证券代码：600926 证券简称：杭州银行 公告编号：2025-030 优先股代码：360027 优先股简称：杭银优 1 可转债代码：110079 可转债简称：杭银转债 杭州银行股份有限公司 关于召开2024年年度股东大会的通知 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ?股东大会召开日期：2025年6月25日 ?本次股东大会采用的网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东 大会网络投票系统 一、 召开会议的基本情况 (一) 股东大会类型和届次 (二) 股东大会召集人：董事会 (三) 投票方式：本次股东大会所采用的表决方式是现场投 票和网络投票相结合的方式 (四) 现场会议召开的日期、时间和地点 召开的日期时间：2025 年 6 月 25 日9 点 30 分 召开地点：浙江省杭州市上城区解放东路 168 号杭银大厦四 楼会议室 (五) 网络投票的系统、起止日期和投票时间 网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间：自2025 年 6 月 25 日 至2025 年 6 月 25 日 采用上海 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The June stock recommendations from 42 brokerage firms show a significant increase in the number of recommended stocks, with the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector returning to the top of the industry recommendation rankings after three years, indicating a renewed market interest in cyclical industries [1][3]. Stock Recommendations - A total of 332 stocks received 457 recommendations, with 42 stocks from the ChiNext gaining 53 recommendations, 45 stocks from the STAR Market receiving 59 recommendations, and 43 Hong Kong stocks getting 62 recommendations, marking an increase of 6 and 7 stocks respectively compared to the previous month [1]. - Six stocks received recommendations from five brokerage firms: China Merchants Bank, Yara International, Smoore International, SF Holding, Qingdao Beer, and Haida Group [1]. - Six stocks received recommendations from four brokerage firms: Zijin Mining, China Mobile, Zhenhua Heavy Industries, Tencent Holdings, Hangzhou Bank, and Dongpeng Beverage [1]. Industry Rankings - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector achieved a recommendation rate of 10.2%, reclaiming the top position, while the electronics sector fell to second place with a recommendation rate of 9.3% [3]. - The food and beverage sector ranked third with a recommendation rate of 6.58%, and the machinery equipment sector ranked fourth with a rate of 6.35% [3]. - The coal industry saw a significant increase in recommendation rate by 59.6%, while the transportation sector increased by 52.1%, indicating a positive outlook for these industries [3]. Declining Industry Interest - The retail trade sector experienced a notable decline in recommendation rate by 43.17%, attributed to renewed trade tensions and previous excessive price increases [4]. - The defense and military industry saw a decrease of 34.77%, mainly due to the easing of the Russia-Ukraine situation [4]. - The automotive sector's recommendation rate dropped by 30.99%, reflecting concerns over industry competition [4]. Performance of Brokerage Recommendations - In May, 30 out of 45 brokerage firms reported positive returns, with the top performers being Guoyuan Securities (6.28%) and Caitong Securities (5.93%) [5][6]. - As of May 30, 36 out of 45 brokerage firms had positive returns for the year, with 16 firms achieving returns close to or exceeding 10% [6]. Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that June will see continued improvement in returns and win rates, with a focus on large-cap growth stocks, although the market is expected to remain volatile [7]. - The market sentiment has been affected by fluctuating U.S. tariff policies and slow progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations, which are key factors influencing market risk appetite [7].

证券代码：600926 证券简称：杭州银行 公告编号：2025-030 优先股代码：360027 优先股简称：杭银优 1 可转债代码：110079 可转债简称：杭银转债 杭州银行股份有限公司 关于召开2024年年度股东大会的通知 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 股东大会召开日期：2025年6月25日 (二) 股东大会召集人：董事会 (三) 投票方式：本次股东大会所采用的表决方式是现场投 票和网络投票相结合的方式 (四) 现场会议召开的日期、时间和地点 召开的日期时间：2025 年 6 月 25 日9 点 30 分 召开地点：浙江省杭州市上城区解放东路 168 号杭银大厦四 楼会议室 (五) 网络投票的系统、起止日期和投票时间 1 本次股东大会采用的网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东 大会网络投票系统 一、 召开会议的基本情况 (一) 股东大会类型和届次 2024年年度股东大会 网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间：自2025 年 6 月 25 日 至2025 年 6 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share banking sector has seen significant stock price increases, with several banks reaching new highs, indicating strong market performance and investor interest in bank stocks [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On June 3, the banking sector led the market with notable gains, including Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank reaching a price of 9.86 yuan per share, a 10.04% increase, marking a three-year high [1]. - The overall market saw the Shanghai Composite Index rise by 0.43%, with the banking index showing a substantial upward trend since the end of 2023, moving from a low of 2841.87 to over 4200 points [3]. - The influx of new capital from insurance funds, ETFs, and foreign investments has contributed to the upward momentum in bank stocks, as these investments favor the stable returns and high dividend yields offered by banks [4]. Group 2: Convertible Bonds - The rise in bank stock prices has led to an increase in warnings regarding convertible bonds, indicating a higher likelihood of conversion, which is beneficial for banks as it reduces financing costs and bolsters core Tier 1 capital ratios [1]. - Several banks, including Nanjing Bank and Hangzhou Bank, have issued announcements regarding the potential redemption of their convertible bonds, reflecting a trend of accelerating bond redemptions this year compared to the previous year [5][6]. - The scarcity of bank convertible bonds is becoming evident, with the total outstanding amount potentially decreasing from 170 billion yuan to around 100 billion yuan due to upcoming redemptions [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The demand for bank convertible bonds remains strong among bond investors, driven by their defensive characteristics and the potential for absolute returns in a favorable market environment [8]. - The current market conditions suggest that if macroeconomic factors do not meet expectations, the performance of dividend stocks may improve, further enhancing the appeal of bank convertible bonds [8].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed overall strength with major indices rising moderately, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.48% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.35% [3][4]. Banking Sector - Bank stocks collectively surged, with Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank hitting the daily limit, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank rising over 7%. Several banks, including CITIC Bank and Hangzhou Bank, reached historical highs in their adjusted prices [5][6]. Gold Sector - The gold concept stocks experienced significant gains, driven by rising international gold prices. Notable performers included Mankalon and Western Gold, both hitting the daily limit, with Mankalon up nearly 20% [7][8]. Individual Stock Highlights - Longpan Technology saw its Hong Kong stock rise over 20%, while its A-share counterpart also hit the daily limit. The company announced a production pricing agreement expected to generate over 5 billion RMB in sales from 2026 to 2030 [12][14]. Sector Performance - The beauty and personal care sector led the gains, with a rise exceeding 3%. Notable stocks included Betaini, which surged over 14% [4][7]. Other sectors that performed well included textiles, comprehensive, non-ferrous metals, and agriculture [7].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: "Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio" **Model Construction Idea**: The model leverages the superior performance of newly introduced gold stocks and incorporates the "Surprise Earnings Factor" (SUE factor) to select stocks with outstanding earnings surprises [26] **Model Construction Process**: 1. Use newly introduced gold stocks as the sample pool 2. Select the top 30 stocks with the highest earnings surprises based on the SUE factor 3. Weight the portfolio based on the number of recommendations from brokers **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates better performance compared to the overall gold stock portfolio, with higher annualized returns and lower maximum drawdowns [26][28] Model Backtesting Results - **Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio**: - May Return: -1.1% - 2025 YTD Return: 6.5% - Annualized Return: 19.7% - Annualized Volatility: 25.4% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.78 - Maximum Drawdown: 24.6% [28][29] - **Overall Gold Stock Portfolio**: - May Return: 0.9% - 2025 YTD Return: 5.9% - Annualized Return: 11.0% - Annualized Volatility: 23.5% - Return-to-Volatility Ratio: 0.47 - Maximum Drawdown: 42.6% [24][28] Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Surprise Earnings Factor (SUE Factor) **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor identifies stocks with earnings significantly exceeding market expectations, which are likely to outperform [26] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the earnings surprise for each stock as the difference between actual earnings and consensus estimates 2. Rank stocks based on the magnitude of earnings surprises 3. Select the top-performing stocks with the highest earnings surprises [26] **Factor Evaluation**: The SUE factor shows strong stock selection capabilities, particularly within newly introduced gold stocks [26] Factor Backtesting Results - **SUE Factor**: Integrated into the "Preferred Gold Stock Portfolio," contributing to its superior performance metrics compared to other portfolios [26][28]

Group 1: Bond ETF Market - The bond ETF market has seen significant growth, with over 40 billion yuan in net inflows in May alone, reaching a new high in total scale [1] - On May 30, 10 out of the top 12 ETF products by trading volume were bond ETFs, indicating strong market participation [1] - Nine bond ETFs have been approved for use as collateral in general pledge-style repurchase agreements, which may accelerate the expansion of the bond ETF market [1] Group 2: Public Fund Issuance - In May, bond funds dominated the public fund issuance market with a 55.07% issuance ratio, while equity products faced uneven demand [1] - The issuance of ETFs has declined for four consecutive months, raising only 11.068 billion units in May [1] - The market reflects a struggle between stability and change, with bond funds providing a safety net while equity products seek growth in niche segments [1] Group 3: Private Equity and ETF Investment - Private equity firms have shown strong interest in newly listed ETFs, with 104 firms holding a total of 1.783 billion shares in 97 ETFs [2] - The preferred themes for private equity investments are technology innovation and free cash flow [2] Group 4: Insurance Companies' Stock Purchases - As of the end of May, seven insurance companies have made 15 stock purchases this year, surpassing the total for 2023 and the first nine months of 2024 [2] - The majority of these purchases have been in bank stocks, with additional investments in public utilities, energy, and transportation sectors [2] Group 5: Corporate Developments - 28 companies have successfully removed their ST (Special Treatment) status this year, primarily through financial improvements, internal control repairs, and bankruptcy restructuring [3] - The airline industry is expected to see improved profitability due to falling oil prices and recovering demand, with a projected net profit margin of 3.7% for 2025 [3] - Domestic new energy vehicle manufacturers reported significant sales growth in May, with several companies achieving monthly sales exceeding 40,000 units, driven by extended-range vehicles [4] Group 6: Tesla's Sales Decline - Tesla's sales in France plummeted by 67% in May, marking the lowest sales level in nearly three years, despite the launch of a new version of its Model Y [6]

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Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Insights - As of the week ending May 30, the banking index has increased by 0.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.2% and the ChiNext index by 1.5%. The market's focus on bank stocks has notably increased due to active fund allocation, with a continued upward trend in the sector, particularly for city commercial banks with relatively strong performance [3][14] - The growth rate of real estate loans has turned positive for the first time since the end of Q3 2023, with a year-on-year increase of 0.04% as of the end of March, primarily driven by a recovery in mortgage demand. In Q1, new personal housing loans amounted to 2,144 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2,093 billion, mainly due to a rebound in second-hand housing sales and improved early repayments [4][30] - Recently, the inclusion of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank into the CSI 300 index is expected to attract more index funds, providing a positive outlook for these constituent stocks [5][44] - The focus on convertible bond banks is increasing, with significant valuation recovery and trading opportunities. Hangzhou Bank's stock price has risen significantly after triggering the strong redemption clause for its convertible bonds, indicating high investor confidence [6][44] Summary by Sections Banking Sector Performance - The banking index has shown a cumulative increase of 0.1% as of May 30, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.2% and the ChiNext index by 1.5% [3][14] - Individual stocks such as Hangzhou Bank have led the gains, with its stock price reaching a new high after the convertible bond triggered strong redemption conditions [3][14] Loan Trends - The growth rate of real estate loans has turned positive, with a year-on-year increase of 0.04% as of the end of March, driven by a recovery in mortgage demand [4][30] - In Q1, new personal housing loans totaled 2,144 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2,093 billion, attributed to improved second-hand housing sales and early repayments [4][30] Index Adjustments - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank have been included in the CSI 300 index, effective June 13, 2025, which is expected to lead to increased capital inflow into these stocks [5][44] Convertible Bonds - The focus on banks issuing convertible bonds has intensified, with Hangzhou Bank's stock price showing significant gains after the strong redemption clause was triggered [6][44]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the banking industry is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The banking index increased by 0.1% as of May 30, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.2% and the ChiNext index by 1.5%. The market's focus on bank stocks has increased significantly due to active fund allocation, with a continued upward trend in the sector, particularly for city commercial banks with relatively strong performance [2][6][19] - The growth rate of real estate loans turned positive for the first time since Q3 2023, with a year-on-year increase of 0.04% as of the end of March. This was primarily driven by a recovery in mortgage demand, with new personal housing loans amounting to 2,144 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2,093 billion [7][34][40] - The inclusion of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank into the CSI 300 index is expected to attract more index funds, providing a positive outlook for these constituent stocks [8][47] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of May 30, 2025, the banking index has shown a cumulative increase of 0.1%, with significant gains in city commercial banks like Hangzhou Bank, which saw its stock price rise after triggering a strong redemption condition for its convertible bonds [2][6][19] Loan Trends - In Q1 2025, the growth of corporate medium and long-term loans decreased, with industrial loans adding 1.52 trillion, down 140 billion year-on-year, and service sector loans adding 2.99 trillion, down 550 billion year-on-year. However, personal housing loans saw a significant increase, indicating a recovery in the housing market [7][34][40] Index Adjustments - The adjustment of the CSI 300 index, which includes Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, is expected to lead to increased capital inflow into these stocks, enhancing their market performance [8][47] Convertible Bonds - The recent surge in bank stocks has narrowed the price gap to the strong redemption price for banks issuing convertible bonds. Hangzhou Bank's stock price has remained above the strong redemption price for 15 consecutive trading days, indicating strong investor confidence [9][48]