Group 1 - The Hong Kong construction materials and cement stocks experienced a volatile rise, with China National Building Material (03323.HK) increasing by over 8% [1] - Jinju Group (02009.HK) and Anhui Conch Cement (00914.HK) both rose by more than 3.5% [1] - China Resources Cement Technology (01313.HK) saw an increase of over 2.5% [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to lead to significant improvements in the fundamentals of the real estate chain. Recommended stocks in the consumer building materials sector include Sankeshu, Dongfang Yuhong, Weixing New Materials, and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary stocks include Beixin Building Materials [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission has issued a special action plan for energy conservation and carbon reduction in the cement industry, aiming to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025, with a target of reducing comprehensive energy consumption per unit product by 3.7% compared to 2020 [3] - The "equal tariff" policy is expected to benefit fiberglass leaders with overseas production bases, allowing them to raise prices and consolidate profitability [3] Market Performance - The construction materials index rose by 3.34% in the week from July 7 to July 11, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.52 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index increased by 6.41%, while the construction materials index rose by 6.60%, indicating a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index increased by 15.62%, and the construction materials index rose by 15.80%, also showing a slight outperformance of 0.18 percentage points [4][13] Cement Sector - As of July 11, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 282.89 CNY/ton, a decrease of 3.48% month-on-month. The clinker inventory ratio was 65.89%, down 2.29 percentage points [6][23][24] - The price of cement varied by region, with notable declines in Northeast (-4.76%), North China (-2.33%), East China (-2.98%), South China (-5.74%), Central China (-3.41%), and Southwest (-4.93%) regions [23][29] Glass Sector - The average price of float glass as of July 11, 2025, was 1205.63 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.17%. The average price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 116.02 CNY/weight box [6][71][78] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 970,000 weight boxes nationwide, a decline of 1.66% [73][74] Fiberglass Sector - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4100 CNY/ton, with flexible pricing based on regional differences [6] Consumer Building Materials - As of July 11, 2025, the price of crude oil was 70.63 USD/barrel, down 0.39% week-on-week. The price of asphalt was 4570 CNY/ton, up 1.11% week-on-week [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the African building materials sector and local manufacturing leader Keda Manufacturing, particularly following the ignition of Keda's base in Côte d'Ivoire in June [1][13]. Core Insights - The Kenyan government has implemented a tiered tax on imported building materials, including a 3% export promotion tax on ceramic tiles and sanitary ware, aimed at reducing import dependency and fostering local manufacturing [1][13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of local production and consumption integration, highlighting Keda Manufacturing's efforts to establish local production in multiple African countries [1][13]. - The report identifies potential investment opportunities in the PCB upstream new materials sector, particularly in electronic cloth and copper foil, driven by high demand in AI applications [2][14]. - The waterproofing industry is experiencing frequent price increases, indicating a consensus among leading companies to curb malicious competition and stabilize prices [3][15]. - The cement sector is undergoing capacity reduction efforts, with the China Cement Association advocating for a unified approach to actual and registered production capacities [3][15]. Summary by Sections Weekly Discussion - Keda Manufacturing is recognized as a leader in local production within Africa, with recent developments in Côte d'Ivoire and supportive government policies in Kenya [1][13]. Cycle Interaction - Cement prices have shown a slight decline, with an average price of 347 RMB/t, down 46 RMB year-on-year, while glass prices have increased slightly to 1204.97 RMB/t [4][16]. - The report notes a stable demand for glass and fiberglass, with the latter maintaining a price of 3669 RMB/t [4][16][61]. National Subsidy Tracking - The report highlights government initiatives to boost consumption, including subsidies for building materials, which may benefit companies like Sangor and North New Materials [5][17]. Important Changes - Several companies, including Zhongcai Technology and China Jushi, have announced significant profit increases for the first half of 2025, indicating strong performance in the building materials sector [6][21].

Core Viewpoint - The prefabricated construction sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.68% increase, ranking 10th among concept sectors, driven by significant gains in stocks like Chongqing Construction and Chengdu Road & Bridge, which hit the daily limit up [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The prefabricated construction concept saw 84 stocks rise, with Chongqing Construction, Chengdu Road & Bridge, and Sifang New Materials reaching the daily limit up [1] - Notable gainers included Silica Technology (up 18.29%), Zhongshi Consulting (up 13.16%), and Xujie Technology (up 8.90%) [1] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 6.95 billion yuan from main funds, with 56 stocks receiving net inflows [1] Group 2: Fund Flow Analysis - Major stocks with significant net inflows included Vanke A (2.86 billion yuan), Silica Technology (2.29 billion yuan), and Chengdu Road & Bridge (885.41 million yuan) [1] - The highest net inflow rates were observed in Sifang New Materials (70.30%), Chongqing Construction (22.23%), and Chengdu Road & Bridge (18.94%) [2] Group 3: Stock Performance - Vanke A recorded a 3.36% increase with a turnover rate of 2.59% and a main fund flow of 28.57 million yuan [2] - Silica Technology had the highest increase at 18.29% with a turnover rate of 29.51% and a main fund flow of 22.87 million yuan [2] - Chengdu Road & Bridge rose by 10.04% with a turnover rate of 13.05% and a main fund flow of 88.54 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The cement sector saw an increase of 1.75%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 32 stocks rising, including Sifang New Material and Sichuan Shuangma hitting the daily limit [1] - Notable gainers in the cement sector included Tibet Tianlu, Zhongtai Chemical, and Jinyu Group, which rose by 3.77%, 3.44%, and 2.53% respectively [1] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 233 million yuan, with 16 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflow [2] Group 2 - The top net inflow stock was Sichuan Shuangma, with a net inflow of 113 million yuan, followed by China Energy Construction, Conch Cement, and Tibet Tianlu with net inflows of 93.47 million yuan, 66.49 million yuan, and 32.38 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The net inflow ratio for Sifang New Material, Sichuan Shuangma, and Ordos was 70.30%, 14.96%, and 14.27% respectively [3] - The trading volume and turnover rates for key stocks in the cement sector were highlighted, with Sichuan Shuangma showing a trading increase of 9.98% and a turnover rate of 5.00% [3][4]

Group 1 - The A-share market indices closed mixed, with the CSI 300 Construction Materials Index reported at 6031.14 points [1] - The CSI 300 Construction Materials Index has decreased by 2.36% over the past month, 9.83% over the past three months, and 5.89% year-to-date [1] - The CSI 300 Index categorizes its 300 sample stocks into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries [1] Group 2 - The CSI 300 Construction Materials Index is composed entirely of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] - The index's holdings are exclusively in the cement and concrete sector, also with a 100% allocation [1] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The "anti-involution" trend may drive the cement industry's supply and demand to bottom out earlier. The Central Financial Committee emphasized the need to regulate low-price competition and improve product quality, which may lead to a reduction in actual cement production capacity from over 2.1 billion tons in 2023 to 1.7 billion tons, potentially restoring capacity utilization rates to over 70% [5][18] - The demand for high-end electronic fabrics is underestimated due to the surge in computing power driven by AI. The need for advanced materials is increasing, with domestic companies achieving breakthroughs in Low-DK and Low-CTE electronic fabrics, indicating a significant growth opportunity in this sector [5] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index rose by 4.0%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.4% [9] - Key stocks with significant gains include Zaiseng Technology (+37.1%), Honghe Technology (+23.9%), and Zhongcai Technology (+20.7%) [9] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 348.5 RMB/ton, down 4.5 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 40.8 RMB/ton year-on-year [18] - The cement inventory ratio is 65.7%, down 0.4 percentage points month-on-month and down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [18] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1274.3 RMB/ton, down 4.6 RMB/ton month-on-month and down 438.8 RMB/ton year-on-year [39] - The total inventory of key production enterprises in 13 provinces is 59 million heavy boxes, down 2.5% month-on-month and up 7.7% year-on-year [39] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 10.7 RMB/sqm, down 0.6 RMB/sqm month-on-month and down 4.6 RMB/sqm year-on-year [44] - The number of production lines for photovoltaic glass is 435, with a total daily melting capacity of 94,390 tons, down 4.0% month-on-month and down 17.0% year-on-year [44] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4680.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and up 15.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [52] - The average price of electronic yarn is 9100.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month and down 50.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [52] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, unchanged month-on-month and down 5.0 RMB/kg year-on-year [56] - The average operating rate of carbon fiber enterprises is 59.94%, down 0.19 percentage points month-on-month and up 13.54 percentage points year-on-year [56] 3. Investment Analysis - The investment strategy suggests that 2025 will be a turning point for listed companies, while 2026 will be a turning point for the industry. The report recommends focusing on companies in the high-growth sectors and those benefiting from the Belt and Road Initiative [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance of the CSI 800 Materials Theme Index, which has shown significant growth over various time frames, indicating a positive trend in the materials sector [1][2] - The CSI 800 Materials Theme Index reported a value of 2899.41 points, with a 3.48% increase over the past month, a 12.06% increase over the past three months, and an 8.07% increase year-to-date [1] - The index is composed of listed companies in the materials sector selected from the CSI 800 Index, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the CSI 800 Materials Theme Index include Zijin Mining (12.74%), Wanhua Chemical (4.0%), and Yilong Co. (2.48%), among others [1] - The market share of the index's holdings is predominantly from the Shanghai Stock Exchange (65.19%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (34.81%) [1] - In terms of industry composition, non-ferrous metals account for 50.67%, chemicals for 32.62%, steel for 8.63%, non-metallic materials for 6.87%, and paper and packaging for 1.22% [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2] - Companies that are delisted or undergo mergers, acquisitions, or splits are handled according to specific calculation and maintenance guidelines [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the cement industry, indicating a significant expansion of overseas production capacity from 45.03 million tons in 2021 to 87.59 million tons by 2024, with overseas cement business becoming a crucial part of profitability for some companies by 2023-2024 [3][7][25]. Core Insights - The period from 2021 to 2024 is identified as a rapid expansion phase for Chinese cement companies venturing overseas, with a potential differentiation in profitability expected post-2025 based on operational capabilities and site selection [2][3][6]. - The report emphasizes that the ability to convert high overseas cement prices into actual profitability remains a point of contention in the market, highlighting the importance of operational mechanisms and internal capabilities in determining success [3][8]. - Recommended stocks include Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with Western Cement as a related stock [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Story - Post-2020, domestic cement companies are accelerating overseas capacity construction as domestic demand reaches a ceiling, with a focus on how overseas operations can enhance profit elasticity [6][24]. 2. Global Cement Overview - Cement demand growth is primarily driven by urbanization and population growth, with significant demand observed in regions like Southeast Asia and North Africa, characterized by a fragmented industry structure and intense price competition [10][13][20]. 3. Cement Going Overseas: Endowments and Internal Capabilities - The report notes that the expansion of overseas production capacity is led by companies with superior market mechanisms, with a focus on site selection as a critical internal capability for profitability [7][25][29]. 4. Dollar Resilience Eases, Overseas Profitability Expected to Improve - The report discusses the financial performance of Dangote Cement, highlighting that despite currency depreciation, the company maintains a relatively high profitability level compared to domestic averages [40][41]. - It also addresses the impact of foreign currency liabilities on profit margins, emphasizing the need for effective management to mitigate exchange rate risks [42][44]. 5. Financial Perspective - The report illustrates how exchange rate fluctuations can significantly affect profitability, particularly for companies with substantial foreign currency debt, and suggests that effective management of this exposure can enhance actual profitability [8][42][45].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the building materials industry, indicating an expected performance that is stronger than the market benchmark by over 5% [2][19]. Core Insights - The implementation of anti-involution policies is accelerating the establishment of a new supply-demand balance in the cement and related industries, promoting high-quality development [4][5]. - The central government's emphasis on preventing low-price disorderly competition and enhancing product quality is a significant driver for the industry's transformation [3][4]. - The cement industry is expected to see a gradual increase in the enforcement of anti-involution policies, which will optimize supply and reduce excess capacity [5][6]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The anti-involution policy, first proposed in mid-2024, is being progressively implemented, with the aim of curbing vicious competition and promoting healthy industry growth [4][6]. - The cement association has issued guidelines to ensure that companies with actual capacities exceeding registered capacities comply with new regulations, which will help control supply [5]. Industry Dynamics - The cement industry is currently facing a challenging environment due to declining demand and intense competition, leading to a significant number of smaller companies being eliminated from the market [6]. - The report highlights that the ongoing competition and the implementation of anti-involution policies will lead to a more favorable market environment, allowing for the survival of stronger companies [6]. Market Performance - The building materials industry has a total market capitalization of approximately 685.91 billion, with an average price-to-earnings ratio of 54.11 [6]. - The report suggests that the combination of supply-side optimization and demand recovery will create a new balance in the industry over the next 3-6 months [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the cement sector, such as Conch Cement, and suggests monitoring other strong players like Shengfeng Cement and China National Building Material [11].