该行上调其覆盖的中国铜业及金矿股2026至2027年的盈利预测，幅度介乎9%至33%，首选股份为紫金 矿业及洛阳钼业，因其不单止受惠于商品价格上升，其铜及黄金产量亦将同步增长。该行上调紫金矿业 2026至2027年经常性盈利预测14%至18%，H股目标价由39.5港元升至52港元，A股目标价由38元升至50 元，维持"买入"评级。 高盛发表报告，将2026至2027年金价预测上调10%至16%，预计2026年均价为每盎司4978美元，2027年 上半年为每盎司5585美元。该行同时调升2026年铜价预测7%至每吨12200美元。 同时，该行上调洛阳钼业2026至2027年经常性盈利预测20%至24%，H股目标价由21.5港元升至27港 元，A股目标价由21.5元升至28元，亦维持"买入"评级。 ...

截至2026年1月29日 10:57，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)强势上涨2.91%，成分股晓程科技上 涨12.31%，中国黄金上涨10.02%，西部黄金上涨10.01%，湖南黄金，白银有色等个股跟涨。黄金股票 ETF基金(159322)上涨1.16%，最新价报2.53元。 贵金属板块继续大涨，消息面上，现货黄金首次突破5500美元/盎司大关。此外，法兴银行预计年底前 黄金价格将达到每盎司6000美元。 国泰海通证券分析指出，在供需紧平衡格局下，宏观因素对贵金属价格走势更具决定性影响；2026年美 联储降息预期延续、区域博弈加剧及美元信用弱化趋势共同推升避险需求，而全球央行持续增持黄金作 为外汇储备替代资产的行动，叠加黄金ETF资金流入回暖，将持续为金价提供坚实底部支撑。 黄金股票ETF基金紧密跟踪中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数从内地与香港 市场中，选取50只市值较大且业务涉及黄金采掘、冶炼、销售的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映内 地与香港市场中黄金产业上市公司证券的整体表现。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，中证沪深港黄金产业股票指数(931238)前十大权重股 ...

紫金矿业成交额达200亿元，现跌0.52%。 ...

28 January 2026 | 7:31PM HKT Equity Research CHINA METALS & MINING: BASE METALS Raising earnings on higher copper and gold prices; Maintain Buy on Zijin and CMOC We revise up earnings by 9-33% for 2026-27E for Chinese copper and gold stocks under our coverage by incorporating the latest commodity price forecast from the global team and the latest company updates. We remain positive on copper and gold names under our coverage. Our preferred names are Zijin and CMOC as both companies will not only benefit fro ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily focus on the copper industry, discussing market dynamics, supply-demand factors, and price movements related to copper [1][2][3][4][5]. Key Points and Arguments Market Disturbances - Recent market disturbances affecting copper fundamentals include: - Nvidia's reduction in copper usage for AI applications [1] - The U.S. postponement of tariffs on critical minerals, which has put pressure on copper fundamentals and contributed to weaker copper prices compared to other metals [1][2]. Price Discrepancies - There is a notable divergence in copper prices between COMEX and LME markets: - COMEX prices weakened due to the U.S. tariff postponement [1]. - LME experienced significant warehouse congestion, with the near-term TOMORROW and NEXT contract price spread soaring to $100, marking the highest increase since 1998 [1]. Inventory Dynamics - North America has seen a hidden inventory of 20,000 tons returned to M1 due to high prices, with New Orleans inventory exceeding 10,000 tons, alleviating LME's low inventory concerns [2]. - The near-term copper price remains weak, while the long-term structure appears healthy, indicating a potential price advantage for U.S. electrolytic copper imports [2]. Supply and Demand Forecast - Short-term copper supply disruptions are expected to support prices, particularly due to a strike at the Capstone copper-gold mine in northern Chile, which has reduced capacity to about 30% [2]. - Current global copper mine production disruption rates are between 5%-6%, affecting profit transmission to capital expenditures and supply [2]. Price Trends and Economic Indicators - Copper prices are anticipated to remain stable before the Spring Festival, potentially underperforming compared to zinc and aluminum, but with limited downside [3]. - The gold-to-copper ratio has recently surged, indicating optimistic market expectations for economic recovery and potential copper price appreciation [3]. Structural Demand Growth - Copper demand is closely tied to electricity consumption, with historical trends showing a correlation between U.S. copper usage and GDP growth [3]. - The anticipated rise in AI-related expenditures is expected to drive infrastructure development, similar to the internet boom from 1990-2000, potentially increasing copper demand [4]. Long-term Supply Constraints - Long-term supply challenges include: - Low capital expenditures in copper mining over the past decade, with insufficient initial investments [4]. - Increased labor tensions and resource protection policies in producing countries, leading to higher production disruption rates [4]. Investment Opportunities - The structural tightness in copper supply and demand suggests a continued bullish outlook for copper prices [5]. - Key resource stocks to consider include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining, with a focus on companies improving copper self-sufficiency [5]. Recent Developments in Core Assets - Luoyang Molybdenum is set to complete the acquisition of three gold mines in Brazil, with an estimated contribution of approximately 2.5 billion yuan [6]. - Zijin Mining's acquisition of three gold mining areas in Côte d'Ivoire is expected to significantly increase production and reduce costs [6]. - The copper self-sufficiency improvement projects are projected to yield substantial performance growth, benefiting from macroeconomic recovery expectations [6].

资金流向方面，申万31个一级行业中有27个行业获融资净买入，其中，有色金属行业获融资净买入额居首，当日净买入59.68亿元；获融资净买入居前的行 业还有通信、计算机、建筑装饰、非银金融、医药生物等。 个股方面，64只股获融资净买入额超1亿元。紫金矿业获融资净买入额居首，净买入14.71亿元；融资净买入金额居前的还有天孚通信、中国平安、网宿科 技、恒运昌、长江电力、贵州茅台、江西铜业、寒武纪、北方稀土等。 | 序号 | 证券代码 ◆ | 证券简称 = | 交易日期 = | 融资净买入额(万元) ◆ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 601899.SH | 紫雯贴,亚 | 2026-01-28 | 147,056.65 | | 2 | 300394.SZ | 天孚通信 | 2026-01-28 | 82,518.08 | | 3 | 601318.SH | 中国平安 | 2026-01-28 | 79,295.45 | | ব | 300017.SZ | 网宿科技 | 2026-01-28 | 74,754.02 | | 5 | 688785.SH | 恒运昌 | 2 ...

Market Overview - On January 28, A-share indices showed divergence, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% to 4151.24 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.97 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 70.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Net outflow of main funds amounted to 43.598 billion yuan, with the non-ferrous metals sector seeing the highest net inflow, while the photovoltaic equipment sector experienced the largest net outflow [1] Key Stocks - The top ten popular stocks included Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Silver (core stock), Hunan Silver, China Aluminum, Zijin Mining, China Gold, Luoyang Molybdenum, LEO Technology, Jushi Group, and Intercontinental Oil and Gas [1][2] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - Tongling Nonferrous Metals is influenced by multiple external factors, including geopolitical tensions driving up precious metal prices and tight global copper supply coupled with surging demand in the new energy sector [3] - The company is advancing resource expansion, with the Ecuador Mirador copper mine phase II project pending approval, which will significantly enhance its resource self-sufficiency [3] Silver Sector - Silver (core stock) performance is driven by both industry and company-level factors, with international precious metal prices rising and the company planning to invest 1.5 billion yuan to establish a gold subsidiary and participate in gold mining rights acquisition [3] - Hunan Silver, as the only A-share listed company focused on pure silver, benefits from external factors such as geopolitical risk and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which have increased demand for silver [3] Aluminum Sector - China Aluminum is affected by policy, industry, company, and market factors, with the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission incorporating "market value management" into the assessment of central enterprises [4] - The supply-demand dynamics in the electrolytic aluminum market have reversed, leading to price increases due to supply constraints [4] Gold Sector - Zijin Mining's increased attention stems from significant strategic acquisitions and favorable industry conditions, including a major overseas gold mine acquisition worth 28 billion yuan and rising international gold prices [4] - China Gold is supported by macro and micro factors, including historical highs in international gold prices and domestic gold jewelry price increases, alongside a trend of central banks purchasing gold [4] Molybdenum Sector - Luoyang Molybdenum's market performance is based on strong fundamentals and industry value, with continuous record-breaking net profits and a diverse portfolio of key mineral resources [5] Technology Sector - LEO Technology is gaining attention due to its involvement in popular sectors, particularly AI applications and liquid cooling technologies, with significant partnerships with leading companies like Huawei and NVIDIA [6]

从融资买入额占当日总成交金额比重来看，有4只个股融资买入额占比超30%。其中汇通控股、吉贝 尔、光明肉业融资买入额占成交额比重排名前三，分别为33.19%、32.13%、31.96%。 A股1月28日共有3766只个股获融资资金买入，有646股买入金额超亿元。其中，紫金矿业、中际旭创、 新易盛融资买入金额排名前三，分别获买入32.67亿元、25.64亿元、20.84亿元。 从融资净买入金额来看，有64只个股获融资净买入超亿元。其中，紫金矿业、天孚通信、中国平安融资 净买入金额排名前三，分别获净买入14.71亿元、8.25亿元、7.93亿元。 ...

金价再迈新台阶，现货黄金首次突破5500美元／盎司大关，本周金价从略低于5000美元的水平一路狂 飙，连破6道整百关口，周涨幅超500美元。而在黄金价格持续走强的市场环境下，与黄金挂钩的基金产 品也随之迎来空前热度，黄金相关主题ETF成为资金追逐的焦点，展现出极强的吸金能力。 多只黄金ETF涨停 宽基ETF"定时"成交量放大 28日，全市场ETF中，涨幅前十的ETF有9只为黄金股和有色相关ETF，其中3只黄金股相关ETF涨停。 在ETF两融资金下降的态势下，超过百亿"真金白银"逆势抢筹黄金股ETF。截至当日收盘，国泰基金黄 金股票ETF（517400）涨10%，永赢基金黄金股ETF（517520）涨9.99%，平安基金黄金股ETF （159322）涨10.02%。同时，涨势喜人的还有华安基金黄金股ETF（159321）涨9.93%，工银瑞信黄金 股ETF（159315）涨9.67%，华夏基金黄金股ETF（159562）涨9.25%。 | 序号 | 证券代码 A | 证券简称 | A 涨跌停状态 | 1 其余场内简称 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | [交易日期 ...

宏观与产业形成共振，铜的战略价值持续提升。全球地缘政治冲突加剧，铜作为关键矿产的战略属性凸 显，各国对资源的掌控力度持续加强。美元信用削弱趋势下，铜与贵金属的联动性增强，在避险情绪与 通胀预期的双重作用下，资金对铜的配置需求提升。中长期来看，AI数据中心、新能源汽车、储能等 新兴领域快速发展，将持续打开铜的需求天花板，而供给端的刚性约束难以短期缓解，供需紧平衡格局 将长期维持，铜价中枢有望逐步上移。 据新华社报道，国际黄金期货价格和现货价格29日再创新高，盘中突破每盎司5500美元。 近期工业金属板块表现亮眼，资金关注度持续提升。作为工业金属的核心品种，铜正从传统工业金属升 级为战略资产，这会如何定义其未来的价值？请看机构最新研判。 近期，有色板块中铜品种表现亮眼，资金关注度显著提升。这轮行情的核心支撑，主要来自供需两端的 共振。供给端，全球铜矿资本开支不足，矿端扰动频发，铜精矿供需格局由紧平衡转向短缺；需求端， 国内经济复苏带动下游补库，海外降息周期打开流动性宽松空间，铜的金融属性与商品属性形成正向循 环。 具体来看，供给端约束持续强化，成为铜价的核心支撑。全球铜矿长期资本开支不足，叠加矿山品位下 降、地缘 ...