寒武纪，曾经风光无限，股价一度超过贵州茅台，被称作"股王"。 但现在，它的股价在过去一个月里，从1500元一路砸到了1058元，跌幅超过30%。 曾经 它超越茅台，如今茅台稳稳站在1500元以上，它却跌回了茅台脚下。 摩尔线程更惨，从去年12月941元的高点，跌到了现在的539元，跌幅超过40%，而且 下跌的速度越来越快。 最晚上市的沐曦股份，几乎是上市即巅峰，股价从895元一路向下，直奔490元，距离腰斩只有一步之遥。 略。 但当市场风声鹤唳时，每一个弱点都会被无限放大。 最近A股的科技圈，可以说是寒气逼人。 如果你关注芯片和AI，肯定会注意到一个扎心的现象：去年那些被捧上天的"国产GPU希望之星"，股价正在集体上 演高台跳水。 最引人注目的就是三家：寒武纪、摩尔线程和沐曦股份。 这不是个别股票的调整，而是整个板块的溃退。 就在2月4日一天，AI算力芯片板块的主力资金净流出就高达24.54亿元。 人们都在问，那个激动人心的科技 牛市结束了吗？ 为什么这些顶着"国产替代"、"AI核心"光环的明星公司，说崩就崩了？ 答案，可能就藏在它们火热的梦想和冰冷的现实之间，那道越来越 宽的裂缝里。 我们先看看寒武纪。 这 ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Zhongji Xuchuang has dropped significantly, leading investors to question whether it is a good time to buy [1] - On February 4, Zhongji Xuchuang opened at 570 yuan and fell to a low of 525 yuan, closing at 560 yuan, marking a decline of 5.04% [3] - Other stocks in the same sector, such as Hanwang and Xinyi, have also experienced declines, with Hanwang hitting a recent low of 1046 yuan and Shenghong Technology dropping to 250 yuan [3] Group 2 - Despite the declines, the fundamentals of these star stocks have not deteriorated; for instance, Hanwang is projected to achieve a revenue of 6-7 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.85-2.15 billion yuan in 2025 [4] - Shenghong Technology is expected to see a net profit of 4.16-4.56 billion yuan in 2025, a significant increase of 260.35%-295% compared to 2024 [4] - The decline in stock prices is attributed to the fact that the performance did not exceed expectations, leading to investor disappointment regarding future growth [4] Group 3 - The overall market sentiment has shifted towards defensive stocks, with funds moving from high-volatility tech stocks to traditional stocks with stable cash flows, exemplified by the rise of Guizhou Moutai's stock price by 17% over five trading days [5][6] - Global political and economic uncertainties are impacting investor confidence, contributing to the pressure on semiconductor valuations [6] - Investors are advised to be cautious, as rushing to buy into tech stocks may pose significant risks in the current market environment [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Southern Science and Technology Chip ETF (588890), which opened down by 1.13% at 2.892 yuan on February 5 [1] - Major holdings in the ETF experienced declines, with notable drops including: SMIC down 1.61%, Haiguang Information down 2.11%, and Cambrian down 1.68% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip Index, managed by Southern Fund Management Co., Ltd. The fund manager is Li Jialiang [1] Group 2 - Since its establishment on April 15, 2024, the ETF has achieved a return of 192.73%, with a one-month return of 11.24% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Chip ETF Huatai Fu (516920), which opened down by 0.62% at 1.120 yuan on February 5 [1] - The major holdings of the Chip ETF experienced declines, with notable drops including Cambrian (-1.68%), SMIC (-1.61%), and GigaDevice (-4.39%) [1] - The performance benchmark for the Chip ETF is the CSI Chip Industry Index return, managed by Huatai Fu Fund Management Co., Ltd. Since its establishment on July 27, 2021, the fund has returned 12.66%, with a one-month return of 9.15% [1]

来源：5D调查 胡润研究院发布2月5日发布《2025胡润中国500强》，台积电价值增长3.5万亿元，以10.5万亿元再度蝉 联中国价值最高的民营企业。腾讯价值增长1.9万亿元，以5.3万亿元稳居第二。字节跳动价值增长1.8万 亿元，以3.4万亿元保持第三。小米新进前十，价值增长3570亿元，以1万亿元位列第八。 | | | | 《2025胡润中国500强》 前十名 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 公司 | 价值(亿元人民币) | | 涨幅 | 三是得行业 | SHI | | | 合肥皂 | alle Par 200 - 100, 000 | | 50% | | | | 2- | 腾讯控股 | 53,300 | | 56%500 | 娱乐 | 深圳 | | 3- | 字节跳动 | 34,000 | | 109% | 娱乐 | 北京 | | 4- | 阿里巴巴 | 27,000 | | 75% | 电子商务 | 杭州 | | | 宁德时代 | 18,600 | 1981-1991 | 59% | 一理申池 | 宁德 | | | ...

胡润研究院发布2月5日发布《2025胡润中国500强》，台积电价值增长3.5万亿元，以10.5万亿元再度蝉 联中国价值最高的民营企业。腾讯价值增长1.9万亿元，以5.3万亿元稳居第二。字节跳动价值增长1.8万 亿元，以3.4万亿元保持第三。小米新进前十，价值增长3570亿元，以1万亿元位列第八。美团退出前 十，位列第17位。 从价值上涨的绝对数额来看，过去一年中增长最多的是台积电，其价值增长了3.5万亿元，主要原因是 人工智能需求的强劲拉动、先进的制程技术以及稳固的市场地位。其次是腾讯，价值增长了1.9万亿 元，主要是由于其在游戏、广告、金融科技三大主业的出色表现，推动了公司整体业绩的提升。位列第 三的是字节跳动，价值增长了1.8万亿元，得益于AI业务的进展推动公司估值持续走高。 阿里巴巴价值增长1.2万亿元，主要因为阿里巴巴在人工智能和云计算领域的战略投入取得了高速增 长，以及传统电商基本盘企稳回升。 宁德时代价值增长6900亿元，主要得益于新能源汽车市场需求的持续增长。2025年5月，宁德时代在港 交所二次上市，募资超325亿元人民币，成为2025年港股最大IPO。 有着"中国的英伟达"之称的寒武纪，价值 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Cambricon has been under pressure due to unverified rumors, despite a recent positive earnings forecast for 2025, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics with increasing competition from new entrants in the AI chip sector [3][5][6]. Stock Performance - On February 3, Cambricon's stock price fell by over 13% during trading, closing down 9.18% at 1128 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 475.7 billion CNY [5]. - The following day, the stock continued to decline by 5.32%, closing at 1068 CNY per share, resulting in a total market value drop exceeding 70 billion CNY over two days [5]. - Year-to-date, as of February 4, Cambricon's stock has experienced a cumulative decline of 21.21% [6]. Earnings Forecast - Cambricon recently announced an optimistic earnings forecast for 2025, projecting revenue between 6 billion to 7 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 410.87% to 496.02% [6]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion CNY, marking a turnaround from losses [6]. Market Competition - The entry of new competitors in the AI chip market, such as Moore Threads and MuXi, has diminished Cambricon's previous market scarcity, leading to increased competition and potential pressure on its valuation [8][9]. - The competitive landscape is shifting from a scarcity-driven market to one characterized by increased competition, which may impact Cambricon's growth rates moving forward [8][9]. Industry Dynamics - The AI chip market is experiencing rapid growth, but the sustainability of Cambricon's high growth rates is questioned due to the intensifying competition and the potential for market share dilution [7][8]. - Cambricon's market share in the AI accelerator market is relatively small, with estimates indicating it holds about 1.4% compared to Nvidia's 70% [8][9]. Competitor Performance - Other emerging players in the AI chip sector have shown significant revenue growth, with projections for 2025 indicating substantial increases for companies like Moore Threads and MuXi, which may further challenge Cambricon's market position [9][10].

摩尔线程、沐曦股份之外，壁仞科技、天数智芯、燧原科技也争相叩开资本市场的大门。寒武纪等一众 企业披露业绩的同时，百度的昆仑芯、阿里的平头哥接连走到台前。 "小作文"可以呼应投资者高预期下的焦虑，但不能成为股价大跌的唯一由头。 从投资者的视角看，无论是寒武纪，还是紧随其后上市的摩尔线程、沐曦股份，大家都面临着背负高预 期之后，如何兑现、何时兑现的考题。硬件的稳定性、性价比、供应能力都是市场的重要考察因素。 附在股价上的预期，自然比单纯的数字更复杂。营收增长幅度、亏损收窄情况、盈利预期的变化，都可 能变成"小作文"制造焦虑的诱导因素。在这个过程中，稍有风吹草动，让市场产生不安情绪自然在所难 免。 从行业自身的视角看，寒武纪需要正视的不仅是资本市场对于芯片题材祛魅，还有同行竞争加剧、同业 态百花齐放。 寒武纪从最初的"高处不胜寒"，到数家国产芯片企业先后奔赴资本市场，股市上相关概念股的稀缺时代 也将结束。 刚刚交出亮眼的业绩，寒武纪就迎来了猝不及防的大跌。 2月4日，寒武纪股价收跌5.32%，报1068元/股，总市值4504亿元。此前一天，公司股价跌去12.88%，市 值从约5300亿元回落到4563亿元，几乎半天 ...

刚刚交出亮眼的业绩，寒武纪就迎来了猝不及防的大跌。 2月4日，寒武纪股价收跌5.32%，报1068元/股，总市值4504亿元。此前一天，公司股价跌去12.88%，市 值从约5300亿元回落到4563亿元，几乎半天蒸发了超过700亿元。 表面看，导火索是一篇流传不广的"小作文"，公司小范围交流中给出的2026年营收指引仅为200亿元， 远低于市场预期。寒武纪很快辟谣，但难挡股市大跌。 自上市起，高估值的寒武纪一直背负着高预期。这种高预期既有国产替代浪潮的大势之趋，也有AI时 代对于芯片需求的蒸蒸日上。 预期之下，以寒武纪为代表，大量国产芯片企业脱颖而出，成为资本市场耀眼的明星。它们普遍估值 高、上市快、融资规模大，在资本市场起起伏伏，关注度也极高。 "小作文"可以呼应投资者高预期下的焦虑，但不能成为股价大跌的唯一由头。 从投资者的视角看，无论是寒武纪，还是紧随其后上市的摩尔线程、沐曦股份，大家都面临着背负高预 期之后，如何兑现、何时兑现的考题。硬件的稳定性、性价比、供应能力都是市场的重要考察因素。 附在股价上的预期，自然比单纯的数字更复杂。营收增长幅度、亏损收窄情况、盈利预期的变化，都可 能变成"小作文"制造焦 ...

Group 1: Agricultural and Rural Development - The 2026 Central Document emphasizes modernizing agriculture and rural areas, aiming for comprehensive rural revitalization as a primary focus [2] - It highlights the importance of enhancing agricultural policies, ensuring food security, and improving rural living conditions to support China's modernization [2] Group 2: State-Owned Enterprises and Innovation - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is pushing for the development of strategic emerging industries and the transformation of traditional industries [3] - There is a focus on fostering technology-driven enterprises and enhancing collaboration between state-owned enterprises and research institutions to drive innovation [3] Group 3: Energy and Fuel Prices - Starting February 3, domestic gasoline and diesel retail prices will increase by 205 yuan and 195 yuan per ton, respectively, leading to an increase of 0.16 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline [4] Group 4: Technological Advancements and Investments - Shanghai is prioritizing the development of future industries such as brain-computer interfaces and fourth-generation semiconductors [5] - The Beijing Humanoid Robot Innovation Center has secured over 700 million yuan in market financing, marking a significant step towards market operation and industrialization [5] Group 5: Robotics and AI Innovations - Zhejiang University has launched the Bolt humanoid robot, which is currently the fastest in the world, capable of running at 10 meters per second [6] - A new AI-assisted puncture navigation robot has received approval for market entry, showcasing advancements in AI technology for clinical applications [6] Group 6: Market Movements and Stock Performance - The South Korean stock market experienced significant volatility, with the composite index dropping over 5% before rebounding and triggering a trading halt [9] - Major indices in the US and A-shares showed positive performance, with the Dow Jones increasing by 1.05% and the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.29% [14][15] Group 7: Semiconductor Industry Developments - Samsung and SK Hynix are planning to expand their advanced NAND flash memory production capacity, with Samsung discussing a monthly investment of 40,000 to 50,000 wafers [10] - Samsung Electro-Mechanics is advancing its semiconductor glass substrate project, aiming for commercialization by 2027 [11] Group 8: Corporate Mergers and Strategic Moves - Elon Musk announced the merger of SpaceX and xAI to create a space-based data center, emphasizing the need for AI infrastructure in space to meet growing energy demands [12]