免税城购物体验持续升级。目前已形成"线上+线下"融合模式，消费者凭离岛机票、船票或火车票 信息即可购买免税商品；提货方式包括机场和港口自提、邮寄送达、返岛自提等。依托智能物流系统， 商品能够高效送达，购物便利度显著提升。 海南全岛封关运作后，其"零关税"等核心政策将塑造更具成本优势和便利度的贸易环境，有助于吸 引更多国际品牌在琼设立区域总部和物流中心，从而间接丰富免税城的商品种类与供应。 免税城同步 打造海南特色商品专区，陶瓷、茶叶、本土咖啡等国货深受境外游客喜爱，并依托多语种服务团队和多 元支付方式，持续优化跨境消费体验。 在消费升级和封关政策双重驱动下，免税城由"卖商品"加速向"卖体验"转型。免税城一期二号地酒 店项目和三期中免太古里项目正稳步推进，将通过酒店、商业综合体等配套延展"吃住行游购娱"全链条 人民网三亚11月21日电 （孙书宇、徐靖雯、马康美、萨拉）海南自贸港封关运作临近，三亚海棠 湾的cdf三亚国际免税城客流持续攀升。多语种导视、国际支付等服务不断完善，这座以免税商业为核 心的国家4A级旅游景区正成为我国高水平对外开放的窗口。 11月1日起实施的离岛免税新政，将免税商品品类由45大类扩至47 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail industry [1]. Core Insights - The Hainan Free Trade Port has entered the final 30-day sprint phase for its full closure operation, which began on November 18. The port optimization and "second-line" regulatory facility construction are nearing completion, with the expectation of achieving a regulatory framework of "first-line opening, second-line management, and island-wide freedom" [4][9]. - The policy framework post-closure focuses on "zero tariffs, low tax rates, and simplified tax systems." Approximately 6,600 products will benefit from zero tariffs, covering most production equipment and raw materials, allowing companies to save about 20% on import tax costs. Additionally, encouraged industries will enjoy a 15% corporate income tax rate, significantly reducing operational costs [10]. - The adjustment of the duty-free shopping policy for departing island travelers was implemented on November 11, which has led to a 28.52% year-on-year increase in duty-free sales amounting to 1.325 billion yuan as of November 17 [10]. Summary by Sections Industry Viewpoint - The report highlights the operational upgrade of port management as a critical step towards establishing a high-level free trade port system, facilitating the free flow of various elements within Hainan [9]. Market Review - For the week of November 17 to November 21, the retail index decreased by 7.24%, while the overall market indices also experienced declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 3.90% [12]. Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for various companies, indicating that companies like China Duty Free Group, Wangfujing, and Hainan Airport are expected to benefit from the duty-free shopping policy adjustments [11][19].

Group 1 - The tourism retail sector experienced a decline of 3.28% on November 21, with China Duty Free Group leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] - China Duty Free Group's closing price was 79.05, reflecting a decrease of 3.28%, with a trading volume of 454,100 shares and a transaction value of 3.657 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The tourism retail sector saw a net outflow of 350 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 235 million yuan [1] - The breakdown of fund flows indicates that institutional investors had a net outflow of 350 million yuan, accounting for -9.58%, while speculative funds had a net inflow of 1.16 million yuan, representing 3.16% [1] - Retail investors had a net inflow of 2.35 million yuan, which corresponds to 6.41% of the total [1]

Core Insights - The collaboration between CITIC Bank, China Duty Free Group, and China UnionPay marks a significant step in integrating finance with tourism retail, launching a co-branded credit card in Sanya [2][3][4] - This initiative aims to enhance consumer experience and support China's strategy to boost domestic demand and consumption quality [2][3] Company Developments - The co-branded credit card leverages the strengths of each partner: China Duty Free Group's nationwide duty-free network, CITIC Bank's comprehensive financial services, and China UnionPay's secure payment infrastructure [2][3] - The card features various benefits such as cashback, points redemption, and travel insurance, designed to lower the barriers for high-quality duty-free shopping [5][6] Policy and Market Dynamics - Recent macroeconomic policies have prioritized consumer spending, with the People's Bank of China and other departments emphasizing financial support for consumption [3] - The optimization of Hainan's duty-free policies has led to a significant increase in duty-free shopping, with a reported 34.86% year-on-year growth in the first week of new policy implementation [3] Consumer Benefits - The co-branded credit card offers tiered membership benefits, including direct matching to China Duty Free's membership for certain cardholders and exclusive discounts [5] - Cashback incentives are available for new cardholders, with potential annual returns of up to 1200 yuan based on spending [5] Strategic Vision - The collaboration is not just a product innovation but also an exploration of mechanisms to integrate consumer data, marketing resources, and risk management [6] - Future plans include expanding the "financial + tourism retail" model to more regions and scenarios, aiming to provide sustainable business solutions for domestic demand expansion [6]

Group 1 - The tourism retail sector experienced a decline of 0.81% on November 20, with China Duty Free Group leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05, down 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12980.82, down 0.76% [1] - China Duty Free Group's closing price was 81.73, reflecting a decrease of 0.81%, with a trading volume of 405,400 shares and a transaction value of 3.347 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The tourism retail sector saw a net inflow of 43.81 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 90.78 million yuan [1] - The net inflow from speculative funds was 46.97 million yuan, indicating a mixed sentiment among different investor types [1] - China Duty Free Group had a net inflow of 43.81 million yuan from institutional investors, accounting for 1.31% of the total, while retail investors had a net outflow of 90.78 million yuan, representing -2.71% [1]

Core Insights - The launch of the co-branded credit card by CITIC Bank, China Duty Free Group, and China UnionPay represents an innovative integration of finance and tourism retail, enhancing consumer experiences and supporting national strategies for expanding domestic demand and improving duty-free consumption [1][4]. Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The collaboration aims to leverage the strengths of CITIC Bank's diverse financial services and China Duty Free Group's extensive duty-free network to create a secure and convenient payment ecosystem [4][5]. - The initiative aligns with national policies promoting consumption, as evidenced by the recent increase in duty-free shopping amounts, which reached 5.06 billion yuan in the first week of November, a year-on-year growth of 34.86% [4]. Group 2: Product Features - The co-branded credit card offers multiple tiers, including Gold, i- Platinum, and Platinum cards, catering to different customer needs with benefits such as membership, points, cashback, and insurance coverage [6][8]. - Specific benefits include a cashback offer of up to 1,200 yuan for new cardholders who meet monthly spending requirements, and insurance coverage for theft and flight delays, enhancing consumer confidence in travel and shopping [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The partnership is expected to drive a transformation in tourism consumption from a "flow economy" to a "retention economy," as it aims to lower the barriers to high-quality consumption [8]. - The three parties plan to continue optimizing products and services based on consumer needs, exploring further possibilities in the "finance + tourism retail" space to contribute to the high-quality development of China's consumer market [8].

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (中国中免) shares rose over 4%, reaching HKD 74.1 with a trading volume of HKD 180 million, driven by positive developments regarding Hainan Free Trade Port preparations [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Duty Free Group's stock increased by 4.07% as of the latest report [1] - The company reported a significant sales performance during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, with total sales exceeding HKD 950 million, marking a year-on-year growth of 40.4% [1] - On the day of "Double Eleven," sales surpassed HKD 100 million, indicating strong consumer demand [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The Hainan Free Trade Port is set to commence full operations in one month, with customs preparations nearly complete [1] - Recent data from Haikou Customs indicated that from November 1 to 7, the duty-free shopping amount in Hainan reached HKD 506 million, with a year-on-year increase of 34.86% [1] - The number of shoppers during the same period was 72,900, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.37% [1] - Guosheng Securities highlighted that as a leading player in the duty-free sector, China Duty Free Group stands to benefit from the recovery and growth potential across various duty-free shopping channels [1]

Group 1: China Duty Free Group (601888.SH) - The company is positioned as a leading player in the duty-free market, benefiting from policy support for duty-free consumption, with growth potential in offshore, port, and city duty-free sales [2] - The company is enhancing its online, store, and supply chain capabilities, indicating a long-term strategic layout that is expected to yield benefits as domestic travel and consumption gradually recover [2] - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 54.69 billion, 61.02 billion, and 65.67 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be 3.72 billion, 4.65 billion, and 5.32 billion yuan, translating to EPS of 1.80, 2.25, and 2.57 yuan per share [2] Group 2: XPeng Motors (09868.HK) - The company is experiencing pressure on its main business profitability but has exceeded expectations in technical collaborations, with a strong product cycle and rapid growth overseas [3] - Sales forecasts for the company are approximately 440,000, 700,000, and 910,000 vehicles for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with total revenues projected at 77.3 billion, 124.3 billion, and 154.2 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The collaboration with Volkswagen is expected to deepen, with anticipated profits of around 2.7 billion yuan from this partnership in 2026, and the overall valuation of the company is estimated at 228.3 billion HKD [3]

Group 1 - The tourism retail sector experienced a decline of 3.1% on November 19, with China Duty Free Group leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3946.74, up 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13080.09, unchanged [1] - China Duty Free Group's stock closed at 82.40, reflecting a decrease of 3.10% with a trading volume of 525,200 shares and a transaction value of 4.353 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The tourism retail sector saw a net outflow of 689 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 587 million yuan [1] - The breakdown of fund flows indicates that institutional investors had a net outflow of 15.83%, while retail investors accounted for 13.49% of the net inflow [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the majority of the covered companies in the consumer services and retail sectors [5][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant improvements in hotel and duty-free data, recommending stocks such as ShouLai Hotel, JinJiang Hotel, China Duty Free, and Huazhu [4]. - It emphasizes low valuation and high dividend yields, recommending stocks like Action Education, Sumida, and Chongqing Department Store [4]. - The report notes the impact of tax reforms on gold companies, recommending stocks such as Laopu Gold and Caibai [4]. - AI advancements are noted to exceed expectations, with recommendations for stocks like Kangnait Optical, Fenbi, and Tianli International Holdings [4]. Industry Updates - Consumer Services: JD's external delivery service is set to operate independently, while Meituan has launched a campaign to honor Ele.me with a name change and coupon distribution [4]. Meituan's flash purchase platform reported record high transaction volumes and user spending during the Double 11 shopping festival, with nearly 400 product categories seeing over 100% year-on-year growth [4]. - Retail: The 2025 Kuaishou Double 11 shopping festival concluded with a GMV increase of over 77% for major brands, while Hema Fresh opened its first store in Huzhou [4]. The total e-commerce sales during Double 11 reached approximately 1.695 trillion yuan, a 14.2% increase year-on-year [4]. - Company Announcements: Zhiou Technology approved a cash dividend distribution plan, while Anker Innovation plans to issue H shares for global expansion [4]. Financial Projections - The report provides profit forecasts for key companies in the consumer services and retail sectors, indicating expected growth in net profits for various companies over the next few years [5][9]. - For example, Zhou Dafu is projected to achieve a net profit of 80.64 billion yuan in 2025, while Action Education is expected to reach 3.04 billion yuan [5]. Dividend and ROE Analysis - The report includes a detailed analysis of dividend yields, payout ratios, and return on equity (ROE) for key companies, highlighting that Chongqing Department Store has a dividend yield of 12.2% and a payout ratio of 45.4% [9]. - Other notable companies include Haidilao with a 0% dividend yield and a high ROE of 47.4%, and Laopu Gold with a dividend yield of 1.9% and a payout ratio of 46.1% [9].