XUSHENG(603305)

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旭升集团(603305):点评:短期业绩有所承压,积极开拓新订单并布局机器人领域
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-04 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance, with a projected revenue of 4.41 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million yuan, down 41.7% year-on-year [2][4] - The company is actively expanding into the robot sector and enhancing its capabilities in aluminum die-casting, extrusion, and forging for automotive parts, while also accelerating its magnesium alloy layout [2][10] - The company aims to establish a triangular production capacity network across China, North America, and Southeast Asia, positioning itself as a global aluminum platform enterprise [2][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.41 billion yuan, down 8.8% year-on-year, with domestic revenue at 2.45 billion yuan (down 10.0%) and overseas revenue at 1.90 billion yuan (down 7.4%) [10] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 20.3%, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 9.4%, down 5.3 percentage points year-on-year [10] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.05 billion yuan, down 8.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 100 million yuan, down 39.2% year-on-year [4][10] Business Development - The company is focusing on creating a complete lightweight product matrix and has secured approximately 1.9 billion yuan in orders from mainstream electric vehicle manufacturers in North America [10] - The energy storage business is progressing well, with revenue from related projects reaching approximately 234 million yuan in 2024, more than doubling year-on-year [10] - The company is investing in the development of key products for humanoid robots and has secured projects from several domestic and international clients [10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 500 million yuan, 610 million yuan, and 750 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 24.3X, 20.2X, and 16.4X [10]
旭升集团(603305):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:主业与新兴业务双轮驱动,海外布局稳步推进
Guohai Securities· 2025-05-04 15:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][9]. Core Insights - The company is driven by both its main business and emerging sectors, with steady progress in overseas expansion [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.12% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.76%, primarily due to a decline in sales from its core customer, Tesla [5]. - The company has initiated production in emerging fields such as energy storage and humanoid robots, with energy storage projects expected to generate approximately 234 million yuan in revenue for the year, representing over a 200% increase year-on-year [5]. - The establishment of a production base in Mexico is underway, expected to commence operations in 2025, aimed at serving the North American and European markets [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million yuan, down 41.71% [4]. - The company forecasts revenues of 5.22 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 18%, and a net profit of 517 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 24% [7][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.54 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.75 [8][9].
2024年报及2025年一季报点评业绩修复、机器人布局同步进行时
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-29 05:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 16.4 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure in the short term, but there are signs of improvement in operational performance. New business areas such as magnesium alloy, energy storage, and robotics are being developed simultaneously [7][8]. - The company reported a revenue of 4.41 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9%, and a net profit of 416 million yuan, down 42% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.05 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 96 million yuan, down 39% year-on-year [1][3]. Financial Summary - **2024 Financial Performance**: - Total revenue: 4,409 million yuan, YoY growth: -8.8% - Net profit: 417 million yuan, YoY growth: -41.7% - Earnings per share: 0.44 yuan [3][4]. - **2025-2027 Financial Projections**: - Expected revenue growth: 5,029 million yuan in 2025, 6,091 million yuan in 2026, and 6,970 million yuan in 2027, with respective YoY growth rates of 14.1%, 21.1%, and 14.4% [3][8]. - Projected net profit: 521 million yuan in 2025, 634 million yuan in 2026, and 770 million yuan in 2027, with respective YoY growth rates of 25.2%, 21.6%, and 21.5% [3][8]. - **Valuation Metrics**: - Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 28 in 2024, decreasing to 15 by 2027 [3][4]. - Price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to remain around 1.8 to 1.5 from 2024 to 2027 [3][4]. Business Development - The company is actively developing new business lines: - **Magnesium Alloy**: Successful development of semi-solid injection molded motor housings, with collaborations with foreign clients [7]. - **Energy Storage**: Revenue from energy storage components reached 234 million yuan in 2024, more than doubling year-on-year [7]. - **Robotics**: Investment in humanoid robots, with key product developments and project engagements with multiple clients [7].
旭升集团(603305):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:业绩修复、机器人布局同步进行时
Huachuang Securities· 2025-04-29 04:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 16.4 CNY [1][7]. Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure in the short term, but there are signs of improvement in operational performance. New business areas such as magnesium alloy, energy storage, and robotics are being developed simultaneously [1][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4.41 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 416 million CNY, down 42% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.05 billion CNY, a decrease of 8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 96 million CNY, down 39% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company expects revenues to grow to 5.03 billion CNY in 2025, with a projected year-on-year growth rate of 14.1% [3][8]. - The net profit is projected to increase to 521 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.2% [3][8]. Business Development Summary - The company is actively developing its magnesium alloy business, which has seen significant price reductions in the past 1-2 years, leading to increased applications in the die-casting industry. A successful collaboration on magnesium alloy electric drive housing has been established with a foreign client [7]. - The energy storage segment has also been a focus, with revenue from energy storage products reaching 234 million CNY in 2024, more than doubling year-on-year [7]. - In the robotics sector, the company has invested in the development of key products such as joint shells and torso components, securing projects with several domestic and international clients [7].
旭升集团(603305):1Q25仍处修复期 多领域布局打开未来成长空间
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with expectations for continued challenges in 2025, but potential for recovery through emerging industries and strategic customer focus [1][2][4] Financial Performance - 2024 revenue decreased by 8.8% year-on-year to 4.41 billion yuan, while net profit fell by 41.7% to 416 million yuan [1] - Q4 2024 revenue was 1.13 billion yuan, down 9.9% year-on-year, but showed a slight increase of 0.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Q1 2025 revenue is projected at 1.05 billion yuan, down 8.1% year-on-year and 7.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] - Q1 2025 net profit is expected to be 960 million yuan, a decrease of 39.2% year-on-year [1] Margin Analysis - Q4 2024 gross margin decreased by 3.3 percentage points year-on-year to 17.6%, while Q1 2025 gross margin improved by 3.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 20.8% [2] - The increase in Q1 2025 gross margin is attributed to the elimination of one-time warranty fee impacts from Q4 2024 [2] - The company anticipates that the energy storage business will contribute positively to gross margins in 2025 [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding into emerging industries such as energy storage, robotics, and low-altitude flight, which are expected to drive long-term growth [3] - A focus on major domestic and international clients is evident, with significant orders from North American electric vehicle platforms and partnerships with leading domestic manufacturers [3] - The establishment of production bases in Mexico and Thailand is part of the company's global strategy to enhance its manufacturing capabilities and customer reach [3] Technological Advancements - The company possesses advanced capabilities in aluminum alloy forming processes, including die-casting, forging, and extrusion, which support its competitive edge [3] - Successful development of magnesium alloy semi-solid injection molded motor housings is expected to lead to new projects in the automotive sector and support the robotics business [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 downwards by 19% and 21% to 500 million yuan and 660 million yuan, respectively, while introducing a new forecast for 2027 at 880 million yuan [4] - Despite current challenges, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the company's technological advantages and strategic positioning in emerging industries [4]
旭升集团 | 2024&2025Q1:海外项目稳步推进 机器人业务进展顺利【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-04-27 14:41
0 1 事 件 概 述 公司披露2024年年度报告和2025年第一季度报告:1)2024年度实现营收44.09亿元,同比-8.79%;归母净利润4.16亿元,同比-41.71%;扣非归母净利润3.58亿元,同 比-46.76%;2)2025Q1营收10.46亿元,同比-8.12%,环比-7.76%;归母净利润0.96亿元,同比-39.15%,环比+2.53%;扣非归母净利润0.81亿元,同比-42.67%,环 比+10.10%。 公司深耕镁合金半固态注射技术,成功研发半固态注射成型的电机壳体,并已跟国外某客户就镁合金电驱壳体项目开展正式合作。同时,依托铝合金精密加工优势进 军人形机器人领域,聚焦关节壳体、躯干结构件研发,获多家海内外客户项目定点。 0 3 投 资 建 议 0 2 分 析 判 断 公司是新能源车轻量化确定性较强的受益标的,凭借领先的工艺、研发及客户拓展能力,快速抢占市场份额。我们预计公司2025-2027年营收分别为54.7/67.2/82.1亿 元,归母净利为5.3/6.5/8.1亿元,对应EPS分别为0.55/0.68/0.85元。按照2025年4月25日收盘价12.61元,对应PE分别为2 ...
旭升集团:系列点评四:海外项目稳步推进 机器人业务进展顺利-20250427
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 07:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a strong beneficiary in the lightweighting of new energy vehicles, leveraging its advanced technology, research capabilities, and customer expansion to rapidly capture market share [4]. - The company has made significant progress in overseas project development and the robotics business, with a notable order of approximately 1.9 billion yuan from mainstream North American electric vehicle platforms [3]. - The company is expanding its magnesium alloy capabilities and entering the humanoid robotics sector, focusing on the development of joint shells and torso structural components [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 4.409 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 416 million yuan, down 41.71% year-on-year [1][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.046 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.12% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 96 million yuan, down 39.15% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 20.80%, showing a year-on-year decline of 3.01 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.25 percentage points [2]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 5.472 billion yuan, 6.721 billion yuan, and 8.213 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 527 million yuan, 650 million yuan, and 809 million yuan [5][10]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.55 yuan, 0.68 yuan, and 0.85 yuan, respectively [5][10]. Cost and Expense Analysis - The report indicates that the company's operating costs for 2024 are projected at 3.515 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 20.28% [10]. - The selling, general, and administrative expenses are expected to be 20 million yuan, 169 million yuan, and 191 million yuan for sales, management, and R&D, respectively, in 2024 [10]. Market Expansion and Capacity Development - The company has initiated the construction of a manufacturing base in Mexico, which is expected to commence production in 2025, and is planning a base in Thailand by the end of 2024 [3]. - The company has secured multiple projects with leading domestic new energy vehicle manufacturers, indicating strong domestic market penetration [3].
旭升集团(603305):系列点评四:海外项目稳步推进,机器人业务进展顺利
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 06:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a strong potential for growth relative to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.409 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 416 million yuan, down 41.71% year-on-year [1][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.046 billion yuan, a decline of 8.12% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 96 million yuan, down 39.15% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is experiencing pressure on its performance but anticipates growth from new projects [2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The revenue for Q4 2024 was 1.135 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 9.86% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.85% [2]. - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 17.55%, down 3.31 percentage points year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a gross margin of 20.80%, reflecting a recovery trend [2][3]. - The company has a significant customer base, including Tesla, which delivered 336,700 vehicles globally in Q1 2025, a decrease of 12.96% year-on-year [2]. Capacity Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - The company has secured approximately 1.9 billion yuan in orders from major North American electric vehicle manufacturers and is progressing with its overseas capacity expansion, including a base in Mexico expected to commence production in 2025 [3]. - The company is advancing its magnesium alloy technology and has initiated collaborations in the humanoid robot sector, focusing on joint shell and torso structure components [3]. Financial Forecast - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 5.472 billion yuan, 6.721 billion yuan, and 8.213 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 527 million yuan, 650 million yuan, and 809 million yuan [5][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.55 yuan in 2025, 0.68 yuan in 2026, and 0.85 yuan in 2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 23, 19, and 15, respectively [4][5].
旭升集团:客户销量波动拖累业绩表现,新兴业务维持高增-20250427
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 4.41 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million, down 42% year-on-year [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows a revenue of 1.05 billion, a year-on-year decline of 8.1%, and a net profit of 100 million, down 39% year-on-year [1]. - The company's automotive business is significantly influenced by the sales fluctuations of its largest customer, Tesla, which sold 496,000 and 337,000 vehicles in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, respectively [2]. - Emerging businesses, particularly in energy storage and robotics, are experiencing high growth, with energy storage revenue expected to exceed 234 million in 2024, representing over 200% year-on-year growth [2]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 is reported at 17.6% and 20.8%, respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.2 percentage points in Q1 2025 [3]. - The operating expense ratio for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 is 9.5% and 11.2%, respectively, reflecting adjustments in accounting and revenue scale fluctuations [3]. - The company is positioned to leverage its capabilities in die-casting, forging, and extrusion, with plans for new factories in Thailand and Mexico to enhance its global footprint [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 490 million, 562 million, and 654 million, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24.5, 21.4, and 18.4 [4][5].
旭升集团(603305):2024年业绩阶段性承压,机器人量产在即
Guotou Securities· 2025-04-26 13:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company with a 6-month target price of 14.4 CNY per share [5][7]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a phase of performance pressure in 2024, with a projected revenue of 4.409 billion CNY, down 8.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 416 million CNY, down 41.71% year-on-year [1][5]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to fluctuations in Tesla's production, which is expected to decrease by 4% in 2024 [2][5]. - The company is actively expanding into new business areas, including humanoid robots, energy storage, and low-altitude economy, with significant projects entering mass production [4]. Revenue Summary - In 2024, the company's revenue is expected to be 44.09 billion CNY, a decrease of 8.79% year-on-year, with the top five customers accounting for 60% of total revenue [2][5]. - The overseas revenue share is 43%, showing a slight increase of 0.67 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Profit Summary - The company's net profit for 2024 is projected at 4.16 billion CNY, down 41.71% year-on-year, with a significant impact from the impairment of aluminum bottle business [3][5]. - The profit margin is under pressure due to increased costs and accounting policy changes, with a gross margin of 17.55% in Q4 2024, down 3.31 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Business Expansion Summary - The company is diversifying its business into humanoid robots, energy storage, and low-altitude economy, with several projects entering mass production in 2024 [4]. - The company is establishing production bases in North America and Southeast Asia, aiming for a global footprint [4].