Core Insights - Insurance capital is increasingly flowing into the primary market, driven by the dual forces of regulatory policies promoting long-term investments and a low-interest-rate environment [1][4] - China Life announced a partnership to establish a private equity fund focusing on artificial intelligence and related applications, with a total investment of 4 billion yuan [3][4] - Since 2025, there has been a surge in insurance capital entering the private equity market, with significant investments in sectors like renewable energy and biomedicine [4][5] Investment Trends - Insurance funds are actively investing in private equity, with a focus on hard technology sectors such as artificial intelligence, integrated circuits, and renewable energy [5][6] - The investment strategy aligns with national strategic directions, emphasizing high growth potential and technological barriers, which are expected to yield stable long-term returns [5][6] - The insurance sector is encouraged to support venture capital through diversified investment tools, enhancing the development of long-term and patient capital [5][6] Future Outlook - Predictions indicate that insurance capital will expand its investment scope to include more hard technology and livelihood-related industries by 2026 [6] - There is an expectation for deeper collaboration models, potentially enhancing direct investment capabilities or linking with industrial capital [6] - Insurance capital is likely to focus more on niche sectors, strengthening research and investment capabilities to navigate uncertainties while adjusting investment rhythms and exit strategies [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the brokerage sector, indicating it is currently undervalued compared to the market, with a recommendation to focus on the sector's beta attributes and potential catalysts such as upcoming earnings reports [2][3]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector has seen a significant increase in allocation from active equity funds, with the proportion of non-bank sector holdings rising to 2.96%, up 102 basis points quarter-over-quarter, surpassing the three-year average of 1.63% [2]. - The report highlights that the earnings forecasts for 2025 are showing strong growth, with companies like Everbright Securities expecting a net profit of 3.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22% [2]. - The insurance sector is experiencing a decline, with the insurance index dropping 4.62%, underperforming the market [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,702.50, with a decline of 0.62% over the week, while the non-bank index fell by 1.45% [5]. Non-Bank Sector Insights - The report notes that the brokerage sector is currently experiencing a mismatch between fundamentals and valuations, suggesting a potential for recovery as market conditions improve [2]. - Key brokerage firms such as Huatai Securities and CITIC Securities are highlighted for their strong performance and growth potential [2]. Individual Company Announcements - China Pacific Insurance reported a cumulative premium income growth of 8.1% for 2025, indicating resilience in its business model [10]. - Guotai Junan Securities anticipates a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a growth of approximately 406% [13]. - Northeast Securities expects a net profit increase of 69.06% for 2025, driven by enhanced market conditions [14]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading brokerage firms with strong competitive positions, such as Guotai Junan, GF Securities, and CITIC Securities, as well as firms with high earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities and Dongfang Securities [2]. - In the insurance sector, companies like China Life, New China Life, and Ping An are recommended for their potential value re-evaluation opportunities [2].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the brokerage sector, suggesting that it is currently in a phase of fundamental and valuation mismatch, with expectations for improvement in the first half of the year [2][6]. Core Insights - The brokerage sector has seen a significant increase in allocation by active equity funds, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 102 basis points, surpassing the three-year average [2]. - The report highlights strong earnings forecasts for 2025, with notable increases in net profits for several brokerages, including a projected 405.3% increase for Guolian Minsheng [2][16]. - The insurance sector is expected to stabilize, with a forecasted recovery in the predetermined interest rate for life insurance products, anticipated to rise to 1.96% in Q1 2026 [2][28]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,702.50 with a decline of 0.62%, while the non-bank index fell by 1.45% [6]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported changes of -0.61%, -4.02%, and +3.10%, respectively [6]. Non-Banking Sector Insights - The report notes that the China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced new guidelines for performance benchmarks for publicly offered securities investment funds, aiming to enhance transparency and accountability [8][10]. - Key announcements from individual companies include China Pacific Insurance reporting an 8.1% increase in premium income for 2025, and Guolian Minsheng forecasting a significant profit increase due to business integration [12][16]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - For brokerages, the report recommends focusing on firms with strong competitive positions, such as Guotai Junan and Citic Securities, as well as those with high earnings elasticity like Huatai Securities [2]. - In the insurance sector, the report maintains a positive medium-term outlook, recommending companies like China Life and Ping An Insurance [2]. Key Data Tracking - As of January 23, 2026, the average daily trading volume was reported at 30,388.36 billion [32]. - The margin trading balance stood at 27,249.13 billion [38].

Core Insights - The report highlights that the short-term changes in broad-based ETF shares are impacting weighted stocks, while long-term regulatory changes are constraining deviations in benchmarks [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 24, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.11%. The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.62%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.34% [10]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.80 trillion yuan, reflecting a 19% decrease compared to the previous period [5]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with marginal improvements in long-term interest spreads. The 10-year government bond yield was 1.83%, down 1 basis point from the previous week, indicating a stable economic outlook [11][14]. - The insurance sector is benefiting from regulatory changes that enhance asset-liability management capabilities, which are expected to support high growth in 2026. Key stocks to watch include China Ping An, China Life, and New China Life [14][15]. Securities Sector - The report notes a significant decline in broad-based ETF shares, with the CSI 1000 dropping by 42%, the SSE 50 by 25%, and the CSI 300 by 23%. This decline is expected to have a direct impact on the trading volumes of associated leading stocks [15][19]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced new guidelines for public fund performance benchmarks, effective March 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing stability and protecting investor interests [24][28]. Group 3: Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - China Ping An (601318.SH) has a current price of 68.40 CNY, with a target value of 85.17 CNY, indicating a buy rating. The expected EPS for 2025 is 8.91 CNY, with a PE ratio of 7.68x [6]. - New China Life (601336.SH) is rated as a buy with a target value of 94.21 CNY, and an expected EPS of 14.04 CNY for 2025, reflecting a PE ratio of 4.96x [6]. - China Pacific Insurance (601601.SH) is also rated as a buy, with a target value of 52.44 CNY and an expected EPS of 6.09 CNY for 2025, resulting in a PE ratio of 6.88x [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the non-bank financial sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [2]. Core Insights - The implementation of new regulations for public fund performance benchmarks aims to reshape the industry towards long-term value creation, moving from a "scale-oriented" to a "capability-oriented" approach [14][16]. - The insurance sector shows high efficiency in claims processing, with claim acceptance rates generally above 99%, driven by technology such as AI and big data [43][44]. Summary by Sections 1. Securities Business Overview and Weekly Review - The new public fund performance benchmark regulations will take effect on March 1, 2026, addressing issues like benchmark ambiguity and style drift, thereby enhancing the accountability of fund managers [14][15]. - The report highlights a mixed performance among major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 4,136.16 points, up 0.84% week-on-week, while the non-bank financial index fell by 1.70% [16][19]. 2. Insurance Business Overview and Weekly Review - Recent claims reports from various insurance companies indicate a high claim acceptance rate, with companies like Ping An Life achieving 99.2% [43]. - Despite high acceptance rates, consumer perceptions of "claim difficulties" persist, primarily due to misunderstandings regarding policy terms and inadequate preparation of claim materials [44]. - The average payout for critical illness insurance is around 100,000 CNY, while the average treatment cost for severe illnesses can reach 400,000 CNY, highlighting a significant coverage gap [44]. 3. Market Liquidity Tracking - The central bank's net injection in the open market was 9,795 billion CNY for the week of January 19-23, 2026, indicating ongoing liquidity management efforts [49].

Core Viewpoint - The non-bank financial sector is underweight, with a total underweight of 3.08 percentage points, despite an increase in holdings in the fourth quarter, indicating potential investment opportunities as resident funds enter the market under a low interest rate environment [1][4]. Group 1: Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector has received an increase in allocation, with public funds (excluding passive index funds) raising their holding ratio from 0.85% to 1.08%, still underweight by 2.30 percentage points [2]. - The Wind All A Index rose by 0.97% in the fourth quarter, with a quarterly stock fund transaction volume of 24.5 trillion, indicating active market trading that has led to increased fund allocation to the brokerage sector [2]. - Notable individual stock increases include Citic Securities' holding ratio rising from 0.1687% to 0.3132% and Huatai Securities' from 0.1579% to 0.1989% [2]. Group 2: Insurance Sector - The allocation ratio for the insurance sector significantly increased from 1.03% to 2.13%, with an underweight of 0.33%, and the insurance index rose by 23.42% in the fourth quarter [3]. - Individual stock increases include China Life's holding ratio rising from 0.019% to 0.020%, Ping An's from 0.68% to 1.449%, and China Pacific Insurance's from 0.22% to 0.422% [3]. - The expectation of continued capital inflow and a focus on undervalued targets supports the recommendation for insurance stocks [3]. Group 3: Multi-Financial and Fintech Sectors - The allocation ratio for the multi-financial and fintech sectors decreased from 0.204% to 0.145% [3]. - Individual stocks such as Lakala and Yuexiu Financial Holdings received increased allocations, with holding ratios rising from 0% to 0.0027% and 0% to 0.0025%, respectively [3]. - The outlook remains positive for financial information services, third-party payments, and equity investment opportunities due to ongoing policy support for capital inflow and advancements in digital currency and AI applications [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The non-bank sector remains underweight, with a total underweight of 3.08 percentage points, suggesting four key investment opportunities: 1) Wealth management opportunities in fintech and brokerage due to resident funds entering the market [4]. 2) Valuation recovery opportunities in the insurance sector as interest rates stabilize [4]. 3) Profit enhancement opportunities for third-party payment companies from the expansion of digital currency scenarios [4]. 4) Broader exit channels for equity investment institutions due to an increase in IPOs in the tech sector [4].

Regulatory Dynamics - Nine departments support insurance institutions to develop commercial health insurance products suitable for drug retail scenarios and encourage the development of drone delivery liability insurance [6][7] - The Ministry of Finance announced that the central government will allocate approximately 1.2 trillion yuan for basic pension insurance subsidies in 2025 [9] - The Ministry of Finance stated that agricultural insurance premiums are expected to exceed 155 billion yuan in 2025, with nearly 80% coming from government subsidies [11] - The People's Bank of China maintained the 1-year and 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.0% and 3.5% respectively [14] - The National Bureau of Statistics projected a GDP growth of 5% for 2025, with industrial added value growth of 5.9% [15] Company Dynamics - China Life plans to invest 4 billion yuan to establish a partnership focusing on technology innovation in the Yangtze River Delta region [26] - China Life's overseas total assets exceeded 452.8 billion HKD, participating in multiple star innovation enterprises' equity investments [27] - China Life's overseas company subscribed to approximately 2.4 billion HKD in Hong Kong's multi-currency digital green bonds [28] - China Pacific Insurance's cumulative original insurance premium income for 2025 is projected to be 258.115 billion yuan, an increase of 8.1% year-on-year [34] - China Taiping expects a 215% to 225% increase in annual profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 compared to the previous year [33] Industry Dynamics - Seven Chinese insurance companies ranked in the "2026 Global Brand Value 500" list, with Ping An at 32nd and China Life at 104th [55] - The insurance asset management sector registered 314 plans in 2025, with a total scale of 510.443 billion yuan, showing a decrease in both quantity and scale year-on-year [58] - The insurance industry is expected to see a "double increase" in premiums and profits in 2025, benefiting from a rising equity market [56][57] - The cumulative payout for Zhong An Insurance in 2025 reached 17.9 billion yuan, with AI integrated into the entire claims process [38][39]

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- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors for analysis, as it primarily focuses on the analysis of active equity funds' holdings, preferences, and structural changes in Q4 2025[3][6][7] - The report provides detailed insights into the number, scale, and allocation preferences of active equity funds, including their industry and sectoral adjustments, but does not include any specific quantitative models or factor construction methodologies[3][6][7] - The analysis highlights the changes in fund holdings and preferences, such as increased allocation to cyclical and financial sectors and reduced allocation to technology and healthcare, but no quantitative models or factors are discussed[44][48][49]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the non-bank financial sector [5][14]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the non-bank sector is currently underweight by 3.08 percentage points, despite an increase in holdings during the fourth quarter of 2025. It emphasizes the potential for profit improvement and low valuations in non-bank stocks due to the influx of household funds into the market [3][5]. - The report notes a significant increase in the allocation to the insurance sector, with the proportion rising from 1.03% to 2.13%, while the insurance index saw a substantial increase of 23.42% in the fourth quarter [5][8]. - The report suggests that the brokerage sector has also received increased allocations, with public fund holdings rising from 0.85% to 1.08%, although it remains underweight by 2.30 percentage points [5][8]. Summary by Sections Non-Bank Sector - The non-bank sector remains underweight overall by 3.08 percentage points, with a positive outlook for long-term capital inflows and wealth management opportunities [5][8]. - Specific recommendations include increasing holdings in companies such as Jiufang Zhituo Holdings, Tonghuashun, Guoxin Securities, and others, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing market dynamics [5][8]. Insurance Sector - The insurance sector's allocation has increased significantly, with a focus on low-valuation stocks as capital continues to flow into the market. The report recommends increasing holdings in China Life, Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance [5][8]. Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector has seen a rise in public fund holdings, with notable increases in individual stocks like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities. The report suggests that the retail business share is likely to improve, making these stocks attractive [5][8]. Financial Technology and Diversified Finance - The report indicates a decrease in the allocation to diversified finance and financial technology sectors, but highlights potential investment opportunities in companies like Lakala and Yuexiu Financial Holdings due to ongoing policy support and technological advancements [5][8].