Core Viewpoint - Nanhua Futures Co., Ltd. (02691) has seen a significant increase of over 4% in its stock price, attributed to its competitive advantage in overseas business licenses and its upcoming inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect this month [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Nanhua Futures shares rose by 4.13%, reaching HKD 10.58, with a trading volume of HKD 26.6181 million [1] Group 2: Business Development - According to Huatai Securities, A+H listed stocks can be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect without waiting for regular adjustments, allowing Nanhua Futures to be added on January 19 [1] - Huaxi Securities highlighted that Nanhua Futures' overseas business is a core competitive advantage, projecting overseas financial business revenue to reach RMB 654 million in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.3%, accounting for 48.3% of total revenue, significantly higher than peers [1] - Nanhua Futures and its subsidiaries hold derivative trading and clearing licenses in major markets such as Hong Kong, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Singapore, achieving full coverage of major global futures trading hours [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nanhua Futures (603093) shares have risen over 4%, currently trading at HKD 10.58 with a transaction volume of HKD 26.6181 million, following the announcement of its inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect on January 19, 2024, without the need for a waiting period after the price stabilization period ends [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Nanhua Futures' overseas business is identified as its core competitive advantage, with projected overseas financial business revenue reaching RMB 654 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.3% [1] - The overseas financial business is expected to account for 48.3% of total revenue, significantly higher than its peers [1] Group 2: Market Position - Nanhua Futures, along with its subsidiary Honghua International, holds derivative trading and clearing licenses in major markets including Hong Kong, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Singapore, achieving full coverage of major global futures trading hours [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the escalating conflict between the United States and Venezuela, focusing on Venezuela's natural resources and export situation [2]. Group 1: Population and Geography - Venezuela is located in the northern part of South America, covering an area of 916,400 square kilometers, with an estimated population of approximately 28.4 million in 2024 [3][10]. - The country shares borders with Guyana to the east, Brazil to the south, Colombia to the west, and has a northern coastline along the Caribbean Sea. Major ports include Cabello Port, La Guaira Port, and Maracaibo Port, with José Port and Maracaibo Port being the main oil export ports [3][10]. Group 2: Political and Military Overview - Venezuela operates under a presidential system, with the president serving as the head of state, government, and armed forces for a term of six years without term limits [4][13]. - The country has approximately 200,000 active military personnel and around 8 million militia reservists [4][14]. Group 3: Major Natural Resources - Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves, estimated at about 300 billion barrels, accounting for approximately 17% of global reserves [5][14]. - The country ranks eighth globally in proven natural gas reserves, with about 201 trillion cubic feet, representing around 2.9% of the world's total [5][17]. - The official gold reserves are approximately 53 tons, with an additional 31 tons held in the Bank of England since 2018. However, estimates of untapped gold reserves vary significantly [5][21]. - Iron ore reserves are reported to be between 2.2 billion to 4 billion tons, constituting about 1-2% of global reserves, though the U.S. Geological Survey does not include Venezuela's iron ore data [6][24]. - Other mineral resources include bauxite (34.8 billion tons), titanium (39 million tons), diamonds (4.1 billion carats), coal (730 million tons), and nickel (490,000 tons), with respective global shares of approximately 4.4%, 7%, 0.1%, 0.4% [6][26]. - Venezuela has abundant hydropower and forest resources, with a forest coverage rate of about 52%, significantly higher than the global average of 32% [7][27]. Group 4: Major Export Situation - The primary export destinations for Venezuela are the United States, China, and Spain, with total exports in 2023 amounting to approximately $7.63 billion. Exports to the U.S., China, and Spain were about $3.81 billion, $740 million, and $670 million, respectively [8][28]. - Key export products include oil and its derivatives (60% of total exports), basic metals (iron and aluminum), and nitrogen fertilizers [8][28]. - As of November 2025, Venezuela's oil production is projected to be around 934,000 barrels per day, with an estimated export volume of 656,000 barrels per day in 2024 [8][31].

Group 1: Demographics and Geography - Venezuela has a land area of 916,400 square kilometers and an estimated population of approximately 28.4 million in 2024[2] - It shares borders with Guyana to the east, Brazil to the south, and Colombia to the west, with the Caribbean Sea to the north[2] - Major ports include Cabello, La Guaira, and Maracaibo, with José and Maracaibo being key for oil exports[2] Group 2: Political and Military Overview - Venezuela operates under a presidential system with a six-year term for the president, who is also the commander-in-chief of the armed forces[3] - The country has approximately 200,000 active military personnel and around 8 million militia reserves[3] Group 3: Natural Resources - Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves at about 300 billion barrels, accounting for approximately 17% of global reserves[4] - The country ranks eighth globally in proven natural gas reserves, with about 201 trillion cubic feet, representing around 2.9% of the world's total[4] - Gold reserves are reported to be around 53 tons, with an additional 31 tons frozen in the Bank of England since 2018[4] - Iron ore resources are estimated at 1.468 billion tons, with proven reserves of 363 million tons, constituting about 1-2% of global reserves[5] Group 4: Export Overview - In 2023, Venezuela's total export value was approximately $7.63 billion, with the U.S., China, and Spain being the primary destinations, accounting for about 50%, 10%, and 9% of exports respectively[6] - Oil and its products constitute about 60% of total exports, followed by basic metals (8%), and nitrogen fertilizers (3.7%)[6] - Venezuela's oil production is projected to be around 934,000 barrels per day by November 2025, with an estimated export volume of 656,000 barrels per day in 2024[6]

香港交易及結算所有限公司、香港聯合交易所有限公司（「聯交所」）及香港中央結算有限公司 （「香港結算」）對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表 示不會就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 本公告不會直接或間接於或向美國（包括美國的領土及屬地、美國任何州以及哥倫比亞特區或 任何其他法律禁止此類發佈的司法管轄區內）發佈、刊發或派發。本公告並不構成亦不屬於在 美國境內或於任何其他司法管轄區購買或認購證券的任何要約或招攬的一部分。本公告所述證 券並無亦不會根據《1933年美國證券法》（經不時修訂）（「美國證券法」）或美國任何州或其他司 法管轄區的證券法登記。證券不得在美國境內提呈發售、出售、質押或以其他方式轉讓，惟根 據美國證券法的登記規定及任何適用州證券法獲豁免者除外，或除非符合美國證券法項下的S 規例，否則不得於美國境外提呈發售、出售、質押或以其他方式轉讓。證券不會在美國公開發 售。 本公告僅作說明用途，並不構成收購、購買或認購任何證券的邀請或要約。本公告並非招股章 程。有意投資者於決定是否投資於發售股份前應閱覽招股章程，以獲得有關下文所述 ...

Core Insights - The adjustment of Hong Kong Stock Connect (港股通) for the first batch of 2026 has been finalized, indicating a structural change in the Hong Kong stock market, with southbound funds playing a significant role in influencing stock liquidity and valuations [1] Group 1: Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria - The current inclusion threshold for Hong Kong Stock Connect has risen to 9.317 billion, while the exclusion threshold stands at 6.05 billion [2] - A total of 44 companies meet the inclusion criteria, while 24 companies face the risk of exclusion due to insufficient market capitalization [2][7] - Market capitalization and liquidity are the core indicators determining inclusion or exclusion [2] Group 2: Companies Meeting Inclusion Criteria - Among the 44 companies eligible for inclusion, the average market capitalization is 14.377 billion, with a median of 12.613 billion, indicating overall high quality [2] - The types of inclusion include 40 companies for standard inclusion, 2 for A+H inclusion, and 2 for dual-class share inclusion [2] Group 3: Companies Facing Exclusion Risk - The 24 companies at risk of exclusion have an average market capitalization of only 5.094 billion, all below the 6.05 billion threshold [7] - Notable companies facing exclusion include Youbao Online and Haotian International Construction [7] Group 4: Market Dynamics and Adjustment Mechanism - The adjustment of Hong Kong Stock Connect is based on a complex system that considers market capitalization, liquidity, and market structure [7] - The market capitalization threshold is dynamically adjusted based on the market capitalization distribution of the Hang Seng Composite Index [8] - The liquidity requirement is assessed through the trading volume turnover ratio, which varies based on the listing duration of the companies [10] Group 5: Adjustment Frequency and Fast Inclusion Mechanism - Adjustments to Hong Kong Stock Connect occur four times a year, with two major adjustments in March and September, and two minor adjustments in June and December [11] - New stocks can be included through a fast-track mechanism, with specific criteria for quarterly and special fast inclusion [12]

Group 1 - Approximately 8 steel mills adjusted their construction material ex-factory prices today, with Donghua in North China reducing wire rod prices by 5 yuan/ton, while Meijin in North China increased rebar, wire rod, and round bar prices by 30 yuan/ton [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the spot price for wire rod from Zhongtian in Hangzhou is 3580 yuan/ton, and from Yonggang is 3550 yuan/ton, with the futures market closing at 3600.00 yuan/ton, reflecting a 5.66% increase [2] - National total inventory of construction materials is 7.237 million tons, a decrease of 171,900 tons from the previous week, while the apparent demand increased by 166,700 tons to 4.6747 million tons [3] Group 2 - Recent commodity market trends have positively influenced steel prices; however, demand is gradually weakening, and export expectations may tighten, leading to a volatile price trend for steel [4]

News Summary Core Viewpoint - The steel market is experiencing fluctuations due to production adjustments and seasonal demand changes, with potential impacts on pricing and inventory levels [1][2]. Group 1: Production and Supply - Shanxi Jianlong's 850mm hot-rolled steel line has begun maintenance on December 29, with a planned downtime of 36 days, expected to reduce daily hot-rolled steel output by 0.5 million tons [1]. - The hot-rolled steel inventory has significantly decreased, primarily due to production cuts, although there are concerns that demand may decline more sharply than production reductions [2]. Group 2: Market Prices - On December 31, the market price for hot-rolled coils in Tangshan dropped by 10, with mainstream prices for 4.75-11.75*1500*C hot coils ranging from 3170 to 3190, and manganese coils priced between 3290 and 3310 [1]. Group 3: Futures Market - As of December 30, the top 20 futures companies held a total of 1.1351 million long positions and 1.0915 million short positions in hot-rolled futures, resulting in a long-to-short ratio of 1.04, with a net position decrease of 0.0436 million contracts compared to the previous day [1]. Group 4: Analyst Insights - Nanhua Futures notes that while hot-rolled steel consumption has improved month-on-month, export controls may affect the sustainability of demand, and seasonal slowdowns are impacting end-user demand [2]. - Zhengxin Futures indicates that while policy expectations are supporting the market, the recovery in blast furnace capacity utilization and seasonal demand slowdown are weakening the supply-demand structure, suggesting that prices may have room for adjustment [2].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - Overseas, the Q3 US GDP exceeded expectations with a 4.3% growth, and the job market showed resilience, dampening rate - cut expectations. Domestically, policies aim to expand domestic demand, but November economic data indicated weak domestic demand, still needing policy support. Attention should be paid to domestic PMI data and Trump's nominee for the next Fed chair [2]. - The breakthrough of the RMB against the US dollar at the 7.00 mark may end the low - volatility forex market. The RMB is likely to end the year stably, and attention should be paid to the effectiveness of exchange - rate stabilization policies [5][6]. - Short - term stock indices are expected to be volatile and bullish, but continuous upward breakthroughs still need to be observed. Bonds are not pessimistic in the medium - term. The container shipping European line futures are expected to be volatile, with the near - term contract range - bound and the far - term contract under pressure [6][8][11]. - For precious metals, platinum and palladium are recommended to be held lightly during the holiday. Gold and silver are expected to be weak in the short - term and bullish in the long - term. Copper is recommended to be observed more and traded less before the holiday. Aluminum is expected to be bullish in the long - term, while alumina and cast aluminum alloy have their own characteristics [15][18][21]. - Zinc has limited upside space. Nickel - stainless steel is driven by supply reduction expectations and demand improvement, but it is recommended to reduce positions during the holiday. Tin has rebounded from oversold conditions and is expected to be volatile. Carbonate lithium has long - term value support and is recommended to be bought on dips. Industrial silicon and polysilicon prices are gradually rising, and long positions can be considered on dips [25][26][29]. - Lead is expected to be volatile. Steel products are expected to be range - bound, with iron ore oscillating, coking coal and coke facing uncertain supply, and ferrosilicon and ferromanganese being volatile and bullish in the short - term [34][36][41]. - Pulp and offset paper can be observed first, and low - buying strategies can be tried lightly. Crude oil is expected to be range - bound at a low level. LPG is supported in the near - term and pressured in the long - term. PTA - PX has a strong - expectation and weak - reality situation. MEG - bottle chips are under valuation pressure until macro - narrative is realized. Methanol can be bought at a low level [45][49][58]. - PP and PE are expected to be bottom - oscillating. Pure benzene - styrene is expected to be bullish and oscillating. Fuel oil has weak cracking, and low - sulfur fuel oil has stable cracking. Urea can be bought in the far - month contract. Soda ash, glass, and caustic soda are affected by supply and demand and market sentiment [63][66][73]. - Logs can be observed or a fine - grid strategy can be used. Propylene is expected to be range - bound at a low level, and attention should be paid to marginal changes [79][80]. - For agricultural products, pigs' long - term supply may be affected by policies, while short - term fundamentals prevail. Oilseeds are strong in the near - term and weak in the far - term. Oils are widely oscillating under supply pressure. Cotton may correct in the short - term and rise in the long - term. Sugar maintains a balance. Eggs are generally bearish. Apples are expected to be oscillating. Red dates are expected to be range - bound at a low level [84][85][90] Group 3: Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Financial Futures - **Market Information**: Central rural work conference focuses on agricultural technology; 2026 national subsidy plan is released; Fed meeting minutes show divided views on rate cuts; Trump may sue the current Fed chair and will announce the next nominee in January [1][4]. - **Core Logic**: Overseas, the US economy is strong, dampening rate - cut expectations. Domestically, policies aim to expand domestic demand, but domestic demand is weak, still needing policy support [2]. - **RMB Exchange Rate**: The RMB broke through the 7.00 mark, and it is expected to end the year stably. Attention should be paid to exchange - rate stabilization policies [5][6]. - **Stock Indices**: The stock indices were volatile and bullish last trading day. Policy signals are positive, but continuous upward breakthroughs still need to be observed [6][7]. - **Bonds**: The bond market was range - bound on Tuesday. The mid - term view on bonds is not pessimistic, and long positions can be held during the holiday [7][8]. - **Container Shipping European Line**: The futures market closed down yesterday. The market is concerned about the sustainability of price increases, and the near - term contract is range - bound while the far - term contract is under pressure [9][11]. Commodities Non - ferrous Metals - **Platinum & Palladium**: Platinum rose and palladium oscillated last night. The long - term bullish foundation remains, but short - term price fluctuations may intensify. It is recommended to hold lightly during the holiday [14][15]. - **Gold & Silver**: Gold oscillated and silver rose. The short - term view is weak, and the long - term view is bullish. It is recommended to reduce long positions or stay out of the market during the holiday [16][18]. - **Copper**: Copper prices rose last night. Short - term adjustments do not change the long - term upward trend. It is recommended to observe more and trade less before the holiday [19][21]. - **Aluminum Industry Chain**: Aluminum is expected to be bullish in the long - term, alumina is expected to be range - bound, and cast aluminum alloy is expected to be bullish. Attention should be paid to the impact of related varieties [22][23]. - **Zinc**: Zinc prices were bullish last trading day. The upside space is limited, and it is expected to be range - bound at a high level in the short - term [25]. - **Nickel - Stainless Steel**: Nickel and stainless steel prices rose yesterday. The supply is expected to shrink in 2026, and demand is expected to improve. It is recommended to reduce positions during the holiday [25][26]. - **Tin**: Tin prices rebounded from oversold conditions last trading day. It is expected to be range - bound in the short - term [27]. - **Carbonate Lithium**: The futures price rose yesterday. The long - term value is supported, and it is recommended to buy on dips [28][29]. - **Industrial Silicon & Polysilicon**: The prices of industrial silicon and polysilicon futures rose yesterday. The industrial silicon market is in a supply - demand weak state, and polysilicon prices are showing signs of warming. Long positions can be considered on dips [30][32]. - **Lead**: Lead prices oscillated narrowly last trading day. It is expected to be range - bound in the short - term [33][34]. Black Metals - **Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil**: Steel products oscillated yesterday. The fundamentals have few contradictions, and prices are expected to be range - bound [35][36]. - **Iron Ore**: Iron ore prices followed other metals up and down. The fundamentals are neutral, and prices are expected to be range - bound [37][38]. - **Coking Coal & Coke**: Coal and coke prices opened low and closed high on Tuesday. The supply and demand of coking coal and coke are facing uncertainties, and attention should be paid to the supply recovery in January [39][40]. - **Silicon Iron & Silicon Manganese**: Ferroalloys were bullish and oscillating yesterday. They are expected to be bullish and oscillating in the short - term, but the upside space may be limited [41][42]. Energy and Chemicals - **Pulp - Offset Paper**: Pulp futures rebounded yesterday, and offset paper futures rose. The market is still neutral, and low - buying strategies can be tried lightly [44][46]. - **Crude Oil**: Crude oil futures closed down yesterday. OPEC+ is expected to continue to suspend the production increase plan. Oil prices are expected to be range - bound at a low level [47][49]. - **LPG**: LPG prices rose yesterday. It is supported in the near - term and pressured in the long - term [50][51]. - **PTA - PX**: PX supply is expected to remain high, and PTA supply is uncertain. PTA processing fees are expected to rise, but the space is limited. PX is expected to be tight in the first half of 2026 [52][55]. - **MEG - Bottle Chips**: MEG supply is expected to increase, and demand is expected to weaken. It is under valuation pressure until macro - narrative is realized [56][58]. - **Methanol**: Methanol prices rose sharply. It is recommended to buy at a low level [59][60]. - **PP**: PP prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be range - bound, and attention should be paid to the scale of plant maintenance in January [61][63]. - **PE**: PE prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be bottom - oscillating, with supply pressure relieved and demand weakening [64][66]. - **Pure Benzene - Styrene**: Pure benzene and styrene prices rose yesterday. They are expected to be bullish and oscillating, but high - buying is not recommended [67][69]. - **Fuel Oil**: Fuel oil prices closed at 2473 yuan/ton yesterday. The supply is abundant, and the cracking is weak [70]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Low - sulfur fuel oil prices closed at 2977 yuan/ton yesterday. The supply is improving, and the cracking is stable [71][72]. - **Urea**: Urea prices closed at 1756 yesterday. It is recommended to buy in the far - month contract [72][73]. - **Soda Ash - Glass - Caustic Soda**: Soda ash, glass, and caustic soda prices rose yesterday. Soda ash is affected by new capacity and demand; glass is affected by cold - repair and inventory; caustic soda is affected by market sentiment and downstream demand [73][76]. - **Logs**: Log prices closed at 776 yesterday. It can be observed or a fine - grid strategy can be used [77][79]. - **Propylene**: Propylene prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be range - bound at a low level, and attention should be paid to marginal changes [80]. Agricultural Products - **Pigs**: Pig futures prices rose yesterday. The long - term supply may be affected by policies, while short - term fundamentals prevail [83][84]. - **Oilseeds**: The external market was weak, and the domestic near - month market was strong. It is recommended to try a 3 - 5 positive spread lightly [85][86]. - **Oils**: International oils are under supply pressure, and domestic oils are oscillating. Palm oil and rapeseed oil are relatively strong, and soybean oil is weak [87][88]. - **Cotton**: Cotton futures prices were mixed. The short - term may correct, and the long - term may rise. Attention should be paid to downstream orders and policy changes [89][90]. - **Sugar**: Sugar futures prices were mixed. The short - term upward pressure is increasing [91][93]. - **Eggs**: Egg futures prices fell yesterday. It is generally bearish in the long - term, and long positions can be held lightly for a rebound [94]. - **Apples**: Apple futures prices rose yesterday. It is expected to be oscillating, and long positions can be bought on dips [95][96]. - **Red Dates**: Red date futures prices are expected to be range - bound at a low level. Attention should be paid to downstream pre - holiday purchases [97][98].

Core Viewpoint - The integration of financial support and technological advancements in the agricultural sector, particularly in Heilongjiang, is enhancing grain collection efficiency and ensuring food security through a comprehensive financial support system for the entire agricultural supply chain [1][2][9]. Financial Support for Agricultural Supply Chain - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) in Heilongjiang is guiding banks to provide precise financial support for rice procurement, ensuring timely funding during the harvest season, which has led to an increase in agricultural loans from 929.61 billion yuan at the beginning of 2023 to 1,029.43 billion yuan by the end of November 2025 [1]. - Agricultural Development Bank of China (ADBC) in Heilongjiang maintains a stable loan scale of around 400 billion yuan, supporting the entire grain supply chain and introducing innovative loan models like "Value Preservation Loan" and "Supply Chain Loan" [2]. - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) is implementing a "5+7" service action plan to support key agricultural industries, with a loan balance exceeding 35 billion yuan, focusing on brand agriculture and innovative credit models [3]. Risk Management in Agricultural Finance - Financial institutions are increasingly focusing on risk management as they enhance support for agricultural entities, addressing the transmission of agricultural risks to financial operations [6]. - The "Insurance + Futures" model has been explored since 2016 to mitigate risks associated with agricultural price fluctuations, benefiting numerous farmers and stabilizing income [7]. - Sunshine Agricultural Mutual Insurance Company has provided comprehensive cost insurance for major crops, covering 47.03 million acres and offering risk protection of 43.73 billion yuan, significantly increasing the coverage compared to previous models [8]. Modern Agricultural Financial Ecosystem - Heilongjiang's approach to building a modern agricultural financial service ecosystem represents a significant structural reform in financial supply, enhancing the resilience of the grain industry against various shocks [9].