Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector [2]. Core Insights - The P/EV valuation system is facing challenges in a persistently low interest rate environment, leading to significant adjustments in risk discount rates and investment return assumptions, which have resulted in a decline in NBV and EV growth [5][9]. - The introduction of the PCE-ROCE valuation system aims to provide a more comprehensive reflection of the true value of insurance companies by incorporating comprehensive equity (CE) and return on comprehensive equity (ROCE) [31][43]. - The report identifies that A-share listed insurance companies, particularly China Pacific Insurance and China Life Insurance, are relatively undervalued according to the PCE-ROCE valuation system [5][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Introduction - The P/EV valuation system shows signs of "failure" as the valuation levels for A-share listed insurance companies continue to decline, with significant pressure on new business value growth due to macroeconomic factors [9][14]. 2. PCE-ROCE Valuation System Proposal - The PCE-ROCE system introduces comprehensive equity (CE) and ROCE to better reflect the value of insurance companies under new accounting standards [31][43]. - The system aims to address the limitations of the P/EV system by providing a more stable and predictable valuation framework [5][31]. 3. Comparison of Valuation Systems - The PCE-ROCE system is more effective in reflecting the true value of insurance companies in a low interest rate environment compared to the traditional P/EV system [5][31]. - The report highlights that the P/CE ratio provides a better fit and reflects the comprehensive value of insurance companies compared to P/B and P/EV ratios [5][31]. 4. Analysis of Insurance Companies' Policy Profitability - The report establishes a profitability evaluation system for listed insurance companies based on CSM and NBCSM, identifying key performance indicators to assess profitability [5][31]. - The scoring system ranks companies based on their CSM performance, with AIA, PICC, and CPIC scoring the highest [5][31]. 5. Main Conclusions and Investment Recommendations - The report concludes that several A-share and H-share listed insurance companies are undervalued, suggesting a focus on companies like New China Life, Ping An, AIA, China Life, CPIC, and PICC for potential investment opportunities [5][29].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained), indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [5]. Core Viewpoints - The recent adjustment of the predetermined interest rate for life insurance products is a necessary response to the ongoing decline in market interest rates. The current research value for ordinary life insurance products is set at 1.99%, with traditional life insurance rates being lowered from 2.5% to 2.0% and guaranteed rates for participating insurance dropping from 2% to 1.75% [1][2]. - The downward adjustment of the predetermined interest rate is expected to have a short-term impact on new premium growth due to potential product discontinuations and reduced attractiveness of ordinary life insurance products. However, it will help alleviate the rigid cost pressure on liabilities in the long term by encouraging insurance companies to optimize product structures and increase the development of flexible yield products [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The adjustment of predetermined interest rates reflects the insurance industry's gradual adaptation to changes in market interest rates, with historical data showing a consistent decline in rates since 2019 [2]. - The establishment of a dynamic adjustment mechanism linking predetermined rates to market rates is aimed at ensuring the stability of the insurance industry amid declining interest rates [2]. Short-term and Long-term Impacts - In the short term, the adjustment may lead to a wave of product discontinuations and pressure on new premium growth due to decreased product attractiveness [3]. - In the long term, the adjustment is expected to promote the development of participating and universal insurance products, enhancing investment returns and addressing the challenges posed by reduced interest rate spreads [3]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable operations such as China Pacific Insurance (601601), Ping An Insurance (601318), and New China Life Insurance (601336), which have greater asset flexibility [3].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.33%, while the Shanghai Elderly Industry Index reported at 7521.21 points [1] - The Shanghai Elderly Industry Index has increased by 8.07% in the past month, 11.86% in the past three months, and 12.60% year-to-date [2] - The index consists of 40 listed companies related to the elderly industry, including health management, leisure tourism, and life insurance, reflecting the overall performance of these companies in the Shanghai market [2] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the Shanghai Elderly Industry Index include: BoRui Pharmaceutical (4.55%), Ecovacs (3.05%), New China Life Insurance (2.83%), China Duty Free Group (2.72%), Tongce Medical (2.64%), Ping An Insurance (2.58%), Nanjing Tourism (2.56%), Huatai Medical (2.51%), China Pacific Insurance (2.51%), and Heng Rui Pharmaceutical (2.5%) [2] - The index is fully composed of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with the following industry distribution: Consumer Discretionary (37.07%), Healthcare (36.05%), Consumer Staples (11.55%), Financials (10.39%), and Communication Services (4.94%) [3] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [3]

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is adjusting the guaranteed interest rates for life insurance products in response to the ongoing decline in market interest rates, which is expected to promote a more sustainable development model for the industry [1]. Group 1: Interest Rate Adjustments - The current research value for the guaranteed interest rate of ordinary life insurance products is 1.99% [1]. - Traditional life insurance products' guaranteed interest rate will be reduced from 2.5% to 2.0% [1]. - For investment-type products, the guaranteed interest rate cap for participating insurance will be adjusted from 2% to 1.75%, and for universal insurance from 1.5% to 1.0% [1]. Group 2: Industry Response - Major insurance companies such as China Life, Ping An Life, Taikang Life, and ICBC-AXA Life have announced these adjustments [1]. - Insurance companies are required to complete the transition between old and new products by August 31 [1]. - Industry insiders believe that timely adjustments to the guaranteed interest rates in a low-interest-rate environment will help establish a more sustainable development model for the insurance sector [1].

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is experiencing a reduction in the preset interest rates for life insurance products due to the ongoing decline in market interest rates, which is expected to promote a more sustainable development model for the industry [1] Summary by Category Interest Rate Adjustments - The preset interest rate for traditional life insurance products has been lowered by 50 basis points (BP) from 2.5% to 2.0% [1] - The guaranteed interest rate ceiling for participating insurance products has been adjusted from 2% to 1.75% [1] - The guaranteed interest rate for universal insurance has been reduced from 1.5% to 1.0% [1] Industry Response - Major insurance companies such as China Life, Ping An Life, Taikang Life, and ICBC-AXA Life have announced these adjustments in their preset interest rates [1] - Insurance companies are required to complete the transition between old and new products by August 31 [1] Market Context - The current research value for the preset interest rate of ordinary life insurance products is reported at 1.99% [1] - Industry experts indicate that timely adjustments to preset interest rates in a low-interest-rate environment will help the industry establish a more sustainable development model [1]

富时中国A50指数连续 U.UU(U.UU%) -0.10(-1.21%) +0.07(+0.62%) 光大银行 2410.69亿市值 7.16亿成交额 4.08 -0.05(-1.21%) 得經 中国平安 中国太保 中国人保 0 3745.77亿市值 3606.67亿市值 10576.50亿市值 19.62亿成交额 7.89亿成交额 29.59亿成交额 58.08 37.49 8.47 +0.10(+0.27%) -0.56(-0.95%) +0.04(+0.47%) 酿酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 18277.68亿市值 2264.01亿市值 4795.34亿市值 61.40亿成交额 16.09亿成交额 22.85亿成交额 185.58 123.54 1455.00 -36.50(-2.45%) -4.88(-2.56%) -2.01(-1.60%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2467.60亿市值 2816.75亿市值 3288.71亿市值 50.00亿成交额 21.05亿成交额 81.33亿成交额 673.30 341.96 141.49 +3.31(+0.98%) +4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of insurance stocks is driven by multiple factors, including improvements in fundamentals, supportive policies, and favorable funding conditions [1][3][9]. Group 1: Performance Metrics - As of July 23, the A-share insurance sector saw a 2.25% increase, with New China Life leading at 2.73% [2]. - From April 1 to the present, major A-share insurance stocks have experienced gains ranging from nearly 50% to over 120%, with New China Life doubling its stock price [1][3]. - Over the past year, New China Life's stock has risen by 116.15%, while China Life and China Pacific Insurance have also shown significant increases of 59.16% and 48.51%, respectively [3]. Group 2: Fundamental Drivers - The improvement in the insurance sector's fundamentals is supported by a recovery in liabilities and assets, alongside a series of policies aimed at reducing costs and enhancing market access for insurance funds [1][9]. - Analysts predict that the insurance sector is at the beginning of a long-term upward trend, with all listed insurance companies showing investment value [1][10]. Group 3: Valuation and Investment Trends - The insurance sector is characterized by low valuations and stable dividend yields, attracting attention from public funds [3][4]. - As of the end of Q2 2025, public funds increased their holdings in insurance stocks, with the sector's valuation ranging from 0.60 to 0.93 times P/EV, indicating it remains at historical lows [4][6]. - The total dividends from five listed insurance companies for 2024 are projected to reach 907.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.21% [4]. Group 4: Regulatory Impact - Recent regulatory measures have aimed to mitigate "interest spread loss" risks, which have historically pressured valuations in the insurance sector [6][7]. - The lowering of the maximum guaranteed interest rates for various insurance products is expected to alleviate investment pressures on insurance companies [7][8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Analysts anticipate continued improvement in the insurance sector's fundamentals, driven by a combination of favorable policies and market conditions [9][12]. - The upcoming financial reports for listed insurance companies are expected to reflect sustained growth in new business value and improved profitability in various insurance segments [11][12].

Core Insights - The company has implemented a comprehensive emergency response plan for flood and typhoon situations, focusing on prevention and rapid response [1][2] - The company has achieved high efficiency in claims processing, with a 98% investigation rate within 24 hours and over 90% for rescue operations [1] - The company has utilized technology, such as drones, to expedite claims in non-auto and agricultural insurance sectors, achieving a claims settlement rate exceeding 70% [2] Group 1 - The company has established a full-cycle work mechanism for disaster management, including pre-disaster inspections, in-disaster services, and post-disaster reviews [1] - The company has set up 15 specialized teams to ensure accountability in disaster response [1] - The company has developed a pre-disaster defense plan for auto insurance, enhancing its protective network through dynamic resource supply and multi-platform early warning systems [1] Group 2 - The company effectively handled 1,776 auto insurance claims during Typhoon "Butterfly" through precise warnings and government-enterprise collaboration [2] - For Typhoon "Weipa," the company received 829 auto insurance claims with an estimated compensation amount of 603,000 yuan, achieving a 100% investigation and rescue rate within 24 hours [2] - In the agricultural insurance sector, the company completed damage assessments for 48,000 chickens within 18 hours, paying out 1.19 million yuan in claims [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly mention the overall industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q2 2025, the overall market value of A - share holdings of active equity - oriented funds decreased, while that of H - share holdings increased. The industry concentration of the top heavy - stock holdings of equity - oriented funds decreased. The communication, non - bank finance, and media industries saw significant increases in allocation ratios, while the steel, food and beverage, and coal industries had large reduction ratios [4][6]. - The structure of the top heavy - stocks of active equity - oriented funds changed. The overall number of large - market - cap leaders decreased, and the holdings of sub - industry leaders increased. The new high - growth technology stocks related to AI emerged, while traditional large - cap white - horse stocks were significantly reduced [4]. - In terms of industry leaders, the communication, non - bank finance, media, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and beauty care industries were significantly increased, while the steel, coal, real estate, social services, and food and beverage industries were significantly reduced [21]. - The report suggests focusing on four investment themes: communication and hardware upstream under AI diffusion, non - bank finance, new consumption in the Hong Kong stock market, and national defense and military industry [26] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 2025Q2 Active Fund Heavy - Stock Holding Structure Overview - **A - share and H - share holdings changes**: In Q2 2025, the total market value of active equity - oriented fund heavy - stock holdings was 1736.2 billion yuan, a 1.66% QoQ decrease. A - share holdings decreased by 2.79% QoQ to 1394.8 billion yuan, while H - share holdings increased by 3.20% QoQ to 341.3 billion yuan. Due to the complex macro - economic environment and market volatility, funds faced redemption pressure and tended to reduce large - cap stocks with poor liquidity [6]. - **Industry concentration decline**: From Q1 to Q2 2025, the industry concentration of the heavy - stock holdings of equity - oriented funds decreased. CR3 decreased by 0.56 percentage points to 38.37%, and CR5 decreased by 4.18 percentage points to 51.18%. The top five industries in terms of holding market value remained the same, but the proportion of the electronics industry increased, while the other four industries decreased [4][7]. - **Structural adjustment of industry holdings**: In Q2 2025, 12 industries saw an increase in the total market value of holdings. The communication, non - bank finance, and media industries had large increases in allocation ratios, rising by 75.88%, 64.62%, and 38.37% respectively. The steel, food and beverage, and coal industries had large reduction ratios, decreasing by 46.32%, 26.16%, and 23.99% respectively [9] 3.2 Q2 Active Fund Top Heavy - Stock Tracking - **Change in the structure of top heavy - stocks**: In Q2 2025, the structure of the top 20 heavy - stocks of active equity - oriented funds changed. The large - market - cap leaders decreased, and the sub - industry leaders increased. The market value of the top 20 heavy - stocks accounted for 20.72% of all heavy - stocks, a 2% decrease from Q1 [12]. - **Changes in the top five heavy - stocks**: The top five heavy - stocks remained the same, but the overall holdings decreased. New high - growth technology stocks such as New Fiber Optic Technology and Inphi Corporation quickly rose in the rankings, while traditional large - cap white - horse stocks such as Luxshare Precision Industry, Midea Group, and Contemporary Amperex Technology were significantly reduced [4]. - **Hong Kong stock market adjustment**: In the Hong Kong stock market, AI and Internet media leaders were reduced, while the pharmaceutical and new consumption sectors that performed well in Q2 were significantly increased [18] 3.3 Q2 Industry Leader Heavy - Stock Tracking - **Industry leader allocation changes**: In Q2 2025, the communication, non - bank finance, media, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and beauty care industries were significantly increased, while the steel, coal, real estate, social services, and food and beverage industries were significantly reduced [21]. - **Communication industry focus**: Driven by the booming demand for AI hardware, the communication industry became the focus of funds. The optical module sector, which benefits from the expansion of AI capital expenditure, was the main area for increasing communication heavy - stocks. The profitability of communication equipment is expected to continue to improve in the second half of the year [22]. - **Non - bank finance sector highlights**: The leaders of the non - bank finance sector attracted attention. The holdings of Ping An Insurance and CPIC increased by 55% and 41% respectively, and securities leaders such as Citic Securities and Huatai Securities also saw over 30% increases. The brokerage sector's performance is expected to continue to improve [23] 3.4 Investment Recommendations - **AI diffusion - related communication and hardware upstream**: The significant increase in the holdings of optical module leaders reflects that funds are extending from AI software to computing infrastructure. AI capital expenditure is expected to drive the performance of upstream sectors in the second half of the year [26]. - **Non - bank finance sector**: The concentrated increase in holdings of leaders such as Citic Securities and Ping An Insurance reflects the positive expectations of the market for the profitability improvement of the brokerage and insurance sectors. The non - bank finance sector is expected to achieve a resonance of valuation repair and performance recovery [26]. - **Hong Kong stock new consumption theme**: After the correction in the AI sector, funds refocused on consumption structure highlights, especially in the Hong Kong stock market. Sub - sectors such as pets, toys, and emotional consumption have become important directions for heavy - stock allocation [26]. - **National defense and military industry safety theme**: The significant increase in the holdings of core military stocks reflects the high attention of institutions to the "national security + high - end manufacturing" theme. The military industry has policy support, order growth, and mid - report performance improvement expectations, with medium - term allocation value [27]

富时中国A50指数连续 十几码代 长江电力 中国恢电 (发表) 1935.45亿市值 2526,38亿市值 7063.97亿市值 8.73亿成交额 31.31亿成交额 8.87亿成交额 28.87 16.31 9.41 +0.20(+1.24%) -0.31(-1.06%) -0.01(-0.11%) 证券 电池 中信证券 宁德时代 国泰海通 CATL 4453.57亿市值 3571.78亿市值 13074.73亿市值 35.22亿成交额 18.45亿成交额 34.85亿成交额 20.26 30.05 286.77 +0.27(+0.91%) +0.26(+1.30%) -0.25(-0.09%) 消费电子 互联网服务 工业富联 立讯精密 东方财富 Fil 5455.40亿市值 2719.51亿市值 3810.35亿市值 30.07亿成交额 22.61亿成交额 90.97亿成交额 37.50 27.47 24.11 +0.89(+3.35%) -0.46(-1.21%) +0.40(+1.69%) 家电行业 食品饮料 海天味业 格力电器 kk 海尔智家 2672.99亿市值 2310.30亿市值 2577.4 ...