股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年6月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 紫金礦業集團股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年7月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601899 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 20,591,232,240 | RMB | | 0.1 | RMB | | 2,059,123,224 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 20,591,232,240 | RMB | | 0.1 | RMB | | 2,059,123,224 | ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.62%, gaining 148 points to close at 24,220 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.27%. The early trading volume in Hong Kong was HKD 135.2 billion [1]. Copper Industry - Recent strong performance in copper prices has led institutions to believe that prices are likely to rise further. Copper mining stocks generally increased, with China Nonferrous Mining (01258) up by 2%, Zijin Mining (601899) (02899) up by 2.99%, and Jiangxi Copper (600362) (00358) up by 2.36% [1]. Cobalt Market - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) (03993) saw a 4.14% increase, reaching a new high, as Bank of America noted that soaring cobalt prices offset the impact of extended cobalt export bans [2]. Gold Sector - Most gold stocks rose, with Shandong Gold (600547) (01787) increasing by 6.24% to reach a new peak, and Zijin Mining (02899) rising over 2.99% [3]. Banking Sector - Chinese banks' stocks experienced broad gains in early trading, with institutions indicating that H-shares are more attractive compared to A-shares. Notable increases included Minsheng Bank (600016) (01988) up by 4.72%, CITIC Bank (601998) (00998) up by 2.54%, and China Construction Bank (601939) (00939) up by 3.16% [3]. Photovoltaic Industry - The news of production cuts in photovoltaic glass has been confirmed, leading to expectations of accelerated elimination of outdated capacity in the industry. Stocks in this sector rose significantly, with Fuyao Glass (601865) (06865) up by 8.4% and Xinyi Solar (00968) up by 7.63% [3]. Beverage Sector - Nayuki's Tea (02150) surged over 35%, with a continuous two-month double-digit growth in order volume, indicating significant growth potential [4]. Food Industry - Guoquan (02517) rose over 18% after announcing plans to invest HKD 490 million in a food production base in Hainan, with institutions noting a recovery in same-store sales [5]. Jewelry Sector - Luk Fook Holdings (00590) increased by 3.99%, with institutions stating that the operational performance for the second half of the fiscal year 2025 exceeded expectations, and the company plans to resume store expansion [6]. Biotechnology Sector - JACOB-23E73 completed its first patient dosing in the U.S. for Phase I/IIa clinical trials, leading to a rise of over 7% in shares of JACOB (01167) [7]. Automotive Sector - Li Auto-W (02015) fell by 2.4%, with June delivery volumes down 24% year-on-year, following a previous downward revision of second-quarter guidance [8].

Group 1: ESG Investment Strategy - The ESG selection strategy for the CSI 300 has shown an absolute return of 2.97% in June, with a total return of 1% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.83 as of June 29 [2][3] - The ESG sentiment integration strategy also performed well, achieving a total return of 3% in June, with a Sharpe ratio of 3.15 [2][3] Group 2: Chemical Industry - Brent oil prices are expected to fluctuate between $60 and $70 per barrel, with supply and demand dynamics being crucial for industry profitability [10][8] - The chemical industry is anticipated to benefit from domestic economic stimulus policies, leading to structural opportunities driven by domestic demand [10][8] Group 3: Home Appliances - The home appliance sector experienced a decline of 3.30% in June, with concerns over the slowing of government subsidies and intense competition during the 618 shopping festival [13][14] - The market is expected to see a cooling in retail growth rates for home appliances starting in July, particularly due to high base effects from previous subsidies [14][16] Group 4: Zijin Mining - Zijin Mining announced the acquisition of the Raygorodok gold mine for $1.2 billion, which is expected to significantly enhance its resource base in Central Asia [20][22] - The Raygorodok mine has a projected annual gold production of approximately 5.5 tons, contributing to the company's goal of reaching 100-110 tons of gold production by 2028 [23][22] Group 5: North Exchange Market - The North Exchange's index rose by 6.84%, with increased trading activity and a focus on new industries such as artificial intelligence and commercial aerospace [26][28] - The market is expected to maintain high levels of trading activity and investor interest, particularly in emerging sectors with unique business models [28][26]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively declined in the morning session, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.42%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.84% [1] - The total market turnover for the half-day was 867.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 113.8 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with over 3,200 stocks declining [1] Sector Performance - The marine engineering, aquaculture, photovoltaic, and non-ferrous metal sectors showed the highest gains, while computing hardware, semiconductors, brain-computer interfaces, and diversified finance sectors experienced the largest declines [2] - The marine engineering sector saw a collective surge, with stocks like Deepwater Haina (300961), Dalian Heavy Industry (002204), and Shenkai Co. (002278) hitting the daily limit [2] - Photovoltaic concept stocks also rallied, with Yijing Optoelectronics (600537), Oujing Technology (001269), and Yamaton (002623) reaching the daily limit [2] - The banking sector remained active, with China Construction Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank reaching new highs [2] - The non-ferrous metal sector was also active, with Jingyi Co. (002295) hitting the daily limit and Zijin Mining reaching a new high [2] - In contrast, computing hardware and semiconductor stocks collectively declined, with stocks like Blue Arrow Electronics (301348), Taiji Co. (300046), and Kexiang Co. (300903) leading the losses [2] - The diversified finance and digital currency sectors showed weakness, with Aijian Group (600643) hitting the daily limit down, and other stocks like Hongye Futures (001236), Cuiwei Co. (603123), and Lakala (300773) also declining [2] Notable Stocks - The strongest stocks included Chengbang Co. (603316) with five consecutive limits, and several stocks with three consecutive limits such as Kai Mei Teqi (002549) and Xuedilong (002658) [3][4] Hot Sectors - The marine engineering sector was the top performer with 11 stocks hitting the daily limit, while the nuclear power sector had 10 stocks hitting the daily limit [5][6] - The Belt and Road sector also had 10 stocks hitting the daily limit, with notable stocks including Kangda New Materials (002669) and Hailide (002206) [7] Sector Insights - The marine engineering sector is expected to benefit from the emphasis on high-quality development of the marine economy as highlighted in the Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting [10] - In the photovoltaic sector, a collective production cut of 30% by major glass manufacturers is anticipated to address supply-demand imbalances, with July's glass supply expected to decrease to 45GW [11] - The non-ferrous metal sector is influenced by renewed discussions on copper tariffs and low LME inventories, with expectations of copper prices remaining strong in the second half of the year [12]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector has experienced significant stock price increases, particularly with North Copper rising over 7%, driven by market dynamics and external factors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - North Copper's stock increased by over 7% during the trading session [1] - Other companies such as Jingyi Co., Zijin Mining, Western Mining, Jincheng Mining, Electric Alloy, Zhongfu Industrial, Tianshan Aluminum, and Baiyin Nonferrous also saw price increases [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - A report from Wukuang Securities highlighted renewed discussions around U.S. copper tariffs, alongside low LME (London Metal Exchange) inventory levels leading to warehouse congestion [1] - The LME copper prices have broken through their previous trading range and are showing a strong upward trend [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The market is advised to monitor the results and implementation timeline of the Section 232 investigation, as copper prices are expected to rise ahead of any potential tariff imposition [1]

Group 1 - The A500ETF by Jiashi has shown significant liquidity with a turnover rate of 3.09% and a transaction volume of 5.21 billion yuan. Over the past month, the average daily transaction volume reached 30.28 billion yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - In terms of scale, the A500ETF by Jiashi experienced a growth of 16.53 billion yuan in the past week, indicating substantial growth. The fund's shares increased by 16.17 billion shares in the same period [3] - The fund has seen a net inflow of capital, with 4 out of the last 5 trading days recording a total net inflow of 18.28 billion yuan [3] Group 2 - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 Index include Kweichow Moutai, CATL, Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, Yangtze Power, Midea Group, Zijin Mining, BYD, and Dongfang Caifu, collectively accounting for 20.67% of the index [3] - Yingda Securities suggests a relatively clear upward trend in the mid-term market, with A-shares expected to continue a fluctuating upward trend due to the implementation of financial support policies for high-quality development and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3] - Zhongyuan Securities notes that the pace of long-term capital entering the market is accelerating, with steady growth in ETF scale and continuous inflow of insurance funds, providing significant support for the market [4]

Group 1 - The Central Financial Committee meeting has outlined six major tasks to deepen the construction of a unified national market and promote high-quality development of the marine economy, which aims to leverage China's comparative advantages and scale effects to enhance economic growth potential [2] - The new development pattern emphasizes domestic circulation as the mainstay, which involves smooth supply-demand cycles and building a unified market, benefiting both demand stimulation and supply quality improvement [2] Group 2 - In July, 32 brokerages recommended a total of 232 A-share stocks across various sectors, with Kaiying Network being the most recommended stock, followed by Zijin Mining, Huadian Technology, and Muyuan Foods [3] - Analysts believe that the selection logic of brokerages is primarily driven by industry prosperity, policy and market environment empowerment, and the competitive moat of companies, aligning with the resonance opportunities of industrial cycles and policy guidance [3] - The market is expected to show an upward trend in July, although short-term movements are likely to be volatile, focusing on structural opportunities [3] Group 3 - Circle Internet Group, known as the first stablecoin stock, saw its share price drop nearly 40% after a month of speculation, following a significant initial surge post-IPO [4] - The stock price peaked at $298.99 shortly after its June 5 listing, but has since fallen to $181.29 by June 30, reflecting a cumulative decline of approximately 40% [4] Group 4 - Four unprofitable companies have had their IPO applications accepted in the past half month, indicating a potential trend for unprofitable companies to go public, although the standards for listing remain high [5][6] - Despite the opening of IPO doors for unprofitable companies, many still prefer to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange due to its perceived certainty [6] Group 5 - The North Star 50 index has been on the rise, nearing its historical peak, with a year-to-date increase of 39.45% [7] - As of July 1, the index closed at 1457.07, just 3% below its historical high of 1500.31 recorded on May 12 [7] Group 6 - The photovoltaic glass market is experiencing a price decline due to reduced demand, prompting leading companies to consider a new round of joint production cuts to stabilize prices [8] - Some companies have already begun reducing production or conducting maintenance on older furnaces, although specific cutback ratios have yet to be determined [8] Group 7 - 644 listed companies have disclosed their market value management strategies, with over 40% being state-owned enterprises, indicating a steady progress in market value management [14] - The majority of these disclosures occurred before the end of April this year, reflecting a proactive approach to enhancing company valuations [14] Group 8 - The banking sector has shown strong performance, with significant buying activity from insurance funds, which are expected to continue favoring high-dividend bank stocks [19] - The market is currently at a critical juncture, with economic recovery, market index recovery, and increased willingness of external funds to enter the market all contributing to a solid foundation for the A-share market in the second half of the year [20]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent recommendations from brokerages for July's "golden stocks," highlighting the underlying logic and potential investment opportunities for ordinary investors [1][3]. Group 1: Popular Stocks - Kying Network is favored by five brokerages, making it the most recommended stock for the month; Zijin Mining, Huadian Technology, and Muyuan Foods follow closely with four recommendations each [3]. - The selection of these stocks reflects a diverse range of industries, including gaming, mining, PCB manufacturing, and agriculture, indicating a broad interest from brokerages [3]. Group 2: Key Selection Criteria - The first criterion is industry prosperity, with Kying Network benefiting from an increase in game licenses and the release of popular titles, while Huadian Technology sees a surge in demand for PCB boards due to 5G and automotive electronics [3][4]. - The second criterion focuses on policy benefits, particularly in sectors like semiconductors and new energy vehicles, where domestic and global trends favor local companies [4]. - The third criterion emphasizes the importance of a company's competitive advantage or "moat," with Zijin Mining having significant copper reserves and cost control, and Huadian Technology holding over 20% market share in high-end PCBs [4]. Group 3: Stock Selection Methodology - The article suggests a three-step approach for investors to filter the recommended stocks: 1. Monitor changes in institutional holdings, such as Kying Network's increase from 8% to 15% in fund holdings [4]. 2. Assess order fulfillment rates, with Huadian Technology reporting a 40% year-on-year increase in new orders [4]. 3. Evaluate free cash flow rates, as evidenced by Zijin Mining's 35% year-on-year increase in operating cash flow [4]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The market is expected to experience initial fluctuations followed by a potential breakthrough, with short-term funds engaging in high-frequency trading within popular sectors while long-term funds adjust their portfolios [5]. - The article emphasizes the importance of selecting stocks based on industry trends, company quality, and reasonable pricing, particularly focusing on semiconductor localization, new energy exports, and consumer recovery [5].

证券研究报告：有色金属 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-07-01 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 19.50 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）265.78 | / 205.88 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）5,183 | / 4,015 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 19.78 / 14.15 | | 资产负债率(%) | 55.2% | | 市盈率 | 16.12 | | 第一大股东 | 闽西兴杭国有资产投资 | | 经营有限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:李帅华 SAC 登记编号:S1340522060001 Email:lishuaihua@cnpsec.com 研究助理:杨丰源 SAC 登记编号:S1340124050015 Email:yangfengyuan@cnpsec.com 紫金矿业(601899) 拟收购哈国金矿，全球布局更进一步 l 公司拟收购哈萨克斯坦 RG 金矿 100%权益 紫金矿业全资子公司紫金黄金国际（拟分拆至香港联合交易所上 市的主体），拟以 12 亿美元对价，收购 Cantec ...

Core Viewpoint - The copper market is experiencing significant price increases, with COMEX copper prices rising over 25% since early April, nearing historical highs, which has positively impacted the A-share copper metal sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - There is a notable divergence in global copper market prices, with COMEX copper trading significantly higher than LME copper by $1,200, and LME copper prices exceeding Shanghai copper by nearly 2,000 yuan [3]. - The anticipation of tariffs on copper imports by the U.S. has led to increased preemptive stockpiling by downstream manufacturers and intensified arbitrage trading, disrupting the global copper market balance [4]. - LME copper inventories have drastically decreased, with Asian warehouse stocks plummeting from 200,000 tons to 60,000 tons, a reduction of 70%, while European stocks have also seen a significant decline of 44% [5][8]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The current supply situation is tight, with LME copper's available inventory down approximately 80% since the beginning of the year, equating to just one day's global usage [8]. - The persistent shortage of copper in the spot market has led to a significant premium for spot prices over futures, indicating supply constraints [9]. - The potential for a short squeeze in the LME copper market is a concern, although the likelihood remains low due to new regulations aimed at preventing such occurrences [10][11]. Group 3: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Historical instances of copper market squeezes, such as the 2021 event, have shaped current market dynamics, with lessons learned influencing regulatory changes [12][15]. - The long-term outlook for copper prices remains bullish, driven by limited supply growth and increasing demand from sectors like electric grid investments and the burgeoning electric vehicle market [16][17]. - Major Chinese copper mining companies, such as Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, are expected to see significant production increases, contributing to a favorable supply-demand balance [18][19].