-3700 yuan/ton, while electronic yarn prices remain stable at 8800-9200 yuan/ton [5] - Recommendations include leading companies such as China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and Changhai Co., with attention to International Composite Materials and Shandong Glass Fiber [5] Group 4: Pharmaceutical Glass - The upgrade of borosilicate glass is accelerating, with a favorable competitive landscape for molded bottles [6] - Recommendations focus on Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass, which is expected to see significant growth due to product upgrades and cost reductions [6] Group 5: Safety Building Materials - Qingniao Fire Protection is highlighted as a leading player with strong growth potential due to its comprehensive competitive advantages [10] - Zhenan Technology is expected to benefit from legislation opening up a significant market space for building isolation [10] - Zhizhi New Materials is positioned to increase its market share domestically and expand overseas, particularly in the Middle East and Southeast Asia [10]