Core Viewpoint - A-shares opened higher on the first trading day after the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, with significant gains in gold and storage chip sectors, driven by rising international gold prices and advancements in nuclear fusion technology [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The three major A-share indices opened collectively higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.53%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.4% [1] - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors experienced substantial increases, with companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Sichuan Gold both hitting the daily limit, while Shandong Gold and Western Gold rose over 7% [1] Group 2: Sector Highlights - International gold prices have surpassed the $4,000 mark for the first time, leading to continuous new highs [1] - The controlled nuclear fusion concept saw a strong opening, with companies such as Hezhong Intelligent and Yongding Co. hitting the daily limit, following key breakthroughs in China's nuclear fusion device construction [1] - The storage chip sector also saw initial gains, with companies like CanSemi and Xiangnong Chip rising over 13%, while Shenzhen Technology and Tongfu Microelectronics reached the daily limit [1]

Group 1 - The stock of Bluefeng Biochemical experienced a rapid drop after hitting the daily limit up, showcasing a "heaven and earth board" phenomenon, following seven consecutive days of limit up [1] - The stock opened at 9.54 CNY, down 8.27% from the previous close, with a trading volume of 4,278 and a transaction amount of 4.31 million CNY [2] Group 2 - Gold stocks surged at the market opening, with companies like Chifeng Gold and Sichuan Gold hitting the daily limit up, following the news that spot gold prices surpassed 4,000 USD per ounce for the first time in history, marking a year-to-date increase of over 52% [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index opened 0.4% higher, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index opened 0.53% and 0.4% higher, respectively [4][5] - The Hong Kong stock market opened with the Hang Seng Index up 0.12%, driven by a rise in pharmaceutical stocks and a significant jump in Hang Seng Bank's stock price due to HSBC's plan to privatize it, valued at approximately 290.7 billion HKD [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market opened positively on the first trading day after the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, with all three major indices rising, indicating strong market sentiment and sector performance [1] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index opened up by 0.4%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.53%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.4% [1] - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors experienced significant gains, with stocks like Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Sichuan Gold hitting the daily limit, while Shandong Gold and Western Gold rose over 7% [1] - International gold prices have surpassed the $4,000 mark, reaching new highs [1] Sector Highlights - The controllable nuclear fusion concept saw a strong opening, with stocks such as Hezhong Intelligent and Yongding Co. hitting the daily limit, following key breakthroughs in China's nuclear fusion device BEST construction [1] - The storage chip sector also performed well at the beginning of the trading session, with stocks like CanSemi and Xiangnong Chip rising over 13%, and companies like Shenzhen Technology and Tongfu Microelectronics hitting the daily limit [1] - Institutions reported a continuous increase in DRAM spot prices, contributing to the positive sentiment in the storage chip sector [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the significant fluctuations in global asset prices during September, highlighting the volatility in A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. markets, with various sectors experiencing dramatic rises and falls [2][5]. Market Performance - Despite a general slowdown in macroeconomic data, the market is focusing on structural growth areas such as computing power, semiconductors, and innovative drug development, which continue to attract capital [7]. - The precious metals sector, particularly gold and silver, saw substantial gains, with A-shares like Western Gold rising over 50% and some Hong Kong gold stocks increasing by more than 300% year-to-date [8][9]. Sector Highlights - **Top Gainers**: - **Precious Metals**: Gold prices reached historical highs, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and geopolitical tensions, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets [8][10]. - **Battery and Energy Metals**: The battery supply chain gained attention due to solid-state battery production and rising demand in the energy storage market, leading to a valuation recovery in lithium and other energy metals [10][12]. - **Wind Power**: The wind power sector experienced a turnaround with significant new installations and improved profit expectations, with domestic wind power installations increasing by 99% year-on-year [13]. - **Semiconductors**: The semiconductor sector thrived due to the AI boom, with companies like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor seeing substantial stock price increases [14]. Declining Sectors - **Military Stocks**: Following a peak driven by policy expectations and military trade themes, military stocks experienced significant declines, with some stocks dropping over 40% in September [17][18]. - **Banking Stocks**: Traditionally seen as stable investments, banking stocks faced a collective decline as funds shifted towards more popular sectors, with several banks experiencing over 20% drop in stock prices [19][22]. - **Food and Beverage**: The food and beverage sector continued to struggle, with a significant drop in stock prices due to weak consumer demand and poor sales performance during peak seasons [23][25]. - **Traditional Consumer Goods**: Other traditional consumer sectors like tourism and home appliances also saw declines, attributed to insufficient recovery in macroeconomic demand [33][35]. Technology Giants - In the tech sector, major players like Alibaba and Tencent saw significant stock price increases, with Alibaba rising by 53% in September, while the U.S. tech giants also performed well, with Nvidia and Tesla showing notable gains [37][39]. Overall Market Outlook - The article concludes that the global stock market performance in September reflects a broader trend of liquidity easing and capital inflow into emerging markets, suggesting potential structural opportunities in the upcoming months [42].

Core Insights - The precious metals sector experienced a rise of 1.85% on September 30, with Zhongjin Gold leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3882.78, up 0.52%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13526.51, up 0.35% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Zhongjin Gold (600489) closed at 21.93, up 3.84% with a trading volume of 1.1969 million shares and a transaction value of 2.603 billion [1] - Hengbang Shares (002237) closed at 14.97, up 2.75% with a trading volume of 530,700 shares and a transaction value of 789 million [1] - Yunnan Tin (002155) closed at 22.44, up 2.65% with a trading volume of 828,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.862 billion [1] - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 39.33, up 0.85% with a trading volume of 570,600 shares and a transaction value of 2.246 billion [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 120 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 140 million [3] - Major stocks like Zhongjin Gold and Shandong Gold experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor types [4] - For instance, Zhongjin Gold had a net inflow of 196 million from institutional investors but a net outflow of 230 million from retail investors [4]

Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Gold prices have reached new highs, with COMEX futures peaking at $3863.7 per ounce and London spot prices hitting $3834.120 per ounce as of September 29 [2] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly NATO's threats to Russia and military activities in Gaza, have intensified concerns over Middle Eastern conflicts, providing strong support for gold prices [2] Group 2: Financing and Investment in Gold Stocks - In September, five gold and jewelry stocks recorded net financing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with Zijin Mining leading at 1.569 billion yuan, followed by Zhongjin Gold, Hunan Gold, Shandong Gold, and Yuguang Gold Lead [4] - Zijin Mining's stock price reached a historical high of 28.86 yuan per share, with a year-to-date increase of 93.06% [7] Group 3: Company Performance - Zijin Mining reported a 16% year-on-year increase in gold production to 41 tons in the first half of 2025, with corresponding revenue of 26.455 billion yuan, up 62.15% [7] - Among gold and jewelry stocks, Zijin Mining led in net profit for the first half of the year at 23.292 billion yuan, with Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold also exceeding 1 billion yuan in net profit [7][10] - Western Gold achieved a revenue of 5.03 billion yuan, a 69.01% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 154 million yuan, up 131.94%, attributed to rising gold prices and increased sales [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt [4][6][7]. Core Views - The report highlights that industrial metal prices are expected to continue rising due to supply disruptions and seasonal demand in China during the "Golden September and Silver October" period [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the positive outlook for energy metals like lithium and cobalt, driven by strong demand from the energy storage and electric vehicle sectors [3]. - Precious metals are anticipated to reach new highs due to increased safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainties and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4][71]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - Copper prices are supported by supply disruptions from the Grasberg copper mine in Indonesia, which has been shut down due to a mining accident, leading to a significant reduction in expected output [2][39]. - Aluminum demand is recovering as downstream processing companies increase their operating rates, with a notable rise in pre-holiday stockpiling [2][22]. - Zinc prices are fluctuating due to mixed signals from macroeconomic indicators and supply-demand dynamics, with a slight decrease in domestic consumption observed [45][46]. Energy Metals - The report notes that cobalt supply is tightening due to regulatory changes in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has implemented a quota system, leading to price increases [3]. - Lithium demand remains robust, particularly in the context of energy storage and electric vehicles, with expectations of a balanced supply-demand situation [3]. Precious Metals - Gold and silver prices have surged, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and ongoing geopolitical tensions, with gold prices reaching historical highs [4][71]. - The report suggests that central bank purchases of gold and a weakening dollar will continue to support gold prices in the medium to long term [4]. Key Companies and Their Forecasts - Zijin Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.21 CNY, with a PE ratio of 23, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.63 CNY, with a PE ratio of 22, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Huayou Cobalt: EPS forecast for 2024A is 2.50 CNY, with a PE ratio of 23, rated as "Buy" [4].

Core Insights - The precious metals sector saw a slight increase of 0.23% on September 26, with Hunan Silver leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.11, down 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13209.0, down 1.76% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Hunan Silver (002716) closed at 6.91, up 5.02% with a trading volume of 2.9147 million shares and a transaction value of 2.034 billion [1] - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 38.22, up 0.84%, with a trading volume of 373,900 shares [1] - Zhongjin Gold (600489) closed at 20.55, up 0.54%, with a trading volume of 664,000 shares [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988) closed at 28.10, down 0.46%, with a trading volume of 400,300 shares [1] - Other notable performances include: - Hunan Gold (002155) down 0.65% - Western Gold (601069) down 1.01% - Sichuan Gold (001337) down 1.03% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector experienced a net inflow of 35.5562 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 135 million [2][3] - Hunan Silver had a net inflow of 49.4856 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 53.9428 million from retail investors [3] - Shandong Gold also saw a significant net inflow of 40.8309 million from institutional investors, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 104 million [3]

Group 1 - The precious metals sector increased by 2.39% on September 24, with Zhaojin Gold leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] - Zhaojin Gold's closing price was 10.03, with a rise of 2.77%, and a trading volume of 397,800 shares [1] Group 2 - The precious metals sector experienced a net outflow of 526 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 551 million yuan [2][3] - Hunan Gold had a net inflow of 72.69 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 49.38 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Sichuan Gold saw a significant retail net inflow of 83.17 million yuan, despite a net outflow of 68.11 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Group 1 - Gold prices continue to reach historical highs, with London gold spot prices breaking through $3700, $3720, and $3740 per ounce, peaking at $3748.88 on September 22 [2] - As of September 23, London gold spot prices reached a maximum of $3759.16 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures hit $3793.7 per ounce, and Shanghai Gold Exchange Au99.99 reached 850 yuan per gram [2] - Since the beginning of 2025, international gold prices have increased by nearly 43%, while domestic gold prices have risen by approximately 38% [3] Group 2 - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's hedging research team indicates that the ongoing weakness in the U.S. labor market and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts provide upward momentum for gold prices, supported by geopolitical conflicts and long-term dollar credit concerns [5] - Analysts suggest that the current rise in gold prices has outpaced fundamental factors, leading to increased short-term volatility, but the long-term trend remains below previous gold price upcycles [5] - As of September 22, the total scale of domestic commodity gold ETFs reached 155.15 billion yuan, a 120% increase from the end of last year, indicating a recovery in net inflows due to rising gold prices [5] Group 3 - On September 22, all 11 gold concept stocks in the A-share market saw gains, with notable increases in Zhongjin Gold and Xiaocheng Technology exceeding 9% [6] - The significant profit growth in the semi-annual reports of gold mining companies is attributed to rising gold prices and increased production, leading to a potential valuation recovery for gold stocks [6] - Silver prices also reached a near 14-year high on September 22, with expectations of further increases as silver benefits from both financial attributes and industrial demand [6]