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华新水泥:Q3业绩继续探底,关注后续业绩回暖
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2024-10-31 00:47
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance continues to decline, but there are expectations for a recovery in future earnings [3][4] - The revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached approximately 24.719 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.29%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.138 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.26% [1][3] - The revenue growth in Q3 was primarily driven by increased overseas sales, while domestic sales remain under pressure [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved revenue of 8.482 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.78%, with a net profit of 408 million yuan, down 40.17% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 24.02%, a decrease of 2.28 percentage points year-on-year, while the Q3 gross margin was 24.74%, down 5.23 percentage points year-on-year [3] Market Conditions - The domestic cement market remains sluggish, with a national cement production of 544 million tons in Q3 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 11.85% [1] - Cement prices in major cities showed mixed trends, with prices in Wuhan, Kunming, and Changsha changing by -22 yuan, +18 yuan, and +42 yuan respectively [1] Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to see a bottoming out of earnings in Q3, with a reasonable outlook for recovery [4] - The forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are 2.333 billion yuan, 2.730 billion yuan, and 3.277 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13X, 11X, and 9X [4]
华新水泥:2024年三季报点评:国内水泥仍有拖累,关注复价带来的盈利改善
Guoxin Securities· 2024-10-30 12:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaxin Cement (600801.SH) is "Outperform the Market" [3][17][20] Core Views - The report highlights that despite a year-on-year revenue growth of 2.29% to CNY 24.719 billion in the first nine months of 2024, the company's net profit decreased by 39.26% to CNY 1.138 billion, primarily due to declining domestic cement prices [1][5][17] - The report emphasizes the ongoing pressure on profitability due to a decrease in gross margin, which fell to 24.0%, down 2.28 percentage points year-on-year [1][8] - The company is focusing on overseas business expansion and non-cement operations, with non-cement revenue accounting for 47% of total revenue as of mid-2024 [1][17] Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2024, Huaxin Cement achieved a revenue of CNY 24.719 billion, with a net profit of CNY 1.138 billion, and an earnings per share (EPS) of CNY 0.55 [1][5] - The gross margin for the same period was 24.0%, with a quarterly breakdown showing Q1 at 21.9%, Q2 at 25.0%, and Q3 at 24.7% [1][8] - The operating cash flow for the first nine months was CNY 3.382 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.5% [1][8] Future Outlook - The report suggests that recent policy changes are expected to improve demand, alongside a recovery in cement prices, particularly in Hubei province, which has seen four consecutive price increases since September [1][17] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted to CNY 0.88, CNY 1.00, and CNY 1.19 respectively, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 16.0, 14.0, and 11.8 [1][17][18]
华新水泥2024年三季报点评:业绩维持韧性,国内水泥提涨业绩回稳可期
Shanghai Securities· 2024-10-30 06:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's performance remains resilient despite weak domestic cement demand, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 2.29% to 24.719 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, although net profit decreased by 39.26% to 1.138 billion yuan [2][3] - Domestic cement prices have seen multiple rounds of increases since September, which may lead to a recovery in annual performance [4] - The company's overseas business continues to grow, with the Dondo plant project in Mozambique expected to enhance competitiveness in the market [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 8.482 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.78%, while net profit was 408 million yuan, down 40.17% year-on-year [2][3] - The financial expense ratio for the first three quarters of 2024 was 2.86%, an increase of 0.95 percentage points year-on-year, attributed mainly to exchange rate losses [3] Market Conditions - National cement production for the first nine months of 2024 was 1.327 billion tons, a decrease of 10.70% year-on-year, marking the lowest level since 2010 [3] - The weak demand is influenced by ongoing real estate investment stabilization and local government debt pressures, leading to fewer new projects [3] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 34.962 billion yuan, 38.101 billion yuan, and 41.678 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.57%, 8.98%, and 9.39% respectively [5] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 2.504 billion yuan, 2.901 billion yuan, and 3.128 billion yuan, with growth rates of -9.35%, 15.85%, and 7.82% respectively [5] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 11.70 for 2024, 10.10 for 2025, and 9.37 for 2026 [5][7]
华新水泥20241028
2024-10-29 04:20
它的成本今年1到9月份的成本到了309元同比是上涨了60.40元因此在毛利方面水利业务的增毛利今年全三季度是66元同比去年是下滑了将近15元然后国内的话增毛利只有28元相较去年是下降了24.36元 海外还是保持维持了一个较好的一地水平墩堡率是168元但是同比也下降了36元这是水泥业务然后古料业务上今年1到9月份的话整体的古料的销量是1.04亿吨同比是增长了18%其中古料的价格是40.3元 同比是下滑了0.84元古料的成本今年1到9月份是20.9同比是下滑了1.18元然后古料的锚地的话是19.4元同比去年是增长了0.33元混凝土业务方面1到9月份的话总体的销量是2275.83万方 同比增长26%混凝土的价格今年也是出现了下跌价格只有264元同比下降了21.6元然后成本也是出现了下跌成本是234.6同比是下滑了下降了14.35元因为价格下滑的幅度大于成本下降的幅度所以 混凝土登发毛利只有29.7元同比去年是下滑了7.26元这是我们前三季度的整体的产品的经营情况我先介绍这么多大家如果有问题我们再进行深入交流谢谢好的好的这个非常感谢彭总那我这边有几个小问题先请教一下 第一个就是刚才也听您介绍了咱们从前三队来看的话海外 ...
华新水泥:短期盈利压力仍在释放,看好公司海外+非水泥业务发展
Tianfeng Securities· 2024-10-28 08:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term profit pressure but has strong growth potential in overseas and non-cement businesses [2][4]. - The third quarter saw a decline in net profit by 40.17% year-on-year, with a net profit of 408 million yuan [1][2]. - The company has made significant strides in its overseas cement business, which now accounts for 41.3% of its cement revenue, up 17.7 percentage points year-on-year [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenues of 2,471.9 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.29%, while net profit decreased by 39.26% to 1,138 million yuan [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 24.02%, down 2.28 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of 6.39%, down 2.81 percentage points [3]. - The company’s cash flow from operations for the first three quarters was 3,382 million yuan, a decrease of 121 million yuan year-on-year [3]. Business Segment Insights - The company’s overseas cement operations have expanded significantly, with production capacities reaching 15.44 million tons per year in Central Asia [2]. - Non-cement business segments, including aggregates and concrete, are expected to contribute positively to the overall performance despite domestic cement demand decline [4]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected net profits for 2024-2026 are revised to 1,831.6 million yuan, 2,093.97 million yuan, and 2,437.61 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 13, and 11 [4][5]. - The current dividend yield stands at 4.02%, with a dividend payout ratio of 40% [4].
华新水泥:水泥价格持续推涨,Q4业绩有望改善
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2024-10-28 05:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Cement prices continue to rise, and Q4 performance is expected to improve [1] - In Q3, the company reported revenue of 8.482 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.78%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 40.17% to 408 million yuan [2] - Domestic cement prices are under pressure, leading to a significant decline in profits for Q3 [2] - The company’s gross margin for Q3 was 24.74%, down 5.22 percentage points year-on-year, and net margin was 6.59%, down 3.89 percentage points [2] - The Yangtze River Delta region is planning to increase clinker prices, which may support Q4 performance [2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million yuan): - 2022A: 30,470 - 2023A: 33,757 - 2024E: 32,682 - 2025E: 35,738 - 2026E: 38,982 [4] - Net profit (in million yuan): - 2022A: 2,699 - 2023A: 2,762 - 2024E: 1,738 - 2025E: 2,190 - 2026E: 2,584 [4] - EPS (in yuan): - 2022A: 1.30 - 2023A: 1.33 - 2024E: 0.84 - 2025E: 1.05 - 2026E: 1.24 [5] Profitability Metrics - Gross margin for 2024E is projected at 23.6% [4] - Net profit margin for 2024E is projected at 6.2% [5] - PE ratios for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are projected at 15.8, 12.5, and 10.6 respectively [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.738 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 37.1%, followed by a recovery in 2025 and 2026 with growth rates of 26.0% and 18.0% respectively [3] - The latest closing price corresponds to a PE of 16 for 2024, indicating potential for investment [3]
华新水泥:2024年三季报点评:国内水泥景气拖累,海外增量对冲
Soochow Securities· 2024-10-27 23:38
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.719 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.138 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year change of +2.3% and -39.3% respectively. In Q3 alone, the revenue was 8.482 billion yuan with a net profit of 408 million yuan, showing a year-on-year change of +1.8% and -40.2% [2] - Domestic cement demand is stabilizing, with Q3 revenue remaining steady. The gross margin for Q3 was 24.7%, down 5.2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to unexpected declines in domestic cement demand. However, it is expected that margins may improve in Q4 as prices rebound in the central region [2][3] - The company has effectively controlled its operating expenses, with a Q3 expense ratio of 14.3%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. The sales net profit margin and net profit margin attributable to shareholders were 6.6% and 4.8%, respectively, both down year-on-year [2] - Capital expenditure has been reduced, with cash outflows for fixed assets and other long-term assets amounting to 1.977 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.5% year-on-year. The company's debt level has also decreased, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 51.5% [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2022 was 30.47 billion yuan, with a forecast of 33.757 billion yuan for 2023 and 34.13 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.79% and 1.10% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.699 billion yuan in 2022, with forecasts of 2.762 billion yuan for 2023 and 1.736 billion yuan for 2024, indicating a significant decline of 37.16% in 2024 [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.83 yuan for 2024, with a P/E ratio of 15.81 [1] Industry Outlook - The cement industry is expected to see a rebound in demand due to strengthened supply-side discipline and improved pricing dynamics. The company is well-positioned to benefit from this recovery, particularly in the central market [3] - The company's overseas expansion is progressing steadily, with overseas cement revenue accounting for 22% of total revenue in the first half of the year [3] Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 1.74 billion yuan, 2.13 billion yuan, and 2.36 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16, 13, and 12 times [3]
华新水泥:2024年三季报点评:单季收入逆势增长,海外和“水泥+”持续贡献
Minsheng Securities· 2024-10-27 06:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 13.20 CNY [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.719 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.29%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 39.26% to 1.138 billion CNY [1]. - Despite a weak supply-demand environment in the cement industry, the company outperformed the industry average, with overseas cement revenue increasing by 55% in the first half of 2024, accounting for 41% of its cement business [2]. - The company's "Cement+" product line saw a revenue increase of 29.4% in the first half of 2024, contributing 42.5% to total revenue and 57.9% to gross profit [2]. - The company is expected to maintain a forward-looking strategy in overseas markets, "Cement+", and low-carbon initiatives, with projected net profits of 1.79 billion CNY, 2.05 billion CNY, and 2.25 billion CNY for 2024-2026 [4]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 8.482 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.78%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 408 million CNY, down 40.17% [1]. - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 24.02%, an increase of 2.28 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 6.39%, a decrease of 2.81 percentage points [1]. - The company's operating cash flow remained stable at 3.382 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 3.46% [4]. - Accounts receivable increased by 35.32% year-on-year, accounting for 15.04% of revenue, indicating a potential risk related to the expansion of the concrete business [4]. Cost and Expenses - The company's expense ratio rose to 13.69%, an increase of 1.14 percentage points year-on-year, with financial expenses in Q3 2024 reaching 306 million CNY, up 41% quarter-on-quarter and 42% year-on-year [3].
华新建材(06655) - 2024 Q3 - 季度业绩
2024-10-25 11:02
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 HUAXIN CEMENT CO., LTD.* (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) (股份代號: 6655) 本公告乃根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則》(「《上市規則》」)第13.09條和第13.10B 條及《證券及期貨條例》(香港法例第571章)第XIVA部刊發。 根據中華人民共和國(「 」)上海證券交易所的適用規則,華新水泥股份有限公司(「 」或「 」) 及其附屬公司(與本公司合稱為「 」) 由二零二四年七月一日至 二零二四年九月三十日 (「 」) 第三季度報告(「 」) 將於二零二四年十月二 十六日刊登於中國報章,其所載財務報告乃根據中國會計準則編製,且未經審計。 季度報告以中文編製,並翻譯為英文,如中英文文本有任何不一致,以中文文本為準。 1 公司董事會、監事會及董事、監事、高級管理人員保證季度報告內容的真實、準確、完整,不存 在虛假記載、誤導性陳述或重大遺漏,並承擔個別和連帶 ...
华新水泥:华新水泥第十一届董事会第五次会议决议公告
2024-10-25 09:57
证券代码:600801 证券简称:华新水泥 公告编号:2024-024 华新水泥股份有限公司 第十一届董事会第五次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 一、董事会会议召开情况 华新水泥股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")第十一届董事会第五次会议于 2024 年 10 月 25 日以现场结合通讯方式召开。会议应到董事 9 人,实到 9 人。本次会议由董事长徐永 模先生主持,董事会秘书出席了本次会议。监事会主席及部分高管列席了本次会议。公司于 2024 年 10 月 15 日以通讯方式向全体董事发出了会议通知。会议符合有关法律、行政法规、 部门规章、规范性文件和公司章程的规定,合法有效。 二、董事会会议审议情况 本次董事会会议经审议并投票表决,通过如下重要决议: 1.公司2024年三季度报告(表决结果:同意9票,反对0票,弃权0票) 本报告已经董事会审计委员会审议通过,并同意提交董事会审议。 2.关于修订《公司章程》部分条款的议案(表决结果:同意9票,反对0票,弃权0票) 本议案需提交股东会审议。 详情请 ...