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强预期回归弱现实,商品波动加剧
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium and cobalt industry [2][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a return to weak realities from strong expectations, with cobalt and lithium prices rebounding before retreating [14]. - The easing of US-China trade relations is expected to buffer the decline in lithium prices, although the overall market remains cautious [15]. - Cobalt market dynamics are characterized by a tightening supply and a general wait-and-see attitude among industry players [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The lithium sector is experiencing a slight price decline, with the Wuxi 2507 contract down 1.57% to 62,600 CNY/ton and the Guangxi 2507 contract down 1.94% to 61,800 CNY/ton [14]. - Lithium concentrate prices are reported at 712 USD/ton, a decrease of 13 USD/ton [14]. - Recommended stocks for overweight include Zhongmin Resources, Yahua Group, Cangge Mining, Ganfeng Lithium, Keda Manufacturing, and Tibet Mining [14]. 2. Company and Industry Dynamics - The cobalt market is entering a buffer period with a cautious sentiment prevailing among operators [16]. - Cobalt raw material supply is tightening, and prices for cobalt intermediates remain strong [16]. - The report notes that the European market for cobalt is stabilizing, while domestic demand remains steady [16]. 3. Key Data: New Energy Material Production, Imports, and Metal Prices - Lithium carbonate production decreased by 9.37% week-on-week, while inventory increased by 0.27% [46][47]. - The average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate fell by 2.15% to a range of 66,100-64,600 CNY/ton [15][57]. - Cobalt prices showed a slight increase, with electrolytic cobalt averaging 24,200 CNY/ton, up 0.05% [16][67]. 4. Listed Company Profit Forecasts - Ganfeng Lithium is rated "Overweight" with a PE of 86.06 for 2025E [94]. - Tianqi Lithium and Shengxin Lithium Energy are rated "Cautious Overweight" with PE ratios of 58.30 and 60.84 respectively [94]. - Huayou Cobalt and Luoyang Molybdenum are also rated "Overweight" with PE ratios of 11.79 and 11.81 respectively [94].
中美关税摩擦缓和,工业金属价格上行
Minsheng Securities· 2025-05-18 07:32
有色金属周报 20250518 中美关税摩擦缓和,工业金属价格上行 2025 年 05 月 18 日 ➢ 本周(05/12-05/16)上证综指上涨 0.76%,沪深 300 指数上涨 1.12%,SW 有 色指数上涨 0.55%,贵金属 COMEX 黄金变动-3.72%,COMEX 白银变动+0.37%。工 业金属 LME 铝、铜、锌、铅、镍、锡价格分别变动+2.75%、+0.01%、+1.15%、 +1.03%、-1.55%、+2.67%,工业金属库存 LME 铝、铜、锌、铅、镍、锡分别变动- 2.01%、-6.47%、-3.60%、-1.81%、-1.24%、+1.11%。 ➢ 工业金属:中美经贸谈判取得实质性进展,双方关税 90 天内大幅下调,同时释放 未来继续谈判的积极信号,贸易摩擦及美国衰退担忧有所缓解;国内降准降息及公积金 利率下调,政策支持力度持续,工业金属价格反弹上行。铜方面,供应端,本周 SMM 进口铜精矿指数(周)报-43.05 美元/干吨,周度环比小幅上涨 0.06 美元/干吨。铜精 矿年中长单谈判即将开始,Bisha 铜矿招标结果为-80 美元,装期为下半年,Anglo Americ ...
有色ETF基金(159880)早盘涨0.47%,黄金稀土股领涨成分股
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-16 01:51
有色ETF基金(159880),联接基金(A类 021296,C类 021297,I类 022886) 关联个股: 紫金矿业(601899)、北方稀土(600111)、中国铝业(601600)、洛阳钼业(603993)、山东黄金 (600547)、华友钴业(603799)、赤峰黄金(600988)、赣锋锂业(002460)、山金国际 (000975)、云铝股份(000807) 截至05月16日09:35,有色ETF基金(159880.SZ)上涨0.47%,其关联指数国证有色(399395.SZ)上涨 0.32%;主要成分股中,紫金矿业上涨0.57%,金力永磁上涨2.67%,山东黄金上涨0.69%,山金国际上 涨0.87%,中金黄金上涨0.83%。 消息面上,中信证券研报指出,2024年及2025年一季度金属行业盈利稳增,黄金、稀土、铜等板块领 涨,行业估值处于低位且分红回报提升,建议关注黄金、稀土、铜、铝等配置机遇;该观点或对有色 ETF成分股中黄金及稀土类标的形成短期情绪提振,紫金矿业、山东黄金等个股同步走强。 券商研究方面,招商证券指出近期中美关税谈判超预期推动有色板块回归基本面,其中钨价因配额减量 持续 ...
第十七届深圳国际电池技术展览会启幕,吸引3200余家参展商 驱动未来!新能源电池巨头都来了
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-05-15 16:52
【深圳商报讯】(首席记者刘琼)5月15日,第十七届深圳国际电池技术交流会/展览会(CIBF2025)在 深圳国际会展中心开幕。本届展会覆盖15个展馆,展览面积近30万平方米,汇聚了宁德时代、比亚迪、 欣旺达等3200余家参展商,3天展期预计吸引专业观众超40万人次。 "电池产业的未来竞争,是生态闭环与数智化能力的竞争。中国企业正以技术创新与标准输出,重塑全 球价值链。"中国化学与物理电源行业协会秘书长王泽深表示。 据悉,展会同期还将举办电动航空及飞行器电池技术交流会、电池产业合作论坛、电池护照与可持续发 展技术研讨会、新能源数字化论坛暨AI应用大会、同位素核电池现状及未来发展研讨会等专业会议。 展会活动现场将重磅发布《锂离子电池行业蓝皮书2024》及《低空飞行器电池标准化白皮书》,并签署 多项战略合作备忘录,推动行业标准化与可持续发展进程。 (文章来源:深圳商报) CIBF作为全球电池技术首发高地,被誉为中国新能源产业的"风向标"。本次展会由中国化学与物理电 源行业协会主办,以"链动全球·赋能绿色·驱动未来"为主题,15大展馆涵盖了电池材料、设备、电芯制 造、Pack技术及回收再利用等全产业链,全景呈现产业发 ...
中证新材料主题指数下跌1.58%,前十大权重包含隆基绿能等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-05-15 16:03
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance of the CSI New Materials Theme Index, which has shown a decline in recent trading sessions despite a slight increase over the past month [1] - The CSI New Materials Theme Index has decreased by 1.58% to 2886.44 points, with a trading volume of 21.047 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index has increased by 3.35%, but it has decreased by 2.25% over the last three months and by 1.24% year-to-date [1] Group 2 - The CSI New Materials Theme Index includes 50 listed companies involved in advanced steel, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, inorganic non-metals, and other new materials [1] - The index's top ten holdings are: CATL (10.61%), North Huachuang (9.86%), Wanhua Chemical (7.81%), Longi Green Energy (6.6%), Huayou Cobalt (3.41%), Sanan Optoelectronics (3.14%), Tongwei Co. (3.35%), and others [1] - The market share of the index's holdings is 54.72% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, 44.74% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange, and 0.54% from the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] Group 3 - The industry composition of the index's sample shows that industrials account for 43.54%, materials for 33.04%, and information technology for 23.42% [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Public funds tracking new materials include various ETFs and mutual funds, such as Tianhong CSI New Materials C, Huaxia CSI New Materials Theme ETF, and others [2]
中证新能源汽车指数下跌1.5%,前十大权重包含三花智控等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-05-15 09:52
金融界5月15日消息,上证指数低开低走,中证新能源汽车指数 (CS新能车,399976)下跌1.5%,报 2984.98点,成交额266.97亿元。 从指数持仓来看,中证新能源汽车指数十大权重分别为:比亚迪(13.83%)、汇川技术(11.28%)、 宁德时代(9.99%)、三花智控(4.83%)、亿纬锂能(4.55%)、华友钴业(3.81%)、赣锋锂业 (2.84%)、格林美(2.58%)、天齐锂业(2.45%)、宏发股份(2.25%)。 从中证新能源汽车指数持仓的市场板块来看,深圳证券交易所占比83.07%、上海证券交易所占比 16.31%、北京证券交易所占比0.62%。 从中证新能源汽车指数持仓样本的行业来看,工业占比56.48%、可选消费占比24.71%、原材料占比 17.65%、信息技术占比1.15%。 资料显示,指数样本每半年调整一次,样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整,调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前,权重因子一般固定不变。特殊情况下将对指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时,将其从指数样 本中剔除。样本公司发生 ...
磷酸铁锂海外需求大爆发
鑫椤锂电· 2025-05-15 02:12
4 月 2 日,以色列特种矿物企业 ICL 宣布其位于美国密苏里州圣路易斯的 BMIQ 磷酸铁锂( LFP )电 池材料试产基地正式投入运营。 这是美国境内首个同类设施,标志着 LFP 电池材料生产技术的重大进 展。 该中心总投资达 2000 万美元,具备 1 吨量级的中试制造能力,并配备完整的工艺模拟生产线,同 时兼具技术研发与实际生产功能。 而今年 1 月, ICL 携手德方纳米在西班牙布局磷酸铁锂工厂,根据协议,双方预计投资 2.85 亿欧元增 资 ICLBM,S.L. (项目公司)用于建设磷酸铁锂正极材料生产项目。 关注公众号,点击公众号主页右上角" ··· ",设置星标 "⭐" ,关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 本文来源: #鑫椤锂电 1 月 4 日,锂源科技印尼生产基地磷酸铁锂产品成功出货,为中国铁锂厂海外最先开始量产的企业。 据 了解,锂源科技印尼生产基地总规划产能达 12 万吨,一期 3 万吨的年产能已建成,二期 9 万吨的产线 建设也已蓄势待发。 且公司已与 LGES 、 Blue Oval 等国际顶级电池制造商锁定五年期供应协议。 24 年 12 月,常州锂源及亚太锂源与韩国 LG 新能源 (LG ...
欧洲电动车销量月报(2025年4月):复苏趋势确立,4月同比增速创年内新高
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-14 00:30
电力设备 电力设备 2025 年 05 月 13 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -29% -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究报告 《氢能深度系列(二):政策助推应用 落地,氢能两轮车有望迎放量元年— 行业深度报告》2025.5.12 《低空经济行业周报(5 月第 2 周): 沃兰特获 100 架 eVTOL 订单,小鹏汇 天 PC 证正式获民航局受理—行业周 报》2025.5.11 《低空经济行业周报(5 月第 1 周): 峰飞获 100 架 eVTOL 订单,中科星图 拟募资进行低空平台建设—行业周 报》2025.5.4 欧洲电动车销量月报(2025 年 4 月):复苏趋势确立, 4 月同比增速创年内新高 ——行业点评报告 | 殷晟路(分析师) | 王嘉懿(联系人) | | --- | --- | | yinshenglu@kysec.cn | wangjiayi@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790522080001 | 证书编号:S0790123070003 ...
中国动储产业年度十大排行榜|深度
24潮· 2025-05-13 23:04
一切迹象与数据似乎都在佐证,中国动储产业还处于洗牌与博弈深水区。 为了让读者朋友对锂电产业趋势与变化有一个更为清晰、直观的了解,24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 根据108家动储上市/IPO公司2024年财报中营收、预收款、归母净利润、对外投资、经营与筹资 现金流、总负债、资金净值、应收账款于存货等核心数据制作了十大排行榜。 24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) 统计数据显示,当前动储产业形势确实不容乐观:2024年108家动储公司 整体营业收入同比下降11.87%,增速较2023年同期下降了11个百分点;归母净利润整体同比下降 67.27%,已经连续2年巨幅下降 (2023年降幅为47.69%) ;客户预收款规模已经连续两年下 降;产业造血力 (经营净现金流) 也同比下降18.38%,增速较去年同期下降了61.01个百分点; 净筹资规模更是同比下降了81.91%,资金净值也下降了20.32%,等等。 | 核心指标 | 2024年合计 | 同比上一年增长 | 2023年同期增速 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 总资产 | 29,092.41 | 6.17% | 12.65% | | 总负债 ...
上证G60战略新兴产业成份指数上涨0.08%,前十大权重包含华友钴业等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-05-13 15:33
Core Points - The Shanghai G60 Strategic Emerging Industries Index (G60 Index) closed up 0.08% at 936.54 points, with a trading volume of 16.692 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the G60 Index has increased by 4.04%, decreased by 5.62% over the last three months, and has risen by 1.72% year-to-date [1] - The G60 Index includes up to 50 of the largest strategic emerging industry companies listed in the Shanghai market from the Yangtze River Delta G60 nine cities, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [1] Index Composition - The top ten weighted stocks in the G60 Index are: Jianghuai Automobile (9.66%), Huayou Cobalt (7.25%), Hengsheng Electronics (6.21%), Hengtong Optic-Electric (4.81%), Zhongkong Technology (4.74%), China Jushi (4.51%), Silan Microelectronics (4.48%), Jingfang Technology (2.9%), Naxin Micro (2.73%), and Zejing Pharmaceutical (2.65%) [1] - The G60 Index is fully composed of stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Industry Breakdown - The industry composition of the G60 Index includes: Industrial sector (36.78%), Information Technology (30.00%), Materials (14.21%), Communication Services (9.57%), and Healthcare (9.44%) [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] Fund Tracking - Public funds tracking the G60 Index include the Shenwan Hongyuan G60 Strategic Emerging Industries ETF [3]