Summary of the Conference Call for Hengli Hydraulic Company Overview - Hengli Hydraulic benefits from the recovery of the construction machinery industry and accelerated domestic substitution, enhancing its market competitiveness through a diversified development strategy that includes expansion from construction machinery to non-construction machinery and from cylinders to pumps, valves, and motors [2][4][5] Core Industry Insights - The construction machinery industry is currently in a recovery phase, characterized by three steps: gradual market demand recovery, improvement in corporate profitability, and overall industry revival. Hengli Hydraulic plays a crucial role as a key component supplier, similar to Huawei's HiSilicon in the Chinese smartphone industry [4] - Recent dynamics in the construction machinery industry include significant equity incentive plans from major players like XCMG, indicating deep structural changes and setting a foundation for future growth [9] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Hengli Hydraulic achieved revenue and profit growth, with Q2 revenue increasing by 11% year-on-year and net profit rising by 18%. Gross margin and net margin also improved [2][11] - The company’s excavator cylinder sales grew by 16% year-on-year, with significant growth in valve products and motors, maintaining positive growth in both domestic and overseas markets [2][12] Future Projections - Revenue is expected to grow to approximately 14 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected at 2.7 billion yuan, 3.2 billion yuan, and 3.7 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a compound annual growth rate of over ten percent [3][21] - The company is optimistic about Q3 and the second half of 2025, anticipating accelerated revenue growth due to favorable production conditions [14][15] Strategic Developments - Hengli Hydraulic is actively expanding into the humanoid robot sector, with Tesla's increased production expectations driving demand for related components. The company aims to leverage its core component self-supply capability to secure a significant position in this market [6][7] - The company has a strong competitive edge with concentrated ownership and a visionary management team, positioning it to potentially surpass competitors like Sanhua Intelligent Controls and Top Group in profitability [7] Global Market Position - Hengli Hydraulic has a broad global presence with 11 production bases and 7 global marketing companies, continuously expanding its influence through acquisitions and new factories [13] - The company is gradually closing the gap with second-tier competitors in the global market, while still facing challenges from industry giants like Bosch Rexroth and Kawasaki Heavy Industries [20] Unique Development Logic - Hengli Hydraulic's development logic includes benefiting from the recovery of the construction machinery industry, ongoing domestic substitution processes, and a diversified product range that spans various applications [5][8] New Business Ventures - The company initiated a linear drive project in 2022, achieving significant revenue from screw rod clients and targeting the high-end machine tool market [19] Conclusion - Hengli Hydraulic is positioned as a key player in the construction machinery and humanoid robot markets, with strong financial performance and growth prospects, making it a noteworthy investment opportunity in the medium to long term [22]

Core Insights - A-shares have entered a slow bull market since April 27, with increasing market activity from foreign capital, particularly evident in the second quarter's disclosures [1] - Foreign capital has heavily invested in 1,123 companies, with a total market value of 139.29 billion yuan, an increase of over 40 billion yuan from the previous quarter [1] - The electronics sector has become the preferred investment area for foreign capital, with a total holding value of 17.57 billion yuan, reflecting a rise of 5.55 billion yuan [1] Industry Summary - **Banking**: 4 companies, 5 foreign institutions, total holding value of 6.70 billion yuan [2] - **Electronics**: 85 companies, 138 foreign institutions, total holding value of 17.57 billion yuan [2] - **Machinery Equipment**: 162 companies, 276 foreign institutions, total holding value of 6.29 billion yuan [2] - **Non-ferrous Metals**: 30 companies, 48 foreign institutions, total holding value of 5.44 billion yuan [2] - **Automobile**: 85 companies, 144 foreign institutions, total holding value of 5.08 billion yuan [2] - **Power Equipment**: 88 companies, 152 foreign institutions, total holding value of 4.83 billion yuan [2] - **Computers**: 81 companies, 144 foreign institutions, total holding value of 4.69 billion yuan [2] - **Pharmaceuticals and Biology**: 82 companies, 149 foreign institutions, total holding value of 4.51 billion yuan [2] - **Basic Chemicals**: 88 companies, 156 foreign institutions, total holding value of 4.51 billion yuan [2] - **Building Materials**: 27 companies, 41 foreign institutions, total holding value of 2.52 billion yuan [2] - **Light Industry Manufacturing**: 54 companies, 97 foreign institutions, total holding value of 2.11 billion yuan [2] - **Food and Beverage**: 19 companies, 30 foreign institutions, total holding value of 1.41 billion yuan [2] - **Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery**: 19 companies, 25 foreign institutions, total holding value of 1.38 billion yuan [2] Notable Companies - 126 companies have a foreign holding value exceeding 100 million yuan, with significant investments in Ningbo Bank and Nanjing Bank [4] - The average increase in stock prices for these 126 foreign-heavy stocks since the end of Q2 is 19.05%, with 15 companies seeing increases over 50% [4] - Noteworthy is Shengyi Technology, with a foreign holding value of 9.55 billion yuan and a stock price increase of 76.62% since the end of Q2 [4] - The company reported a total revenue of 12.68 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 31.68%, and a net profit of 1.43 billion yuan, up 52.98% [4] Foreign Investment Trends - 185 companies have been heavily invested in by multiple foreign institutions, with 21 companies having investments from more than five foreign entities [12] - Companies like Huafang Co. and Anji Food have seen significant foreign interest, with the former being held by six foreign institutions [12][13] - The top three stocks with the highest price increases since the end of Q2 are Kosen Technology, Deepwater Planning Institute, and Innovative Medical, with increases of 90.05%, 84.10%, and 76.83% respectively [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.171 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.00%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.429 billion yuan, up 10.97% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.450 billion yuan, an increase of 16.90% year-on-year [2][6]. - The excavator segment is expected to see significant growth, with sales of excavator cylinders increasing by over 15% year-on-year. The company is also making breakthroughs in medium and large excavator pumps and valves, leading to an increase in market share [2][11]. - The company plans to implement a mid-term dividend of 402 million yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of approximately 28% [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 5.171 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.429 billion yuan and a net profit after deducting non-recurring items of 1.450 billion yuan. In Q2 2025, revenue was 2.749 billion yuan, with a net profit of 812 million yuan [6][11]. - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 41.85%, an increase of 0.33 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 27.7%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [11]. Business Segments - The excavator segment is a key driver of revenue growth, benefiting from a 17% year-on-year increase in the excavator industry sales in China, with domestic sales up 23% and exports up 10% [11]. - The non-excavator segment is also improving, with sales of non-excavator pump and valve products increasing by over 30% year-on-year. The company is expanding its product range and gaining market share in various sectors [11]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in the excavator business in the second half of 2025, driven by increased demand in the industry. The non-excavator segment is expected to benefit from demand in industrial sectors and accelerated domestic substitution [11]. - The linear actuator project is progressing well, with over 50 new products developed and nearly 300 new customers added in H1 2025, indicating potential new growth points [11].

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic's stock has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 71.81% as of September 2, 2023, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Hengli Hydraulic reported a revenue of 5.171 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.00% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 1.429 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.97% [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of September 2, 2023, Hengli Hydraulic's stock price was 89.46 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 56.77 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.05% [1]. - The company experienced a net inflow of 711,500 yuan from main funds, with significant buying activity from large orders [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 43,800, a rise of 4.26% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 4.09% to 30,647 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Hengli Hydraulic has distributed a total of 5.775 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.708 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fourth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 103 million shares, a decrease of 185,000 shares from the previous period [3]. - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF increased their holdings, while Huaxia CSI 300 ETF entered as a new shareholder [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次覆盖) [4]. Core Views - The company reported a total operating revenue of 5.171 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.429 billion yuan, up 10.97% year-on-year [4]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a record high in profit, with revenue reaching 2.749 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.24%, and a net profit of 812 million yuan, up 18.31% year-on-year [6]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 41.85% and a net margin of 27.7% in the first half of 2025, with improvements in profitability metrics [6]. - The traditional hydraulic cylinder business showed steady growth, with sales of excavator hydraulic cylinders increasing by over 15% year-on-year [6]. - The company has made significant strides in its linear actuator business, launching over 50 new products and expanding its market reach [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 5.171 billion yuan, a 7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.429 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.97% growth [4]. - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 41.85%, with a net margin of 27.7%, indicating improved profitability [6]. Business Growth - The traditional hydraulic cylinder segment experienced robust growth, with sales of excavator hydraulic cylinders reaching 308,300 units, a year-on-year increase of over 15% [6]. - The company’s new product lines, including compact hydraulic valves and radial piston motors, have seen significant sales growth, with non-excavator hydraulic pump and valve products growing over 30% year-on-year [6]. Market Expansion - The company’s overseas production base in Mexico has commenced operations, enhancing supply chain resilience and enabling localized service offerings [6]. - The linear actuator segment has seen dual breakthroughs in technology development and market promotion, with nearly 300 new customer accounts established [6][7]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.897 billion yuan, 3.259 billion yuan, and 3.573 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [12]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.4x for 2025, 36.8x for 2026, and 33.6x for 2027 [12].

Market Performance - The engineering machinery sector rose by 1.35% on September 1, with Fushite leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3875.53, up 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12828.95, up 1.05% [1] Top Gainers - Fushite (301446) closed at 30.80, up 8.91% with a trading volume of 52,800 shares and a turnover of 160 million yuan [1] - Hangcha Group (603298) closed at 24.87, up 7.11% with a trading volume of 215,700 shares and a turnover of 523 million yuan [1] - Xugong Machinery (000425) closed at 68.6, up 3.45% with a trading volume of 1,256,000 shares and a turnover of 1.229 billion yuan [1] Top Losers - Wuxin Suizhuang (835174) closed at 58.14, down 4.15% with a trading volume of 38,900 shares and a turnover of 226 million yuan [2] - Tietuo Machinery (873706) closed at 24.89, down 3.83% with a trading volume of 34,500 shares and a turnover of 86.3 million yuan [2] - Noli Co., Ltd. (603611) closed at 25.85, down 3.69% with a trading volume of 150,400 shares and a turnover of 392 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The engineering machinery sector experienced a net outflow of 719 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 551 million yuan [2][3] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors increased their positions [2][3] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Liugong (000528) had a net outflow of 58.11 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 69.41 million yuan [3] - Xugong Machinery (000425) experienced a net inflow of 53.84 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors had a net outflow of 47.69 million yuan [3] - Huadong Heavy Machine (002685) saw a net inflow of 25.18 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 6.57 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the mechanical manufacturing industry [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the rapid development opportunities for agricultural robots driven by AI, as outlined in the State Council's recent policy [6]. - The commencement of the Jinhuo Technology project for high-end machine tools and automation production lines marks a significant step towards domestic high-end machine tool production [6]. - Collaboration between General Technology and Siemens in the machine tool sector is expected to enhance technological synergies and regional resource sharing [6]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - From August 25 to August 29, the mechanical equipment index increased by 1.15%, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 index, which rose by 2.23% [9]. - Year-to-date, the mechanical equipment index has gained 33.69%, outperforming the CSI 300 index's 17.70% increase [11]. Key Developments - The State Council's policy on "AI+" aims to accelerate the digital transformation of agriculture, promoting the development of smart agricultural machinery, including robots [6]. - The Jinhuo Technology project, with an annual production capacity of 3,000 high-end machine tools, is set to establish a precision machine tool manufacturing base in Fuyang Economic and Technological Development Zone [6]. - The collaboration between General Technology and Siemens focuses on core needs in machine tools and servo automation, aiming for high-quality development in the Asia-Pacific region [6]. Sub-industry Data - In July 2025, the production of industrial robots reached 63,740 units, marking a 24% year-on-year increase [45]. - The output of metal cutting machine tools in July 2025 was 71,000 units [43]. Company Recommendations - For humanoid robots, recommended companies include Hengli Hydraulic, Best, Changsheng Bearing, Zhaowei Electric, Mingzhi Electric, Top Group, Jiechang Drive, Mannester, and Shuanghuan Transmission [6]. - In the engineering machinery sector, recommended companies are Hengli Hydraulic, Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion [6]. - For the export chain, recommended companies include Honghua Digital Technology, Juxing Technology, Jack Shares, and Taotao Vehicle [6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The overseas humanoid robots are expected to land soon, increasing the certainty of the sector's landscape. The introduction of Tesla's V3 robot is anticipated to solidify the technology route and supply chain by Q4, injecting certainty into the sector [9] - Tesla's V3 robot is projected to be launched in Q4, with a production target of 100,000 units per month within five years. This timeline suggests a significant advancement in humanoid robot production [9] - The focus on practical applications and high flexibility in Tesla's robot design is expected to set a benchmark for the industry, leading to a convergence in design and structure among humanoid robots [9] - As humanoid robots become standardized, the industry is likely to enter a sales growth phase, with prices expected to decrease, enhancing market accessibility. The management of the supply chain will become a critical competitive advantage for manufacturers [9] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report suggests focusing on component manufacturers with strong manufacturing and management capabilities, recommending the following companies: - Top Group (601689, Buy) - Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050, Buy) - Wuzhou New Spring (603667, Buy) - Hengli Hydraulic (601100, Not Rated) - Zhenyu Technology (300953, Buy) [4]

Group 1 - Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co., Ltd. has applied for a patent titled "Oil Cylinder and Its Working Method and Oil Cylinder Piston Rod Displacement Detection Device," with publication number CN 120557231 A, and the application date is June 2025 [1] - The patent pertains to the field of fluid pressure actuators, specifically involving an oil cylinder that includes a cylinder body with a piston rod inserted, a resistance mechanism, a direct current power supply, and a voltage measurement mechanism [1] - The voltage measurement units are directly connected to conductive components on the linear resistor, allowing for the collection of voltage data to calculate the extension length of the piston rod while avoiding interference from magnetic fields [1] Group 2 - Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co., Ltd. was established in 2005 and is located in Changzhou, primarily engaged in general equipment manufacturing [2] - The company has a registered capital of 1,340.82 million RMB and has made investments in 9 enterprises, participated in 344 bidding projects, and holds 97 trademark records and 677 patent records [2] - Additionally, the company possesses 33 administrative licenses [2]

Group 1: Financial Performance - The projected net profit for 2025 is estimated at 605 million RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 52% compared to 2024[1] - The expected operating revenue for 2025 is 4,157 million RMB, with a growth rate of 4% from 2024[1] - The estimated EPS for 2025 is 0.6, with a PE ratio of 18[1] Group 2: Market Trends and Risks - The valuation for 2025-2027 is projected at 18x, 16x, and 14x, with a PEG ratio of less than 1 for 2026[1] - The company is expected to launch innovative and hard-to-replicate products, including a new drug expected to be approved in 2025[1] - Risks include fluctuations in customer demand and potential delays in product development[1] Group 3: Industry Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is experiencing a gradual recovery, with the raw material drug business stabilizing[1] - The beverage industry is expected to see improved sales during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, with a narrowing decline[1] - The semiconductor equipment sector is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with a target of 5 billion RMB by 2025[1]