Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for major construction enterprises, indicating a significant demand for rebound in the construction sector compared to the banking sector [8][31]. Core Insights - The domestic construction industry has evolved into a model with financial attributes similar to banks, where construction companies provide financing to clients, thus resembling "shadow banks" [1][14]. - The construction sector has lagged behind the banking sector in terms of stock performance, with a 76.1% increase in the banking sector since December 20, 2023, compared to only 13.5% in the construction sector, indicating a clear need for catch-up [2][15]. - The dividend yield of leading construction state-owned enterprises (SOEs) is attractive, with several companies offering yields above 3% in A-shares and over 5% in H-shares, making them appealing for long-term investors [3][22]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Overview - The construction industry operates with a business model that has financial characteristics, requiring companies to provide upfront financing to secure projects, which has led to a high-leverage, asset-heavy structure [1][14]. - Major assets of construction firms include cash and receivables, which are akin to financial assets, while liabilities are primarily operational debts, similar to bank deposits [1][14]. Section 2: Market Performance - The construction sector's performance has been hindered by concerns over slow repayments from government and real estate developers, but these pessimistic expectations are now largely priced in, suggesting a potential for valuation recovery [2][15]. - The report highlights that the construction sector's valuation has been stabilizing, indicating a potential for upward movement as market conditions improve [2][15]. Section 3: Dividend Appeal - A-shares of leading construction SOEs show a competitive dividend yield, with companies like China Railway, China Railway Construction, and China Communications Construction yielding over 3% [3][22]. - In H-shares, the average dividend yield for construction SOEs matches that of leading banks, reflecting strong investment attractiveness [3][22]. Section 4: Policy Impact - Upcoming policies are expected to accelerate infrastructure project implementation, which, combined with a low base effect, may lead to improved revenue and performance for construction SOEs in the latter half of the year [4][26]. - The report anticipates that fiscal policies will be enhanced, with an increase in the issuance of special bonds and other financing tools to support infrastructure development [4][26]. Section 5: Competitive Landscape - The construction industry is witnessing a push against "involution" or excessive competition, with major players advocating for a focus on sustainable growth and innovation rather than aggressive expansion [7][30]. - This initiative aims to improve project profitability and stabilize the competitive environment within the industry [7][30]. Section 6: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in undervalued construction SOEs, highlighting companies such as China Energy Engineering, China State Construction, and China Communications Construction as key targets for investment [8][31]. - The expected recovery in earnings and the attractive dividend yields position these companies favorably for long-term investment [8][31].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the total investment in the industry is expected to stabilize, with a focus on advancing modern infrastructure systems without excessive preemption [1][3] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has stated that all 102 major projects outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" are expected to be completed by the end of the year [11] - The report highlights that regional investments are likely to gain significant elasticity as national strategic layouts deepen [3] Industry Performance - The construction industry saw a weekly increase of 2.59%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index (+1.09%) and the Shenzhen Component Index (+1.78%) [4][6] - The best-performing sub-industries for the week were Ecological Landscaping (+5.49%), International Engineering (+5.34%), and Design Consulting (+4.20%) [6][9] - Year-to-date, the top three sub-industries are Ecological Landscaping (+27.48%), Decorative Curtain Walls (+15.98%), and Design Consulting (+15.74%) [6][9] Key Company Developments - Anhui Construction won contracts for the S27 Hohhot to Ordos Expressway and G4212 Hefei to Anqing Expressway, totaling 8.085 billion yuan, which represents 8.38% of its 2024 revenue [13] - Zhejiang Communications won a contract for the G2531 Hangzhou to Shangrao Expressway, valued at 4.222 billion yuan, accounting for 8.84% of its 2024 revenue [13] - The report recommends low-valuation state-owned enterprises such as China Chemical, China Railway, and China Railway Construction, while also highlighting private companies like Zhite New Materials and Honglu Steel Structure [3][11]

Investment Rating - The report rates the construction and decoration industry as "Overweight" [2][8] Core Viewpoints - The overall investment growth rate is weak, with infrastructure investment providing relative stability amidst pressures in manufacturing and real estate. Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) grew by 5.6% year-on-year from January to May 2025, while total infrastructure investment increased by 10.4% [2] - The report predicts that corporate profits will face pressure in the first half of 2025 due to slowing fixed asset investment growth and a focus on project quality. The expected net profit growth rates for key companies are categorized into various ranges, with some companies projected to see declines [2][3] - The report suggests that low valuations of state-owned enterprises in the construction sector may recover due to ongoing economic stimulus policies and management's market value management methods. The current PE and PB ratios for the construction industry are at 11.2X and 0.76X, respectively, indicating a bottom position [2] - Investment recommendations include state-owned enterprises such as China Chemical, China Railway, and China Railway Construction, as well as private companies like Zhi Te New Materials and Shenzhen Ruijie [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Profit Growth Predictions - Companies with a net profit growth rate below -10%: China Railway, China Railway Construction, China Metallurgical Group, China Power Construction, Shanghai Construction, Honglu Steel Structure, Southeast Network Framework [3] - Companies with a net profit growth rate between -10% and 0%: China Communications Construction, Sichuan Road and Bridge [3] - Companies with a net profit growth rate between 0% and 10%: China Energy Engineering, China Steel International, Anhui Construction, Donghua Technology [3] - Companies with a net profit growth rate between 10% and 20%: China Chemical [3] - Companies with a net profit growth rate above 20%: Zhi Te New Materials, Shenzhen Ruijie [3] Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the construction industry, detailing their stock prices, EPS, PE ratios, and projected net profit growth rates for 2024A, 2025E, and 2026E [3]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is maintained as "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Insights - The construction sector has seen a significant increase in attention towards urban renewal, with undervalued large-cap stocks showing signs of stabilization. The sector's performance is driven by improved demand-side policy expectations and a shift away from excessive competition, benefiting both large and small-cap stocks. The report suggests focusing on high-growth segments such as urban renewal, coal chemical, nuclear power, and steel structures, while also considering the beta opportunities in large-cap stocks [1][13][14]. Summary by Sections Urban Renewal - Urban renewal is accelerating, with policies from the central government outlining goals and support measures. The focus includes the renovation of old residential areas, establishing safety management systems for buildings, and creating resilient and smart cities. The report identifies four key categories for investment: design and testing, construction and decoration, urban infrastructure renovation, and resilient/smart city initiatives, highlighting specific companies in each category [2][15][17]. Market Performance - The construction index rose by 2.77% in the week of July 7-11, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.76 percentage points. Notable performers included Guosheng Technology (+42.98%), New City (+34.73%), and Beautiful Ecology (+34.46%) [4][21][26]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the cyclical opportunities arising from improved physical work volume in infrastructure. It suggests focusing on high-demand areas such as water conservancy, railways, and aviation, particularly in regions like Sichuan, Zhejiang, Anhui, and Jiangsu. Recommended companies include Sichuan Road and Bridge, Zhejiang Communications, and major state-owned enterprises like China Communications Construction and China Railway Construction [27][28]. Emerging Business Directions - The report highlights the growing demand for computing power driven by AI applications, recommending companies like Hainan Huatie for their transition into computing power leasing. It also notes the potential in cleanroom sectors due to the ongoing domestic replacement in the semiconductor industry, suggesting companies like Baicheng and Shenghui Integration [29][30]. Major Projects and Themes - The report identifies significant investment opportunities in major hydropower projects, deep-sea economy, and low-altitude economy, recommending companies involved in these sectors, such as China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering [32][30].

Group 1 - The China-Serbia Railway project is highlighted as a flagship initiative under the Belt and Road Initiative, emphasizing its significance in enhancing cooperation between China and Hungary [2][3] - The project is not only focused on infrastructure but also aims to foster cultural exchange and mutual understanding between the two nations [2][3] - The completion of the Hungary section of the railway is nearing, with the project entering the testing and acceptance phase, aiming for high-quality and timely completion [7] Group 2 - The event featured a bilingual song "Together We Forge Dreams" created by China Railway and Liszt Academy, symbolizing the cultural connection between China and Hungary [10] - The collaboration between China Railway and Hungarian academic institutions has yielded significant results, including the publication of a Hungarian-Chinese dictionary and research on brand building in Central and Eastern Europe [7] - The Hungarian government recognizes China as a key strategic partner, with successful cooperation across various sectors, including infrastructure and higher education [3]

| H | A | | --- | --- | | 股代码：00390 | 股代码：601390 | | 股简称：中国中铁 H | 股简称：中国中铁 公告编号：2025-043 A | 中国中铁股份有限公司 2024年年度权益分派实施公告 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/7/17 | － | 2025/7/18 | 2025/7/18 | 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.178元（含税） 差异化分红送转： 否 一、 通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 担法律责任。 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 6 月 20日的2024年年度股东会审 议通过。 二、 分配方案 1. 发放年度：2024年年度 2. 分派对象： 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结 算有限责任公司上海分公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - A-share companies are experiencing significant overseas expansion, with notable achievements in infrastructure, biomedicine, and equipment manufacturing, leading to large overseas orders [2][3] - The shift in Chinese enterprises' overseas strategy is moving from cost-driven to innovation-driven, leveraging advanced supply chains, international talent, and digital technologies [2] Group 2: Large Orders and Competitive Strength - A-share companies have secured substantial overseas contracts, particularly in the infrastructure sector, with notable projects including a $1.6 billion contract for a gas processing plant in Iraq and contracts totaling approximately 5.34 billion yuan for the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway [3][4] - In the biomedicine sector, companies like Rongchang Bio are accelerating internationalization, exemplified by a licensing agreement with Vor Bio worth up to $4.1 billion [4] - Equipment manufacturing firms are also making strides, with agreements such as a $406 million contract for a conveyor system in Guinea, enhancing their international market presence [4] Group 3: Accelerated Overseas Capacity Layout - Several A-share companies are intensifying their overseas production capacity, viewing local production as a key driver for global competitiveness [6] - Companies like Linglong Tire are investing $1.193 billion in a production base in Brazil, aiming for an annual output of 14.7 million high-performance tires [6] - Other firms, such as North Special Technology and Zhongke Electric, are also establishing production bases in Thailand and Oman, respectively, to enhance their global supply chain [7] Group 4: Rising Trend of Overseas Mergers and Acquisitions - The number of disclosed overseas mergers and acquisitions by A-share companies has surpassed 60 in the first half of the year, with a focus on electronics, automotive parts, and machinery [9] - Companies are pursuing overseas acquisitions to enter emerging markets and enhance their technological capabilities, as seen with Dongshan Precision's dual acquisitions in the optical communication sector [9][10] - The strategy of overseas mergers and acquisitions is aimed at resource and market integration, with firms like Luoyang Molybdenum consolidating their overseas mineral resource reserves [10]

Core Points - The A-share market's three major indices closed mixed, with the CSI 300 Infrastructure Theme Index reporting at 2163.03 points [1] - The CSI 300 Infrastructure Theme Index has increased by 0.51% over the past month, 0.96% over the past three months, and has decreased by 2.43% year-to-date [2] Index Composition - The CSI 300 Infrastructure Theme Index is composed of infrastructure-related listed companies selected from the CSI 300 Index, providing investors with a diversified investment option [2] - The index was established on December 31, 2004, with a base point of 1000.0 [2] - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: - China Yangtze Power (14.9%) - China State Construction Engineering (8.74%) - China Telecom (8.45%) - China Mobile (7.25%) - China Unicom (6.01%) - China Nuclear Power (5.51%) - Three Gorges Energy (4.37%) - China Railway (4.19%) - Guodian Power (3.07%) - China Power Construction (3.03%) [2] Market Distribution - The CSI 300 Infrastructure Theme Index has a market distribution of 96.01% on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and 3.99% on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] - The industry composition of the index includes: - Utilities: 42.59% - Industrials: 34.52% - Communication Services: 22.90% [2] Sample Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [3] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with sample changes, typically remaining fixed until the next scheduled adjustment [3] - In the event of special circumstances affecting the CSI 300 Index samples, corresponding adjustments will be made to the index samples [3]

Core Insights - The construction industry is officially entering a platform period, with infrastructure investment maintaining resilience but showing signs of decline in revenue among major state-owned enterprises [5][28][30] - The overall investment tone for infrastructure in the second half of 2025 will focus on stability, supported by proactive fiscal policies and accelerated government bond issuance [2][37] - Structural opportunities are emerging, particularly in manufacturing, power, water conservancy, and water transport sectors, driven by special government bonds [5][6] Industry Overview - The construction industry has seen a decline in total revenue for the first time in 2024, confirming a turning point for the industry [30] - The total revenue for the construction industry in 2024 was 86,962.78 billion, a decrease of 4.29% year-on-year, with net profit dropping by 13.74% [30][32] - The share of real estate in GDP has been declining since its peak in 2021, while infrastructure investment has been rising but not enough to offset the decline in real estate [26][28] Investment Strategy - Long-term investment should focus on manufacturing-oriented companies like Honglu Steel Structure, while short-term strategies should prioritize high-dividend stocks and significant changes in individual companies [6][7] - The report emphasizes the importance of structural opportunities in the construction sector, particularly in areas aligned with national strategic initiatives and safety capabilities [60] State-Owned Enterprises - There is a growing divergence among state-owned construction enterprises, with only a few, such as China State Construction and China Energy Engineering, showing positive growth in Q1 2024 [7][28] - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong dividend stability and growth potential, such as China Chemical Engineering and China Communications Construction [7][8] Professional Engineering and International Opportunities - The international engineering sector is expected to benefit from ongoing orders and the deepening of cooperation along the Belt and Road Initiative [8] - Companies like China National Materials and China Steel International are highlighted for their low valuations and high dividend yields, indicating strong performance potential [8] Mergers and Acquisitions - The construction industry is moving towards maturity, necessitating mergers and acquisitions to find new growth points [10] - The report anticipates that future mergers will primarily come from smaller, weaker segments of the industry, such as design and decoration [10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market-B" and the rating is maintained [6] Core Viewpoints - The construction industry is experiencing a month-on-month recovery in prosperity, driven by the central government's emphasis on reducing low-price competition and improving product quality [1][17] - The issuance of special bonds has significantly increased, with local governments issuing 2.16 trillion yuan in new special bonds, a year-on-year increase of 42.95%, which is expected to accelerate project construction [2][18] - The construction of the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan international railway has commenced, marking a significant step for Chinese construction enterprises in expanding overseas markets under the Belt and Road Initiative [3][19] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Dynamics - The central government reiterated the need to combat "involution" in the construction industry, which may lead to a more rational market competition and alleviate supply-demand conflicts [1][17] - The manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.7%, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing activity, while the construction industry business activity index rose to 52.8% [2][18] Market Performance - The construction industry saw a weekly increase of 0.63%, with the steel structure sector performing particularly well, rising by 3.05% [21][22] - The overall market performance of the construction sector is weaker compared to the broader market indices [21] Company Announcements - Major contracts were awarded to China Railway and China Railway Construction for the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway project, with total contract values of approximately 53.43 billion yuan and 37.81 billion yuan respectively [33] Key Investment Targets - Recommended investment targets include state-owned enterprises in traditional infrastructure, such as China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction, which are expected to benefit from improved financial metrics and market conditions [11][12][13]