锂电新周期来了？ 具体来看，龙头股盐湖股份（000792.SZ）、雅化集团（002497.SZ）业绩预增，赣锋锂业 （002460.SZ）预计实现扭亏。盐湖股份预告归母净利润82.9亿元至88.9亿元，同比大增77.78%至 90.65%，其业绩增长的核心驱动力均指向两大主要产品氯化钾和碳酸锂的价格上升。 锂盐龙头赣锋锂业预计2025年实现扭亏，归母净利润达11亿元至16.5亿元，上年同期为亏损20.74亿元。 雅化集团业绩预喜，公司预计2025年归母净利润为6亿元至6.80亿元，同比增长133.36%~164.47%。华友 钴业（603799.SH）预计实现归母净利润58.5亿元至64.5亿元，同比增长40.8%至55.24%。 2025年锂电产业链迎来业绩拐点。据第一财经记者不完全统计，28家已披露业绩预告的锂电企业中，11 家预增，6家扭亏，其余为续亏和首亏。锂盐、碳酸锂、六氟磷酸锂等关键锂电材料环节的龙头企业， 普遍在去年第四季度实现业绩环比大增，主要系核心产品价格上涨叠加新能源汽车与储能需求保持增 长。 过去几年，锂电材料行业经历了跌价去库存的周期底部，企业盈利能力大幅回暖，表明锂电周期已步入 复苏 ...

证券之星消息，1月28日能源金属板块较上一交易日上涨1.82%，博迁新材领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4151.24，上涨0.27%。深证成指报收于14342.9，上涨0.09%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605376 | 博迁新材 | 89.54 | 7.23% | 16.80万 | | 14.53亿 | | 300618 | 塞锐钻业 | 54.03 | 6.95% | 34.64万 | | 18.30亿 | | 301219 | 腾远钻业 | 79.19 | 4.68% | 16.62万 | | 12.97亿 | | 6633209 | 永杉锂业 | 12.25 | 4.61% | 31.84万 | | 3.82亿 | | 600711 | 盛电矿业 | 18.26 | 4.52% | 200.27万 | | 35.95 Z | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 80.76 | 3.34% | 81.20万 | | 64.6 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant surge in the non-ferrous metal sector driven by rising risk aversion and expectations of interest rate cuts, with the Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF (159880) rising over 7.3% and 14 constituent stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - Southwest Securities indicates that both precious metals and industrial copper sectors are showing positive expansion, with resource-advantaged companies continuously increasing reserves and production, and upcoming production from marine gold mining projects [1] - As of January 28, 2026, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) has surged by 6.31%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Silver Non-Ferrous (up 10.04%), China Aluminum (up 10.02%), and Yunnan Copper (up 10.02%) [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, collectively accounting for 51.65% of the index [2] - The Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF (159880) closely tracks the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index, which selects 50 securities from the non-ferrous metal industry based on size and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this sector [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant capital inflows into various stocks, highlighting potential investment opportunities in the market. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflows - China Aluminum (中国铝业) saw a capital inflow of 1.909 billion, with a price increase of 10.02% [1][2] - Northern Rare Earth (北方稀土) experienced a capital inflow of 1.773 billion, with a price increase of 4.22% [1][2] - Wangsu Science & Technology (网宿科技) had a capital inflow of 1.712 billion, with a notable price increase of 15.14% [1][2] - Tianfu Communication (天孚通信) recorded a capital inflow of 1.546 billion, with a price increase of 4.53% [1][2] - Province Advertising Group (省广集团) attracted a capital inflow of 1.275 billion, with a price increase of 4.9% [1][2] Group 2: Additional Notable Stocks - Invech (英维克) had a capital inflow of 1.116 billion, with a price increase of 6.45% [1][2] - SMIC (中芯国际) saw a capital inflow of 1.037 billion, with a price increase of 3.63% [1][2] - Shannon Chip Creation (香农芯创) experienced a capital inflow of 966 million, with a price increase of 4.54% [1][2] - Luoyang Molybdenum (洛阳钼业) had a capital inflow of 818 million, with a price increase of 9.8% [1][2] Group 3: Other Stocks with Capital Inflows - Changxin Bochuang (长芯博创) recorded a capital inflow of 707 million, with a price increase of 6.18% [3] - Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创) had a capital inflow of 703 million, with a price increase of 2.01% [3] - China Telecom (中国电信) saw a capital inflow of 698 million, with a price increase of 3.13% [3] - Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) attracted a capital inflow of 685 million, with a price increase of 5.34% [3] - Shanghai Construction (上海建工) had a capital inflow of 683 million, with a price increase of 10.03% [3] - China Unicom (中国联通) recorded a capital inflow of 682 million, with a price increase of 1.58% [3] - Northern Copper (北方铜业) saw a capital inflow of 603 million, with a price increase of 10% [3] - Huayou Cobalt (华友钴业) had a capital inflow of 581 million, with a price increase of 3.34% [3] - CITIC Securities (中信证券) recorded a capital inflow of 580 million, with a price increase of 0.29% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric new energy sector, including CATL, Xiamen Tungsten, and others [2][3]. Core Insights - The electric new energy sector's overall fund holding ratio has decreased, with a notable decline in the holdings of new energy vehicle and power equipment sectors, while the industrial control sector saw a slight increase [6][18]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policy, technology, and demand factors influencing the various sub-sectors within the electric new energy industry, leading to different performance expectations [6][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Overall Fund Holdings in Electric New Energy Sector - As of Q4 2025, the fund holding ratio for the electric new energy sector is 8.73%, down by 0.93 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 1.83 percentage points year-on-year [9][14]. - The market capitalization of the electric new energy sector accounts for 5.92% of the total market capitalization, with a slight decrease of 0.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 0.81 percentage points year-on-year [9][14]. 2. Sub-sector Fund Holdings Analysis - The fund holding ratio for the new energy vehicle sector is 7.24%, down by 1.06 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and 1.30 percentage points year-on-year [18][21]. - The new energy power generation sector has a fund holding ratio of 2.19%, with a minor decrease of 0.05 percentage points quarter-on-quarter and a decrease of 0.30 percentage points year-on-year [18][24]. - The power equipment and industrial control sector's fund holding ratio is 1.28%, showing a slight increase of 0.14 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [18][26]. 3. Investment Recommendations 3.1 New Energy Vehicles - The report suggests focusing on companies with clear competitive advantages and improving profitability in the battery segment, such as CATL and A123 Systems [28]. - It also highlights the importance of materials and components in the supply chain, recommending companies like Keda and others [28]. 3.2 New Energy Power Generation - The report indicates a shift from policy-driven to market-driven demand for energy storage, recommending companies involved in energy storage integration and battery production [29]. - It emphasizes the growth potential in wind energy, particularly offshore wind, and suggests monitoring companies like Mingyang Smart Energy and Goldwind [30][32]. 3.3 Power Equipment and Industrial Control - The report identifies AIDC as a growth driver for power equipment demand, recommending companies with strong fundamentals and competitive pricing [34]. - It also notes the increasing importance of high-voltage construction in domestic demand, suggesting companies like XJ Electric and others [34][35].

Group 1 - The small metal sector saw a rise on January 28, 2026, with the China Rare Metals Theme Index increasing by 0.23%, and notable stock performances included Dongfang Tantalum Industry up by 8.41%, Zhuhai Group up by 5.25%, and others [1] - Tungsten concentrate prices approached 550,000 RMB per ton, ammonium paratungstate prices exceeded 800,000 RMB, and tungsten powder prices surpassed 1,300,000 RMB [1] - Industrial-grade lithium carbonate prices reached 168,000 RMB per ton with a weekly increase of 9.80%, while lithium iron phosphate prices rose by 4.43% compared to January 4 [1] Group 2 - Longcheng Securities estimated that the static cost share of lithium carbonate, rare earths, and antimony in downstream applications is nearing historical highs, with a demand growth rate of over 10% expected in sensitive sectors like wind power in 2026 [1] - The auction price for lithium spodumene concentrate from Wodgina reached 16,852 RMB per dry ton, indicating a significant premium for overseas lithium resources [1] - The Congolese government submitted a shortlist of state-owned mineral assets to the U.S., highlighting ongoing geopolitical supply disruptions that reinforce the scarcity of strategic metals [1] Group 3 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index included Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, accounting for 59.54% of the total index [2] - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) tracks the China Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investing in the rare metals sector [3] - Investors can also explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector through the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [6][6][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over the independence of U.S. Federal Reserve policies are expected to boost gold prices in the short term [6][6]. - The copper market is facing supply constraints due to incidents at major mines, which is likely to support copper prices despite high prices potentially suppressing actual consumption [36][36]. - The aluminum sector is expected to see price support due to downstream inventory demand, while the lithium market is anticipated to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply expectations [6][6][6]. Summary by Sections Steel - The steel industry is expected to improve profitability as growth policies are implemented, with demand in shipbuilding and construction likely to increase [3][3]. - Current steel prices are showing seasonal trends, with expectations of price fluctuations following raw material prices [19][19]. - As of January 23, 2026, the total steel inventory has increased by 0.79% compared to the previous week, indicating a potential accumulation ahead of the Spring Festival [26][26]. Copper - The copper market is experiencing a tightening supply due to strikes affecting production at key mines, which may provide price support [36][36]. - The copper smelting processing fees remain negative, indicating pressure on the supply side, while demand is expected to rise in sectors like electric power and new energy vehicles [36][36]. Aluminum - The aluminum market is characterized by stable supply and high operating rates at alumina plants, with expectations of price support from downstream inventory needs [46][46]. - As of January 23, 2026, the average price of alumina is reported at 2,657.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [50][50]. Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions and economic data are influencing gold prices, with a notable increase in prices observed recently [54][54]. - As of January 23, 2026, gold prices have risen by 8.30% on COMEX and 8.07% on SHFE compared to the previous week [54][54]. Lithium and Cobalt - The lithium market is expected to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply conditions, with battery-grade lithium prices increasing by 12.46% recently [58][58]. - Cobalt supply is constrained due to limited export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand is driven by the electric vehicle and consumer electronics sectors [6][6].

Core Viewpoint - The environmental impact assessment approval for Guangxi Huayou New Materials Co., a subsidiary of Huayou Cobalt Co., has been granted for a valuable metal compound recycling project with a total investment of 59.26 million yuan, as disclosed by regulatory authorities on January 14, 2026 [1]. Group 1 - The "A-share Green Report" project, launched by the Daily Economic News in collaboration with the public environmental research center (IPE), aims to enhance transparency in environmental information of listed companies [1]. - The project monitors environmental performance based on authoritative regulatory data from 31 provinces and 337 cities, analyzing and interpreting the data to provide insights into listed companies and their subsidiaries [1]. - The project includes the timely release of AI-generated green reports for listed companies and weekly updates on environmental risk rankings [1]. Group 2 - The previous issue of the A-share Green Weekly Report indicated that five listed companies recently exposed environmental risks [3].

Group 1 - A total of 1123 A-share listed companies have released their 2025 performance forecasts, with 602 companies expecting profits and 521 companies anticipating losses [1][2] - Among the companies predicting profits, Zijin Mining leads with a forecasted net profit of 52 billion yuan, followed by Luoyang Molybdenum with 20.8 billion yuan [2][3] - The automotive sector, represented by SAIC Motor, is expected to see a significant profit increase of 438%-558%, the highest growth rate among the top ten profit forecast companies [2][3] Group 2 - The real estate sector dominates the list of companies forecasting significant losses, with China Fortune Land Development expected to lose between 16 billion and 24 billion yuan [3][4] - Other sectors facing losses include the photovoltaic industry, with Tongwei Co., TCL Zhonghuan, and Trina Solar among the top ten companies predicting losses [4][5] - JinkoSolar is projected to experience the largest decline in net profit, with a decrease of 6063.96%-7074.8% due to price fluctuations in the global photovoltaic industry [9][10] Group 3 - Companies like *ST Weir and Tonghua Dongbao are expected to see substantial profit growth, with *ST Weir forecasting a net profit increase of 8303.8%-9599.14% [6][8] - Approximately 260 companies are expected to have a net profit growth rate exceeding 100%, accounting for about one-fifth of the companies that have released forecasts [7][8] - The performance of companies in the photovoltaic sector is under pressure due to market conditions, impacting their profitability despite efforts to innovate and upgrade technology [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The energy metals sector experienced a 0.63% increase on January 26, with Shengtu Mining leading the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.09% and the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.85% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The energy metals sector's individual stock performance showed significant variations, with Jidian Mining closing at 18.18, up by 5.09%, and Ganfeng Lithium down by 0.31% at 73.64 [1]. - The trading volume for Jidian Mining reached 2.0884 million shares, with a transaction value of 3.744 billion [1]. - The overall market saw the Shanghai Composite Index close at 4132.61 and the Shenzhen Component Index at 14316.64 [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The energy metals sector saw a net inflow of 98.6035 million in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 34.3477 million [2]. - The main funds' net inflow for Huayou Cobalt was 26.8 million, while it faced a net outflow of 78.5894 million from speculative funds [3]. - The capital flow data indicates that the sector is attracting institutional investment despite some outflows from retail investors [2][3].